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Everything posted by LAD_Brooklyn

  1. The tickets I'm targeting cost $400+ as I'm bring my mother who I don't want around the BS up top. Problem is I can only purchase two tickets and not the 4 that I'm targeting. This seems to be the case for all sections of the staduim. This is my 1st time purchasing NFL tickets. Is this the norm of 2 tickets being available?
  2. I live in Pittsburgh. Probably 3 miles away from the stadium. After the game I'm moving. The pandemic has ruin the little oz of fun the city provided. If you guys are having a guys trip then you should hang around the Southside Flats. There's tons of bars, nightclub and restaurants there. That area is a sugar baby landmine. All the students from Pitt, Duquesne, Point Park, Carlow ect will be inching close to their tuition payments around that time. Never been to the Casino. Will give it a try. There's seems to be monkeypox spreading in the area. Hopefully by October things clear up so we can all enjoy the game.
  3. Andrian Peterson is a classic example of why athletes should focus on their career and leave romance/relationships/family til after they retire. This dude hasn't disappeared due to child support. Meanwhile Calvin Johnson got it right.
  4. The Ravens are stacked with TEs. Therefore at the very minimum they'll have 1 and possibly 2 out on the field. With that in mind there won't be 4 CBs on the field. Unless we have one of the CB in there playing LB just to spy on Jackson which would be wise instead of a 230lb LB.
  5. Is that really George Fant or Suge Knight?!
  6. I'm actually a math professor, for C Block 5. $2,200 ($100) $22,000 ($1000)
  7. Ranking second-year NFL quarterbacks: Execs on Trevor Lawrence, Mac Jones, Justin Fields and others from 2021 draft class Jeremy Fowler ESPN Staff Writer The NFL has a shortage of quality quarterback play. Yes, the top-shelf passers are brilliant in their playmaking and true franchise cornerstones, from a 44-year-old somehow getting better (Tom Brady) to a 25-year-old who just got to the Super Bowl (Joe Burrow). But the quarterback pantheon is top-heavy. There's debate around the league as to whether the NFL has 32 true starters. That's where the 2021 draft class enters the picture. A group of six talented young QBs -- Trevor Lawrence, Zach Wilson, Trey Lance, Justin Fields, Mac Jones and Davis Mills -- have much to prove but will help define the 2022 NFL season. That six players from one draft occupy nearly 20% of the NFL's starting quarterback jobs entering their second season is a rare occurrence (the 49ers haven't ensured Lance is the starter as Jimmy Garoppolo remains on the roster, but the move is largely expected). By unofficial count, the last time six drafted quarterbacks entered Year 2 entrenched as starters was 2000. That class played out like many draft classes before and after -- with plenty of hits and misses. Daunte Culpepper and Donovan McNabb ascended, Akili Smith and Cade McNown floundered, and Tim Couch was out of the league after five years. All five players were top-12 picks in 1999. Second-round pick Shaun King guided the Buccaneers to a 10-6 record in his second year but didn't sustain the momentum. This year's group enters 2022 brimming with optimism, but history says a few of them will eventually fall flat. So we surveyed a handful of NFL execs, scouts and coaches on which of the Year 2 quarterbacks are poised for a big year. Each ranked the quarterbacks 1-6, and what follows are the composite rankings based on 2022 expectations -- not career arc. That's an important distinction. Scheme, team fit and supporting cast are part of the criteria. See where each QB is ranked: Lawrence | Wilson | Lance Fields | Jones | Mills 1. Trevor Lawrence, Jacksonville Jaguars Drafted: No. 1 overall 2021 stats: 17 starts, 3,641 passing yards, 12 TD passes, 17 interceptions, 33.5 Total QBR (334 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs) For many, Lawrence's NFL career begins now. "This will be like his true rookie year," an AFC scout said. "Hopefully not too many permanent scars from last year." That's how badly the Urban Meyer experiment went in Jacksonville. Lawrence had minimal offensive help and a poor culture under Meyer, who clashed with players and was fired as coach after 13 games. Injuries sabotaged an already lackluster offense. Lawrence's go-to targets were a 32-year-old Marvin Jones Jr. and slot receiver Laviska Shenault Jr. Lawrence finished with 17 interceptions, tied with the Rams' Matthew Stafford