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Sperm Edwards

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Everything posted by Sperm Edwards

  1. Yeah but a lot of that stat was because of Luke Falk being clueless, and simply not an NFL QB. Falk took 14 sacks - about 1/3 of the sacks the Jets OL surrendered all year - in his 2 starts, with the Falk-Siemian combo topping out at 18 over those 3 games. Swap in Darnold, or a still-better/veteran QB, and the team's total doesn't approach 50 sacks. Darnold took 33 sacks in his 13 games (and 8 of those came against Jacksonville, right after the ghosts game). A 7% sack rate sucks, and the Jets' OL did suck,, but it was not all-time NFL history bad. Honestly 7% was the league average in 2019. Further, how much was it hurt by Gase forcing him to stay in the pocket instead of planned rollouts (whatever week it was that he finally allowed Darnold to do that). There are so many things that can affect a sack rate (other than, or in addition to, the line sucking). Gameplanning that doesn't match the on-field talent; a QB holding the ball too long; not stepping up in the pocket). If I throw a ball to you and badly miss the target 3 out of 5 times, throwing 2 picks in the process, is it fair to get on your case for your crappy 40% catch rate? If the line isn't playing well and the QB is still holding the ball longer than just about every other QB, is it all on the OL? I think Darnold will be - or he certainly has the talent to be - a really good QB. I don't look at him and see Sanchez Part II. Of course the OL did him no favors, but he wasn't this perfectly aware veteran QB on the field but for the OL. Ditto Bell and his pathetic 3.2ypc and his plodding & hesitance that got mislabeled as patience. Bilal Powell - whose career was presumed over after last season's injury - was put back there and he averaged 3.9 ypc. Still not good, but he's a 31 year-old backup/has-been who, to a large degree, never was. The line sucked. It just wasn't 3rd-worst of all time suck.
  2. Also who hides an elephant...in a room, no less. Glad someone else said it. Because I'm a miserable prick.
  3. Still think $10-12MM/year sounds about right, in this market.
  4. Isn't that the opposite? Scout contracts usually start/end in the mid-spring (after the draft is over) not right after the prior season is over, for obvious reasons. That's the reason a new GM keeps the old scouts around for the first draft, because that first draft is 4 months after the new GM is hired and other scouts are still under contract with their old teams. May might have been prime time to overhaul the scouts if he wanted to, though it's also possible he was just a few weeks late (that scouts were re-upped in early May, just before Douglas was hired). In that case I can hardly fault him for not hiring someone under contract with another team, and he'd have to wait 11+ months to shuffle his scouting group around.
  5. Yeah but that was measured starting from his taint
  6. Again, it doesn't take THAT long. He took about 5 minutes to "evaluate" the need to coax a center out of retirement.
  7. I don't agree at all. It doesn't take 10 days, let alone 10 weeks, to agree to a contract. Otherwise no one would be signed the first week of free agency. And a brand new GM could and would still sign players if he was hired in March instead. They all do. He was hired in May and the season began almost 4 months later. If he can't get a deal done by then, then he's no more useful than the idiot he replaced.
  8. @Creepy Lurker and I posted the same thing 30 seconds apart. My post was longer, though. Read into that however you must. But really I'm still not really seeing the value there. Is he really going to be a better QB in year 3 (or over his career) because of 9 more games with the deep route running Anderson, while dropping back behind a clearly below average line? He'll either be a good QB or he won't be a good QB. He won't be one or the other because of another half season of Anderson in a lost season.
  9. The bolded part isn't true. Most of the players extended before their final contract year get those extensions over the summer or right as the season's starting. Totally agree with your last statement, though. It would've been ok to keep him if an extension was imminent. But to turn down a mid-round pick for like 9 more games of Anderson, when the team was already 1-6? Only plausible rationalization I could come up with at the time was not wanting to stunt Darnold's growth even more by removing Anderson midseason and replacing him with nobody. Or maybe he thought he could get Anderson back for really cheap, seeing as how he was having a lousy season again stats-wise, like rolling the dice. Whatever it was it doesn't seem too good of a reason right now. I'd rather have the extra pick.
