derp

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About derp

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  • Birthday 02/22/1989
  1. This would be fun. Seems like a clean prospect with tools and a knack for playing the position but raw. No proven QB on the roster yet. Would be especially fun in the second round. I kind of hope Watson, Trubisky, Kizer, and Mahomes all end up going in the top 10 of the draft though.
  2. Quarterback would be priority #1 obviously - don't think there will be one available. From there I think it becomes important to get an impact player at #6. Like every other year a trade down would be great but I'm not going to hold my breath. Tackle would be #2 IMO - building an elite offensive line would be great. I'm not sure value is going to match up there although it would be cool if it did. Then #3 would be an edge rusher. Seems like the class is full of them but after Garrett (who I'm guessing won't be there) the presumed next guys like Barnett and Solomon Thomas are viewed as 4-3 ends not stand up 3-4 guys. If the FO likes the 3-4 fit (I know Thomas is supposed to be a freak athlete) then that changes things. But that may be for later. Those are kind of the key spots so I think from there you see if there's somebody you can build around on offense or defense. Right now it doesn't seem like there are elite WR's or TE's, there are elite running backs but that historically doesn't go so well, and I don't think you take an interior OL at 6th overall so that covers the other offensive positions. Another interior DL is obviously not ideal since there are already too many for the defense to function on the roster, inside linebacker at #6 - especially when you theoretically took your 3 down ILB last year - doesn't make a lot of sense, and corner seems deeper than elite at the top so I think you wait there. We've seen extended periods of elite defenses with big-time safety play and the Jets don't really have a long-term answer there plus they could use someone who can create turnovers. So, Malik Hooker. Decent chance he'll be there, may be the best safety in an elite class of safeties, big-time ball skills, has been getting Ed Reed comps, and crazy range so he probably has the combo of production and physical attributes you'd like in a top pick, and at the very least we'll get some good hooker jokes out of it so there's a really high floor here. Kind of depends on the off the field and classroom type stuff, but that's where I am right now.
  3. I think the Jets can afford to wait a long time on a running back. Powell and Forte will be back next year and the class is deep. More physicality in the backfield would be nice IMO and that can probably be found later on. Cook or Fournette would be cool but a massive luxury pick for a team that has needs everywhere. Safety is strong but especially at the top. I think the Jets need to hit a home run at 6. If Hooker is the best guy on the board that's the direction I'm leaning right now. An edge rusher would be awesome but it seems like the top guys are better 4-3 fits than 3-4. If a good 3-4 edge fit or a good offensive tackle is available I'd prefer that (or a quarterback obviously) but I'm not thinking that will be the case. No issue with corners at any point in theory although I'm tired of round 1 corners and would prefer it's later. A tight end would be nice. Maybe get Jake Butt at a discount after his injury since this is probably a rebuilding year anyway.
  4. I think Anderson could be a nice piece as a part of a WR corps - don't think he's going to be the guy. Ted Ginn-ish, maybe a little better. Which is fine. If he's able to have a 10+ year career (this season was Ginn's 10th) as a UDFA and maybe have a 1,000 yard year or two (Ginn never has) that's pretty good. Anderson definitely has a gift for getting deep - but this season the bar was set pretty low, the Jets were out of a lot of games (and played a bunch of meaningless games) so mistakes were less magnified. I think his hands - while I wouldn't go so far to say they're bad - aren't good enough to overcome his lack of strength. Would like to see him with a QB who's more consistently able to get the ball downfield though. And while I'm not sure he'll be a consistent source of production in the passing game his skill set is a great one to have on the roster.
  5. What would be fun is if Maccagnan took someone like Mahomes in the second. Just to further muddy the waters. Seems like his M.O. has been take lower probability guys who still have physical talent and upside a little later to get them at a "discount". Which probably makes more sense if you've got a coaching staff that you believe can develop NFL quarterbacks. Unfortunately recent history has had the Jets out of reach of the top tier guys and unable to develop guys in the next tier and we really don't have any reason to expect that to change...unless they have a terrible enough season to get a crack at a top tier guy.
  6. Players > plays. Not sure what OC out there was going to scheme a productive offense for the Jets this year - particularly after Decker got hurt. Gailey in general is creative and I like his philosophy. Would like to see him get an opportunity to coach a little more talent. Also think if you're trying to develop young QB's, you want continuity. The defense was disappointing - not tremendously put together but I still think a situation where the whole was less than the sum of the parts. Not sure what Rodgers could have really done - but he makes more sense to me as a fall guy. Especially if they have an opportunity to bring in an experienced DC who will allow Bowles to focus more on both sides of the ball. Having the head coach be a pseudo coordinator is not a formula for success. Not sure it'll go down that way - but that would be my preference.
