jason423 Posted January 8, 2012 Share Posted January 8, 2012 The idea of surplus value is why it's generally a bad idea to draft a running back in the first round. The difference between a blue chip tackle and a second-rounder is huge. The difference between a blue chip halfback and a UDFA is pretty small. Agree on the RB, but disagree on the tackle. The 2nd round over like a 12 year span produced about 20% pro bowlers and some quality starters. The blue chippers in round 1, selected outside of the top 10 produced around 11% pro bowlers and probably a lower percent of decent starters. Im not sure if I still have my spreadsheets on it or if they vanished with my old laptop but the best value picks off the top of my head in the middle of round 1 were interior lineman (though the sample size is really small) and safeties. A notch below would be the DEs (at the time the good finds were all injury prone for whatever reason) and TEs(good players, but also injury prone and never contribute to much in the way of success). LBs have value as well, but you can find really good ones in the 2nd round. You can find guards as well the ceiling I just dont think was as high. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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