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Will this draft party like it's 1999?


JetFreak89

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I was interested to see how many times there have been 3 QB's taken within the first 6 picks of the draft. How likely is it that one of them is available by the time the Jets pick rolls around? Obviously team need and the talent of the QB's in the draft play a role in this but perhaps we should feel fairly optimistic that we will land one of the Top 3 QB's if we don't secure Cousins in FA.

As you can see from the info below, the last time that 3 QB's were taken in the top 6 picks was in 1999. My point is that as sure as it seems that there will be 4 QB's taken by the 7th pick this year it would really be unprecedented draft history. The Giants could easily go in a different direction and the 3rd QB will drop to 6. Now whether that 3rd QB is one of the QB's that we want depends on CLE and Denver so we still might need to trade up to make sure we get the one we want. 

2017 - 1 Mitch Trubisky Pick 2

2016 - 2 - Jared Goff Pick 1; Carson Wentz Pick 2

2015 - 2 - Jameis Winston Pick 1; Marcus Mariota Pick 2

2014 - 1 - Blake Bortles Pick 3

2013 - 0 - (first QB taken was EJ Manuel @ Pick 16)

2012 - 2 - Andrew Luck Pick 1; RGIII Pick 2

2011 - 1 - Cam Newton Pick 1

2010 - 1 - Sam Bradford Pick 1

2009 - 2 - Matt Stafford Pick 1; Mark Sanchez Pick 5

2008 - 1 - Matt Ryan Pick 3

2007 - 1 - Jamarcus Russel Pick 1

2006 - 1 Vince Young Pick 3

2005 - 1 - Alex Smith Pick 1

2004 - 2 - Eli Manning Pick 1; Philip Rivers Pick 4

2003 - 1 - Carson Palmer Pick 1

2002 - 2 - David Carr Pick 1; Joey Harrington Pick 3

2001 - 1 - Mike Vick Pick 1

2000 - 0 - (first QB was Mr. Chad Pennington @ Pick 18)

1999 - 3 - Tim Couch Pick 1; Donovan McNabb Pick 2; Akili Smith Pick 3

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5 minutes ago, Beerfish said:

The list scary that is for sure, a lot of big busts, but you have to get up there to have a shot at some real premium guys.

You cannot plan for getting lucky ala brady and cousins

I was going to post the opposite haha! Yes, a lot of big busts but by my count, not counting Trubisky I would say teams "hit" on about 12/24. Basically a coin flip whether you end up with a franchise QB. 

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25 minutes ago, JetFreak89 said:

I was going to post the opposite haha! Yes, a lot of big busts but by my count, not counting Trubisky I would say teams "hit" on about 12/24. Basically a coin flip whether you end up with a franchise QB. 

 

I'll take those odds in a heartbeat, if the opportunity arises. 

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Taking a QB in the first round is a gamble. The position has a high bust-rate. It's still the best way to get a top notch talent at the position -- they're almost impossible to get in FA and a much smaller percentage of QBs taken after the 1st round end up doing anything... For every Brees, Wilson, or Brady there are a thousand Bryce Pettys and Christian Hackenbergs.

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