for the league high. A few coaches said they expected more from Lawrence in a quarterback-friendly Darrell Bevell scheme that should have provided its share of easy throws. But Lawrence struggled against the blitz, ranking last in yards per attempt (4.9) and 30th in off-target percentage (26.5%) on 141 attempts. But evaluators saw enough of the traits that made Lawrence the No. 1 pick. "He didn't have a chance last year," the scout said. "But having [coach] Doug [Pederson] and new weapons will help him a ton. He needs support, both in personnel and schematically, and then the natural ability can take over. He should have that now." The Jaguars have completely rebuilt their passing game in free agency with the additions of wide receivers Christian Kirk and Zay Jones and tight end Evan Engram. The return of Travis Etienne Jr. from the Lisfranc injury on his left foot could also help. Now it's up to Lawrence to maximize his potential. "He's in a tough spot because while on paper they restocked weapons, I don't believe them to be legitimate enough," an NFL scout said. "But he's got enough ability to overcome some of the problems there." Added an NFC coach: "I didn't necessarily see a transcendent talent from him. [He] didn't look as explosive throwing or on the move as I expected." 2. Mac Jones, New England Patriots Drafted: No. 15 overall 2021 stats: 17 starts, 3,801 passing yards, 22 TD passes, 13 interceptions, 50.9 Total QBR (129 rushing yards) Jones might be atop this list if Josh McDaniels were still his offensive coordinator. Skepticism over the Patriots' offensive coaching situation for the second-year QB looms large. "He would be my No. 1 by a lot," an NFL offensive coach said. "Really efficient and smart player. But who's coaching him? Is it Joe Judge potentially calling plays?" The Patriots do not have a true offensive coordinator/playcaller listed on their coaching staff. Bill Belichick disciples and former NFL head coaches Judge and Matt Patricia are serving as offensive coaches, and Patriots reporter Mike Reiss has said he wouldn't be surprised if Patricia gets playcalling duties based on how the offseason has shaken out. The Patriots also have running backs coaches Ivan Fears and Vinnie Sunseri, wide receivers coach Troy Brown and tight ends coach Nick Caley. Belichick should have a strong presence on the overall operation, too. Not every voter is panicking about New England, citing Jones' strong rookie year with a 67.6% completion rate on his way to the Pro Bowl. As far as operating an NFL offense goes, one NFC exec said Jones might be the best in the class. The Alabama product ranked eighth in the NFL in third-down accuracy (63.9%) among players with at least 100 such attempts last season. "Poise and efficiency," an NFC scout said. "That's him. It will be largely the same system with the same head coach, and they will streamline things for him." play 1:49 Orlovsky on Patriots' offense: It 'concerns me for Mac Jones' Dan Orlovsky questions the New England Patriots' offensive plan going into the season. Could the Patriots expand the pass game under Jones in 2022? There are differing takes there. "He was way too protected last year," the offensive coach said. "They didn't let him push the ball at all." But others wonder if the receiving group holds the offense back. "[Jones is] not a guy you win with because of him at this level yet," an AFC scout pointed out. "The tight ends will have to produce and the running game. Win with defense, and let him manage the game." 3. Zach Wilson, New York Jets Drafted: No. 2 overall 2021 stats: 13 starts, 2,334 passing yards, 9 TD passes, 11 interceptions, 28.2 Total QBR (185 rushing yards, 4 rushing TDs) On paper, Wilson's rookie year couldn't have gone much worse. He went 3-10 as a starter and had the league's lowest completion percentage (55.6%) among full-time quarterbacks. A knee injury cost him four games, and his supporting cast was lackluster. But he settled down late in the year: Over his final seven games, he had five passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Wilson's QBR rose slightly during that span -- from 24.8 through his first six starts to 31.0 over his last seven -- and the Jets were pleased with the progress. Wilson was blitzed 32% of the time over the final two months and had less time to pass (2.9 seconds per attempt, down from 3.1 earlier in the year) yet was more productive. "He dug himself out of a big hole mentally and physically," an NFC offensive coach said. "That was impressive. And he has special arm talent." Wilson