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" Jets hit paydirt with Todd Bowles/Mike Maccagnan tandem " ~ ~ ~


kelly

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1 hour ago, southparkcpa said:

Who the FUKK is Kelly?????  If Kelly isn't some poster to drive up others.... I'm  lost.

Any poster who replies to Kelly  is talking to a computer...... or worse. 

You mean Kelly isn't some hot Scandinavian chick?

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11 hours ago, southparkcpa said:

Who the FUKK is Kelly?????  If Kelly isn't some poster to drive up others.... I'm  lost.

Any poster who replies to Kelly  is talking to a computer...... or worse. 

wow,.. i feel the Luv   :wub:

Domestic-Violence-jpg.jpg?h=367&la=en&w=

 

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1 hour ago, kelly said:

nope..

1.jpg

I have not followed it closely Kelly but my understanding is that this has been litigated here on these boards up to and including IP checks by the admin staff and... that your whole story does not hold water.

 

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1 hour ago, EM31 said:

I have not followed it closely Kelly but my understanding is that this has been litigated here on these boards up to and including IP checks by the admin staff and... that your whole story does not hold water.

 

c'mon, let's be fair to the transgendered, ok?

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I just thought I'd take a look to see what's going on during this downtime between seasons.

Just "Kelly" being Kelly.

Same ole stuff.

Close your eyes guys and wake up for the 2018 draft. Hopefully God help us and we will have top 1 2 0r 3 pick

Good nite

 

 

 

 

 

#SUCKFORSAM

 

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If it takes three years to evaluate a draft class, as most experts believe, it seems fair that three drafts should be enough to judge the guy making the picks.

New York Jets general manager Mike Maccagnan has three in the books -- a total of 22 selections, with 10 on offense, 11 on defense and one punter. Impressively, 21 of the 22 remain on the roster. Let's dive into his three drafts, examining trends, along with hits and misses :

1. He really does subscribe to the best-player-available philosophy: He talks about it ad nauseum, but give him credit for backing up his words. The first example occurred in 2015, when he picked Leonard Williams (No. 6 overall) even though defensive line wasn't a need. It was a brilliant decision.Maccagnan's approach really jumped out in the most recent draft, when he used his first four picks on two safeties and two wide receivers. While the Jets absolutely needed safety help, it could be argued they overdid it by taking Marcus Maye in the second round after picking Jamal Adams in the first.

Wide receiver wasn't seen as a pressing need, yet Maccagnan chose ArDarius Stewart and Chad Hansen in the third and fourth rounds, respectively. He said they were too good to pass up, as was the case with Maye. In the process, he passed up bigger needs.A BPA strategy will produce some head-scratching choices along the way, but it's the right approach from a macro perspective. If you keep taking the "best" player, it's bound to increase the talent base over time.

2. He's not a fan of drafting offensive linemen: Maccagnan has relied on free agency, not the draft, to rebuild the line. He has drafted only two linemen, both in the fifth round -- Jarvis Harrison (a bust) and Brandon Shell. In fact, the Jets are the only team in the past three drafts that hasn't picked a lineman in the first four rounds.Maccagnan is climbing a slippery slope. While he understandably ignored the line in the most recent draft -- the overall talent was regarded as below average -- the neglect over a three-year span could hurt the Jets in the long term. You never want to be beholden to free agency, especially on the line, the position group that requires the most continuity. It's also more expensive than drafting and developing your own players.

3. He hedges his quarterback bets: The Jets are one of six teams that have drafted two quarterbacks since 2015 -- Bryce Petty and Christian Hackenberg -- but they haven't taken the first-round plunge since 2009 (Mark Sanchez). That was two regimes ago. Maccagnan resisted the urge this year, passing on eventual first-rounders Deshaun Watson and Patrick Mahomes, but that could change in 2018, depending on the development of Petty and Hackenberg.

4. He's not into workout warriors: Some teams fall in love with the stopwatch and wind up overdrafting players because of their 40 times. Maccagnan's track record suggests he pays more attention to game tape than how a prospect performs at the scouting combine. The one exception was first-round linebacker Darron Lee, who blew up the 2016 combine with a 4.47 in the 40.

5. He likes big corners, but not big investments at the position: Maccagnan knows what his coach wants. Todd Bowles plays a press-man scheme, predicated on cornerbacks being able to control wide receivers at the line of scrimmage. So it shouldn't come as a surprise that the three corners drafted by Maccagnan -- Juston Burris, Derrick Jones and Jeremy Clark -- are 6-foot-1, 6-foot-2 and 6-foot-3, respectively.What is surprising is that Maccagnan has yet to draft a corner in the first three rounds. It's odd because of the importance of the position in Bowles' system. This is another area dominated by free agency: Darrelle Revis (released), Antonio Cromartie (released in 2016), Buster Skrine and Morris Claiborne. The cost of signing starting-caliber corners is enormous; it behooves them to create an in-house pipeline.

6. He's buying into the wide-receiver craze: The colleges are throwing the ball more than ever, churning out talented receivers with gaudy stats. Maccagnan is riding the wave. The Jets have drafted four receivers in the past three years, including a second-round pick -- Devin Smith (2015), whose career has been derailed by injuries. They're among 12 teams that have picked at least four receivers in that span. Interestingly, Maccagnan's most productive addition was undrafted: Robby Anderson.

7. He prefers big-school players: Only four of his 22 selections come from outside the Power 5 conferences, all of whom were drafted in the fifth round or later. His favorite conferences: SEC (six picks), ACC (five) and Big 10 (four).What does it all mean? It shows that level of competition carries a lot of weight in his evaluation process. Truth be told, the franchise hasn't been very good at identifying small-school gems. The best example in recent years is nose tackle Damon Harrison, undrafted out of William Penn (Iowa), an NAIA school.

