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Chan Gailey Must Improve


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http://www.ganggreennation.com/2016/10/7/13189856/chan-gailey-must-improve

The Jets have had a pretty lousy first quarter of the season, and with the third hardest current schedule in the league on paper, it may not get any easier. All eyes have been on quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick and Todd Bowles, and deservedly so. However,  there is one culprit who has not faced the same scrutiny, and that man is Chan Gailey.

Last year the Jets had offensive production that hadn't been seen in over a decade. I admit, at first I was part the love affair. We saw Ryan Fitzpatrick breaking Namath records, two 1,000 yard receivers, the AFC's leading rusher, and amazing redzone efficiency. What wasn't to love? But as the season neared the end, and the offense started to stall more as games went on, I realized many inefficiencies were being hidden by above-average players. Another year may have helped players learn the scheme, but it also allowed opposing defenses to lock into some of Chan's more predictable techniques. There are three things that have come across to me this year that have been mind-boggling, and each of those things can be tied to the offensive coordinator. These things are Offensive Pace, Red Zone Targets / Touches / Efficiency, and Scheme.

Offensive Pace

To no one's surprise, the Jets are ranked in the bottom half of the league in Sec/Play. With a plethora of players on offense above 30, this makes complete sense. There are two numbers however, that don't make much sense to me. The first of which, is Sec/Play when up 7+ points. In this category, the Jets rank 2nd, running a play every 20 seconds. The other teams in the top 3 are Jacksonville and Indianapolis. Keep that in mind. That number is quite astonishing however, because of the 10 slowest-paced teams, the Jets are the only ones in the top 5 in that category. It's also confusing, that when up, an offense quickens its pace instead of trying to drain clock and secure a win. The other number that stuck out to me was Sec/Play when down 7+ Points.The Jets rank 5th here, running a play every 22.19 seconds.

None of the teams in the top 5 have a winning record. This stat equally confuses me, because it means that the offense starts to panic when getting behind. The playcalling becomes extremely lopsided and erratic, and usually results in quick three and outs and putting a gassed defense back on the field. Now, these two stats differentiate from the Jets' norm so much that I can only come to the conclusion that it is due to the offensive coordinator.

 

He calls the plays. If it happens once in a blue moon, it's coincidence. But when it's on a consistent basis that these things are being done, you have to look to the man in charge. If the Jets can average those numbers out, and stick to their gameplan, I think they can find more success offensively.

Redzone Targets / Touches / Efficiency

The Jets have done a complete 180 in the redzone from 2015, to this year. Since there have been few big personnel changes on the offense, I look to the man above for the sudden change. Ryan Fitzpatrick has done himself no favors recently, playing some incredibly poor ball, especially in the Red Zone, but the question begs asking. If he has played so poorly, why do the Jets keep throwing so much?

I looked at the numbers and I was surprised to find that only 3 QB's have thrown more times in the Red Zone (Fitz had 25 attempts), and only one QB who threw more than ten passes inside the 20 had a lower completion % (Blaine Gabbert at 36.36).

 

Even worse, when throwing inside the 10, only 2 QB's have thrown more than Fitzpatrick(12), and he has the worst completion % out of QB's who threw more than 10 times (33.33).  If you were wondering, Fitzpatrick only has 4 TD's to 3 INT's in the Red Zone this season. These are atrocious numbers, and unexcusable for the quarterback, and the OC.

Now, let's see how Forte fares in the Red Zone. When looking at the numbers, Forte has 15 rushes and 3 TD's inside the 20. (ALL of these were during the Bills game.) However, he only has 4 total rushes inside the 10, and only 1 target directed towards him in the passing game. When looking at the target distribution in general, it's also a little puzzling to see that Bilal Powell is number 2 in targets, with 5, and also 2 rushes.

Powell is not a terrible player, but it's interesting to see that players like Forte(1), Enunwa(4), and Decker(4) have not been more heavily involved. I would like to blame these RZ statistics on Fitzpatrick himself, but most short-yardage pass plays are based off of one read, and plays always designated towards a certain player. I thus blame a majority of the shortcomings in the Red Zone on Gailey. This must improve.

Schemes

When it comes to schemes and plays being run, certain offensive coordinators can drive you mad. I think about long passes on 3rd and 1, short runs on 2nd and 10, and repeater plays that are performed regardless of success rate. Gailey has a habit of doing it all on occasion, but he was quite successful last year.