will have more support this year, thanks to the additions of first-round receiver Garrett Wilson and tight ends C.J. Uzomah and Tyler Conklin. The offensive line continues to improve. Second-round running back Breece Hall was considered by many to be a top-20 player in the draft. Elijah Moore appears poised for a Year 2 breakout, and Corey Davis has said he's more comfortable in the Jets' offense than he was in 2021. And by all accounts, Wilson has had a banner offseason, bulking up to around 220 pounds and visiting three different states for personalized throwing sessions with teammates. The Jets want Wilson to make the layups this season -- take the easy throw on the plays that are schemed up for him. They already know he can make the spectacular throw with his arm strength and mobility. In Week 4, Wilson's 54-yard completion to Keelan Cole traveled 59 yards in the air, and he did it off one foot and moving full speed to his right to dodge a defender. Wilson's five completions of 40 or more yards tied for 22nd in the NFL, which is respectable considering he missed significant time. "Lots more around him, but it's still the Jets," an AFC scout said. "Never know what you're going to get." Added an NFC exec: "They could be a playoff team if he protects the football and stays healthy." 4. Justin Fields, Chicago Bears Drafted: No. 11 overall 2021 stats: 10 starts, 1,870 passing yards, 7 TD passes, 10 interceptions, 26.4 Total QBR (420 rushing yards, 2 rushing TDs) Yes, Fields' supporting cast is a concern for many around the league. It's usually the first thing brought up. "God bless him and good luck," an AFC scout said. "Good thing he can make things happen on his own. Long road ahead." Another scout said Fields' skill set is similar to Lance's -- but with a better intermediate-to-deep ball -- yet doesn't have the supporting cast to maximize his potential in the short term. It appears GM Ryan Poles is taking the long-term approach to building a winner, eschewing expensive short-term fixes in free agency to let the roster breathe. Several big-money contracts from the previous regime will be more manageable in 2023, when the Bears will have a stronger roster. That leaves the playmaking positions fairly thin for Fields, who enters a crucial Year 2. Additions Byron Pringle and third-round pick Velus Jones Jr. should help but aren't exactly No. 1 options alongside Darnell Mooney. Regardless, I'm told the Bears are happy with Fields' development this offseason, with better mechanics (quicker release) and some improvement in throwing on the move. The Bears are excited for offensive coordinator Luke Getsy's system, which should give Fields more space to operate. "They aren't going to be great, but he's got big-time ability," an NFC offensive coach said of Fields. "He'll be able to make plays." Improved accuracy would also be huge for Fields, who threw seven interceptions over his final six games last season. 5. Trey Lance, San Francisco 49ers Drafted: No. 3 overall 2021 stats: 2 starts, 603 passing yards, 5 TD passes, 2 interceptions, 33.4 Total QBR (168 rushing yards, 1 rushing TD) Lance is easily the toughest evaluation on this list, largely because of the lack of snaps over the past two years (178 in spot duty with San Francisco last season after just one full game with North Dakota State in 2020). "He's in the best spot by far, but I don't know if he's ready," an AFC scout said. "Coaching and system will help him tremendously." Coach Kyle Shanahan's attack mixed with Lance's skill set will be "impressive to watch" in 2022, an NFC scout said. "The throws he makes in flashes are insane," the scout said. "The athleticism and toughness to go along with it are real. He's had time to get his feet wet while observing. I think that always ends up well for the ones with high ceilings like him." There has been steady speculation about Lance's readiness after a year mostly behind the scenes developing with 49ers coaches and players in practices. I've heard the 49ers are not concerned with Lance's arm strength and want to see him continue to apply all that he has learned in game-simulated settings, navigating the chaos from inside and outside the pocket. He threw a lot from the pre-draft process right through the regular season, so he took some time off to rest following the season. Over time, the 49ers have seen improvements in his delivery and footwork, two points of emphasis. Now, some people around the league weren't overly impressed with his game action, with one offensive coach saying his throwing motion still looked "wonky" and that he didn't seem comfortable while throwing on the run. The numbers say Lance was fine from outside the pocket, completing nine of 15 passes for 146 yards and two touchdowns. "He will be fine. Talented. Will make plays with his legs," an NFC exec said. "Best playcaller in the game will put him in a position to succeed." Then there's this from an NFC offensive coach: "I think they were 100 percent taking Mac [Jones] until they saw their fan base [overreact]." 