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Everything posted by nyjbuddy

  1. The average number of FA signings during the offseason is around 11 per team, which includes resigning their own players that are free agents. I could see Douglas going a little under that number this year to put more money in quality players. So maybe 8 or 9.
  2. The key in the WCO is versatility and Samuel is a very versatile player. He can stretch the field and can be a YAC receiver. He can lineup inside, outside and in the backfield. Though I don't think lining up in the backfield as a wide receiver should be a requirement. They definitely could use a high targeted / high volume wide receiver and Mims could fulfill that role if he continues to develop. Mims compares favorably to Godwin and could have a similar career progression. I expect him to line up a little more in the slot next year to create mismatches and further develop his route running. Crowder is a solid wide receiver but they do need to start looking for a long term solution. Tight ends that can block, run routes from in-line or split out wide keeps them on the field. Herndon has spent some increased time blocking this past year which should help him gain some relevancy in the new offense. If not, there are a few mid round guys like Hunter Long and Tre' McKitty that would be good targets. College football has been producing more and more players that display this type of multitalented skillset. The upcoming draft has a few prospects that have shown they can be very useful in an offense that utilizes multiskilled players.
  3. https://www.ninersnation.com/2017/4/10/15238248/robert-saleh-49ers-defense-leo-role-aaron-lynch This was from 2017, but it has information straight from Saleh as to the type of player he is looking for at the LEO position and the players that have been in that system as examples. If you look at the players he mentions they are in that 6'2" - 6'3" and 250-260 range of player that plays with “[h]is hair is on fire, [and] just get after the quarterback.” Haley is the only one that is outside that size range. Entire article: The San Francisco 49ers are making a switch from a 3-4 defense to more of a 4-3, and while they will spend more time in the nickel, the change to a base 4-3 look is noteworthy. The 49ers have drafted for a 3-4, but the coaching staff and GM John Lynch have all said the 49ers current group of linemen are all versatile, and should be able to move into the 4-3. The 49ers have a variety of options for three of the four pieces of the four-man base front. However, the LEO role has some question marks. Defensive coordinator Robert Saleh met with the media for the first time, and he got a chance to go into detail about what he sees for the position. Aaron Lynch is viewed as the guy who would pencil in at the LEO position for the time being. The team could decide to draft some additional options, but for the start of the offseason workout program, Lynch would be in that role. Saleh was asked how he sees Lynch fitting in, and he was clear in his answer. “Aaron, he’s on the defensive line. We’re going to try to keep his hand in the ground at all times. A couple years ago, when he came out of the draft, we were looking at him as a possible LEO. So, he has all the traits that you would like. Now it’s a matter of us trying to work with him to best utilize what he’s, in my mind, designed to do and that’s get after the passer.” Saleh does think other guys can handle the role. He talked about Ahmad Brooks, Eli Harold, and Dekoda Watson all being able to handle a combination of the SAM and LEO roles. He even said Arik Armstead is capable of it. He recognizes Armstead is not a prototype for that role, but he is a versatile player. Saleh was asked how he defines the position, and he pointed to this player as the premier pass rusher, who has, “[h]is hair is on fire, [and] just get after the quarterback.” When asked for some specific traits he looks for in the LEO, Saleh pointed instead to examples of players who have held the role in his past defenses, and other defenses. They are some notable names: “I’ll name some names that have been LEOs in the past, even if they haven’t been attached to this system. People who have been attached to this system, you’re looking at [former Seattle Seahawks DE] Chris Clemons, [Seattle Seahawks DE] Cliff Avril, [Jacksonville Jaguars DE] Yannick Ngakoue, [Jacksonville Jaguars DE] Dante Fowler, [Atlanta Falcons LB] Vic Beasley. People outside of the system, you’d look at [Denver Broncos LB] Von Miller, [Oakland Raiders DE] Khalil Mack. Back in his heyday, [former 49ers LB] Charles Haley would have been a guy that would have been a LEO.” The 49ers currently hold the No. 2 and No. 34 picks in the draft. Myles Garrett would be the ideal pick, but he will not be there at No. 2. Derek Barnett is an intriguing option, leaving Tennessee as the all-time leader in sacks. Saleh thinks he has elite-level “get off,” and “does a lot of really, really good things from a pass rush standpoint.” Whether or not that’s enough to get him drafted by the 49ers remains to be seen.