Final report card : The only pick not on the roster anymore is Harrison. That says a lot about Maccagnan and his team of scouts. The negative: Only three players have emerged as starters -- Williams, Lee and Jordan Jenkins -- just one of whom is an impact player (Williams). Clearly, the results have to get better if this team hopes to successfully navigate a rebuilding cycle. As stated earlier, free agency and trades were the lifeblood of the team in 2015 and 2016. Not anymore. Now is the time for Maccagnan's drafts to shine.

>     http://www.espn.com/blog/new-york-jets/post/_/id/68801/mike-maccagnans-first-three-drafts-an-inside-look-at-the-jets-21-club

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That last article appears to be by someone who isn't a fan of Mac's draft style, but know he needs to stay on the good side of the GM so he won't be left out of the loop . I was not a fan of the Darren Lee selection, but Lee was not a workout warrior . That kid made plays at OSU even if he didn't do it over multiple seasons . How can you compliment someone for sticking to their strategy of BPA then critique then for not going away from that and picking OL or CB high because of need .  In 3 years, the Jets have shown to prefer drafting productive players who exhibit solid character and sign as free agents productive players with not bad but questionable character . The GM also appears to like using the last day picks on talented players who have displayed their ability but has also displayed a less than enthusiastic attitude towards the game or who are recovering from injuries that may have ruined their perceived prior draft status .

All in all, this article appears to be an I don't like you but I know I need to stay in good relations with you type article .

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  • 2 weeks later...

As we edge closer to the start of the NFL season, ESPN's Sports Analytics team has calculated our initial Football Power Index rankings for 2017. In short, a team's FPI rating combines its efficiency ratings on offense, defense and special teams -- based on each unit's expected points added per play -- with the sum of all three squad ratings yielding the overall FPI rating. (For more on how FPI is calculated, click here and here.)

We then use these ratings to simulate the NFL season 10,000 times in order to derive a team's chances to win its division, make the playoffs, win the Super Bowl, etc.

Without further delay, here's how FPI sees all 32 teams heading into the 2017 season. If you'd like to skip forward to a more specific breakdown, click the links below :

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ESPN Analytics

The gap between the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots at No. 1 (9.2 FPI) and the Packers at No. 2 (4.8) is about as large as the gap between the Packers and the Bengals (0.3), who are ranked 14th. The Pats are one of two teams to rank in the top 10 in projected offense (No. 1), defense (No. 3) and special teams (No. 4). The only other team with top-third units across the board is the Seahawks, who rank No. 8 in offense, No. 6 in defense and No. 5 in special teams.

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Division-by-division breakdowns

The Patriots have won the AFC East in each of the past eight seasons, and FPI has them as overwhelming favorites to win a ninth consecutive crown. It's not just that the Patriots are seen as the clear top team in the league, it's that the remainder of the division (including a Dolphins team that reached the playoffs last season) is in the bottom third of the rankings heading into 2017.

The AFC North is once again set to be a tough division, with only the Browns not projected to finish .500 or better. The Steelers are the preseason favorite to take the division for a second straight year, with the Ravens and Bengals fighting for second place. If the division title race comes down to the final week of the season, take note that Pittsburgh faces Cleveland for the third consecutive season, while the Ravens will host the Bengals in what our projections suggest could determine a wild-card berth.

The AFC South might end up being the NFL's most competitive division in 2017. All four teams have at least a 10 percent chance of winning the title, and none of FPI's predicted division winners has a worse chance to win than the Colts at 36 percent. Part of the reason each team has a chance to compete is the relatively easy schedule each team faces (at least based on what we know about these teams three months before the start of the season). FPI has four of the nine easiest schedules in the league belonging to the members of the AFC South.

The AFC West is the home of the closest projected division-winner race. The Raiders are a slim favorite over the Chiefs by just more than 1 percent. The Broncos and Chargers also are seen as credible threats at just more than 15 and 11 percent, respectively. While the AFC South houses the teams projected to have the easiest schedules, the AFC West is the home of four of the 14 most difficult schedules, as projected by FPI.

 

The Cowboys are looking to become the first repeat champion in the NFC East since the Eagles won four consecutive titles between 2001 and 2004, and FPI gives Dallas a 46.4 percent chance to do so. "The field" of the Giants (22.6 percent chance), Eagles (19.3) and Redskins (11.7) collectively has a higher probability than the Cowboys (53.6), so don't bet against the title changing hands yet again.

Not surprisingly, FPI's top team in the NFC is our projections' decisive choice to take its division. The Packers have the No. 2 offense, per FPI, and are favored in each of their six division games. The Vikings' defense ranks No. 2, according to FPI, but their 24th-ranked offense ensures their spot behind the Pack.

Here's another division FPI sees as being wide-open. The defending NFC South and NFC champion Falcons are favored to repeat, but do so in just more than 40 percent of simulations. The Panthers are expected to bounce back after a disappointing 6-10 season that followed their Super Bowl appearance, and are projected to win the division 28.8 percent of the time. The Saints and Buccaneers are also reasonable threats, at roughly one-in-six and one-in-seven chances, respectively.

The Seahawks hold the league's second-highest chance to win their division at 75.8 percent, trailing only the Patriots at 92.3 percent. FPI projects the Cardinals to be the only real threat to the Hawks for the division -- but it is less than a one-in-five chance. Neither the Rams nor the 49ers are viewed as credible threats, and both reside in the bottom four of FPI's rankings.