  10. You forgot your #grit. You're gritty. You could play in New England. Or Edmonton.
  11. I can say for my own part that this isn’t true, and this is 100% honest and not merely hindsight. 2015 hated taking another DT when the team had 2 young ones, both still on their rookie contracts, who were already performing (plus a 3rd one in Coples, whose 5th year option was already exercised earlier that offseason). The team overplayed its 1st round demands in moving Mo for the 2nd straight spring. I took peoples’ words for it that he was the best overall prospect in the draft, but holy **** they’d already drafted 3 DE-DT prospects (plus a NT in Snacks) and couldn’t believe it was smart to draft a 4th, because there was nowhere for them all to play in position. If they’d successfully traded Mo right before or right after the pick, as I said back then, then I could justify this pick if he was truly the draft’s best prospect. 2016 hated the pick immediately. Taking a MLB with the team desperate for a QB and other high value positions, and hated it even more in knowing the #1 overall pick was in play and we turned it down despite having more ammo (dangling Mo) to trade up than the Rams had. This was followed by - after not trading up for Goff/Wentz - learning the #10 pick was in play for Tunsil, after everyone learned the gasmask was an old picture, adn that also would have been a superior move to drafting a MLB. But turning down #1 for: a pick that became a 225-pound MLB prospect with mental/emotional problems, plus extending Mo, plus re-signing Fitz, plus drafting Hackenberg... The man should have been fired on the spot. These criticisms were made before we saw Darron Lee put on a Jets helmet. 2017 hated the pick immediately. The Jets were again in QB-or-bust mode, and took a ****ing safety. I hated the idea for this pick when people were discussing him vs Hooker in March. That’s a pick for a team that already has a proven FQB and more, not a team in full-on teardown to rebuild mode. It only made it worse that this was a safety-rich draft, and the team took another ****ing safety with its very next pick. I could get past not taking Mahomes if they’d taken Watson instead, because that would be a pure hindsight critique, but not in passing on both QBs for a mother****ing box safety. 2018 was a no-brainer the improbable way the draft fell. As has been pointed out, it’s dumb luck the Jets didn’t end up with Josh Rosen after semi-tanking for this magical moment (or that they’d have ended up with Mayfield, but with the Jets’ OL and receivers instead of the superior players on Cleveland). While I’m not pushing for the Jets to draft another QB this year to replace him, it’s true Darnold hasn’t set the league on fire himself after 2 seasons. 2019 hated the pick immediately purely because of the position. Felt exactly like 2015, with people swearing this time it’s different because we got the best and highest-rated player/prospect in the whole draft. He literally had to turn into Aaron Donald to take a DT at #3 overall, or at worst, become the 2nd-best QB-pressuring DT in the league right after Donald: a player who’s so great it’s like having an unfair 12 defenders on the field. If that happens, that will be the hindsight view of the pick. I can also say I was certainly not alone in any of these critiques at the time.
  12. I don’t know. If the new HC doesn’t want the player (on the heels of signing a RB to a huge contract, also against the HC’s wishes), and wants to trade down almost no matter what, then it’s a bad move. It only makes it worse that the Jets simply didn’t need a DT, and that he was such a huge disappointment on the field to boot. He got beat out for a good amount of playing time by some undrafted nobody ffs. Drafitng Q.WIlliams at #3 actually looks BETTER in hindsight in a sense, because L.Williams was viewed as a lock for Maccagnan to extend at the time. If Leo had the surge season many swore he would under G.Williams, right after guaranteeing Anderson 2 more years of starter money, then it’s foolishness in real time not hindsight. Also it was a terrible pick because I’m tired of typing Williams for 3 different people on defense. Two was bad enough.
  13. He was and is untrade-able because of the cap ramifications. That’s probably the biggest reason why he wasn’t traded (and a big reason why someone made the offer in the first place). His remaining salary/RB is guaranteed but the Jets already paid him a huge SB. We paid it, so it has to come off our cap. Another team would absorb his upcoming guaranteed salaries and roster bonuses, but If they trade him now, about $16MM accelerates to the 2020 cap. Yes that will come off no matter what over time, but it’s a reality that this is also his cap charge for the upcoming 20-21 seasons combined. Unless G.Williams already wrote him off as a massively overdrafted pick who has no serious chance of reaching his presumed predraft potential, it paid to just stick with him and hope the light turns on. More likely Williams gave the thumbs up to keep QW over the “blockbuster” of picks Douglas allegedly turned down. Hopefully that light does turn on, because refusing an offer designed to be one we couldn’t refuse doesn’t pay just because of remaining charges for his SB that hit our cap no matter what anyway. It only pays if QW turns into what he was drafted to be in the first place.
  14. He was healthy well before he returned from IR. I don’t know exactly what happened out there, but he practiced on his hammy a little bit in early Sept on a Tuesday and they IR’d him the next day, which is what teams do when they’re stashing a player but don’t want to use up a roster spot on him right away. In early November he claimed himself that he was 100% (and it’s quite possible he was 100% weeks before that, but was ineligible to return until 8 weeks after the IR designation date). A few weeks later they cut him. His problem (in terms of sticking on the roster for us) may be that he doesn’t present any dual-value on special teams. It’s hard to imagine he doesn’t have the tools to play on specials, so it could suggest he’s dumb AF or not a team player. Cousins surely had some influence on the Vikings picking him up in September after no one put in a waiver claim, but it’s not a good sign that they cut him while his cost was so low and also while Thielen was still sidelined with his own 2nd-half hammy injury. They must really think Doctson sucks something awful, or that he’s a total tool. Hopefully we get lucky, like maybe he had the talent all along but just needed to put in more work than he did before (like he expected it to just happen as a 1st rounder believing his own hype or something).