6. Davis Mills, Houston Texans Drafted: No. 67 overall 2021 stats: 11 starts, 2,664 passing yards, 16 TD passes, 10 interceptions, 35.5 Total QBR (44 rushing yards) Mills was not a throw-in in these rankings. He pushed Fields and Lance for the fourth and fifth spots, respectively. Evaluators saw good quarterback play from the third-round pick, who completed 66.8% of his passes on a bad team. And Mills ranked 11th in the NFL in third-down passing accuracy among candidates with at least 100 third-down throws, completing 70 of 110 passes (63.6%) and trailing only Jones (63.9%) among rookies. "He was just playing the position really well," one NFL assistant coach said. "He didn't have a lot around him, and he didn't have many rookie mistakes in the games I saw. He can work through the progressions from the pocket, great mechanics, fundamentally sound, accurate at all three levels, can drive the ball and layer the ball. Really checked a lot of boxes." Before the 2021 draft, some teams had concerns about Mills' injury history, including multiple knee surgeries dating to high school. He appears to have overcome it. "Talented kid. Love [coordinator] Pep [Hamilton] coaching him, too," an AFC exec said. "But his team stinks. And his upside isn't as high as some of the others." Added an NFC offensive coach: "Like him a lot, but that organization seems to be in a holding pattern."
  8. Depressing. These guys aren't even close to executiving.
  9. Bet 100 and you win $2,220. Bet $1,000 and you win $220,000
  10. Davis’s cap hit is actually decreasing. It would take a very disappointing season in production or INJ to consider cutting him. I would replace him with JFM on the list. He's currently the 23rd rank WR in salary. Come next year with his salary going from $12.5M to $11M along with new contracts being given out to others, he'll drop out the top 30.
  11. NFL bettors are loving what Joe Douglas and Robert Saleh accomplished this off-season. Sportsbooks are taking loads of money on the New York Jets this year in a few different ways. It seems like the Jets always win the off-season. For Jets fans, this is usually the most fun and positive part of the year. Whether it is a massive amount of cap space available or a top pick in the NFL draft, the Jets always have ways to get better. Every year, fans convince themselves that the coming year will be different and that the Jets will make the playoffs for the first time since 2010. Those dreams usually do not come to fruition. However, it seems this year might just be different according to NFL bettors. David Purdum, an ESPN writer covering all things gambling, is reporting the Jets are attracting a lot of money in multiple different ways. “More bets have been placed and more money wagered on the Jets to win over 5.5 games at DraftKings than on any other team’s win total,” Purdum wrote on the New York Jets. “The Jets have attracted more bets to win the AFC East at PointsBet Sportsbook than the favored Bills and more money than the Miami Dolphins and New England Patriots combined.” At DraftKings, the Jets are currently listed at +2200 odds to win the AFC East. Purdum adds, “The Jets have received more bets to make the playoffs at Caesars Sportsbook than any other team.” DraftKings has the Jets listed at +700 odds to make the playoffs. Only the Texans (+1600) and Falcons (+800) have worse odds. Even after the Jets finished 4-13 last season, the Jets seem poised for a breakout season. They brought in quality veterans in free agency, including D.J. Reed and Laken Tomlinson, to mesh with the young nucleus of guys already on the roster. Sauce Gardner, Garret Wilson, and Jermaine Johnson were all added in the first round of the NFL draft while Breece Hall and Jeremy Ruckert were added on day two. All of these young pieces should make a big impact come the start of the NFL season. The Jets are headed in the right direction and have the pieces to compete for a playoff spot in 2022. Now it comes down to Robert Saleh and his coaching staff to put their players in the right position to succeed.