Moving onto players , most of us know the Jets have a wide variety of very talented skill position players. One of these players is Bilal Powell. I know, I criticized his usage in the Red Zone but only because I feel more talented players are not getting their touches there. However, in this portion, my basis for argument is to utilize as many skill players as possible in our schemes and formations to cause confusion to opposing defenses between the 20's.

Last year, Powell played nearly 47% of all offensive snaps, compared to this year where he has only played about 35% of offensive snaps. So what's my point? My point is the Jets have two talented pass-catching RB's but limit themselves to using only one at a time. They have run ZERO plays involving the I-Formation or 2 Back Splits.

This may not seem important, but if the Jets are not being creative to utilize their players, theybecome predictable. Another player who has seen his usage change, is breakout player Quincy Enunwa. Although Enunwa has continued to have success so far in 2016, his role has changed. With Eric Decker nursing an injury and now out for the time being, Enunwa has been thrust on the outside, and is not seen as much in his usual H-Back position. Although this may be good for Enunwa's individual stats, I believe it alters the chemistry of the offense, and does not utilize the matchup of having Enunwa on a slower safety or linebacker. We have already seen when in the slot or playing on the line, that he can open the seams quite easily with these mismatches. If the Jets can continue to go back to this and successfully disguise the play, I think the offense can have good success. However, if Chan Gailey continues to become stubborn in adjustments, defenses will feed on the predictable playcalls.

..........................................

In conclusion, I think there are many more problems within the Jets organization right now than Chan Gailey. However,  he is not totally innocent. He has the ability to provide adjustments to help win games. It is also up to the players to execute plays and end drives successfully. The Jets are in quite a slump so far to start the season. Let us hope Gailey, Fitz, and crew are able to put on a better show the rest of the year.

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I don't believe Chan is the problem at all. We have had far more detailed posts on this subject then the conjecture in this article.  

First and foremost we had detailed breakdown on films out here that anyone can look at and see that Fitz is locking in on WRs and missing reads that would lead to  wide open TDs.  Wide open TDs!!!

That is not conjecture but fact.  

Second the reason why Chan is throwing in the red zone is because folks are stacking the box against the Jets and daring them to throw it.  A QB that leads the NFL in fourth quarter interceptions two years in a row is not on the OC and not a coincidence.

Can Chan do some things better?

Of course he can.  

But the idea that there should be an article on his inadequacies when you have a QB playing on pace to throw in excess of 40 plus INTs is preposterous.  Phil Simms in the KC games said that Fitz' performance in that game was the "worst he had ever seen" and that kind of crappy play is not on OC but on the guy picking up the $12 million dollar check.  

Indeed Fitz played way better, way better against Seattle and he still had three picks and was woefully inaccurate.  Come on now. 

I'm not a Fitz basher. I'm not......

I like his beard and his demeanor. I like that he commands respect in the locker room. I like that he is from Harvard and is determined as all heck. And I like that he is a true family man. I like him. 

What I don't like is horrific QB play. And he has been horrific, except for the Buffalo game  

Now if you had written or posted an article on our DC you would be on to something.  How this guy is escaping scrutiny and Bowles through him mystifies me.  Same old cronies roaming around that we sometimes saw with Rex.

But Chan, the problem, give me a break. 

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The Jets throw the ball like it's Madden inside the 10. Had something like 13 plays inside the 10 one game, and 11 pass plays were called.

 

The runs on 2nd and 10 are baffling. Neither Forte nor Powell is an inside/power runner, but Gailey dials up those up this middle plays like clockwork. If you have Ivory, okay. But otherwise it's pointless to run right at 2 or 3 300+ beasts. Fitz has no play action ability, so stop it. And even worse those plays are often delayed handoffs or handoffs with the back way back in the backfield. IT'S NOT 19 F__IN' 75 YOU IDIOT. Run outside the tackles or trap and pull, but for chrissakes, those plays the way this offense runs them are a waste of a play. 

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2 hours ago, Charlie Brown said:

I don't believe Chan is the problem at all. We have had far more detailed posts on this subject then the conjecture in this article.  

First and foremost we had detailed breakdown on films out here that anyone can look at and see that Fitz is locking in on WRs and missing reads that would lead to  wide open TDs.  Wide open TDs!!!