  15. Seriously. All the “this signing means the Jets aren’t going to” stuff is purely imaginary. As of today he’s camp fodder or a WR5. He’s been 100% healthy and available as a FA since Minnesota waived him in late November, and no one - including the Jets - wanted him as even a WR4 or WR5 to mop up the season (and get first dibs on him for 2020 if he showed them something). It’s desperation on Doctson’s part to sign with the Jets now, for fear of no one signing him when desirable FAs are available & signed in a few weeks, and risk still being a FA heading into the draft (or have to accept a depth tryout on a team that isn’t so WR-needy). At least this way he’s penciled in to be on a roster to start camp with a fighting chance at earning a starting spot (in particular since the Jets are so thin at the position heading into FA). But what this signing is not is the Jets already penciling him in as the WR2 or even the WR3 for the season. This signing isn’t stopping the Jets from signing, re-signing, drafting, or trading for anybody else in March-April 2020. It’s purely a low risk high reward tryout, and nothing more. He may not even make the roster FFS.
  16. Brandon Moore was the Jets’ starting guard since Mangini was still just a DB coach for the Patriots. And honestly, A+ for effort, but Faneca was not a good pickup, made even worse by seeing as how bady Goodwin outplayed him for a fraction of the cost for far longer. Faneca had one ok season and the big reason for the uptick in OL production was because Mangini made a huge unforced mess on his own, dumping a reliable Pete Kendall and replacing him with Adrien Clarke in freaking August, playing next to a LT who had his own share of rookie growing pains. Faneca gets loads of undue credit for Ferguson and Mangold - elite prospects in their own rights - becoming better players after their first two seasons (Ferguson in particular, since Mangold was good almost immediately and was already a PB alternate his first 2 seasons before they even brought Fanceca in). That Faneca signing was a Revis2015-level contract for the Jets: elite, record-breaking money with guaranteed big dollars into his 3rd season (Faneca actually getting guaranteed an entire 3rd season IIRC); had one decent/good year, followed by one lousy year (forget Faneca’s name-only probowl vote, as no G let up more sacks/pressures than he did in 2009); then the team chose to eat several million in guaranteed salary rather than keep him for one more season. While Ferguson became an excellent player for us, and was a good guy who was easy to root for, it was hardly a stroke of genius to take him at #4 with Fabini and his then-unreliable, bad back as the incumbent starter. It was a Macc “least likely to bust” pick. But 2006 was also considered an unusually deep draft at tackle. Some didn’t pan out, of course, but was the team really better off with Ferguson+Clemens or would they have been better off with Ngata+Whitworth (which itself would have saved the 3rd+5th that was traded away for 10 healthy 2008 games of Kris Jenkins, followed by 2 more years of losing him early in the season)? Or even Cutler-Whitworth, which would have then bypassed the errors of Clemens ‘06, Pennington ‘07, Favre ‘08, and the repeated Sanchez ‘09 error + investment + double-down further investment. Nice butterfly effect, there. But yay we got a LT who was both excellent and reliable for like 5 of his 10 seasons. Mangini/Tannenbaum also got a bit Macc-Darnold lucky with no center - they cut Mawae a month & a half before the draft - and then stayed pat at #27 praying Mangold (a 1st round prospect) fell to us. If you want to use hindsight like this it still was no slam-dunk wisest move in flipping Abraham for Mangold. A young, stud edge rusher (who was still very productive through his age-35 season) is worth way more than a stud center whose career was over halfway through his age-32 season. It only makes it worse that Mawae was still productive (and mostly great at that) for 4 more seasons. And he was cut for what? For saying Pennington was like an egg back there, which he was and everyone knew it. OL value? Applause for a Brad Smith pick - which there was plenty of - is tough when seeing how a 4x first team AP guard was on the board in Evans. That pick would have erased the Faneca error. But wildcat. Ditto Leon Washington with Brandon Marshall & Elvis Dumervil sitting there. Smith & Leon were good, but those guys he passed on to take them were elite. Never mind getting into taking the boar hunter so early. He (with Tannenbaum) made some good moves and good picks, but Mangini was no savant. While I was ecstatic to have them replace the Herm/Bradway duo, I don’t get the hindsight romanticism of a coach who was honestly a loser. The best Mangini-Tannenbaum pick and best move was drafting Revis (which was then undone to a degree by getting cute - utterly foolish in hindsight - over the rookie contract terms).