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2017 playoff probabilities

The Patriots, as the No. 1 team in FPI and an overwhelming favorite to capture their division (92.3 percent), are also the most likely team to make the playoffs in the AFC. They are also a slight majority favorite to earn the top seed in the conference and home-field advantage throughout the conference portion of the playoffs. The Steelers are the second-most likely playoff participant, as either a division winner or wild card. The two most likely AFC wild-card teams also come out of the North, with the Ravens (23.6 percent) and Bengals (20.6) projected to break through. Rounding out the top five are the Chiefs (20.1) and Raiders (19) -- whoever misses out on the division title there is a strong contender for a wild card.

Despite being the NFC's top team, according to FPI, the Packers are second in probability to make the playoffs within their conference. How is this possible? Well, the Pack plays in a tougher division and faces a more difficult schedule (15th easiest) than the Seahawks (third easiest), which also plays into the Hawks' favor when projecting the No. 1 seed. The Seahawks are a 22.8 percent favorite to earn home-field advantage, topping the Packers' 19.1 percent chance. The wild-card race is wide-open, as 12 of the NFC's 16 teams have at least a 10 percent chance of earning a playoff berth that way. The NFC South pair of Carolina (19.1 percent) and Atlanta (18.8) are the two most likely candidates to earn a wild card -- though one will more than likely earn its spot by winning the division. Outside of the Panthers and Falcons, the Vikings (18.5 percent) are is the next most likely to claim the No. 5 or No. 6 seed.

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Super Bowl

With a clear lead atop the team rankings, it should be no surprise that the Patriots are also FPI's early favorite to both reach and win Super Bowl LII in Minnesota. New England is a slight majority favorite (50.7 percent) to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, and a 34.7 percent favorite to win it. The only other team in the AFC with a greater than 10 percent chance of reaching the Super Bowl is the Steelers at 15.4 percent (FPI says the Steelers have an 8.5 percent chance to win it). The NFC is much closer, with the Seahawks (22.8 percent) and Packers (19.6) leading the pack and the Cowboys (13.5) and Falcons (12.5) rounding out the top four most likely Super Bowl candidates. Despite the Seahawks projecting as more likely to get to the big game, FPI has the Packers as the team in the NFC most likely to win it, at 9.8 percent to the Seahawks' 9.6 percent.

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Strength of schedule

FPI strength of schedule is a far better measure of each team's schedule difficulty than traditional methods, because FPI looks beyond opponent win-loss records to incorporate other key variables (home/away, distance traveled, time off between games, etc.). This year the largest differences between FPI's strength of schedule and the traditional look are felt by the Lions and Chargers.

FPI sees the Lions' schedule as the 11th-most difficult, where looking at their opponents' winning percentage from 2016 has the Lions tied for the 21st-hardest schedule. Part of the reason FPI sees it as more daunting are some of the schedule effects. Let's use the Lions' 2017 games against the Packers as an example. Where the traditional strength of schedule counts both games the same (based purely off the Packers' 10-6 record from 2016), FPI takes into account factors that data suggests matter, including home/away team and rest differential. The Lions' chance to win its home game against the Packers is 43.7 percent, whereas the game at Lambeau Field is only 23 percent. The disparity isn't just about home field -- the Packers are coming off a bye week, giving them a rest advantage before they host the Lions.

In the case of the Chargers, the traditional method has them with the third-hardest schedule; FPI is a little more forgiving based on the way it views the AFC West. Traditional strength of schedule sees both the Raiders and Chiefs as 12-win teams; FPI isn't quite as high on them, ranking them at Nos. 7 and 8, respectively. The Chargers' home games against the Raiders and Chiefs are seen as near-coin flips; the Chargers are a 49.7 percent underdog versus the Chiefs and 47.2 percent against the Raiders. The Chargers are also 63.2 percent favorites over the Dolphins -- who won 10 games last season.

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2018 NFL draft

After selecting first in 2017, FPI gives the Browns the league's highest chance to pick first again in 2018. The Browns are No. 31 in FPI, and the system projects them at No. 16 in schedule difficulty. That is enough for the Browns to "catch" the 49ers, who rank last in FPI but have the 10th-easiest schedule, for the best chance at the top pick. The Browns earned the top pick in 21.4 percent of simulations, and the 49ers in 19.5 percent. The Jets (15.9 percent) and Bears (10 percent) are the only other teams with a double-digit probability of earning the top pick overall.

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Best/worst 2017 matchups

For more from ESPN Analytics, visit the ESPN Analytics Index.

>        http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/19504913/fpi-makes-predictions-2017-nfl-season

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On 6/2/2017 at 9:20 AM, kelly said:

As we edge closer to the start of the NFL season, ESPN's Sports Analytics team has calculated our initial Football Power Index rankings for 2017. In short, a team's FPI rating combines its efficiency ratings on offense, defense and special teams -- based on each unit's expected points added per play -- with the sum of all three squad ratings yielding the overall FPI rating. (For more on how FPI is calculated, click here and here.)

We then use these ratings to simulate the NFL season 10,000 times in order to derive a team's chances to win its division, make the playoffs, win the Super Bowl, etc.

Without further delay, here's how FPI sees all 32 teams heading into the 2017 season. If you'd like to skip forward to a more specific breakdown, click the links below :

greyline.png

ESPN Analytics

The gap between the defending Super Bowl champion Patriots at No. 1 (9.2 FPI) and the Packers at No. 2 (4.8) is about as large as the gap between the Packers and the Bengals (0.3), who are ranked 14th. The Pats are one of two teams to rank in the top 10 in projected offense (No. 1), defense (No. 3) and special teams (No. 4). The only other team with top-third units across the board is the Seahawks, who rank No. 8 in offense, No. 6 in defense and No. 5 in special teams.

greyline.png

Division-by-division breakdowns

The Patriots have won the AFC East in each of the past eight seasons, and FPI has them as overwhelming favorites to win a ninth consecutive crown. It's not just that the Patriots are seen as the clear top team in the league, it's that the remainder of the division (including a Dolphins team that reached the playoffs last season) is in the bottom third of the rankings heading into 2017.