  7. The drafting a running back early debate is an interesting one to me. I think I see both sides. Probably the best way to improve in the short term, especially without an available franchise QB or LT towards the top of the draft. Overall, I think it's a bad idea though. There's just the general argument against round one RB's. Return on them has been really shaky, many of the league's best were drafted outside of round one. Plus this year the draft is deep in running backs and I'm not sure how many teams really need one enough to pop one in the first. Most importantly, what's the long-term payoff? You're better for a couple of years - less opportunities to find the franchise QB/LT/pass rusher you really need IMO. I think that's a step late in the rebuild and the Jets really need a total rebuild. Also think, either craftily or by accident, the Jets are set up where they don't need an early round back with Powell and Forte not saving much on the cap if they're cut. They wanted a physical back to complement those two and signed Robinson but he got hurt. Imagine they can find a similar back somewhere in the mid-late rounds this year, have him be the third RB, and hope they get lucky and he's a legit centerpiece back. Good to make sure the guy has hands - but stranger things have happened than a mid-late round RB turning into a stud. As an aside, this would be a GREAT draft for the Jets to trade down in if that opportunity arises. Seems like the top ten is going to be littered with defenders - find a defense needy team and swap. Also, broadly I think it's good/intelligent to draft where the draft is strong from a position standpoint and a tier standpoint. This draft seems to be strong at corner, pass rusher, tight end, running back, maybe center and right tackle. All potentially needs. Focus on those spots - preferably pass rusher early. Defense hasn't had a stud edge guy since what - John Abraham? Seem to be plenty of options in this draft and frankly this defense, as much as it's full of big name players, lacks a centerpiece to build around. Edge rusher would be a good start. Although if a left tackle emerges in the top 10 that would be a nice fit too. Those last two paragraphs also obviously go out the window if they think a franchise QB is available in round 1. Go get him.
  8. I should stop trying to figure out what I think the Jets should do and start trying to figure out what the Jets will do. That way it'll hurt less when they do the latter instead of the former. Cutler and a first round corner sounds about right.
  9. Obviously QB should be in the mix if there's one that's worth of the pick. Imagine someone emerges - but if they do might be out of the Jets' range assuming they land in the 3-6 range. If no QB, Myles Garrett seems to be the clear cut top position player available. Defense would be annoying again but the Jets could absolutely use a terror off the edge. Haven't taken one of those at the top of the draft and wouldn't hate it. Otherwise, hopefully a tackle emerges. That's going to be a tremendous need and not easy to fill via FA. Would love to see the FO rebuild the offensive line in this draft. Bring in a couple of bookend tackles and maybe a right guard, build around the line and running the football while developing a young QB. Secondary is easier to rebuild in FA than the OL IMO and both lack long-term answers. Not sure where Peppers fits with the current defensive personnel. He's something in between Lee and Pryor IMO and both are on the team already. Maybe he replaces Gilchrist but I'm not so sure. Feel like you need someone solid to protect against big plays when Pryor gets overaggressive and I don't think Peppers is that guy, or polished enough to overlook that to take a shot on his physical upside when there are oodles of other needs. Corner would be boring but I'd get it. It's weird that the Jets don't really need a wideout any more although that could change if Marshall is shown the door. Think Forte and Powell are both around another year so unless they're going to pound the rock 40 times a game I don't see Fournette. A multitalented back could easily slip outside of the first in this class though, and they could probably find a more physical back to complement Forte/Powell in the mid-rounds which I think has been lacking this year.
  10. Fournette is a freakshow and I imagine he'd be fun to watch in New York, but a top draft pick is probably better allocated elsewhere. Will be interesting to see how his medical comes back on that ankle that seems to consistently be a problem.
  11. I imagine some tweaks would need to be made in order to make an effective transition to a young QB. Bye week might be a good opportunity for that. Or, because Jets.
  12. The Rams defensive line is really good. Not a great time for the rookie QB to play his first game. Bye week would give a little more time to prepare for the transition - the Pats' D isn't bad and I imagine Belichick would give a rookie QB fits, but I think it should wait until some time after the bye.
