Muhammad Wilkerson ~ ~ ~ in NY Jets Forum Posted April 29, 2016 1 hour ago, Integrity28 said: Isn't the rule of thumb usually a 2nd rounder this year is = a 1st rounder next year? I think so, so a 3rd this year, would need to be a 2nd next year, and a 1st the following year; so, using that approach, a 3rd 3 years from now is only worth a 5th this year (4th next year). So, holding Mo this year (for 15.7M) for a conditional 2018 is like getting a 5th this year. So, if we get a 2nd or 3rd this year, or (after the draft) a 2nd next year, it is way better than a 3rd 2 years from now. Another way to look at it, is that pulling the tag would give us a 3rd next year (so it is better) from purely a draft pick - not suggesting we pull the pick, just paying MO 15.7 to get a 3rd 2 years down the line doesn't make sense from purely a draft pick situation.