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win4ever

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win4ever last won the day on October 1 2015

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About win4ever

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  1. I was reading on ESPN via Reddit about how the Dolphins surprised the Pats one year with the wildcat. Bowles makes an appearance to say... (Paraphrasing when he saw wildcat in practice): Coaches came up with things and I reacted by saying "What is this??". A play used in college to some success and this guy's reaction was "What is this??" https://www.google.com/amp/www.espn.com/blog/miami-dolphins/post/_/id/28295/wildcat-strike-how-2008-dolphins-shocked-patriots-and-the-nfl%3fplatform=amp Sent from my iPhone using JetNation.com mobile app
  2. win4ever

    Trade for Bortles?

    Ah ok, I see it now. I'm an idiot, apparently I can't read, lol.
  3. win4ever

    Trade for Bortles?

    How? He carries a dead money cap hit of 16.5 million in 2019 and 5 million in 2020. So if we cut him in 2019, dead money is 16.5 million on the cap. It's not 21 million because I added them together last night, but I don't see how it's 6.5 million.
  4. That's what I assumed too, because usually they have too many guys on, realize it late, and get called as the guy runs off and the ball is snapped. In fact, earlier this season, I saw once the Jets had too many people on the field and someone ran off. Instead of sprinting, the guy basically slows down to a fast walk while still clearly on the field. I think they got called for the penalty, and didn't see Bowles say anything. Apparently the rule is that if you are in formation with 12 people for more than 3 seconds, it's a dead ball penalty.
  5. win4ever

    Trade for Bortles?

    It's really not a bad idea. The Browns ended up eating about 15 million in that Osweiller contract. For Bortles, we're looking at 21 million, so it'd be a bit worse. Houston traded a 2018 second rounder with Osweiller for a 2017th 4th rounder. That trade: Cleveland got: Nick Chubb Elijah McGuire (We traded for that pick) Houston got: Carlos Watkins Now it also turned out great for the Browns that Watson got injured and the Texans fell apart because it got them a high 2nd. It's a decent idea, but a risky one, considering it's a new coach coming in, and he doesn't want to raise the red flag of trading for a glorified bench player.
  6. win4ever