  4. He is one of my favorite edge players in this draft. Could gain a few pounds but fits the LEO mold that Saleh looks for.
  5. How about a more balanced roster construction model than the one that the Colts have put together? If we were to look back in Jets history, the roster construction from the mid-2000s which led to the back-to-back AFC championship games is a good example. That model was built around a core of young players at each position group, which was setup to play 8 - 10 years together. In the secondary they had Rhodes and Revis. At linebacker they had Vilma and added Harris. On the defensive line, they had Ellis who was a little older by then, and Robertson. They tried to solve that issue in 2007 by bringing in Jenkins who couldn't stay healthy. On offense, they had Ferguson and Mangold on the offensive line and they had Washington and Cotchery at the skill positions. These players didn't end up all together for a decade but the team was constructed with the idea that they had a good young prospect at each level of the defense, 2 on the offensive line and 2 skill position players. They then supplemented these players with free agents or other draft hopefuls along the way but the core was pretty much set. If you look at the Jets today, they are starting to follow that same pattern. They have said that Maye is a top priority to re-sign. This would give them a core player in the secondary. If Mosley can prove he can play after two years off, he could be a core player in the linebacking group. Quinnen Williams looks like he will be the core player from the defensive line group. Finding a younger core player at linebacker or in the secondary should be a priority during the next two drafts. On the offensive side of the ball, they would need at least 2 skill position players as part of that core. Mims has showed the potential to be one of them, but either Herndon, Johnson or Perine may need to step up. They should be able to find another skill position core player in this years draft. Becton has shown that he can be one of the core offensive lineman, but they probably need to find another one on that offensive line. It may seem like every team follows this pattern because we are accustomed to it with the success the Jets had with it in the mid to late 2000s. To see an example of a GM that didn't follow this model you could easily look to Maccagnan who totally ignored the offensive line and consistently doubled up on position groups within the same draft.
  6. Unrealistic 13 player draft but liked most of it. Ended up getting the Eagle's 1st in 2022, 1st in 2023, and the Lion's 3rd in 2022. Also, could possibly trade Darnold for a 2021 or 2022 pick. QB: Wilson RB: Harris WR: Marshall, Felton (though listed as a HB) TE: Long OL: Vera-Tucker, Humphrey EDGE: Perkins, Toney CB: Surtain, Adebo LB: Moses, Britt
  7. A few more edge rushers from that list: EDGE JAYSON OWEH, PENN STATE We saw Oweh serve as a backup in 2019, but it was quite apparent that his athleticism was ridiculous enough to expose any middling tackle. He’s cracked Feldman’s list in each of the past two years, and his burst, in particular, is truly the best of any pass-rusher in college football. According to Feldman, Oweh has been clocked at a 40-time of 4.33 seconds. Humans his size (6-foot-5, 247 pounds) aren’t supposed to move like that. Oweh rushed the passer 207 times in 2019, recorded 31 pressures, forced two fumbles and won on over 20% of his reps. He’s a breakout waiting to happen and will have no issue taking over for Yetur Gross-Matos in 2020. EDGE CARLOS BASHAM JR., WAKE FOREST If you asked me to guess which freak attribute Feldman noted from Basham, I would have had a tough time picking only one — he’s freaky across the board. And Feldman agrees, as his attribute was literally “Pick one.” His physical tools and explosiveness are eye-popping. The 6-foot-5, 275-pound Basham earned a 90.6 pass-rush grade in 2019 and had multiple games with double-digit pressures in ACC play. He’s a pocket-collapser in its purest form. EDGE BOYE MAFE, MINNESOTA Mafe’s first step should give offensive linemen nightmares. His freakish trait was his vertical leap, according to Feldman, as his vertical was an astonishing 40.5 inches — which very much shows up on the field. He’s rushed the passer just 207 times in his career and, similar to Oweh, looks very much like a breakout waiting to happen with an increased role (which he’ll have in 2020). On those reps in his career, he’s generated a 19.3% win rate and an 82.9 pass-rush grade. Mafe can really win from anywhere on the line and is a name to watch when the college football season gets underway.
