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nyjbuddy

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  1. nyjbuddy

    jets staying with 3-4

    Pennel was actually pretty expensive for a 34 DT. He was set to make $3.66M which puts him into the top 5 for that position. Far from the top 2 guys(Suh, Goldman) but the Jets could just try to re-sign him for half the cost and he'd still be in the top 10. Doesn't seem like a big deal to save $1.8M but that could go a long way to bringing back guys like Andre Roberts or Jason Meyers.
  2. nyjbuddy

    jets staying with 3-4

    I read a few reports that say he plays at 270-275.
  3. I don't think this is someone that Gase would want. His agent tore into Gase and the benching of Parker during the season. http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000000977001/article/devante-parkers-agent-blasts-dolphins-adam-gase "No I haven't, but I find the decision to make DeVante inactive today by Coach Gaze (sic) incompetent and insulting," Gould said in a statement obtained by Pelissero. "It's also just not true and I am sick of hearing him say my player is not healthy. This is the third game this year that DeVante should have played in when you include the Jets and [New England]. DeVante is healthy and with injuries and [the Dolphins'] 6.1 [YPC], DeVante could have and should have been allowed to contribute. "What a horrific decision by Coach Gaze (sic) and he needs to take a very long look in the mirror and make himself inactive." Perhaps he will get a new agent, but I don't think the relationship between Gase and Parker is a positive one.
  4. nyjbuddy

    Are the Jets an expansion team?

    Simply put, the "Rule of 51" states that, during the entirety of the off-season from the first day of the league year until the first game, the team's salary-cap status is determined by the 51 highest-value contracts on their roster. https://www.behindthesteelcurtain.com/pittsburgh-steelers-nfl-features-news-blog-long-form/2016/2/26/11111236/nfl-101-explaining-futures-contracts-and-the-rule-of-51 So a team could have the top 51 players salaries total the salary cap with the cheapest of that 51 being, lets say $1,000,001.00. Then sign 37 other players at $1M a piece. With the NFL total salary cap around $200M, teams can have the 51 players = $200M and have 39 other players signed at any amount less than the lowest of the 51 players which means they acually could be at $200M+
  5. nyjbuddy

    Would you make this trade with Washington?

    There are 5 possibly 6 teams looking for a QB: 1. Dolphins(if they move on from Tannehill) 2. Jaguars (if they move on from Bortles) 3. Broncos (they have Flacco, they dump Keenum) 4. Giants (move on from Eli) 5. Redskins (temporary fill-in at QB). 6. Raiders (if they move on from Carr) 10 possible available starting free agent QBs (in no particular order): 1. Bradford 2. RG3 3. Tyrod 4. Foles (if he comes available) 5. Bortles (if the Jaguars move on from him) 6. Tannehill (if the Dolphins move on from him) 7. Bridgewater 8. Keenum (if he comes available) 9. Eli (if the Giants move on from him) 10. Carr (if the Raiders move on from him) This is an unusual year for QBs. 1. More starting caliber free agent QBs than teams that need a QB 2. The teams in the top 3 of the draft are in no need of a QB 3. No pre-combine clear-cut #1 QB 4. No pre-combine QB consistently mocked in the top 3 5. Next year's draft has better QB talent (Herbert, Fromm, Tagovailoa)
  6. nyjbuddy

    Would you make this trade with Washington?