    Mel and Todd

    Eh too early. Things always change, and QBs will rise. The top of the draft is defensive line heavy, but I don't think that's bad thing because pass rushers and passers are always in demand. The team I'm looking for is the Jaguars. They benched Bortles, and they can't sign a big name QB because their cap is really tight. I'm thinking they move up for a QB, and that's the trade down spot.
  7. I doubt he will ever make it to the playoffs as a head coach. Maybe as a DC, but this guy just isn't a good coach from his time with the Jets. I don't know honestly, but it was called with I think 4 left on the play clock. I agree to an extent, but I think the job of a coach has changed drastically from the past. There is so much technology and advanced metrics available, that it's no longer about teaching concepts, it's about utilizing those concepts in game. So say in the 80's, Walsh's or Coryell had the biggest advantage in implementing a system, then defenses would game film study the system and decide how to defend it. Now, with chip trackers noting speed, positioning on the field, route tree, throw velocity, release point, throwing charts, separation levels and in more advanced levels the angles of attack or formation biases, the system is much more complicated. It isn't about installing a play style, it's adapting that play style to your opponent. In essence, much like real life, the goal of education went from gathering information to decoding and acting upon information. I think coaches acting upon in game strategies set themselves apart because they can adapt their system to whatever adjustment the defense has made. I think it was last year, Romo called out Bellichek on calling some play, just to throw off advanced metrics. It's those little adjustments in game that newer guys are more accustomed to, while guys like Jeff Fisher, Todd Bowles aren't. Now this isn't just towards the coach, GMs have to do it as well, and it kinda speaks to versatility. Let's look at the Rams. They have a stud RB, two possession receivers who run great routes, and Cooks for the deep route. Their roster construction means that they can attack you behind the line of scrimmage, the intermediate area, and deep, which allows the coach to be flexible. Last year, they went out and got Watkins as the deep guy. Kyle Shanahan in Atlanta, had the RB, Julio/Sanu as intermediate monsters, and they signed Taylor Gabriel as the deep threat. They wanted all three parts of the field. Even KC this year, RB (until he thought he was Ray Rice), Kelce, Watkins, Hill to attack different parts of the field and it allows them to be flexible. I'm not saying system isn't important, it's vitally so, but I think in-game changes and calls go a long way now because it's all the more about acting on information. That part I agree about, putting people in position to succeed by actually knowing how to manipulate the opposition. I think we all knew Bowles was going to run it 3 times in a row. It's just that 2 yards, they may stumble into a yard on each play and convert. 10? Have the punt return unit warm up. Vrabel is aggressive, albeit he is not a great coach by any stretch. He's changed the culture there to a modern team, but he does get too aggressive at times. In fact, his decision to go with a zone blocking scheme for the OL has really hurt their running game, but that offense and it's schemes are far ahead of the Jets. It's really the play design that has kept that team alive, because they lost their best receiver (Walker), and their RB (Henry) has been a failure, partially due to OL issues. Top receiver is Davis, who I think is a No. 2 at best, and a few No. 3 guys. Mariota was hurt for a few games too I'm not sure he got worse, I think the team masked some of the issues. He just never changed. My problem with him started from the first time he talked about the QB. After Gailey mentioned Geno as the starter because it didn't make sense for back up Fitzpatrick to start, Bowles bandied this competition lingo because everyone gets a chance ideology from high school. It doesn't work in the NFL unless you are talking about marginal positions. A guy like Adam Theilen doesn't make the team as the No. 1 starter after not being drafted. He barely cracks the roster, then works himself up. That's how competitions should be unless the pay off is worth it, not at every single position you can imagine. It creates separation because now guys have their favorite guy in the pool, and we saw that manifest later when Fitzpatrick got benched the year after. I can't think of a single coach, who benched a journeyman QB, got blasted by said QB in a press conference, and then was dumb enough to return that QB to starter. That speaks to the level of respect he garners in the locker room. I see him as a substitute teacher coach. He has a game plan, but the kids don't listen, they barely respect him, but he puts up a front when the principal (Media) is around to show he has control, and is happy if some of the work gets done. I agree. The Fitzpatrick first year set this team back 4 years, and I remember people being happy about Geno getting punched out, and saying this is just bad long term. Fitzpatrick was good the first year, but they also faced one of the weakest schedules that year with well behaved Marshall/Decker. Fitzpatrick being good that year, go him resigned to a one year deal. The Jets being decent meant no heavy investment in QB, which led to Petty being the project pick. After that year, you just ended up in a bad spot where you won too many games to have a legit shot at Goff/Wentz, instead choosing Hackenberg. The 2017 draft, you can dump that on the GM, he passed on Watson/Mahomes. It made no sense to go with an average journeyman veteran at QB. Best case, your team is average. Worst case, your team is average, and you don't have draft capital to actually find a QB. I don't think so, it's a dead ball call. From what I read, if you have 12 men on the field for more than 3 seconds, it's called regardless of when the ball would be snapped. The Jets lined up at 8 seconds on the play clock, and the penalty was called with 5 left, so it was just a 3 second run-off. I think it was just a good call in the moment where he saw the opportunity to exchange 2nd and 2 for 1st and 10 as an advantage and facilitated it. If he planned on defending the 2nd and 2, then might as well call the time out after the first down run than waste the 35 seconds or so on the clock.
  8. win4ever

