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BroadwayJets

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Posts posted by BroadwayJets


  1. Just now, Matt39 said:

    In order for these gifs to mean anything, you'd have to post every other "interceptable pass" every other QB in the league threw. In other words, it's subjective bullsh*t.

    Correct, which is why I only follow what this guy does is for the gifs he posts. Good quarterbacks refrain throw these throws because they're not deciding when to throw it pre snap majority of the time.


  2. http://presnapreads.com/2016/03/29/2689/

     

    By the same guy. I didn't read the words, judging from the title his is explaining what he considers a bad pass in his stats.

     

    I have no idea what he says in this article and I took out the words, just look at the gifs. The gifs say a lot

     

     

    Quote

    What is an Interceptable Pass? Let Ryan Fitzpatrick Explain

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  3. 1 minute ago, NYs Stepchild said:

    Fitz has been slightly below average for the last 5 years or so. Around the 20th area. That puts him in the meh category.Solid pro but no upside. GMs want to keep trading him in for what's behind door #2 but it's usually a donkey. Compared to what we've had Since Sanchez he is Joe Montana.   

    In no way is Fitz similar to Geno. Polar opposites more like. Geno has the physical skills that Fitz is lacking, and Fitz has the drive, determination, and leadership that Geno wishes someone would show him how to get. 

    Last year they were trying to make Geno a leader while Fitz recovered. That punch in the jaw was a perfect example of Geno's demeanor. I'm sure he was sitting down looking at the ground and talking under his breath while IK yelled at him. If he had stood up and looked him in the eye he would have been the starting QB, but he would also be a different person. I'm not admonishing IK but it sheds light on the way Geno carries himself. You know Fitz would have been out in front of this problem. 

    Production-wise in this system they can be similar.


  4. Just now, whodeawhodat said:

    pretty much agree with everything but the bolded.  Fitz was rehabbing a broken leg at the time that Geno was #1 on the depth chart.  No way a team would sign an injured FA and move them atop the depth chart especially at the QB position.

    They traded for him, and it's conceivable that Fitz may have not seen the field last season for the same reason Geno never did. So, I agree, but it's moot.


  5. 9 hours ago, ylekram said:

    to use your logic, the jets should just start hackenberg, since he is the perceived future. gailey is such an x factor, he makes qbing look like childs play. he can make bad qb's look good. except for when he cant. I am glad the author and yourself pointed out the façade that is ryan Fitzpatrick to the rest of us dummies. amazing that an offensive coordinator can call plays that turned a bum qb like Fitzpatrick into a franchise record breaker in one season. I can only imagine what gailey could do with an even worse qb in geno because of all the "upside" and all. how in the world did the jets get lucky enough to land such a qb disguiser. the man is a magician OR it could just be fitz is a little better qb than you are giving him credit for, gailey is a good coordinator that calls plays that suite the talent he has(which by the way is what any good coordinator does or he gets fired), the offense worked well together, and that geno has a long way to go to become an average, adequate qb, much in the way that most people view Fitzpatrick. I think I will roll with the latter. and considering the jets brass currently has a $24m contract on the table for fitz, all the while already having geno under contract for a tiny fraction of that, I think the jets brass are rolling with the latter also

    The bold is exactly what happened last season.

     

    Quote

    gailey is a good coordinator that calls plays that suite the talent he has(which by the way is what any good coordinator does or he gets fired), the offense worked well together

    Geno hasn't had the luxury yet. And amazingly the only times Fitzpatrick has looked competent is when Gailey was his coach. Please don't try to argue that Fitzpatrick is a good quarterback. He is not. He is also not the only quarterback that could benefit from Gailey's system, with arguably the best WR tandem in the NFL. Don't tell me Fitz' record breaking (as if 29 TDs was a monstrous feat) was to be expected because of Fitz' presence alone.

    I'm sure 2014 Geno would have had slightly better numbers too had Morhinweig not tried to qb sneak it at least once every time we were within 5 yards of scoring.