  12. Does Pinnock totally blows as a CB?
  13. Stamkos is a bit**. Can't wait for game 6.
  14. Jets are a top 5 team in active spending. Therefore ownership is looking for some results in the standings. There should be some pressure on Douglas to finish with an 8-9 win season but I don't see a playoff mandate.
  15. If the Rangers go up 3-1, then the buy out will increase. At that point, you might as well keep going. Tied at 2-2 and the cashout will basically be around .85 to .95 cents on the dollar from the wager. So my $25 wager that can be cashed out for $106 may reduce down to $20-25.
  16. Thanks for the insight. So that series was more about lousy goaltending/defense over high power offense? As no lead seems safe watching those guys.
  17. Avs vs Oilers!! Rangers/Lighting will have their hands full. Offensively these guys are lightout.
  18. Projecting top NFL rookie leaders in 10 key stat categories: Top five in passing, rushing, receiving, sacks, interceptions, more With the NFL draft in the rearview mirror, we now have a much better grasp of what every team's roster core will look like this season. That makes now a good time to take a look at projections for 2022 rookies. The recent move to a 17-game season will inevitably lead to higher production from rookies than we had seen before 2021, but we also need to keep in mind that first-year players tend to experience a learning curve. So who will stand out? Which newly drafted players will lead the pack in major statistical categories? How many yards should we expect to see from first-round quarterback Kenny Pickett? Which of the talented receivers in the class will have the most production, and who will pace all rookies in tackles? Let's take a look at the top-five projected leaders among rookies in a variety of categories for the 2022 season. These team and player projections are my own, compiled through a thorough process that is both quantitative (league, team, coaching and player trends) and qualitative (projected depth-chart placement and role). And for full statistical outlooks, head over to our projections page to sort and filter through the entire league. I update it often leading up to the start of the season. Jump to: Passing | Rushing | Receiving | TDs Tackles | Interceptions | Sacks Passing yards and touchdowns 1. Kenny Pickett, Pittsburgh Steelers: 2,308 yards, 12 touchdowns 2. Matt Corral, Carolina Panthers: 1,931 yards, 9 touchdowns 3. Desmond Ridder, Atlanta Falcons: 1,791 yards, 10 touchdowns 4. Malik Willis, Tennessee Titans: 191 yards, 1 touchdown 5. Sam Howell, Washington Commanders: 52 yards, 0 touchdowns This year's quarterback class was viewed as one of the worst in the modern era. Only one quarterback came off the board in the first round -- Pickett at No. 20 overall -- and none were selected in the second round. Why does that matter? Because first-round quarterbacks tend to see the field relatively quickly. From 2011-21, 30 of 37 (81%) first-round quarterbacks took over as the starter prior to Week 10 -- 17 (46%) even started in Week 1. Pickett very well could win the Week 1 job, but for now veteran Mitch Trubisky is the front-runner -- and in this exercise Pickett is projected for 10 starts. His yardage projection ranks 19th and touchdown pass projection ranks 16th among first-round quarterbacks over the past decade. Ridder (No. 74), Willis (No. 86) and Corral (No. 94) were selected in the third round. Ridder and Corral have the easiest path to significant rookie-season playing time, with Marcus Mariota and Sam Darnold their competition, respectively. Ridder and Corral are projected for eight starts, whereas Willis is barely expected to see the field behind veteran Ryan Tannehill. Of course, that might change if the Titans fall out of the playoff race. These projections might seem conservative, but it is important