    N'Keal Henry Enters 2019 NFL Draft

    Yeah, he seems to pick up guys earlier than projected consistently. And most of it doesn't work out. Yeah, that was my fear too. He seems great at catching passes, but even a guy like Mike Williams hasn't made the impact of a top 7 pick, and I thought he was amazing at 50/50 passes. Guys need to create separation at some point.
  9. I can totally see the Jets getting up for that game and the Pats just lay down. Sit Gronk, sit Michel, play base defense and Darnold is good enough to move down the field then. I was joking with a friend the other day that the Kareem Hunt tape was probably bought by Bellichek in March, and just held onto it until now. Yeah, they traded a bad situation for a better situation under the guise of a penalty. In a sense, they sacrificed the pawn to lull Bowles to sleep, and it worked like a charm. There are about a hundred things that set apart coaches from Bowles and it's really depressing. Back when Fitzpatrick was here, they would rush to the line in a fast paced offense look, and then take 20 seconds of audibles at the line of scrimmage. The whole idea of a fast paced attack is to have the defense off balance, not have enough time to set, and force them into base packages. Bowles and Gailey at that point took the disadvantage of a fast paced offense (lack of precise calls, the defense not hearing your audibles) and then negated the aforementioned advantages by waiting until the last second to snap the ball, at which point defenses audible themselves and get set into exactly what they want to run. I remember doing an article here on time outs with Bowles, and how the Jets had like 4 plays in a whole year where they had positive outcomes after a time out (theoretically when the coaches draw up plays) and 3 of them were against Jeff Fisher. Another thing that annoys me, they never hurry up after questionable calls. You don't allow the other team a chance to review 30 different angles on a close call, you run up there as quick as possible so the coach has to decide if they want to challenge or not. I swear there is one game in the past, where the Jets got the benefit of the call (I think it may have been against the Chiefs) and instead of rushing up there, they were so slow that they ended up calling time out. And DURING the time out, the other team challenged. Last week I was watching the Texans/Titans game and Watson runs up the middle for a gain of 30, but almost fumbles the ball. It's really close, but called as if he was down on the field. What do the Texans do? They ran up to the line as quick as possible, and Vrabel challenged without getting a good look at it. It wasn't overturned, but the Titans wasted a TO in the second half. I can't think of one instance where this team under Bowles does anything like that. Idzik made a bunch of bad picks, but I thought his strategy was sound. Acquire as many picks as possible, build from the draft, and open up cap space. He just sucked at executing it. Bowles is an idiot in terms of both approach and execution. I honest don't know what he's done here to improve a single unit. I agree with you, although in this case, it was borderline. The penalty was called at 2:24, and I assume say 5 seconds came off the clock at 2:19 when the second down play happens. Assuming a play takes 5 seconds, then he's really only saving about 14 seconds by not calling the time out, which is somewhat close to what you would spend on offense to hurry up. By saving at least 1 TO, in a 3 point game, he gets to use the whole field in field goal territory because he has that time out to stop the clock on bring on the kicking team. The 14 seconds is about the same as what they would take on offense, and they reserve the right to the middle of the field. It also allows normal offenses to pass if need be, knowing the 2 min warning will stop the clock anyway, albeit this never applies to Bowles. Let's say they call the time out after 2nd down, then it's 3rd and 5 with 2:14 left. Now, the whole appeal of running isn't there because lets once again assume each play takes 5 seconds. So there is 9 seconds there but that may entice a team to throw the ball there because the allure of running down the clock is only 9 seconds, rather than 40. After the 2 minute warning, the allure is back to 40 seconds without time out so more likely to run. However, they obviously didn't scout the Jets because the QB may as well have sat down on the field with Bowles play calling. I agree in other circumstances though, coaches need to take the time out instead of letting 40 seconds tick by. You know what this game reminded me of? The Titans game with Rex in 2014, where they were 2-11 going for the first/second pick and then beat the Titans and Dolphins at the end. I was actually at a restaurant although I had a good chance to go to this game. I saw suites under $100 at one point, but as soon as I heard Darnold wasn't starting, I figured it's not worth going out there to see Bowles burn down. Lol, thanks. I saw this first on Twitter because I write for the Titans, and I went back and checked and it made sense. I'm being completely serious here, can we think of a worse modern NFL coach than this guy? Jeff Fisher, but at least he had some good years. Any one else? I feel like even guys that failed like Mangini, had a vision. Mike Singletary? He had a higher winning percentage than Bowles did with SF and he was a laughing stock. I agree. I can't think of any coach in the league where Bowles would have an acumen advantage Lol, John Idzik was a better hire as a GM than Todd Bowles as a HC I think the timing of the penalty is what gives it away, because they waited for the clock to run before getting the penalty. If they were going to hold go for preventing the conversion, they would call time out right away, rather than let the clock run. By running the clock, they are essentially saving their bullets for the next conversion. Therefore, they don't want to spend a time out on a 2nd and 2 play that converts, so they speed up the process by giving them the first down without wasting time. I even went back to look at the tape, and right after the penalty is called, you can see Vrabel tell them to clam down, it's OK, and then signal someone to come running off the field as if he put that person out there by design. Yeah, the correct call from Bowles is to decline the penalty, but he doesn't do so, because he just doesn't think out there. In that case, 2nd and 2 is much easier to convert than 1st and 10 because everyone knows you are running. Heck, 2 QB sneaks would likely get those 2 yards as well. This is something I haven't thought about to be honest, but it does make logical sense. My only issue might be that the risk (lateral) may not be worth the reward because there is always a chance of interceptions of bad throws on the run. I think Brandon Marshall tried it once against the Eagles with us, and it failed miserably. The rules also state that you can't throw the ball out of bounds on purpose to stop the clock, as it carries a 10 second run off and 5 yard penalty. Although this is only a penalty inside of one minute, but I'm guessing that's when most people would try this anyway. Yup, although you know Bowels would retire than get aggressive in that situation. Dude can get up as fired up as he wants to be. As long as he's fired at the end of the year. Lol
  10. Yeah the 49ers are really all but locked in at 1, and I'm guessing they are also locked on Bosa. If we're are 2/3, then it's really hoping the Jaguars come up for a QB since they don't have cap space to sign a Bridgewater type. They would have to make a ton of moves to get under the cap space, and they would want to be above the Giants for a QB. I'm not sure what they would offer though to be honest. I agree, they can't ignore the OL for too long. I love Metcalf (assuming the injury isn't like a long term problem), jumps out on tape. I need to watch some tape on Harry, although he's been rated really high. I'll be making the trek out to the combine again this year to watch receivers. Trade down - OL first round WR/RB/WR. Put the money towards the defense in free agency, because I think they are OK talent wise, if they could get a legit pass rusher. The team lacks weapons big time.
  11. It was a brilliant move, and one Bowles would never make. I think that Bengals game is pretty much his only worry, because without Dalton/Green, and Driskel at QB, and Hue Jackson helping to run the defense. If not, I'm more than happy with Bosa, lol. He won't be the only reason why they ascend, but Bosa can help the defense, and hopefully they hit on OL/WR
  12. I thought the only way they could win was if Mariota tanked without a running game, but he came through. That Buffalo game isn't a good match up for the Jets, because Allen is running around a lot, and mobile QBs just give the team the fits. I agree, after Buffalo, the team is a lock for losses to the point where I was scouting out the 49ers/Raiders schedule to see if there is a shot at the No. 1 pick. 49ers: Only shot for a loss from them is Week 17 against Rams if they just sit their starters. Even then, I'd favor the Rams. Raiders: 2 chances for a win, Bengals with Driskel at QB and Chiefs if they sit starters in Week 17. The reason I want the No. 1 pick isn't because I want Bosa. I love Bosa, but this team isn't a Bosa away from being a contender. I heard Gruden loves Bosa, and they have the ammunition to go from 3 to 1.
  13. win4ever