  8. https://247sports.com/LongFormArticle/Senior-Bowl-MVP-position-2021-NFL-Draft-Mac-Jones-Ian-Book-Kellen-Mond-Kadarius-Toney-Cam-Sample-160231783/#160231783_4 Handing out the Senior Bowl's MVPs by position By BRAD CRAWFORD With the NFL's unusual pre-draft lead-in this spring altered by the pandemic, the Reese's Senior Bowl offered up a large sample size of talent this week, including several potential first-rounders later this year. Texas A&M quarterback Kellen Mond, after struggling at times during the week against his peers, saved his best for Saturday's game and was named overall MVP after throwing for 173 yards and two touchdowns — both coming during the third quarter — as well as a pair of two-point conversions both running and passing. Coming into the game, Mond was rated at the bottom of the draft's eligible quarterbacks by CBS Sports, but perhaps that changed after his week in Mobile culminated with an MVP performance. More than a dozen players turned heads during the week of practice in front of NFL scouts, the first time during the pandemic talent evaluators have been able to see a collection of college football's veteran talent in one place. With the NFL Combine this year relegated to individual player pro days instead, the Senior Bowl offered a prime opportunity as a player showcase. Jim Nagy, the Executive Director of the Reese's Senior Bowl, handed out multiple post-game MVP awards at every position based on voted by players' respective peers. Here are those picks and what it means for each player: RILEY PATTERSON, MEMPHIS (K) Patterson connected on a 15 of 22 field goals tries for the Tigers last season, but showed a consistent leg in Mobile. Like most kickers, he'll likely get an opportunity to make an NFL roster as an undrafted free agent (projected) later this year. TONY FIELDS, WEST VIRGINIA (LB) Per EerSports, the senior grad transfer from Arizona "stepped right into the starting role and led the Mountaineers in tackles this season, finishing with 88 stops in nine games, despite being ejected after a quarter in one and playing only 25 snaps in another." MAX DUFFY, KENTUCKY (SPECIALIST) A native of Perth, Australia, Duffy finished his three-year career as Kentucky’s all-time leading punter, averaging 46.0 yards per punt. His punts were especially beneficial to a program that utilized its grind it out philosophy to win on defense under Mark Stoops. CHRISTIAN UPHOFF, ILLINOIS STATE (S) Uphoff was one of three FCS players to be recognized by his peers, outshining many of his Power 5 counterparts during the week. RICHIE GRANT, UCF (S) An NFL Draft "riser" per Pro Football Network, Grant is a former two-star who made a considerable impact with the Knights. His lone FBS offer was UCF, who was coming off a winless season at the time and needed stability in the secondary. CAM SAMPLE, TULANE (DL) Tulane's most feared defender, Sample once had a 9-tackle, 2.5-tackle for loss game against Ohio State, film that really stands out during his career. HUNTER LONG, BOSTON COLLEGE (TE) Long suffered an undisclosed, but minor, injury that held him out of Saturday's game, he says. "I appreciate all of the love over this last week! Unfortunately had a small setback that held me out of the game but this week was a dream come true. The journey continues...," Long tweeted. DILLON RADUNZ, NORTH DAKOTA ST. (OL) Radunz is a potential first-round selection after a banner career at North Dakota State. He showed out in Mobile. K.J. BRITT, AUBURN (LB) Britt missed most of last season with a thumb injury, but showed no ill effects in Mobile. "I like him a lot," NFL.com analyst Chase Goodbread said. "He's a leader, he's an alpha on that Auburn defense. ... I think the NFL, with him, they look at a guy who's great downhill, who's better downhill than maybe moving laterally, which is of course in high demand at the linebacker position in the NFL. So