JetNation Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 After the loss to the San Diego Chargers I am starting to think the Jets want to get the highest pick that they can and so far that would put them into a 5-way tie for the 6th pick in the draft. This scenario involves 7 games. The scenario Jets loseBrowns winTitans winCardinals winBuccaneers winPanthers winChargers win If the above happens we’ll have the Jets, Bills, Browns, Titans, & Cardinals at 6-10. Current Strength of Schedule Jets 120-118-2Titans 123-117Bills 116-122-2Browns 120-120Cardinals 133-103-4Chargers 110-130Buccaneers 121-118-1Panthers 124-116 Strength of Schedule after the above scenario Jets 125-121-2Bills 119-126-2Titans 125-121Cardinals 134-107-4Browns 121-123Panthers with loss 129-119Buccaneers with loss 126-121-1 Remaining games and their impact on Strength of Schedule Ravens at BengalsBrowns 2-2 Bears at LionsTitans 1-1Cardinals 1-1Panthers 1-0/0-1 Texans at ColtsJets 1-1Bills 1-1Titans 2-2Browns 0-1/1-0 Eagles at GiantsCardinals 1-0/0-1Browns 1-1Panthers 1-1Buccaneers 1-1 Chiefs at BroncosBills 1-0/0-1Browns 1-1Panthers 1-1Buccaneers 1-1 Packers at VikingsTitans 1-1Cardinals 1-1Buccaneers 0-1/1-0 Dolphins at PatriotsJets 2-2Bills 2-2Titans 1-1Cardinals 1-1 Rams at SeahawksJets 1-1Bills 1-1Cardinals 2-2Panthers 0-1/1-0Buccaneers 1-0/0-1 Cowboys at RedskinsBrowns 1-1Panthers 1-1Buccaneers 1-1 Best case scenarioChiefs winColts winEagles winRams or Vikings win SOS after all games are played with best case scenarioJets 129-125-2 or 130-126Bills 124-130-2 or 125-131Titans 130-126Cardinals 140-112-4 or 142-114Browns 127-128Panthers in worst case scenario 132-124Buccaneers if both Rams & Vikings win 131-124-1Buccaneers if only Rams or Vikings win 130-125-1 After that the Jets and Titans are tied for the 8th pick after both Buffalo and the Browns beat them out on SOS and the Jets would win the tiebreaker based on having the worse conference record (4-8 vs. 5-7). The Chargers would easily finish with a worse SOS so they can’t lose against the Raiders if the Jets want to get the #8 pick. The Panther can lose and won’t impact the Jets chances. The Buccaneers can lose but the Rams or Vikings have to win or else they would edge out the Jets by a half game. To recap the only scenario in which the Jets can get the 8th pick if the following occurs: Jets loseBrowns winTitans winCardinals winBuccaneers winChargers winChiefs winColts winEagles win or Jets loseBrowns winTitans winCardinals winChargers winChiefs winColts winEagles winRams/Vikings win Moving on to the worst case scenario, if the Jets win and with some help the worst they can do is be in a 5-way tie for the 16th pick. The scenario Jets winSteelers loseDolphins loseSaints loseBuccaneers lose If the above happens then the Jets, Dolphins, Steelers, Panthers, & Saints would be tied at 7-9. The Chargers can also finish at 7-9 but the Chargers can’t beat the Jets in SOS so they won’t be a factor aside from their winning the game. Current SOS Jets 120-118-2Dolphins 118-120-2Steelers 115-125Chargers 110-130Saints 124-115-1Panthers 124-116 SOS after the above scenario Jets 122-123-2Dolphins 122-122-2Steelers 118-125Chargers 114-133Saints 128-117-1Panthers 126-120 Remaining games and their impact on SOS Raiders at ChargersJets 0-1/1-0Dolphins 1-0/0-1Steelers 1-1Chargers 2-0/0-2Saints 1-1Panthers 1-1 Ravens at BengalsDolphins 0-1/1-0Steelers 2-2Chargers 1-1 Jaguars at TitansJets 1-1Dolphins 1-1Steelers 0-1/1-0Chargers 0-1/1-0 Bears at LionsPanthers 1-0/0-1 Texans at ColtsJets 1-1Dolphins 1-1 Eagles at GiantsSteelers 1-1Panthers 1-1Saints 1-1 Chiefs at BroncosSteelers 1-1Chargers 2-2Panthers 1-1Saints 1-1 Packers at VikingsSaints 1-0/0-1 Rams at SeahawksJets 1-1Dolphins 1-1Panthers 0-1/1-0 Cardinals at 49ersJets 1-1Dolphins 1-1Saints 0-1/1-0 Cowboys at RedskinsSteelers 1-1Panthers 1-1Saints 1-1 Best case scenarioChargers winRavens winJaguars winLions winVikings winRams winCardinals win SOS after best case scenarioJets 127-127-2Dolphins 126-128-2Steelers 124-132Chargers 117-139Saints 132-123-1Panthers 130-126 What we’ve learned here is that it would be better off for the Saints to beat the Panthers as the Jets would lose to both of them in the event of a tie so for the actual worst case scenario the Jets would have to want the Saints to win to only be bumped up 1 spot rather than 2 spots. The Buccaneers also have to lose, otherwise they too would also finish ahead of the Jets in SOS as they would finish 3 games ahead of the Jets in my calculations.So to sum it up the worst case scenario for the Jets is as follows: Jets winDolphins loseSteelers loseChargers winSaints winBuccaneers loseRavens win If that happens then the Jets would be in a 4-way tie for the 15th pick which the Jets would lose to all 3 teams in and get the worst pick possible. So in conclusion, the Jets as of today can get any pick between the 8th and the 15th pick. Follow Me:View the full article Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peebag Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 that hurt my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Obrien2Toon Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Don't feel like reading, but can you tell me what most likely will be our pick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetscode1 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Couldn't we just wait till Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Latinlawyer Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 wow, my head spun. 8th pick here we come!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetsfan80 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Couldn't we just wait till Monday. GFY, you heartless bastard. JetNation worked hard on this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetscode1 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 GFY, you heartless bastard. JetNation worked hard on this. Your language is inappropriate for this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetsfan80 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Your language is inappropriate for this forum. DIAF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetscode1 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 DIAF really? I understand you're limited but this is not the mafia forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Crusher Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 GFY, you heartless bastard. JetNation worked hard on this. Your language is inappropriate for this forum. DIAF really? I understand you're limited but this is not the mafia forum. 80 behave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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