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ESPN INSIDER JETS Free Agency Guide


prime21

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Biggest needs

 

Quarterback: Through two seasons, Geno Smith's stats make him look like a poor man's Mark Sanchez. After ranking 40th in DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) among quarterbacks in 2013, Smith improved to 31st last year. Sanchez ranked 35th and 28th in his first two years, respectively. Even Smith's late-season surge -- he ranked 11th in DYAR for quarterbacks in Weeks 15-17 -- mimics Sanchez (ninth in DYAR in Weeks 15-17 of his second season). The larger sample of Smith's two seasons indicates that the Jets should be looking for their next quarterback.

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Wide receiver: While Smith has not been good, the Jets gave him little help both at offensive line (27th and 25th the past two years, respectively, in adjusted sack rate allowed) and receiver. Last year, they acquired the overrated Percy Harvin, who ranked 84th (out of 87 wide receivers) in DVOA. If they cut Harvin, the Jets will need to get a receiver and it will take an additional $10.5 million to get a good one.

Cornerback: The Jets had perhaps the worst group of cornerbacks in the NFL in 2014. Despite getting a consistent pass rush with their front four -- the Jets ranked fourth in adjusted sack rate -- they ranked just 24th in overall pass defense DVOA, including 27th in DVOA against opponents' second receivers, and 31st against third, fourth or fifth receivers. They were dead last against tight ends, too. The Jets need significant upgrades in the secondary, particularly at corner.

drew Healy, Football Outsiders

 

 

Top targets

 

Darrelle Revis, CB: Revis may not be quite the cornerback he was back in his Revis Island days, but he is many levels above the current cornerbacks on the Jets' roster. New York has as much as $50 million more in cap space than New England, so if the Jets' brain trust puts its mind to the task, it could either outbid the Patriots or make its division rivals spend more on Revis than they want to.

Byron Maxwell, CB: If Revis decides to stay in New England, Maxwell would be a very good consolation prize. ESPN NFL Insider Adam Caplan ranked Maxwell as the top cornerback in this year's free-agent class. Given the Jets' cornerback and salary-cap situations, signing both Revis and Maxwell could be a long-shot possibility.

Justin Forsett, RB: New York could use a game-breaking running back and Forsett fits the bill, as he ranked first among running backs in yards per carry last season (5.4). His age (29) could be a negative for some teams; however, Forsett has only 582 career carries, so he is still in good shape from a wear-and-tear perspective.

 

--KC Joyner

 

 

Predictions

 

1. The Jets will be big spenders: They were cheapskates the past two offseasons, but it's time to open the vault and show the green. They have no choice. The Jets have to spend an average of about $140 million in 2015 and 2016 to comply with the league's minimum-spending requirement, so new GM Mike Maccagnan isn't allowed to save for a rainy day. Guess what? It's pouring right now, as the Jets' roster is filled with holes. Maccagnan hinted that he may get involved with the top free agents. Also, the Jets will use some of the surplus to invest in defensive end Muhammad Wilkerson, who enters the final year of his contract.

2. They will re-sign linebacker David Harris: He will have plenty of suitors, including theBuffalo BillsMiami DolphinsAtlanta Falcons and Chicago Bears. The Jets know this, and they also know they don't have an heir apparent on the roster. That, coupled with a weak market for inside linebackers, means it's imperative they re-sign the "quarterback" of their defense before he hits the open market. Harris is 31, so they have to be careful not to overpay, but they can't let him get away.

3. They will reunite with Antonio CromartieHe has been lobbying for a return to the Jets, his team from 2010 to 2013. Cromartie is familiar with Todd Bowles, having played for him last season with the Arizona Cardinals, so it seems like an ideal fit -- except for the fact that Cromartie will be 31 in April. There are better, younger cornerbacks on the market. Look for the Jets to show interest in another ex-Jet, Darrelle Revis, if he shakes free from the New England Patriots. Rebuilding the cornerback position is the No. 1 priority.

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I would love to sign Revis ONLY if he was looking for a one year 12 mill deal or a multiple year deal at 12 mill per with no guarantees. Other than that I would look elsewhere.

 

Also if the JETS don't sign Spiller than they will draft one. Powell can be brought at relatively inexpensive price.

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