The AFC North is once again set to be a tough division, with only the Browns not projected to finish .500 or better. The Steelers are the preseason favorite to take the division for a second straight year, with the Ravens and Bengals fighting for second place. If the division title race comes down to the final week of the season, take note that Pittsburgh faces Cleveland for the third consecutive season, while the Ravens will host the Bengals in what our projections suggest could determine a wild-card berth.

The AFC South might end up being the NFL's most competitive division in 2017. All four teams have at least a 10 percent chance of winning the title, and none of FPI's predicted division winners has a worse chance to win than the Colts at 36 percent. Part of the reason each team has a chance to compete is the relatively easy schedule each team faces (at least based on what we know about these teams three months before the start of the season). FPI has four of the nine easiest schedules in the league belonging to the members of the AFC South.

The AFC West is the home of the closest projected division-winner race. The Raiders are a slim favorite over the Chiefs by just more than 1 percent. The Broncos and Chargers also are seen as credible threats at just more than 15 and 11 percent, respectively. While the AFC South houses the teams projected to have the easiest schedules, the AFC West is the home of four of the 14 most difficult schedules, as projected by FPI.

 

The Cowboys are looking to become the first repeat champion in the NFC East since the Eagles won four consecutive titles between 2001 and 2004, and FPI gives Dallas a 46.4 percent chance to do so. "The field" of the Giants (22.6 percent chance), Eagles (19.3) and Redskins (11.7) collectively has a higher probability than the Cowboys (53.6), so don't bet against the title changing hands yet again.

Not surprisingly, FPI's top team in the NFC is our projections' decisive choice to take its division. The Packers have the No. 2 offense, per FPI, and are favored in each of their six division games. The Vikings' defense ranks No. 2, according to FPI, but their 24th-ranked offense ensures their spot behind the Pack.

Here's another division FPI sees as being wide-open. The defending NFC South and NFC champion Falcons are favored to repeat, but do so in just more than 40 percent of simulations. The Panthers are expected to bounce back after a disappointing 6-10 season that followed their Super Bowl appearance, and are projected to win the division 28.8 percent of the time. The Saints and Buccaneers are also reasonable threats, at roughly one-in-six and one-in-seven chances, respectively.

The Seahawks hold the league's second-highest chance to win their division at 75.8 percent, trailing only the Patriots at 92.3 percent. FPI projects the Cardinals to be the only real threat to the Hawks for the division -- but it is less than a one-in-five chance. Neither the Rams nor the 49ers are viewed as credible threats, and both reside in the bottom four of FPI's rankings.

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2017 playoff probabilities

The Patriots, as the No. 1 team in FPI and an overwhelming favorite to capture their division (92.3 percent), are also the most likely team to make the playoffs in the AFC. They are also a slight majority favorite to earn the top seed in the conference and home-field advantage throughout the conference portion of the playoffs. The Steelers are the second-most likely playoff participant, as either a division winner or wild card. The two most likely AFC wild-card teams also come out of the North, with the Ravens (23.6 percent) and Bengals (20.6) projected to break through. Rounding out the top five are the Chiefs (20.1) and Raiders (19) -- whoever misses out on the division title there is a strong contender for a wild card.

Despite being the NFC's top team, according to FPI, the Packers are second in probability to make the playoffs within their conference. How is this possible? Well, the Pack plays in a tougher division and faces a more difficult schedule (15th easiest) than the Seahawks (third easiest), which also plays into the Hawks' favor when projecting the No. 1 seed. The Seahawks are a 22.8 percent favorite to earn home-field advantage, topping the Packers' 19.1 percent chance. The wild-card race is wide-open, as 12 of the NFC's 16 teams have at least a 10 percent chance of earning a playoff berth that way. The NFC South pair of Carolina (19.1 percent) and Atlanta (18.8) are the two most likely candidates to earn a wild card -- though one will more than likely earn its spot by winning the division. Outside of the Panthers and Falcons, the Vikings (18.5 percent) are is the next most likely to claim the No. 5 or No. 6 seed.

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Super Bowl

With a clear lead atop the team rankings, it should be no surprise that the Patriots are also FPI's early favorite to both reach and win Super Bowl LII in Minnesota. New England is a slight majority favorite (50.7 percent) to represent the AFC in the Super Bowl, and a 34.7 percent favorite to win it. The only other team in the AFC with a greater than 10 percent chance of reaching the Super Bowl is the Steelers at 15.4 percent (FPI says the Steelers have an 8.5 percent chance to win it). The NFC is much closer, with the Seahawks (22.8 percent) and Packers (19.6) leading the pack and the Cowboys (13.5) and Falcons (12.5) rounding out the top four most likely Super Bowl candidates. Despite the Seahawks projecting as more likely to get to the big game, FPI has the Packers as the team in the NFC most likely to win it, at 9.8 percent to the Seahawks' 9.6 percent.

greyline.png

Strength of schedule

FPI strength of schedule is a far better measure of each team's schedule difficulty than traditional methods, because FPI looks beyond opponent win-loss records to incorporate other key variables (home/away, distance traveled, time off between games, etc.). This year the largest differences between FPI's strength of schedule and the traditional look are felt by the Lions and Chargers.