  13. If they can get a quarterback, they should take a quarterback. That much is obvious. I don't think anything in the next nine games can be answered with such a definitive "yes, that's the Jets' quarterback of the future" that you'd pass on a QB if you're in the position to take one. Worst case you have two good ones. I'm not sure they'll have an opportunity to draft a quarterback. If that's not an option, you either want someone who can get after the quarterback or protect the quarterback IMO. This draft doesn't look that strong at tackle but there are a ton of edge rushers. Long time for that to change, but if it stays true I think an edge rusher would be solid. Somewhat exhausting to draft defense again, but this defense could absolutely use a dominant edge guy. Nothing wrong with taking a tackle either if the value is good. I think those are the three premium spots you focus on. The appealing thing about Fournette is I really liked what the Jets were building offensively last year. Spread the defense with a bunch of legitimate threats at WR, get extra DB's in the game, and then play a strong, fast back who can break tackles, get away from guys in space, and pay off in the red zone. Seemed like a really good way to play offense in the modern NFL, and that's basically out the window this season. Ivory is missed and the Robinson injury was unfortunate. Also, last time a freakishly talented RB slipped a bit due to concerns over him getting nicked up in college (Adrian Peterson) he worked out OK. That happens to be the comp that's been made for Fournette and it looks like a legitimate one. On the flip side, Peterson is great but the Vikings really haven't had legitimate team success with him. But on the other hand, I don't think that's necessarily Peterson's fault.
  14. This team is too slow in the front seven for how talented they are overall. Playing four defensive tackles, no matter how good they are, is asking for trouble. Asking defensive linemen to play almost 100% of the snaps is a disaster waiting to happen as well. This is what I think makes the most sense: LDE - Wilkerson DT - Richardson DT - Williams RDE - Jordan Jenkins SLB - Henderson MLB - Harris WLB - Lee CB - Revis SS - Pryor FS - Gilchrist CB - Burris Rotate more defensively. This defense has good players. Heavily rotate McLendon in with Wilkerson, Richardson, and Williams to keep guys fresh. Move those guys around. I think any of Wilkerson/Richardson/Henderson could play LDE. Keep teams off balanced, energize your guys by putting them in different snaps. Get Jarvis Jenkins in the game some as well and Simon situationally in run heavy situations. I like Jordan Jenkins - he's heavy handed and can set the edge against the run. His flexibility to stand up or play hand in the dirt should allow them to easily switch between 3-4 and 4-3 looks in certain situations. There's no issue with getting Catapano and Mauldin in the game for snaps at right end either though. Make someone win that job. Catapano and Mauldin should both get situational edge rushing snaps too. Passing downs why not go a 3-4 look with Wilkerson/Richardson/Williams and two of those guys on the edge? Nickel situations you can easily take Henderson off of the field I think. Harris or Lee can come off in dime packages. In theory you can take a defensive lineman off too. The secondary is a disaster. Let someone win a job. I'm fine sitting Pryor if they're comfortable with that. Roberts, Burris, or Williams is fine at corner. Let the young guys play. Almost like Roberts more than Burris. None of those guys is so clearly better than anyone else I like playing guys match up wise as well. Roberts probably has the best speed/length combo - play him more against a team with deep threats. Burris is a good option for possession receivers. I almost like Williams more in nickel as I think he's less likely to get burnt deep by a slot receiver and getting him towards the middle of the field may give him more opportunities to use his instincts and get his hands on some balls. Obviously little to none of this actually happens, but it's what I want to see. Give the young corners a shot and get faster in the front seven. Little tweaks here and there. That front four I listed above seems small based on how the Jets have been playing - it's actually huge for a 4-3 defensive line. We've got the right guys to play fast - we just play too many of them together.
  15. Bowles is an interesting guy. I do believe he's strong from an X's and O's standpoint. I like that he's even keeled in front of the media. Thought he did a good job with personalities last season. I really liked what I thought was the offensive philosophy of a physical running game paired with a spread offense last year. The wheels are kind of coming off this year and it's been ugly. The defensive line's motivation is a major issue. Communication in the secondary is awful. Maybe it's the DL and secondary coaches or the DC - but if that's the case Bowles hired those guys. Can be fixed but not sure it will be. That offensive philosophy I thought I liked is gone - either it was a lucky coincidence last year or a huge miss this offseason from a personnel standpoint (which would be on Maccagnan IMO). My two biggest issues are his reluctance to embrace any level of competition and most importantly in game decisions. That challenge yesterday was atrocious. Not going for it on fourth down. I'm not sure that will be fixed. Also I know the Kotite years were horrific, but this is the 20th consecutive year of the Jets having a head coach with a defensive background. Personalities have been different but I think the philosophy is more or less the same and that tends to make things stale - but you still have the issues of changing offensive and defensive schemes. Even if it's just a temporary thing I think they should switch stuff up a bit and get an offensive guy in here at some point.