     

    A $24 million dollar contract with $12 guaranteed in the first year over three years total is just a one year $12 million dollar contract. You'd think the Jets would want this good quarterbacking for more than just one year. You'd think a good quarterback could fetch something above $7-8 per when guys like Sam Bradford are making more than double that. The entire league knows he's hot garbage and could only succeed on a team like the Jets because of our supporting cast and our OC. Even the f*cking Broncos with one of the best defenses ever won with AWFUL quarterbacking. To replace that awful quarterbacking, they chose to trade for MARK SANCHEZ over Ryan Fitzpatrick. That's why the Jets haven't budged. They don't see him as a long term solution, only a stopgap to stay competitive while Hack develops.

     

    If you think I've been advocating that Geno is better than Fitz, you are mistaken. I said it in my first post that they're both dogsh*t. Similar dogsh*t.

     

    • Upvote 1

  6. 2 hours ago, ylekram said:

    lol at this article and at you for suggesting this proves something negative about fitzpatrick

    the author sets out to discredit fitz. the best he could find is these 12 td plays out of fitzpatricks 33 total td's.

    out of the 12 plays, 9 of them look to be proper reads and well executed plays

    so out of 33 td's, the author proves that 3 were bad throws? is that why you suggest we read this article? which by the way was posted quite some time ago and was discussed ad nauseam.

    then you suggest that gailey is an x factor. I happen to think gailey is a good coordinator. but what has gailey done in over a decade that makes him an x factor? was it the 2 wins he coordinated his offense to in Kansas city? or was it his run in buffalo which ties directly to the exact qb he had success with last year? considering these are the only 2 stints that you can judge him on in well over a decade, it has to be one of the 2 that considers him an x factor. I could care less what gailey did in a completely different era of football

    It's well known Gailey is a good coordinator, I would imagine the only success Fitzpatrick has had being under Gailey factors into this debate, no? That, the fact that he simplifies offenses, and that he's our current OC makes him an x factor. I agree that the author pushes towards his narratives, it's why I actually despise Fahey. He wrote the original post, and I thought it would be better to post this article written during the same offseason that goes further in depth. Doesn't matter when it was written while we're talking about the same season. It was only written just before April, that's not "quite some time ago".

     

    I don't believe screen passes require good "reads", and neither do pick plays. If you actually watch fitz play, you can see he's worked on timing pretty nicely, so nicely it could cause some fans to believe he's really that much better at making reads than Geno. I'm sure Geno is incapable of turning his head. 

     

    He chose those plays as a credit to fitz' surrounding cast, as he mentioned.

     

    The point of my post, and his article (which I happen to agree with him, in this instance) is that it's quarterback friendly system. It's not inconceivable that Geno can improve, and play similarly to how Fitzpatrick played this season. When I say improve, I mean getting the ball out quicker (which Fitz did to limit pressure/sacks), protect the football on sacks, and not lose excessive yards on sacks. Geno has him beat on ability. 

     

    Let's not forget Geno beat Fitz out last season. When Geno became healthy, we were 4-1. You don't switch QBs at 4-1. (probably a dead horse by now). 


  7. It's possible to accept that Fitzpatrick is proven to be a better decision maker, while also accepting that he's incredibly limited physically. Bottom line is, he made the decision of where the ball was going pre snap way too often to survive. His interceptions are god-awful. If he was truly making "good" reads out there, he would have maybe seen the Buffalo CB move to the inside of Decker's route before he broke. Instead he made his decision 5 seconds earlier and was going to throw it there anyway.

     

    Jets fans are better off reading this article by the same guy:

    http://presnapreads.com/2016/03/28/chan-gailey-new-york-jets-dont-need-ryan-fitzpatrick/

     

    And when you do read this article, it's also possible to accept that Geno can actually pull off a similar year if he gets the ball out quicker and doesn't try to do too much when a sack is imminent. It's not f*cking black and white (no pun intended) with these two, they both stink, but Gailey is the x factor.