    According to Steve Wyche: "Every indication I got is [the Redskins] would probably be leaning more towards a free agent type of quarterback, at least to carry things until Colt McCoy could possibly come back or Alex Smith could come back…or get them through the season. "
  7. PFF grades include a lot more than the statistics produced by a player. They even use adjusted statistics to come up with some elements that make up the grade. For example: As PFF writes, "If a quarterback fires a perfect pass that hits his receiver in the hands for what should be a first down, but that receiver drops it - we give the quarterback credit for that throw - statistics don't." For reference, Patriots had 23 dropped passes, Jets 19, Bills 16, Dolphins 13. Depending on how far or impact those dropped passes may have occurred, affects their rating. Other impacts on the grades according to PFF: Adjusted Completion Percentage PFF’s adjusted completion percentage metric is a better way of looking at a quarterback’s overall accuracy at it’s baseline. While our quarterback analysts are diving into actual accuracy by ball location, route type, depth of target and other factors, adjusted completion percentage is gleaned from our initial data collection of every game. Adjusted completion percentage takes into account factors outside of the quarterback’s control in terms of completing passes. It accounts for dropped passes, passes thrown away, spiked balls, passes batted at the line of scrimmage and those passes in which a quarterback was hit as he threw. Ultimately, this gives a real indication of completion percentage on passes that can actually be caught, as opposed to a quarterback’s completion percentage for a given game being tarnished by a load of receiver drops or other factors. Deep Passing A deep pass by PFF standards is any pass that is targeted and travels at least 20 yards in the air, past the line of scrimmage. We then have a variety of statistics that develop on just these passes such as attempts, completions, drops, yards, touchdowns, interceptions, passer rating, deep pass attempt percentage (amount of deep passes per every pass) and adjusted completion percentage on deep passes. Under Pressure Dealing with pressure is a huge part of playing quarterback, especially with the pass-rushers in the NFL and college nowadays and the pass-happy nature of the league. Under pressure passing is any time the quarterback is disturbed from his normal throwing motion from set up to release, or anytime a pressure is registered on a given passing play. Much like deep passing statistics, we then develop individual statistics off of just pressured passing. In addition to the usual suspects of yards, completions, attempts, passer rating and adjusted completion percentage, we also have pressure percentage (the amount of times a QB is pressured compared to total dropbacks) and sack percentage (the amount of time when under pressure a QB is sacked). Kept Clean Much like how dealing with pressure is a big part of playing quarterback in the NFL, playing from a pocket kept clean from pressure and within the offense’s structure is also vital, and proven to be much more stable from a year-to-year standpoint. Kept clean passing is relatively self-explanatory and is simply whenever a quarterback unleashes a pass without pressure being recorded on the play. We also keep track of the amount of time per total dropbacks a quarterback is kept clean as our ‘no pressure percentage’ metric. Play Action Play action is a major part of the NFL and football in general as it attempts to fool a defense by ‘faking a run play’ in attempt to open up passing lanes to different levels of the field. At PFF, we track all play-action passes and all non-play-action passes and craft all of our standard and signature statistics off the backs on whether a quarterback recorded a play fake or not. Unique to just play action passing, we also track the difference in completion percentage on play-action passes to non-play-action passes, showcasing which quarterbacks saw the biggest boost on the back of a play fake. Time in Pocket One of the more unique signature statistics at Pro Football Focus, the time in the pocket metric records the amount of time a quarterback takes from snap to throw. We average out the quarterback’s time to throw, time to attempt a pass, time until he’s sacked and time until a quarterback scrambles. On all passing attempts, we bucket them into quick passes (passes thrown within 2.5 seconds or less of the snap) or longer-developing passes (passes thrown at least 2.6 seconds after the snap). Each type of pass records it’s own totals of attempts, completions, yards, touchdowns, interceptions and passer ratings showcasing which quarterbacks utilize a quick delivery best and those who are better than others letting his receivers develop their routes downfield.
  8. nyjbuddy

    Free Agency Strategy

    One team that the Jets should be watching is the Jacksonville Jaguars. They have no cap space which means they will be dumping a few players. Malik Jackson, Marcell Dareus, Carlos Hyde, Barry Church are a few that they may cut. Not really targets for the Jets but if they are able to free up enough cap space to sign Foles (reunite with DeFilippo), it may put a damper on the Jaguars as a trade back partner that many have mentioned on this site. They would probably stay at 7 to draft a Jackson/Fowler replacement and maybe trade into the late 1st round to snag a QB if one were to fall.
  9. nyjbuddy

    Free Agency - Defense

    It'd be interesting if they could bring in Preston Smith and Za'Darius Smith as defensive ends. Move Lee to WLB, add a guy like Shaq Barrett as an SLB and add either Perryman or Littleton at MLB. A team with a lot of versatility up front.
  10. nyjbuddy

    Jonah Williams

    My take away was that pre-draft scout analysis for projecting player position is spotty at best. The team that drafts the player, coaching staff, scheme-fit, team-fit, other player performances, injuries have a larger impact on where the player will play. Hard to know right now whether the prospect will move to another position.
  11. nyjbuddy

    Jonah Williams

    Agreed. I was thinking the same as you concerning tackles being projected as guards in the NFL. I was just using ourlads' list of starting LT and searched for draft profiles. I was surprised at how many current starting LT had the term guard somewhere in their profile. I didn't go through the full list but it would be interesting to see if this is a common trend among starting left tackles in the NFL. The fact that a scout projects a player at a certain position doesn't carry a lot of weight as to where that player ends up playing.
  12. nyjbuddy