that's an issue for him certainly, but Britt's a guy, from a football character standpoint, they love him." DAVID MOORE JR., GRAMBLING (OL) "Moore’s motor is second to none, as he stays with his man all the way to the whistle and is not afraid to give chase to any defender that eludes his powerful punch," writes USA Today in its pre-Senior Bowl evaluation of Moore. QUINN MEINERZ, WISCONSIN-WHITEWATER (OL) D.J. DANIEL, GEORGIA (DB) A former JUCO transfer with the Bulldogs, Daniel played in 13 of 14 games with 11 starts in 2019 after enrolling early. He piled up 42 total tackles (36 solo) with two tackles for loss, eight pass breakups, and three quarterback hurries. In 2020, Daniel played in nine games with nine total tackles, one tackle for loss, and a pass breakup as a second-teamer, per Dawgs247. OSA ODIGHIZUWA, UCLA (DL) A player with great balance at his position as an interior defensive lineman, Odighizuwa is slotted as a mid-round pick on most pre-draft boards. TRE BROWN, OKLAHOMA (DB) Brown picked off Texas quarterback Sam Ehlinger during Saturday's game, his most impressive highlight. A dependable player with the Sooners, Brown is expected to land somewhere in the early to mid rounds. KADARIUS TONEY, FLORIDA (WR) A versatile playmaker for the Gators this season,Toney caught 70 passes for 984 yards and 10 touchdowns (14.1 yards per catch). And as a ballcarrier, whether that was lining up in the backfield or slot, Toney managed 161 yards on 19 carries. KYLIN HILL, MISSISSIPPI STATE (RB) Hill opted out in October, choosing to begin NFL preparations early. He was a difference-maker in Starkville as one of the SEC's top running backs. MICHAEL CARTER, NORTH CAROLINA (RB) After rushing for more than 1,000 yards this season for the Tar Heels, Carter opted out of the Orange Bowl, but decided to run in Mobile. “Being out of the bowl game, it was a big deal to come here and show I want to compete,” Carter said. “The narrative behind not playing in the bowl game is ‘oh that guy doesn’t like football that much,’ and that’s not true. I’m here because I love football." TRE MCKITTY, GEORGIA (TE) Versatility is the key attribute for McKitty, whose long frame is coveted by NFL passing attacks. MAC JONES, ALABAMA (QB) The first team All-American didn't play on Saturday, but was nearly flawless during the week despite a sore ankle. Jones is projected as a first-rounder according to most recent mocks. IAN BOOK, NOTRE DAME (QB) Book finished his senior season by throwing for 2,830 yards with 15 touchdowns and three interceptions for the Irish. He held a 30-5 record as the starter with two Playoff appearances.
  9. I was just looking at the Jets website at the coaching staff and counted 20 coaches (typically around 24 coaches on a full staff) and other than Whitecotton and Ollie, there is a lack of defensive positional coaches. Mostly just defensive assistants. Manuel and Oden fill out the secondary coaches but they still have no linebacker coaches.
  10. Quinnen Williams is well on his way of being a great player in the league. As he develops, he will garner more attention, which frees up the other players. The thing that stands out about Aaron Danold is that he faces double teams 70% of the time and still manages that 24% pressure. It would be outstanding if Williams were to have a Calais Campbell or Fletcher Cox type of career.
  11. Interesting. During the week, there was concerns that he was a little undersized coming in a little under 6'4" and under 250. He needs to add weight, get stronger and work on his blocking. Otherwise he is going to be strictly a split out tight end, or just a big wide receiver. Nothing wrong with that, just harder to find a role in the offense without versatility.
  12. Panthers could throw in Donte Jackson, Jeremy Chinn or Brian Burns to sweeten the trade. All on rookie deals, good players for Houston to build around.