     

     

    Quote

     

    Chan Gailey, New York Jets Don’t Need Ryan Fitzpatrick

    gettyimages-459751418.jpg?resize=690%2C4

    Ryan Fitzpatrickgate… (Do we have an official -gate name yet? Isn’t everything supposed to be somethinggate nowadays? I guess if anything it would be Beardgate) Beardgate is dragging on for far longer than anyone anticipated it would. The New York Jets have refused to budge on a new contract for Ryan Fitzpatrick, balking at the idea of paying him over $15 million per season. Fitzpatrick, fresh off a year when the Jets talked him up to the point that he couldn’t help but feel like a franchise quarterback, rightfully wants to be paid as much as possible.

    The main reason Fitzpatrick thinks he can be paid, and the main reason the Jets think he is a good quarterback, is his touchdown-to-interception ratio.

     

    In 16 Regular Season games, Fitzpatrick threw 31 touchdowns to 15 interceptions. 31 touchdowns to 15 interceptions seems like an impressive ratio on the surface. The quarterback threw more than two touchdowns to every pass he had picked off. It’s less impressive when you consider that nine quarterbacks threw more touchdowns than him during the Regular Season while only four threw more interceptions. Furthermore, only one quarterback had more interceptable passes than Fitzpatrick last year and he required a disastrous playoff performance to do so.

    Not only was Fitzpatrick fortunate to keep his interception total so low, he was overly reliant on his supporting cast for his touchdowns. That 31 touchdown number is a testament to the quality of Chan Gailey and Brandon Marshall more than it is to the quality of Fitzpatrick as a player.

    That is why the Jets have come to this impasse in negotiations.

    Marshall had arguably the best season of his career last year. He dealt with drop issues, partly because of how his targets were arriving, but those issues were washed away by a tidal wave of impressive plays. Week-after-week Marshall would make spectacular adjustments to errant passes or offer his quarterback a wide catch radius to throw into. No cornerback could comfortably combat the Jets’ number one receiver at the catch point.

    Marshall Radius


    Marshall


    Marshall NE

    On each of these three plays, Fitzpatrick throws poorly placed passes. Two of those throws, the one against the Patriots and the one against Washington, actually favor the defensive backs rather than the receiver but neither defender shows off any awareness or ball skills to react. Marshall is able to adjust while the ball is in the air before making difficult receptions so that Fitzpatrick’s poor play doesn’t have any impact on the outcome. Those three bad throws result in 88 yards and three touchdowns without an incompletion.

    Throwing to Marshall was a crutch that Fitzpatrick could rely on. A crutch that few quarterbacks in the league were afforded. His value was apparent on every route in any area of the field. His ability to high point the ball in the endzone stood out also.

    Jump

    On this play, Cleveland Browns cornerback Joe Haden has perfect coverage on Marshall. Fitzpatrick flights the ball into the air, he doesn’t do anything wrong on the play but he doesn’t have to be precise either. He only has to put the ball in the air and let Marshall beat Haden. It’s not simply a case of Marshall reaching above Haden either. Marshall manipulates the defensive back by how he approaches the ball. He recognizes the flight early, but doesn’t attack it immediately.

    Marshall waits as long as he can, keeping his arms down and freezing Haden in place, the cornerback can’t see the ball so he is relying on reading Marshall’s actions to know when it arrives. Because Marshall hesitates, he is able to snatch the ball out of the air without letting Haden get his hands near him.

    The catch itself is pretty impressive too.

    Jump Ball

    On this play, Fitzpatrick decides he is going to Marshall before the ball is even snapped. With a free release off the line of scrimmage, it’s easy for the wide receiver to post up the smaller cornerback and box him out for the football. All Fitzpatrick has to do is avoid throwing the ball past the cornerback. He essentially throws it to where the cornerback is standing, Marshall is able to stop and reach up for it while the defender is draped around his body.

    This one is a contested catch, one that Marshall makes look especially easy.

    Jump Ball2

    Even when Marshall is perfectly covered, you can count the number of defensive backs in the league who have the size and strength to hold him off on one hand. Talent has never been Marshall’s issue throughout his career. He hasn’t always been fully focused on the field or a teammate who fit in with his locker room off of it. In 2015, he had no issues of the field and appeared to be fully focused on being effective on it. With his talent, that made him unstoppable more often than not.

    Fitzpatrick was able to act like Matthew Stafford did so often with Calvin Johnson. Just throw a catchable pass and the receiver will go and win it.

