I mostly agree. I think it was way earlier than just halfway through the season. It looked like they felt Peyton's injury came at a great time regarding youth. They would be able to get what most considered a "sure thing" and be able to trade Peyton for top price.
They were thinking Luck way before that 7th or 8th game my dude.
I don't think that's the case at all unless everybody on that team knew they were going to be fired. Polian wasn't planning on getting fired and tanking the season. He might have still drafted Luck, but Manning would have probably still been a Colt.
People act like cutting Peyton Manning was such an easy thing. Yeah he had an injury, but there was no guarantee that Luck would be this good this early. Everybody assumed, but it's the NFL, there have been far more busts or avg players than potential great QBs. And if it took Luck 4-5 years to Develop while Manning is still competing to win super bowls every year, the Colts would look like idiots.
Everybody looks at it now as a good thing because they've won a division and been to the playoffs two years in a row. If the Colts went 8-8 in Luck's rookie season and they missed the playoffs, people wouldn't think the same thing. And if this year they would have gone 9-7 and missed the playoffs again while Manning is in the AFC Championship game or beyond, people would be killing them.
Nobody kills you when your team wins, but there is no guarantee that you would. I mean it took the 49ers a long time to actually win a super bowl with Steve Young after they dumped Montana. The raiders never did a damn thing after pushing Marcus Allen to the bench and then finally trading him away. It's never easy to just dump a HOF player who still has years left. Did anybody think Manning would throw 55 TDs this year? Probably not. But did anybody actually believe a guy like Manning would not?
Having Manning as your QB pretty much guarantees that your team is going to be the #1 or #2 seed. Having Luck guaranteed nothing. Even sure things like Manning took a few years to win.
And being most of Colts land got fired after that year, it's pretty hard to imagine they just wanted to tank so they could all get fired, so the team could draft Luck, and they go and find new coaches, GMs, scouts, etc. yeah sounds like a legit plan. Maybe an owner wants that, but what coach or GM or player would?
And it's funny people are giving the Jets all the credit for winning 2 out of their last 3 games and yet the Colts tanked in a season where they won 2 out of their last 3 games. And being they could have wound up with the 3rd pick instead of the first because of winning, hard to imagine it was all about tanking. Going 0-16 or even 1-15 guaranteed #1. Guess the coaches and players missed the memo. Interesting.
Edited by pedro55, 13 January 2014 - 03:07 AM.