    N'Keal Henry Enters 2019 NFL Draft

    I like Harry a good amount, and admittedly I haven't watched much tape on him. I saw a couple of highlight videos (I know I know), and I was kind of disappointed by his lack of separation. The scouting reports had him running 4.4, but he seemed to have a of contested situations down the field. The main issue with McCagnan seems to be that he actually thinks of himself as a super scout after the first round. I'm not saying looking back it's a reach, just based on projections at the time 2015: Devin Smith (I thought it was a reach, but admittedly I'm an idiot, I wanted Dorial Green Beckham) 2016: Hackenberg, Burris 2017: Stewart (With Godwin on the board was asinine), Hansen It's like he has to pick some guy ranked lower in a higher round to prove his mettle.
  14. Lol I saw that today, and thought WTF! He kinda reminds of Hue Jackson, or the Knicks version of Phil Jackson, where they just don't have a clue anymore and can't connect to the players. I sure hope he trashes his players more, I don't need one of those "lets win one for our coach" victories at the end of the year to ruin draft position.
  15. To quote Michael Kay, "It does deal with the fallacy of pre-determined outcome" so there are variables that could throw it out, but it's a matter of odds. However, what are the odds the Jets gain 2 yards on 2 downs vs. 10 yards on 3 downs? 3.34 yards per play vs. 1 yard per play.

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