That is not conjecture but fact.  

Second the reason why Chan is throwing in the red zone is because folks are stacking the box against the Jets and daring them to throw it.  A QB that leads the NFL in fourth quarter interceptions two years in a row is not on the OC and not a coincidence.

Can Chan do some things better?

Of course he can.  

But the idea that there should be an article on his inadequacies when you have a QB playing on pace to throw in excess of 40 plus INTs is preposterous.  Phil Simms in the KC games said that Fitz' performance in that game was the "worst he had ever seen" and that kind of crappy play is not on OC but on the guy picking up the $12 million dollar check.  

Indeed Fitz played way better, way better against Seattle and he still had three picks and was woefully inaccurate.  Come on now. 

I'm not a Fitz basher. I'm not......

I like his beard and his demeanor. I like that he commands respect in the locker room. I like that he is from Harvard and is determined as all heck. And I like that he is a true family man. I like him. 

What I don't like is horrific QB play. And he has been horrific, except for the Buffalo game  

Now if you had written or posted an article on our DC you would be on to something.  How this guy is escaping scrutiny and Bowles through him mystifies me.  Same old cronies roaming around that we sometimes saw with Rex.

But Chan, the problem, give me a break. 

I keep hearing that Fitz is the least of our problems and how it's "everyone else's fault".

Its ironic how that works actually. 

 

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The more I see from Gailey the less I believe in him.  He's not very good at adapting and tightening things up when they are playing a tougher defense.  He couldn't figure out how to make good use of Jeremy Kerley who has proven that he's a good receiver either.

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4 hours ago, Charlie Brown said:

I don't believe Chan is the problem at all. We have had far more detailed posts on this subject then the conjecture in this article.  

First and foremost we had detailed breakdown on films out here that anyone can look at and see that Fitz is locking in on WRs and missing reads that would lead to  wide open TDs.  Wide open TDs!!!

That is not conjecture but fact.  

Second the reason why Chan is throwing in the red zone is because folks are stacking the box against the Jets and daring them to throw it.  A QB that leads the NFL in fourth quarter interceptions two years in a row is not on the OC and not a coincidence.

Can Chan do some things better?

Of course he can.  

But the idea that there should be an article on his inadequacies when you have a QB playing on pace to throw in excess of 40 plus INTs is preposterous.  Phil Simms in the KC games said that Fitz' performance in that game was the "worst he had ever seen" and that kind of crappy play is not on OC but on the guy picking up the $12 million dollar check.  

Indeed Fitz played way better, way better against Seattle and he still had three picks and was woefully inaccurate.  Come on now. 

I'm not a Fitz basher. I'm not......

I like his beard and his demeanor. I like that he commands respect in the locker room. I like that he is from Harvard and is determined as all heck. And I like that he is a true family man. I like him. 

What I don't like is horrific QB play. And he has been horrific, except for the Buffalo game  

Now if you had written or posted an article on our DC you would be on to something.  How this guy is escaping scrutiny and Bowles through him mystifies me.  Same old cronies roaming around that we sometimes saw with Rex.

But Chan, the problem, give me a break. 

Chan always runs on 2nd and 10.  I hate that.  He also shovel passes in the red zone. I hate that.  But seriously, 10 INTs and 9 in the last 2?  that is on Fitz.  Constantly throwing behind receivers?  Fitz.  Throwing at Marshall in double and triple coverage? Fitz.  Come on.

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29 minutes ago, the Claw said:

Yes, Gailey must improve. I'm not sure sometimes how he feels a game out.

Is he a major problem with this team? No.

Our QB and our Defense are wrapped up in an abusive, codependent relationship together. That is our biggest problem.

I think there are defensive problems in regards to breakdown on particular plays, but Bowles in Arizona ran a "bend but don't break" defense. If I remember correctly it was either his last year with them or the season prior where the Cards defense were like 27th in yards allowed but they were 7th in scores allowed. 

That's practically what this defense has become. The only game that the defense let it get out of hand was the Bills game. Bengals didn't run up the score, I think the chiefs offense scored only 10 points and the other 14 was given up by our offense and special teams. And once again in the Seahawks game the defense gave up 17 points, the other 10 points came in the 4th quarter all after interceptions by Fitz. 