FPI sees the Lions' schedule as the 11th-most difficult, where looking at their opponents' winning percentage from 2016 has the Lions tied for the 21st-hardest schedule. Part of the reason FPI sees it as more daunting are some of the schedule effects. Let's use the Lions' 2017 games against the Packers as an example. Where the traditional strength of schedule counts both games the same (based purely off the Packers' 10-6 record from 2016), FPI takes into account factors that data suggests matter, including home/away team and rest differential. The Lions' chance to win its home game against the Packers is 43.7 percent, whereas the game at Lambeau Field is only 23 percent. The disparity isn't just about home field -- the Packers are coming off a bye week, giving them a rest advantage before they host the Lions.

In the case of the Chargers, the traditional method has them with the third-hardest schedule; FPI is a little more forgiving based on the way it views the AFC West. Traditional strength of schedule sees both the Raiders and Chiefs as 12-win teams; FPI isn't quite as high on them, ranking them at Nos. 7 and 8, respectively. The Chargers' home games against the Raiders and Chiefs are seen as near-coin flips; the Chargers are a 49.7 percent underdog versus the Chiefs and 47.2 percent against the Raiders. The Chargers are also 63.2 percent favorites over the Dolphins -- who won 10 games last season.

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2018 NFL draft

After selecting first in 2017, FPI gives the Browns the league's highest chance to pick first again in 2018. The Browns are No. 31 in FPI, and the system projects them at No. 16 in schedule difficulty. That is enough for the Browns to "catch" the 49ers, who rank last in FPI but have the 10th-easiest schedule, for the best chance at the top pick. The Browns earned the top pick in 21.4 percent of simulations, and the 49ers in 19.5 percent. The Jets (15.9 percent) and Bears (10 percent) are the only other teams with a double-digit probability of earning the top pick overall.

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Best/worst 2017 matchups

For more from ESPN Analytics, visit the ESPN Analytics Index.

>        http://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/19504913/fpi-makes-predictions-2017-nfl-season

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The question with the Jets isn't why they would cut their best linebacker and tell their best receiver that he's next out the door on the very same day -- a day that, even for the Jets, was extraordinary for its outrageousness.

The question is this: Why stop there ?

Why not name Christian Hackenberg the starting quarterback and make him only pass with his left arm? Why not bring back Rich Kotite as a special consultant and put him in charge of clock management? Why not just trade all of their remaining good players to the Patriots, because they'll probably just claim them off waivers anyway? The Jets should go all-in on the tank now, because honestly, what other choice do they have? They were going to be bottom-of-the-NFL-standings bad this season before they jettisoned linebacker David Harris and prepared to do the same with receiver Eric Decker

Now, unless the replacements are hiding in plain sight (surprise! they're not), the goal should be to cut the "one of" from the "one of the worst teams," to go all-in on this rebuild and hope -- no, pray -- that they finally find their franchise quarterback at the top of the draft next spring.If that elusive cornerstone passer is the end result of all this, what Jets fan wouldn't sign for 1-15 this fall? The problem, of course, is that there is no guarantee that it will be the end result. USC quarterback Sam Darnold is drawing comparisons to Andrew Luck, but he could also blow out his ACL against Stanford this season.

Tanking is an effective tactic in hockey and basketball and even baseball to a lesser degree, but examples of it leading to long-term success in football are far more difficult to find. But again, what choice do the Jets have? GM Mike Maccagnan can't possibly believe his own nonsense that a youth movement will "help this organization both in the short and long term." The Jets only have four players over 30, and one of them is quarterback Josh McCown, who as a quarterback is practically a human white flag.

His teams have a .353 winning percentage -- a 79-145 record -- over his 14-year career. That's an impressive level of futility, and to think, Maccagnan signed him before dropping a hand grenade in his locker room."We are focused on building this team for the future, and that's kind of our goal all along," Maccagnan said on Tuesday. "It's going to be a roster of opportunities and a very competitive roster at a lot of positions, in terms of players with the opportunity presented to them and we'll see how it unfolds."There is a chance Magic Mike doesn't know what he's doing, and if he's just a more affable John Idzik, the Jets are screwed. Idzik's disastrous drafts have been rightfully panned, but it's not like Maccagnan has loaded Florham Park with talent during his tenure, either.

Still, it certainly looks like he is operating with the understanding that, even if the team stinks in 2017, he'll survive to see another season. It's impossible to know what Woody Johnson, who almost certainly doesn't want to punch the reset button again, will do if fan outrage starts to grow.Johnson has to know this team is barreling toward a terrible season. If he hasn't given Maccagnan some assurances that he'll be judged on a curve in the upcoming season, then the GM's decisions are dumbfounding and probably career ending.Did Woody endorse tanking? That's hard to imagine, too, but he has to see that being one level below mediocre is the worst possible place to be in sports. The Jets were always going to be bad, and after Tuesday, they're going to be really bad, and now you can only wonder.

Can Kotite's triumphant return be far behind ?

>     http://www.nj.com/jets/index.ssf/2017/06/the_jets_should_totally_tank_on_the_2017_season_po.html#incart_river_index

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It seems quite clear the Jets' goal in 2017 isn't to win. Actually, after cutting receiver Eric Decker and linebacker David Harris on Tuesday, it's easy to believe they're trying to lose. 

Mike Maccagnan took over as general manager in 2015. He inherited a roster in dire shape, thanks, in part, to his predecessor John Idzik. Instead of blowing things up that year, though, Maccagnan went on an offseason spending spree.

