Let's think about it mathematically. There are 32 teams. 100/32 * 100% = 3.125% chance to win in a given year. So then there is a 96.875% chance of not winning the Superbowl in any year. You can multiply the 96.875% by itself for each year to determine the chances we will not win it that many times in a row.
Odds of going this long without winning
- 1 year: 96.875%
- 3 years: 90.9%
- 5 years: 85.3%
- 7 years: 80.0%
- 10 years (probably when you'll be in diapers): 72.8%
- 16 years (which correlates to the avg USA male life expectancy of 77 years): 60.2%
If you live to the expected age of 77 years, you've got about a 40% shot of seeing them win. It doesn't go above 50% until you'll be 83. So you better eat right and exercise!
Mathematically, this isn't really right for a couple of reasons:
1. There haven't always been 32 teams.
2. In any given year there are teams like the 2012 or 2013 Jets that have no realistic chance before the season even began. In other words, while both the 2013 Jets and 2013 Seahawks are each 1 of 32 NFL teams, they do not each have 1 in 32 chances of winning the superbowl. The Seahawks' chances were greater than 1/32 and the Jets' chances were less. Every year the Jets have a realistic shot, their odds are better than 1/32 since there weren't 31 other teams with realistic chances in each one of those seasons.
This coming year, for example, the Raiders will not be competing for a superbowl. Within a couple of weeks into September (if it takes that long) you can mentally cross out a number of teams. If you cross out 8 of them, and one of them isn't the Jets, then we're 1 of 24 teams with an actual shot rather than 1 of 32 teams.
Of course this goes out the window when we're one of those teams (like the past 2 Jets' teams that were gutted by injuries, paying the piper on previous salary cap excesses, and betting on some high-priced players that proved unworthy of this team commitment). If you don't have the players, you don't have a 1/32 chance like pulling a winning ball out of a container of 32 numbers.
Summary: your dad is f*cked.