    Marshall’s presence also allowed Eric Decker to move into a more favorable complementary role. Decker could do to secondary cornerbacks what Marshall could do to the opponent’s best cornerback. That was less significant than the impact of Gailey’s play calling. Gailey runs a very quarterback-friendly offense. It’s an offense that is impressively designed but has only ever really been run by Fitzpatrick.

    What Gailey does is simplify the quarterback’s reads by relying on smart route combinations. He will naturally put receivers in space using pick plays and screens that emphasize the ability of the player catching the ball rather than the ability of the player throwing it.

    Pick Play NE


    Pick Play DAL

    Gailey will regularly use motion to target specific areas of the field. Both of these plays result in easy short touchdown throws for Fitzpatrick because the offensive coordinator combines motion behind the line of scrimmage with a pick play outside. It’s extremely difficult for defensive backs to swap assignments in the split second they have to recognize and communicate with each other, so both receivers are wide open when they receive the ball.

    This is a one-read play for Fitzpatrick. The receiver who lines up outside isn’t actually trying to release into his route on either play. If the quarterback holds the ball he will extend his route into the endzone, but his priority is to (legally or illegally) get in the way of the cornerback following the intended target across the field.

    You would expect every single quarterback in the NFL to consistently make this play.

    Picking!

    Gailey doesn’t just rely on a handful of favored pick plays either. He will attack the defense in different ways, while throwing the ball to different targets. In the first gif, Marshall was the receiver behind the pick of a tight end. In the second, Decker was the receiver behind the pick of Marshall. In this gif, Decker picks off the linebacker for Chris Ivory to catch the ball at the line of scrimmage. Ivory actually has to wait and reach back for the ball, it’s a poor throw from Fizpatrick, but the design of the play and its execution are so impressive that it doesn’t matter.

    Play Design

    This fourth play is a cross between a pick play and a screen. It’s likely not a one-read play for the quarterback. The timing suggests that the outside wide receiver is actually running a route but will be made aware of the potential of this situation arising, a situation where he can make the key block to spring Marshall free down the sideline. Marshall had lined up as the inside slot receiver of the three options on that side of the field.

    Very rarely will Gailey’s offense rely on isolated routes. He attacks the short and intermediate levels of the defense’s coverage so well because his route combinations consistently complement each other.

    To this point, we have seen 10 of Fitzpatrick’s touchdown throws. None of the plays came with a high degree of difficulty, many were poorly thrown passes, but the statistical representation of these plays for Fitzpatrick are 10/10 for 129 yards and 10 touchdowns. Fitzpatrick has two more touchdown throws that come on screen passes.

    Gailey doesn’t just rely on traditional screen plays where the quarterback holds the ball for a moment before asking his offensive linemen to get out into either flat ahead of his running back. He uses more action and different pieces to create more deception. Fitzpatrick will throw passes to the line of scrimmage rather than five or six yards deep while his eligible receivers become just as important as blockers.

    Powell makes screen work

    On this play, Fitzpatrick adds 16 yards and a touchdown on a simple throw underneath to Bilal Powell. The screen is actually poorly executed as Brandon Marshall and Eric Decker miss their blocks and the safety over the middle of the field isn’t picked up at all. Powell remedies the situation by running away from that unblocked safety who takes a poor angle. Once he has turned upfield, the Titans defense shows off horrible effort so one missed tackle gets Powell into the endzone.

    The Titans defense was one of many in 2015 that couldn’t react to Gailey’s offense. Fitzpatrick threw for three touchdowns, one of which was a 69-yard catch and run for Brandon Marshall who the Titans never covered at the snap.

    Screen design

    This play was perfectly executed. Powell was again the receiver, this time lining up in the slot and motioning outside before working back in behind his tight end. His tight end sprung Powell free to catch the ball, but it was his offensive linemen who created the tunnel down the middle of the field for an all-too-easy touchdown reception on Third-and-15. Fitzpatrick added 25 yards and another touchdown with this simple throw.

    On 12 plays, Fitzpatrick gained 12 touchdowns and 170 yards without an incompletion despite never having to make a difficult read or throw a precise pass.