  17. There are a couple things wrong with the 3 classifications as presented. The most glaring is the strict adherence to arbitrarily-derived percentage cutoffs (>55%, 45-54.99%, <45%). While some may argue over a difference between 40% and 50% - I haven’t thought much about it myself - what would get unanimous agreement is the stupidity of suggesting there’s a statistically significant difference between 44.87% and 45.13% and, based on these numbers alone, then strictly classifying those offenses’ philosophies as “pass to set up the run” and “balanced” respectively. It’s about as convincing as suggesting that, on an open highway, one driving 55 mph is driving very safely while one driving 56 mph is driving unsafely (if not recklessly). It’s absurd, which is why state troopers don’t ticket you for going 1 mph over the speed limit. These playcalling splits become still less significant when looking at just the first quarter stats of just one season. No different than suggesting a league-wide philosophy only looking at September games. You’re going to get a lot of noise in those stats. Noise that disappears as you look at more and more games. Teams also often script their early plays to eliminate concerns over faulty radio equipment, stealing signs, or even early crowd noise before the fans settle down. They’re going to have to balance more, in doing so, to prevent inadvertently using a scripted running play on 3rd & 15 (unless Paul Hackett is still calling someone’s plays remotely). So by their very nature, teams using such scripted plays for their first 10-15 offensive snaps could skew more balanced and pass happy for no reason other than that. There are passes and there are passes, as @nico002 mentions, but a pass is still a pass in that the play didn’t start out as a run but then it was decided - after the snap, mind you - to change it into a dumpoff. Also while some plays are clearly designed screens and short slants, it’s also clear to any football fan that many of those short passes are 2nd/3rd read checkdowns after the initial desire (a pass further downfield) was covered adequately. So that’s unconvincing from a pass vs. run standpoint. It’s either a pass play or it isn’t when the ball is snapped. There are too many variables here to draw definitive conclusions on an entire offensive philosophy of each NFL team, even removing the arbitrarily derived, but very strictly enforced, cutoff ranges to define teams as such.
  18. 3000 words is like a summary of a single chapter of mine. Or the first third of the chapter.
  19. There are plenty of things I can find fault with in our young QB's first 2 seasons. Despite all the eye-rolling I did, unless we find out he knew he was exposing himself to EBV - like if the host patient told him so flat out - I can't really get on him for that. Not every 22 year-old stayed away from kissing girls in his summer like you did, you role model you. What's he supposed to do, get arranged dates with chaperones? OK actually that's not a bad idea, but it's also not very realistic to expect it. It's not like he got the clap from sleeping with every hooker who took american express.
  20. Obviously that was irresponsible of you, and a sign of immaturity. You needed a veteran backup father figure in the house so you did a better job as the first stringer.
  21. His point was it was due to him not acting responsibly by contracting mono in the first place. If you can identify which girls are carrying mono - a person can have it and be asymptomatic for over a month, while some never develop severe symptoms at all - and identify them while asymptomatic, the way Charles Xavier finds mutants using Cerebro, then you should donate such expertise to local high schools instead of selfishly keeping it to yourself. It was totally ridiculous for him to get it -- we all had our WTF moments at the time. But it's also just bad luck. He's hardly the only single 21-22 year old to kiss a girl. "Stupid" wouldn't enter my mind, for something unforseen while doing what literally every unmarried player does, any more than an injury on the field.
  22. So when you see a Drew Brees (and others on that end) toss it in less than his 2.5 seconds average it also therefore skews the calculated time before pressure, since he's getting rid of it before pressure arrives. Still others generated more time before pressure by moving around themselves (whether because they roll out more by design or instinctively know when to step up into the pocket), creating more distance between them and rushers or so they’re not technically under pressure on that throw. These things all affect this stat. Further, there's surely a game or two the pass rush was on him in under that 2.5 average, but that doesn't mean the other 14-15 games he was under similar duress even though it affects the cumulative total. Plenty of plays he got hit holding it too long that you, just as well as I, had ok ur own internal clocks go off and yelled at the TV "get rid of it!" as he ate it instead of moving. And others see a window, a second open man, or check it down, faster than others, again skewing it because they're getting rid of it before there's pressure. He's taking more time to throw than almost all others. So even the pressure stat is tremendously induced by the QB himself, particularly when were talking about a fraction of a second cumulative average. No one doubts the line sucked. No one. But this "historically bad" pass blocking is not accurate either. It wasn't even worst in the league this one particular year under the narrow "under pressure" lens. I like Darnold & think he could be a great QB in time, but he's not processing things quickly enough. Now he's just a young kid, and for some this occurs later than for others, but if you didn't see how Houston's line was even worse for Watson as he started his own career then you didn't watch any of those games.

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