  13. The Texans would need to give the draft players contracts too. Trading a player that was drafted last year or the year before on a rookie contract would provide the Texans with a proven player at a cheaper price than that of a draft pick taken in the same round. You get one or two years less of the contract. But they are cheaper than current picks considering their cap hit is minus any signing bonus which would of already been paid out by the drafting team and does not carry over to the new team's cap charge in a trade. Trading for players from the later rounds is actually a better value than having the picks.
  14. What can bring some other teams into the trade conversation is including talented players on cheap deals. Similar to the WFT trade scenario with Chase Young, others teams have players that can be offered to even out the trade. For example, Denver could offer Tim Patrick (RFA), Noah Fant (rookie contract), Dre'Mont Jones (rookie contract), or Josey Jewell (rookie contract). I am not saying Denver would trade any of these players but they could be added in a trade package along with picks if the Broncos wanted to be in on the conversation. I used Denver as an example because I don't think they will be in the conversation but simply as an example to show that it may not be as simple as trading draft picks. You would also need to include some what proven players players from each team that would help to fill some of the holes that the Texans would be filling through the draft anyway.
  15. RapSheet credits Shannon Sharpe for "mentioning the plans for Deshaun" In which Sharpe stated:
  16. If you go back and look at the game logs from last year the Chiefs game was one of two games in which he scored "garbage time" touchdowns (2 TDs). The Packers game (1 TD) was the other. He scored 3 TDs in garbage time over the entire season. He also tallied approximately an extra 350 yards passing during garbage time. If you remove the 350 yards, that would drop him down to 5th. But if you applied the same rules for the other top 4 QBs ahead of him, Watson would end up 2nd behind Mahomes. What is even more interesting is his 1st half vs 2nd half stats: 1st half: 194/285 68.1% 2449 yards, 13 TDs, 3 INT 2nd half: 188/259 72.6% 2374 yards, 20 TDs, 4 INT He just became a more efficient passer in the 2nd half of games.
  17. It'll be interesting to see who the Dolphins hire as their OC. They are reportedly hiring Ken Dorsey. If Watson had to pick between Mike LaFleur, the staff he put together (Rob Calabrese, Gregg Knapp, etc) along with the Shanahan offense vs Ken Dorsey and the Panthers/Bills offense, it may play into his decision. Not sure if he has let the Texans know which teams he would waive the no-trade clause for or if he makes that decision after a trade is in place.
  18. The Jets could trade the #2 pick to a team that selects Fields. So if the Texans want Fields, they may want to secure the #2 from the Jets rather than wait to see what happens at #3.
  19. A few guys that I have been following and have showed well at the Senior Bowl so far: Larry Rountree III - RB- Missouri Ben Mason - FB- Michigan Hunter Long - TE - Boston College He was someone I thought would be there in the 3rd or 4th but may be moving into the late 2nd round conversation. Chris Evans - RB - Michigan Promising talent but limited usage in college. Great hands and route running for a RB. Was suspended for 1 year. Could be a 6th round target. Demetric Felton - WR/RB - UCLA Could play both WR and RB, similar to how the 49ers use Deebo Samuel. The clip below shows his route running ability. He has been making a few of these highlight clips so far at the Senior Bowl. Cade Johnson - WR - South Dakota State Even though the clip below shows an amazing one handed grab off of a deep throw, Johnson is a YAC guy. Last, a video put together by Rivals of the one-on-one WR vs DB portion of the day:
  20. Like I said in the post, "The KC way of building a team is not a pattern to follow but does provide evidence that there is multiple ways to build a team that can win a championship and remain competitive." The point was not to disregard the players on the Chiefs and their impact. But many believe that there is only one way to build a team for success. It may be to draft offensive line early in the draft (Chiefs lack high draft picks on their offensive line; Fisher being the only 1st rounder). Others believe its investing early picks in pass catchers (Chiefs have not done that either). Some want to stay away from 1st round RBs (Chiefs just selected CEH in the 1st round). Others want to stay away from spending on high priced free agents (Chiefs signed Sammy Watkins to a fairly high contract, averaging $16M a year making him a top 15 WR). These guidelines are backed by past experience and sound statistical analysis (bust rates of lineman vs other positions in the draft, cost of signing a pass catcher vs drafting one, career length and impact of running backs in todays NFL, etc) and they are all valid ways on constructing a successful team. But what the Chiefs roster construction provides an example of a team that is successful that did not follow these rules. In other words, there is no single silver bullet to building a successful NFL; there are many different ways to build a successful NFL team.