He put together a better team, but one that fell short of the postseason. The next year, he geared up again to make another run, but the Jets ended the year 5-11. Now, Maccagnan has blown everything up. He's rebuilding... but are the Jets tanking three years too late?

Watch the video above and find out. 

>    http://www.nj.com/jets/index.ssf/2017/06/watch_are_the_jets_tanking_three_years_too_late.html#incart_river_index

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By the end of the 2017-18 NFL season, Todd Bowles, head coach of the New York Jets, is likely to be out of a job.

It’s sad what Bowles is about to endure. He is entering the upcoming NFL season with the highest stakes possible, while general manager Mike Maccagnan has spent the offseason ridding the Jets of their proven talent and giving him Josh McCown at quarterback instead.The Jets released a mainstay on their defense, linebacker and leading tackler David Harris, on June 7. He was one of the latest victims of their talent purge. But he won’t be the last. Receiver Eric Decker was released Monday. Decker will probably be the last proven player to go. There are precious few left. In the four months since the New England Patriots won another Super Bowl, Maccagnan has been ruthless.

First, he voided Ryan Fitzpatrick’s contract, which was an understandable move considering what he was scheduled to be paid and how poorly he played in 2016. But he was still the best quarterback on the roster. And he was just a year removed from having a career season, throwing 31 touchdowns — just five fewer than the league leader, New England Patriot Tom Brady — and leading game-winning drives in three of the team’s 10 wins that season.Maccagnan went for the big names next. In one seven-day stretch from Feb. 25 to March 3, he released All-Pros and Pro Bowlers: Nick Mangold, Darrelle Revis and Brandon Marshall. Macagnan even cut the kicker, Nick Folk, and replaced him with Chandler Catanzaro, whose field goal percentage last season was 12 percent lower than Folk’s 87 percent. This makes scoring points even more difficult for Bowles’ team next season.

NOT A GOOD TRACK RECORD FOR JETS HEAD COACHES

The Jets took notice of Bowles during the 2014 season. As defensive coordinator for the Arizona Cardinals, Bowles got the most out of his unit. Even as they were ravaged by injuries, Bowles and the defense maintained their performance with backups suddenly thrust into action. The Jets hired Bowles that offseason, and he brought his ability to overachieve with him. In Bowles’ first season, the Jets won 10 games and lost six, which was a major improvement from their 4-12 record the previous season. But the success was short-lived, as it often is for Gang Green. They followed it with an embarrassing 2016 campaign, winning just five games. Three of their worst losses came near the end of the season. They were beaten by 31, 21, and 38 points by the Indianapolis Colts, Miami Dolphins and Patriots, respectively. After those lopsided late-season defeats, many thought Bowles, who was hired in part because of his “ability to relate to players,” had lost the team and could also lose his job.

The Jets finished the season with a 30-10 Jan. 1 win over the Buffalo Bills. After the game, a team spokesman said Bowles would be the team’s coach in 2017, setting the table for a defining season for Bowles. It will be the second-to-the-last season of his four-year contract. That means Jets owner Woody Johnson will be forced to make a decision at the end of the season. Unlike with players, coaches rarely are allowed to coach in the final year of their contracts; they either get fired or sign an extension before the last year of their deal. It is believed that a coach in his final year is a “lame duck” and won’t be able to get the most out of his team in that situation.So, with one good season and one bad season on Bowles’ head coaching résumé, the result of 2017 will not only determine his fate with the Jets, but it will also determine the trajectory of the rest of his NFL career. If he repeats the success of 2015, he will get an extension, which is great for the obvious reasons: He gets more money, and he gets to remain an NFL head coach in the area of the country where he was born and raised. But the most important and lasting impact of this season’s result is on his reputation.

An extension is validation that he is a qualified head coach. A two-term head coach is considered a legitimate NFL head coach, which is crucial for Bowles’ future. A one-term head coach is viewed as a failed head coach. Most of them never get another chance to lead a team. Franchises with coaching vacancies are fond of hiring a proven head coach, a promising first-time head coach or an outstanding coordinator.If he is fired at the end of this season, Bowles and his agent can’t market him to prospective suitors as either of the first two options. He will have to spend years rebuilding his rep as a defensive coordinator just to get an interview. And if he is able to do that, he’ll have to persuade a franchise that what he learned from his failed tenure with the Jets makes him more likely to succeed than other exceptional coordinators who don’t have the scarlet letter.But that’s a long shot. A poor showing in 2017 will most likely mean that Bowles will never get another chance to be an NFL head coach. So the cuts made by Maccagnan, who was hired days before Bowles in mid-January 2015, may have already decided Bowles’ professional fate.

It could be instructive for Bowles to take a look at the history of Jets head coaches under Johnson, who bought the team now valued at$2.75 billion for $635 million in 2000. Excluding Al Groh, who quit after one season to coach at the University of Virginia, Johnson hired three head coaches before Bowles: Herman Edwards, Eric Mangini and Rex Ryan. Johnson kept both Edwards and Ryan past the three-year mark. Edwards — who, like Bowles, was a black coach getting his first opportunity to lead a team (sadly, that’s still noteworthy in 2017) — went from the Jets to being head coach of the Kansas City Chiefs after five years, via a trade. Ryan was fired after six years. He became head coach of the Buffalo Bills the following season.