to note that over the past decade, only three third-round quarterbacks (Russell Wilson, Davis Mills and Mike Glennon) have cleared 1,700 passing yards and six touchdowns in their rookie campaign. As for Howell, fifth-round quarterbacks have a total of 84 dropbacks over the past decade, so he is obviously a long shot to play much behind Carson Wentz and perhaps Taylor Heinicke. Rushing yards 1. Breece Hall, New York Jets: 1,004 2. Dameon Pierce, Houston Texans: 591 3. Ken Walker III, Seattle Seahawks: 551 4. Isaiah Spiller, Los Angeles Chargers: 533 5. Tyler Allgeier, Atlanta Falcons: 421 Fifteen rookie running backs have rushed for 1,000 yards over the past decade. Hall will look to add to that list after landing with the Jets in the second round of April's draft. Of the 15 to reach 1,000 yards, seven were first-round picks, but a few second-rounders pulled it off (Eddie Lacy, Jonathan Taylor and Jeremy Hill), and Nick Chubb (996) just missed the cut. Hall figures to defer some carries and plenty of passing-down work to second-year Michael Carter, but the Iowa State alum is a good bet to pace the Jets in carries. Pierce was the seventh back drafted, but the fourth-rounder has a path to significant work with Marlon Mack (who has barely seen the field the past two seasons) and 32-year-old Rex Burkhead as his competition for touches. The 217-pound Spiller also was picked in the fourth round by the Chargers and has an excellent shot at 6-8 carries per game as a complement to Austin Ekeler. Only nine fourth-round running backs have reached 500 rushing yards in Year 1 over the past decade, so we don't want to get carried away, but Carter and the Patriots' Rhamondre Stevenson both hit the mark in 2021. Walker is a wild card here considering durability concerns surrounding Rashaad Penny and Chris Carson in Seattle. For now, this assumes both veterans appear in 13 games. If Carson is unable to return, Walker would easily leap to second on this list. Allgeier's projection would place him seventh among fifth-round rookie running backs over the past decade. Of course, Atlanta has to hand the ball to someone, and Allgeier's primary competition right now is 31-year-old Cordarrelle Patterson (who also takes snaps at wide receiver) and 30-year-old Damien Williams. Receiving yards 1. Drake London, Atlanta Falcons: 967 2. Treylon Burks, Tennessee Titans: 893 3. Garrett Wilson, New York Jets: 857 4. Chris Olave, New Orleans Saints: 847 5. Alec Pierce, Indianapolis Colts: 746 During the 10 drafts leading up to 2021, 21 wide receivers (an average of 2.1 per season) were selected in the top 20. We've seen a big boost since that point, with four top-20 wide receivers in 2021 and six more in 2022. The 25 wideouts picked in the top 20 during 2011-21 averaged 686.2 receiving yards during their rookie campaign -- though that jumps to 745.8 if we remove the two guys who put up a zero (Kevin White, John Ross). Only six of the receivers reached 1,000 yards, but a respectable 12 hit 800 yards. It shouldn't be shocking to see four rookie receivers projected for over 800 yards. London (No. 8 overall) has the clearest path to massive usage with little competition for targets on the perimeter in Atlanta. Burks (No. 18) is in a similar spot in Tennessee after A.J. Brown was traded and with Robert Woods recovering from a torn ACL. Wilson (No. 10) has a tougher path to targets with the likes of Elijah Moore, Corey Davis and Braxton Berrios ticketed for roles with the Jets. However, 865 yards is the fewest receiving yards posted by a rookie receiver selected in the top 10 who appeared in at least 12 games since 2011. Olave (No. 11) saw his projection take a hit when New Orleans signed Jarvis Landry, but the rookie will remain a key offensive target, and his role could rise even further if Michael Thomas misses additional