    If you’re relying on Fitzpatrick’s touchdown-to-interception ratio to sell him as a quality starting quarterback, you need to understand the context surrounding those numbers. Fitzpatrick wasn’t elevating his teammates with precise throws where he was able to exploit the defense because of his intellect, he was just another piece in an offense that wasn’t especially reliant on him. A turnover-prone, weak-armed quarterback who has major accuracy issues should never command big money, but especially not in an offense such as Gailey’s with the surrounding talent the Jets have given him.

     

     

     

    • Upvote 4

  8. 10 hours ago, SenorGato said:

    To comp the kind of leap you're thinking of....Imagine a 3-4 star HS senior DT jumping to the NFL at 250 pounds. Mateo's got talent but High A is just High A, he needs lots and better reps.

    I thought he's been at AAA since April. I guess I'm way off.


  9. 10 hours ago, SenorGato said:

    I honestly don't think Mateo is even AA ready right now, let alone ML ready to open next season.

    I don't know anything more than what I read about him


  10. On 7/8/2016 at 0:43 PM, SenorGato said:

    Apparently he demanded to be promoted when Miguel Andujar was promoted. That's kinda funny. I'm pretty sure they've come through the system together and were signed the same year.

    ---

    Gary Sanchez made 36 on BAs midseason top 100 update. I've been a fan for a long time, he was kicking ass until breaking his thumb this year and is still performing really well over all. Aaron Judge was 42.

    Interesting. At this point kind of seems like he deserves to be promoted, but there's almost nowhere to put him. I'm thinking the Yanks should entertain moving Didi to third, making room for Mateo at short, Refsnyder/Castro at second, Bird at first next season. I dislike Headley and hope his recent success could fetch something this trade deadline.

     

    The Kraken, can't wait until he comes up. 

    Judge just hurt his knee, too. Awful timing. 

     


  11. 14 hours ago, RutgersJetFan said:

    I don't know what it is, but I'll take a couple of loud drunks around me over people filming every second of the game with their phone. I'm well aware that the former might vomit in my vicinity, but every time I see someone filming a play with their phone at a game it makes me want to go Cersei Lannister on everyone in the building. As if anyone gives a flying **** about the shakily filmed, low res capture you got of Geno Smith throwing a football.

    And don't even get me started on concerts. Give me drunks over concert phone filmers any day of the week.

    Seems a bit drastic..

    • Upvote 2

  12. 52 minutes ago, NYs Stepchild said:

    I don't think he's going to improve his hip flexibility. He's not going to become the next AJ but he is a mismatch at his size if he can hold onto the ball.  

    He had 6(?) drops last season and 22 catches. Improved hands will decrease that number but they won't get him open. Unless Geno returns to his college glory days, I'd imagine his catch total decreases.

    I have Kenbrell being the number 3 to start the season (with a healthy Devin Smith behind that), Peake next, then Enunwa - With Enunwa playing more H-back. If he can only get open against LBs majority of the time, I'd leave him as is at h-back, which is likely where he's most valuable to this offense. It's good to have depth.

    • Upvote 1

  13. 42 minutes ago, NYs Stepchild said:

    Enunwa spent most of his time in the slot, only motioning to Hback about 20% of the time. He ran as low as a 4.34 40 at 225 lbs. He is a fast WR and he was the 3rd receiver last year. He needs to cut down on the drops. 

    Amaro and Q can certainly play at the same time. 

    He needs to run better routes too, dude has very little pivot


  14. 5 minutes ago, SouthernJet said:

    I hear ya, I hear ya..I just think somewhere in Florham there are discussion reference next bad test is 8-16 games off,,thats a serious consideration

    For sure, I think they'll try to make something happen with Mo if that were to happen, we have about 8 months before a decision is made between the two


  15. 10 minutes ago, SouthernJet said:

    Ya that why new regime drafted williams,,they figured out/knew sheldon a turd and just a bad test away from long term suspension

    They drafted Leonard because he was the best player available, that's all. Sheldon's likely going to be here long-term and Mo will walk next offseason

    • Upvote 1

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