Mangini’s career might be the most interesting. In it, Bowles can find both hope and despair. Mangini’s first two seasons were nearly identical to Bowles’. Mangini went 10-6 and then 4-12. He went 9-7 in his third season. Bad news is he was fired. So if Bowles needs to win 10 games this season to keep his job, his agent should start making some calls now. On the bright side, Mangini immediately got another head-coaching opportunity with the Cleveland Browns, where he went 10-22 in two seasons. Even with a decent showing this season, Bowles might still be fired, but there is a very slim chance head coaching is in his immediate future.There is also the possibility that Johnson will fire the general manager first, as he did after a 6-10 2012 season, when he fired general manager Mike Tannenbaum, keeping Ryan. That seems unlikely because roster moves as significant as the ones executed over the past few months can only be made with the owner’s approval and by a general manager with job security. About those moves made during the offseason, Maccagnan said, “We’re doing things that we feel are going to help this organization both short and long term.”

IT’LL BE A SUCK-AND-SEE YEAR

Well, that sounds good. But actions speak louder than words. And Maccagnan’s actions are saying that the upcoming season is only about the long term. That’s the only way your decisions seem remotely logical. You and Johnson decided this would be a Suck-and-See year. By parting ways with most of your talented older players, your team will suck, earning you a high draft pick. Expelling the elder statesmen also clears the way for younger, untested players to get significant playing time, allowing you to see what kind of players they are.

The S&S strategy could potentially result in two more S’s. The third beneficial S is only for Johnson: Save. The older, more accomplished players are more expensive, so getting them off the books will put millions in Johnson’s pocket. I doubt Johnson cares much about that money. He was wealthy before he was born, as his full name reveals: Robert Wood Johnson IV. The first Robert Wood Johnson, Johnson’s great-grandfather, founded the Johnson & Johnson company in 1886 with two of his brothers. The original Robert Wood Johnson was the company’s first president. His son, Robert Wood Johnson II, is credited with having the vision and drive to grow Johnson & Johnson into the biggest company of its kind in the world. Robert Wood Johnson III, Johnson’s father, worked at Johnson & Johnson for more than 20 years before being fired by his father from his role as president of domestic operations. Johnson worked for the company as a teen but never as an adult.

Having already lost his father to cancer, Johnson took his hefty inheritance to Florida. He invested in real estate, with mixed results. But his investment in the early days of cable television in Florida was a big success. He sold his stake in 1983.In the 16 seasons Johnson has owned the team, the Jets have had five different head coaches. By the end of next season, they will have had at least 13 different starting quarterbacks. And I would bet we’ll see more. Employing the S&S strategy might be Johnson acknowledging that the peaks and valleys in the Jets’ fortunes are due to the instability at the quarterback position and with the head coach. Which brings us to the fourth S, Sam.

University of Southern California quarterback Sam Darnold is already considered a franchise-changing quarterback, and he will be draft-eligible next year. With just one season as a college starter,Darnold is being compared to Andrew Luck, who was the first pick in the 2012 draft. The Jets’ 8-8 record in 2012 landed them the 16th pick in the draft, where they selected defensive end Quinton Coples, who is no longer with the team. Armed with hindsight, I am sure Johnson would have preferred Ryan to win six fewer games and secure the No. 1 one pick and Luck. So I understand why he and Maccagnan are motivated to lose their way to a franchise quarterback.

However, it is unfortunate that they have to push a one-legged Bowles into the center of the arena to do so.

>      https://theundefeated.com/features/ny-jets-todd-bowles-sacrificing-2017-season-2018-nfl-draft-pick/

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  • Rich CiminiESPN Staff Writer

The New York Jets ended their offseason program on June 15. Here’s a look at how they fared :

Offseason goals/grade: After their sixth straight season out of the playoffs, the Jets decided to tear it down and start a long, painful rebuild -- a radical approach. They executed the plan with conviction, stripping the roster of big names and big salaries. They dumped 11 veterans, including future Ring-of-Honor members David Harris, Nick Mangold and Darrelle Revis. For the most part, they replaced the departed 11 with cheap free agents and unproven young players. Let's be clear: This is a tank job, and it's not hard to understand the motivation. If the Jets land the No. 1 overall pick in 2018, they'll have their pick of what figures to be a strong quarterback class. They also will have $80 million in cap room next year. In the meantime, they'll have one of the worst rosters in the league. If we base a final grade on that, it would be a "D" or worse, but their plan must be evaluated from a big-picture standpoint because this is only phase one of a huge project. Grade: C+.

Move I liked: Let's call it one move and one non-move, and they're tied together. Resisting the urge to reach for a quarterback in the first round, they made the right call by selecting safety Jamal Adams with the sixth overall pick. Quarterbacks Deshaun Watson and Patrick Mahomes were available, either of whom would've excited the fan base, but the last thing they needed was another developmental quarterback to join Christian Hackenberg and Bryce Petty. This season should be devoted to finding out if Hackenberg can play. If he surprises them, great. If not, they'll have a high pick and can try to find that ever-elusive franchise quarterback in the draft. Sam Darnold, anyone? As for Adams, he's a terrific player with strong intangibles. In a year, he and Leonard Williams will be the faces of the defense.

Move I didn’t like: Cutting Harris and wide receiver Eric Decker in early June were short-sighted decisions. They saved nearly $14 million in payroll, making owner Woody Johnson happy, but they lost two well-respected veterans who would've helped the young players during the rebuilding process. Harris was the quarterback of the defense, Decker the No. 1 receiver. The moves left a bitter taste in the locker room, sending a clear signal to the players that winning isn't the priority in 2017.

Biggest question still to be answered in training camp: With the Jets, it's always about the quarterbacks. Technically, it's an open competition between Josh McCown, Hackenberg and Petty. The expectation is that McCown, 37, even with his warts and durability issues, will emerge as the opening-day starter. He can manage a game, and that'll be enough to tilt this tepid competition in his favor. The real question is whether Hackenberg, in his second year, can push McCown. It'll be a successful preseason if Hackenberg plays well, narrows the gap and establishes himself as a viable alternative. Sheldon Richardson's future also will be a hot topic. The Jets have been shopping the defensive tackle since last fall.

