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Everything posted by jgb

  1. Only one of the two scenarios is within the realm of possibility?
  2. No change. There is zero enthusiasm until it is earned with results.
  3. Yep, “Optimistic Oliver” as Saleh self-identifies just covers and covers for his players.
  4. You have figures for all you seek. Dig deeper. You know the NPV.
  5. Two types of Jets fans — those that take out their frustrations on the team and those that take out their frustrations on other fans who take out their frustrations on the team.
  6. When you’re big, weight-bearing joints heal slower.
  7. And everyone who values truth and reality.
  8. First point, valid. Second point, innate misunderstanding of statistics. If you had the requisite knowledge, you would have a way to know within an acceptable degree of statistical confidence. PS: I feel no need to flash my credentials here, I wish for my arguments to rise and fall based on their merits.
  9. People don’t understand statistics innately. This is why Las Vegas thrives. Those buildings weren’t financed by good choices made by their customers.
  10. I thought she was going to impale her eye on that pen. That would be an excellent analogy for Jets fandom!
  11. Sorry if I gave that impression. I’ve said his completion percentage in the scrimmage is both encouraging and the only metric I care about right now. I do bristle at the suggestion that drops are the (or a material) determining factor in his success or failure, that is true.
  12. Fine. Even adjusting down to league mean we are not talking about the difference between the worst rated passer and even an average one. An improvement needs to come from within. Reducing drops to league average is not going to automatically lead to competent QB play.
  13. If I can only choose one, I’d hope for better throws over less drops.
  14. Did you do the same for every QB or does only the Jets QB get credit for receiver drops? Be interested in the numbers if you could please link your post. Thank you.
  15. A fan has the option to view things in such a way but for me, these factors which you don’t care about are critical in any objective analysis.
  16. Well, we disagree on the severity of the problem last year — and probably we also disagree on the relative allocation of responsibility for the drops — but we certainly agree less drops is generally better, except in the case where they are eliminated by overly-restricting the offense.
  17. Didn’t see the scrimmage so no opinion there. Although from the numbers I’m encouraged. I care more about his completion percentage than yards and TD/INTs at this point of the pre-season. Want to see him settled and in-rhythm. The completion % is a good thing to see. I’d be interested to see where he would rank if he suffered “only” a league-mean drop percentage. I hypothesize it would not reflect a material improvement as far as his various statistics go, but I leave it to a proponent of the argument to make their own case, if they wish. I’d certainly enjoy seeing the numbers.
  18. Bro. 4 drops over the mean on the season, not each game. This is a problem that is dramatically overblown.
  19. Agree. Some are saying absent drops he was good. Intellectually-honest fans like you are not saying that. He would’ve been better with league-mean drops but not materially-so (still ranked last). Less drops is good. No one said they weren’t. My position is that they are being asked to hold way too much water to cover for the QB. I’ve countered (with math) that even reducing drops last season to the league mean he’s still ranked last. Now we have people trying to spin up these “Jets drops were more impactful than other teams.” LOL. Most Jets games were blowouts. I’d think the Chargers, who, again, led the league in drops, had a lot more game-turning drops since.. ya know… they were in close games. Where is that stat? Chargers led the league in drops according to my data source. But yes, drops are subjective, which is one of the primary problems with using them to cover for a QB. Just as one example, they don’t account for straight up breadbasket drops and drops that also are the partial fault of the QB for a suboptimal delivery point or velocity. This is a straw man. You’re entitled to your opinion but not to mine.
  20. It’s not a claim that’s it’s 4 drops over the mean. If you start erasing drops for the Jets, you need to grant this same service for other QBs. It’s just a throwaway argument that somehow the Jets drops were “more impactful” and thus especially damaging to the QB. Even his most ardent, intellectually-honest supporters can admit he was not good last year. There is a difference between having hope and obfuscating reality.
  21. If you think the drops last year is the difference between a terrible and a good QB performance, there’s just nothing left to discuss with you. You can have the last word, the next word, and every word forevermore.
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