  21. Another interesting tidbit from the final four teams: they all featured defensive coordinators that were at one time head coaches. Leslie Frazier, Mike Pettine, Steve Spagnolo, Todd Bowles. At one time these coaches were considered top coordinators, good enough to get a shot at being a head coach. Also looking at recent super bowl match ups: 2019 Chiefs (Spagnolo) vs 49ers (Saleh) 2018 Patriots (None) vs Rams (Phillips) 2017 Eagles (Schwartz) vs Patriots (Patricia) 2016 Patriots (Patricia) vs Falcons (Richard Smith) 2015 Broncos (Phillips) vs Panthers (McDermott) 2014 Patriots (Patricia) vs Seahawks (Quinn) There is no validity behind this trend, especially with the small sample size, but in recent super bowls: previous head coach DC > future head coach DC > DC with no future as head coach. If you go back further I'm sure this trend quickly falls apart (2013 Seahawks(Quinn) vs Broncos(Del Rio)).
  22. Interesting take. I felt like yesterday's news pointed more to Deshaun's unhappiness with the organization's off-field issues and Watson is saying its just too little too late. "What changed?" It may be that either someone is in his ear or he came to the realization that he was given the new contract with the intent of distracting him from these 'other issues'. Watson was given a large contract so he over-looks the disfunction in the organization and a promise for things to change. Since their season ended, the Caserio hiring was sort of the start of it, if I recall correctly. His tweet "I was on 2 then I took it to 10" was supposedly in response to Caseiro's hiring. This was after reports that Omar Khan and Louis Riddick were the front-runners for the GM position. Also during that time was the search for a new head coach in which Eric Bieniemy was not currently a candidate. Since Watson's public outcry, there are reports saying the Texans added Eric Bieniemy, Leslie Frazier, and Jim Caldwell to their search. Last, the front-runners to where Watson prefers to go, though there is no confirmation on any of this being true, is the Miami Dolphins with head coach Brian Flores and the New York Jets with their new head coach Robert Saleh. These two destinations may be just being promoted by the media as they could provide the Texans with the most draft capital but the Sherman tweet may have added to validity to the speculation that Watson may be reaching out to other players on their situations. Both the media and Watson's camp are being careful with the way they handle this story as the NFL and minority hiring has been a very hot topic in recent times.
  23. Agreed. If you look at KC, they have built their team in a different way than most. O-line: Eric Fisher is their only 1st round lineman. Retier(7th), Kilgore(5th), Wisnieski(2nd), Allegretti(7th), Rankin(3rd), Remmers(UDFA), Wylie(UDFA), Durant(UDFA). RB: Drafted a RB in the 1st round. Clyde Edwards-Helaire, 2020, 1st round pick WR/TE: Didn't spend high end draft capital on pass catchers and spent money in free agency. Hill(5th), Robinson(4th), Hardman(2nd), Kemp(UDFA), Pringle (UDFA), Kelce(3rd), Seals-Jones(UDFA), Keizer(UDFA). Signed Watkins to a 3 year $48M. A new 1 year contract for 2020 worth up to $16M. The KC way of building a team is not a pattern to follow but does provide evidence that there is multiple ways to build a team that can win a championship and remain competitive. With Reid and Mahomes, many of these things go unnoticed. Having Hill and Kelce also doesn't hurt.
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