Salary-cap space: $24,423,566 (source: Overthecap.com)

Undrafted rookie free agents signed: OL Chris Bordelon, OL Ben Braden, WR KD Cannon, CB Xavier Coleman, FB Anthony Firkser, LB Connor Harris, OT Javarius Leamon, WR Gabe Marks.

Unrestricted free agents signed: LT Kelvin Beachum, PK Chandler Catanzaro, CB Morris Claiborne, C Jonotthan Harrison, QB Josh McCown, LB Spencer Paysinger, NT Mike Pennel, S Shamarko Thomas, RB Jordan Todman, S Corey White.

Restricted free agents signed: None.

Players acquired via trade: LB Demario Davis.

>     http://www.espn.com/blog/new-york-jets/post/_/id/69373/unprecedented-offseason-for-new-york-jets-tank-for-a-brighter-future

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  • Rich Cimini ESPN Staff Writer

Like it or not, the New York Jets have set their course. Now you wait to see if this radical approach bears fruit ... and that is the subject of this week's Twitter question :

How many years will it take to get this right? And will Todd Bowles be there. We've had 3 rebuilds in 5 years #jetsmail@RichCimini

 

@RichCimini: First of all, Kris, thanks for having enough faith in me to pose such a daunting question. This is one of the great riddles in sports. They've gone 48 years without a Super Bowl and, honestly, I don't know how many more years it will take to get back. I thought the Jets had it right when they reached back-to-back AFC Championship Games under Rex Ryan. I thought they had it right when they hired Bill Parcells in 1997. But just when you think they have it figured out ... bam!

The reality is, there's no guarantee this roster overhaul will work. Getting younger doesn't always mean getting better. Hitting rock bottom doesn't always equate to a successful rebound. The 2009 St. Louis Rams finished 1-15, drafted Sam Bradford with the first pick in 2010 ... and still haven't been to the playoffs. The 2008 Detroit Lions went 0-16, took Matthew Stafford first overall in '09 ... and still haven't won a playoff game.

The Cleveland Browns ... well, every year is Groundhog Day.

On the flip side, we've seen quick turnarounds. After successfully executing their "Suck for Luck" plan, the 2012 Indianapolis Colts went 11-5 with Andrew Luck, just one year after finishing 2-14 and landing the No. 1 pick. Thing is, transformative players such as Luck come along about only once a decade.The Carolina Panthers provide a more realistic blueprint for the Jets. The Panthers earned the No. 1 pick in 2011 after a 2-14 finish, and they took Cam Newton. They built a strong team around him and, by his third season, they were a playoff team. By his fifth year, they were in the Super Bowl.The Jets are far, far away from reaching that level. Based on conversations I've had with opposing scouts, only four or five players on the roster are capable of starting for most teams in the league -- Leonard Williams, Muhammad Wilkerson, Sheldon Richardson, James Carpenter and maybe Brian Winters. Like I said ... far, far away.

Best-case scenario : Christian Hackenberg finishes the season entrenched as the starting quarterback and some of the key picks from Mike Maccagnan's first three drafts establish themselves as ascending starters.The more likely scenario : They end the year without a clear-cut answer at quarterback, draft one in 2018 and endure another year of growing pains. Maybe, by 2019, they'd be able to contend.The Jets haven't won the division since 2002. Not coincidentally, that's the last time their starting quarterback posted a 100 passer rating -- Chad Pennington, 104.2. I've said this many times, but it's worth repeating even though it's hardly a revelation:

It. All. Comes. Down. To. The. Quarterback.

As for Bowles, he probably won't be around to see this through. He's in an almost impossible situation and, as we know, Woody Johnson isn't the most patient of owners. Maybe he'll buy a soccer team while in England and forget about the Jets.

>     http://www.espn.com/blog/new-york-jets/post/_/id/69583/jets-title-drought-almost-old-enough-for-aarp-and-no-end-in-sight

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I don't care much for Todd Bowles. Rex was in a similar situation his final year and got canned. He happened to win 4 playoff games, something Toilet Bowles and sh*tzpatrick can only dream of. Time to find the right HC and maybe even a half decent GM. 

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Do the Jets have the NFL's worst roster ? 

After they spent this offseason stripping their roster of veterans, as part of a get-younger rebuilding process, that is a legitimate question. 

ESPN and Pro Football Focus have ranked every NFL roster for 2017.And the Jets do indeed check in at No. 32 -- dead last.The Rams, 49ers, and Browns are the three teams in front of the Jets, with the Rams checking in at No. 31.The Falcons, Patriots, and Titans have the three best rosters in the NFL for 2017, according to these rankings. 

Here's why PFF put the Jets dead last : 

Biggest strength: Leonard Williams, the No. 6 overall pick in 2015, is already one of the league's top defensive linemen. He played all over the line for the Jets last season, posting 55 pressures. His 48 defensive stops trailed only Damon Harrison among interior defenders.

Biggest weakness: The Jets' secondary remains an issue. New York will likely rely on two rookies to start at safety, and there are no standouts at cornerback.

By the numbers: Josh McCown, who is leading the Jets' quarterback competition by default, completed just 36.2 percent of his passes under pressure in 2016. Bryce Petty wasn't much better at 48.5 percent. Second-year player Christian Hackenberg never got on the field in 2016 but could get a shot this season.

>      http://www.nj.com/jets/index.ssf/2017/06/do_jets_have_nfls_worst_roster_pro_football_focus.html#incart_river_index

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