time. Second-rounder Pierce is a bit of a surprise on this list, but even in a run-heavy offense, he has a clear path to a big workload opposite Michael Pittman Jr. He just beat out Jameson Williams (No. 12 overall), who might miss time as he recovers from a torn ACL, as well as Jahan Dotson (No. 16), Christian Watson (No. 34) and Skyy Moore (No. 54). Running back receiving yards 1. James Cook, Buffalo Bills: 324 2. Breece Hall, New York Jets: 238 3. Ken Walker III, Seattle Seahawks: 154 4. Dameon Pierce, Houston Texans: 134 5. Isaiah Spiller, Los Angeles Chargers: 133 Cook just missed the top five in our earlier rushing yardage list, but that is simply because (A) Buffalo throws so much, and (B) Devin Singletary is expected to remain the Bills' lead rusher. Cook, at 199 pounds, isn't quite as big or well-rounded as his brother Dalvin Cook, but he is a terrific pass-catching prospect and figures to slide right in as the team's top receiving back. This yardage projection would rank 21st among rookie backs over the past decade and aligns almost perfectly with the production from Carter (325) and Javonte Williams (316) in 2021. Aforementioned Hall (Carter), Walker (Penny/Carson), Pierce (Burkhead) and Spiller (Ekeler) have competition for passing-down work, so we're not expecting game-breaking production in this category. Touchdowns from scrimmage 1. Breece Hall, New York Jets: 7 2. Christian Watson, Green Bay Packers: 6 3. Skyy Moore, Kansas City Chiefs: 6 4. Treylon Burks, Tennessee Titans: 6 5. Garrett Wilson, New York Jets: 6 Forty-one rookies have scored eight touchdowns over the past decade. But with teams leaning more on running back committees, receiving tight ends and three- and four-WR sets, we have seen fewer high-end touchdown totals from rookies over the past few seasons. In fact, in 2019, only two rookies cleared seven touchdowns, and none were above nine. Six reached eight in 2020, but even with the extra game, only two did in 2021 (Ja'Marr Chase, Najee Harris). Eight of the top 11 rookie scorers of the past decade have been running backs, so it shouldn't be surprising to see Hall atop this list. He is nearly 20 pounds heavier than Carter and a good bet for primary goal-line work in New York. Watson and Moore just missed the cut in our receiving yardage projections, but the two receivers will benefit from playing in high-scoring Green Bay and Kansas City offenses, respectively. Burks and Wilson won't get quite as good quarterback play, but that will be offset a bit by high projected volume. Drake London just missed the cut as he is docked for playing in an Atlanta offense likely to struggle for touchdowns. Note that only 26 wide receivers have reached seven touchdowns over the past decade (10 more reached six). Tackles 1. Kyle Hamilton, Baltimore Ravens: 87 2. Devin Lloyd, Jacksonville Jaguars: 87 3. Lewis Cine, Minnesota Vikings: 80 4. Derek Stingley Jr., Houston Texans: 71 5. Ahmad Gardner, New York Jets: 68 Rookies totaled 3,078 tackles last season, which is the fewest since 2015 and a hair below the 3,108 average during the prior 10 seasons. Luke Kuechly's 164 tackles in 2012 are the most by a rookie over the past decade -- though he is one of only six rookies to reach 130 tackles during the span. All six were picked in the first two rounds of the draft. Last season, Nick Bolton's 112 tackles led all rookies, with Micah Parsons (84) the only other rookie to reach 80. Hamilton is expected to slide in as the box safety for a Ravens' defense that figures to use a lot of three-safety looks this season. Though a linebacker generally leads the rookie class in sacks, it wouldn't be too unusual for a safety (Hamilton in this case) to lead the way. Jeremy Chinn (116 in 2020) and T.J. Ward (105 in 2010) are the last two safeties to pull it off. The same logic applies to Cine, who is the favorite to