    Jonah Williams

    There have been a lot of successful left tackles that were projected as guards or came from the guard position in college. Here are a few starting left tackles with some of their draft profiles. It might actually be a positive thing after reading through a few of these. Dion Dawkins - Bills LT - Pro Football Focus‘ fourth-best guard in this draft, Dawkins is an efficient pass and run blocker. The outlet gave Dawkins a pass blocking efficiency rating of 98.4, the fourth best amongst offensive tackles in the draft. The six-foot-four, 300+ pound prospect possesses tremendous strength and toughness, an attribute needed in offensive linemen. -https://billswire.usatoday.com/2017/04/28/2017-nfl-draft-instant-analysis-on-bills-selecting-dion-dawkins-in-round-two/ Laremy Tunsil - played LG his rookie year before moving to left tackle David Bakhtiari - WEAKNESSES: Bakhtiari doesn't exactly have the ideal build for an Offensive Tackle as he is thin in the arms. He has difficulties when pass blocking on an island. He gets beat around the edge without slowing the rusher down and will lose ground against stiff contact due to not having the ability to sit down and anchor. A move to Guard is likely in his future. His deep drop steps aren't natural and stiff contact jolts him mid-stride. He loses on counter moves and gets thrown to the side when top heavy or leaning too far over, specifically when run blocking. Whiffs on cut blocks. - http://www.nfl.com/combine/profiles/david-bakhtiari?id=2540183 Terron Armstead - 4/23/13: Many teams like Armstead, and he is one of the better tackle prospects for the second day of the 2013 NFL Draft. Armstead played tackle for Arkansas Pine-Bluff, but some teams may move him to guard in the NFL. He performed well in postseason All-Star games in January, which has helped his draft stock. Armstead is a good athlete for his size who also is a track champion. He is a nice developmental prospect. http://walterfootball.com/draft2013OG.php#ixzz5fYoDThQq Trenton Brown - BOTTOM LINE Brown has the pure size to block out the sun, and unlike some players with his bulk, he knows how to use it. He can plow holes as a run blocker, but can only play right guard in a power scheme. His lack of playing experience and conditioning concerns could hurt his draft stock. -http://www.nfl.com/draft/2015/profiles/trenton-brown?id=2552350 Kelvin Beachum - WEAKNESSES Beachum is a soft prospect after putting four years on film. Although he comes off the ball and moves quickly, he is a non-explosive type who struggles to generate push on his man off the snap. He struggles in the run blocking game, which doesn't bode well for his development and projected move inside to guard. He didn't get many opportunities to showcase classic run blocking within SMU's scheme, and for NFL teams it will be somewhat of a crap shoot in terms of projecting his ability to effectively move to guard. Kelvin is a mirror and patty cake blocker who was effective and productive at SMU, but he has questionable NFL-transferable skills. -http://www.nfl.com/combine/profiles/kelvin-beachum?id=2533442 Ronnie Stanely - Harbaugh said Stanley will obviously figure into the starting lineup based on his draft position. There's a "good chance" Stanley could start at left guard, just like Ogden did as a rookie, Harbaugh said. Cordy Glenn - Cordy played tackle at Georgia and was a stalwart whether lined up there or at guard over the past four years. The fact that many teams will want to use him at guard and could have him on the roster for variable depth early is a big reason why he could go as early as the 3rd round in this year's draft. -http://www.nfl.com/combine/profiles/cordy-glenn?id=2532849 Greg Robinson - BOTTOM LINE Big, strong, athletic, overpowering left tackle with the raw potential to become a premiere, franchise left tackle. Is only a third-year sophomore and two-year starter and still must improve his hand use, footwork and technique. However, he is undeniably gifted and capable of walking into a starting-left-tackle job in the pros and paving the way in the run game. I added this one as he was a "can't miss" left tackle prospect that did not turn out too well for him Alejandro Villanueva - started as a defensive lineman Andrew Whitworth - Draft Profile: Andrew Whitworth is a Offensive Guard from West Monroe, LA. He has committed to LSU Tigers.
  13. If Osweiler comes cheap, sign him as the backup QB. If Webb can be a future trade asset or can develop into a viable backup, sign him as the 3rd QB. If Webb has no future, draft a late round developmental prospect: Tyree Jackson, Gardner Minshew. This should be the last resort as it would cost a draft pick.
  14. Dunn will make roughly the same money with the Jets as he was set to at UConn, $450,000 a year, and Edsall’s money is going back in his pocket.

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