Is the defense giving up yards and having breakdowns? Absolutely. However, opposing teams are not putting up points in the defense without getting plenty of help from our offense. Our offense threw the first 4 picks in the chiefs game yet the jets were STILL in that game until the pick 6 and then the final 6th pick to end it. 

Jets were down 10-17 against the hawks in the 4th before the offense began throwing picks. 

Points wise, the defense has not allowed teams to get out of control on the scoreboard and they've kept the Jets in every game. It's the Jets offense that are not only not scoring points but are leading the league in 4th qtr picks (throwing the game away) and are now even throwing pick 6's in which Earl Thomas dropped an easy one last Sunday. 

The real problem is at the quarterback position, because throwing 4th qtr picks in 3 of your 4 games while not putting up points puts the defense in an impossible position. 

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I think there are defensive problems in regards to breakdown on particular plays, but Bowles in Arizona ran a "bend but don't break" defense. If I remember correctly it was either his last year with them or the season prior where the Cards defense were like 27th in yards allowed but they were 7th in scores allowed. 
That's practically what this defense has become. The only game that the defense let it get out of hand was the Bills game. Bengals didn't run up the score, I think the chiefs offense scored only 10 points and the other 14 was given up by our offense and special teams. And once again in the Seahawks game the defense gave up 17 points, the other 10 points came in the 4th quarter all after interceptions by Fitz. 
Is the defense giving up yards and having breakdowns? Absolutely. However, opposing teams are not putting up points in the defense without getting plenty of help from our offense. Our offense threw the first 4 picks in the chiefs game yet the jets were STILL in that game until the pick 6 and then the final 6th pick to end it. 
Jets were down 10-17 against the hawks in the 4th before the offense began throwing picks. 
Points wise, the defense has not allowed teams to get out of control on the scoreboard and they've kept the Jets in every game. It's the Jets offense that are not only not scoring points but are leading the league in 4th qtr picks (throwing the game away) and are now even throwing pick 6's in which Earl Thomas dropped an easy one last Sunday. 
The real problem is at the quarterback position, because throwing 4th qtr picks in 3 of your 4 games while not putting up points puts the defense in an impossible position. 


It's nice to read a reasonable post once in a while.


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3 hours ago, Villain The Foe said:

I think there are defensive problems in regards to breakdown on particular plays, but Bowles in Arizona ran a "bend but don't break" defense. If I remember correctly it was either his last year with them or the season prior where the Cards defense were like 27th in yards allowed but they were 7th in scores allowed. 

That's practically what this defense has become. The only game that the defense let it get out of hand was the Bills game. Bengals didn't run up the score, I think the chiefs offense scored only 10 points and the other 14 was given up by our offense and special teams. And once again in the Seahawks game the defense gave up 17 points, the other 10 points came in the 4th quarter all after interceptions by Fitz. 

Is the defense giving up yards and having breakdowns? Absolutely. However, opposing teams are not putting up points in the defense without getting plenty of help from our offense. Our offense threw the first 4 picks in the chiefs game yet the jets were STILL in that game until the pick 6 and then the final 6th pick to end it. 

Jets were down 10-17 against the hawks in the 4th before the offense began throwing picks. 

Points wise, the defense has not allowed teams to get out of control on the scoreboard and they've kept the Jets in every game. It's the Jets offense that are not only not scoring points but are leading the league in 4th qtr picks (throwing the game away) and are now even throwing pick 6's in which Earl Thomas dropped an easy one last Sunday. 

The real problem is at the quarterback position, because throwing 4th qtr picks in 3 of your 4 games while not putting up points puts the defense in an impossible position. 

Thank you!!!

I agree with you 100%

I also believe that Bowles is not happy with the defense and I do believe through inference the DC Rogers.

IMO Rogers has been for the most part nondescript and ineffective.  In key portions of the game Bowles can be seen calling the defensive plays. Those consistent secondary breakdowns are on the DC and the secondary coach. 

Something is wrong there and I believe with a stronger DC the defense would be even better......

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Clearly Sixpatrich is the major problem by far!  Gailey is the best OC we've had in quite a while.  Averaging 17 points a game is quite an upgrade from the past.  I posted the article and started the thread because Gailey does have so things that need to be cleaned up and straightened out and I thought it was interesting to highlight them.   

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