replace Xavier Woods opposite Harrison Smith in Minnesota. Lloyd is a good bet for a substantial workload as a rookie, though he will be competing for tackles with fellow inside linebacker Foye Oluokun, who had 192 tackles with Atlanta last season. Probable Day 1 starters Stingley and Gardner's projected tackle totals would rank fourth and seventh among first-round rookie corners over the past decade. Interceptions 1. Ahmad Gardner, New York Jets: 2.1 2. Lewis Cine, Minnesota Vikings: 2.0 3. Kyle Hamilton, Baltimore Ravens: 2.0 4. Derek Stingley Jr., Houston Texans: 2.0 5. Trent McDuffie, Kansas City Chiefs: 1.7 I'll preface this with the same thing I said last year: These are going to seem ridiculously low at first glance. But that's intentional. Despite the extra game last season, rookies combined for only 31 interceptions. That's the fewest by a rookie class in over a decade, though not by a ton. In the same decade span, rookies are averaging 41.6 interceptions per season. First-round rookies combined for seven interceptions last season after totaling six in both 2019 and 2020. Only 14 rookies have reached four interceptions over the past decade, with Marcus Peters (eight) and Casey Hayward Jr. (six) the only players above five. Pat Surtain II (four) is the only first-round rookie with more than two interceptions over the past three seasons. We just laid out the current situation with the top four names on this list, with McDuffie the only newcomer. The first-round pick is likely to line up opposite Rashad Fenton with L'Jarius Sneed in the slot for a Chiefs' defense that has faced the fourth-most pass attempts over the past five seasons. Sacks 1. Travon Walker, Jacksonville Jaguars: 7.4 2. Aidan Hutchinson, Detroit Lions: 7.1 3. Kayvon Thibodeaux, New York Giants: 7.0 4. George Karlaftis, Kansas City Chiefs: 6.4 5. Jermaine Johnson II, New York Jets: 5.8 Rookies are averaging 106.0 sacks per season over the past decade. The high (126.5 in 2019) and low (71.5 in 2020) during that span have both been hit in recent years, with 98.5 in 2021 almost the exact average of those two numbers. Parsons' 13.0 sacks last season were most by a rookie since Aldon Smith had 14.0 in 2011. Parsons was one of only three rookies to eclipse 5.0 sacks last season (Jaelan Phillips 8.5, Azeez Ojulari 8.0). Of course, this was an unusually elite class in terms of top-end edge rushers, so we need to look at how early-first-rounders have fared in the past. From 2012-21, 11 edge rushers were selected in the top-five picks. They included Myles Garrett (7.0 sacks as a rookie), Jadeveon Clowney (0.0), Chase Young (7.5), Nick Bosa (9.0), Joey Bosa (10.5), Dion Jordan (2.0), Dante Fowler Jr. (0.0), Clelin Ferrell (4.5), Bradley Chubb (12.0), Ezekiel Ansah (8.0) and Khalil Mack (4.0). That group averaged 5.9 sacks during their rookie seasons -- and it rises to 6.5 if we exclude Fowler, who tore his ACL before the season. The sack projections for Walker, Hutchinson and Thibodeaux (all top-five picks) would rank in the top 20 first-round picks over the past decade. Speaking of first-round picks, Karlaftis has a path to a starting role opposite Frank Clark in Kansas City, whereas Johnson will battle Carl Lawson and John Franklin-Myers for edge work in New York.
  19. Everything written above is 100% right. Only thing missing is they're doing exactly what being asked of them. Shoot and all out penetrate the gap. The risk is large sums of long distance runs and being vulnerable to screens. The benefits includes tackles for losses and easily transitioning to being a pass rusher. Not sure what's wrong with having a space eating who goes with the motion of the OL. But hey, we have a new system so it is what is it is.
  20. Who's the more dangerous team on the other side? Avs or Oilers?
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