Grandy's QB Rankings for 2018 NFL Draft

[Grandy]

Good evening JetsNation. My name is Grandy, and I want to give you my professional review of the 3 best QB's in the 2018 NFL Draft.

1: Baker Mayfield

Baker is my top QB in the 2018 class, and for good reason. He's a natural stud with an it factor on display. Mayfield has pinpoint accuracy, and is good at throwing on the run, and can hit really any throw. He also displays great mobility both throwing, and running with the football. Even though he has had some off-field issues, it doesn't touch Manziel levels (Like most worry about). He displays great leadership, and is a fierce competitor, and most importantly; a hard worker. Mayfield was a walk-on starting college, and worked his way into being the top player in college football (Heisman), becoming the first player ever to do so. He's a great playmaker that'll perform at a high level in the big stage. NFL comparism: Drew Brees, or Russell Wilson

2: Josh Rosen

Rosen is my #2, but not by far. In my opinion, both him and Mayfield will bring forward quality pro play. Rosen is a prototypical stud QB. He has a cannon, a tall 6,4 build, and good accuracy. From a pure passer standpoint, he's undoubtedly the best in the class. He displays great footwork, something QB's tend to struggle on in the amateur level. His throwing motion is smooth, and fluid, and he throws a great football. He can fit tight spirals to make any throw. Reason he isn't the easy #1 is due to 2 things; Injuries & personality. He's suffered 2 concussions, and 1 arm surgery before even hitting the pro level, and character concerns have caused some to doubt his love for the game. If he manages to stay healthy, he'll be a star in the NFL. NFL Comparison: Matt Ryan with a stronger arm

3: Sam Darnold

Sam Darnold is probably the top overall prospect in the class. He's still very unrefined, but his ceiling is as higher than anyone else. He'll be either a superstud legend, or a complete dud. He shares the same stud "it" factor that Mayfield does with pulling off some of the most amazing plays you'll ever see. He's got a really strong arm on him, and displays quality accuracy. He's got great mobility, he can run, and can throw on the run. He draws similar comparisons to Aaron Rodgers in his play style . His main knockoffs are composure, and turnovers. He displays poor footwork, and has a really wonky throwing motion, almost like throwing a Baseball. These aren't too big, and could be improved upon by proper coaching. He led College football in turnovers, mostly due to bad hands, and forcing bad passes, which have caused some to worry about his hand size. Overall, he'd be a huge project, but if done correctly; he could become the next Aaron Rodgers.

 

[nycdan]

Professional.  Yes, using the word stud in all three write-ups pretty much gave that away.

[Greenseed4]

Honest question: did Grandy sign the Revis helmet? 

[bla bla bla]

I agree with your assessments on all accounts. I can debate the order but I think it is splitting hairs. I am a big Mayfield fan and hope we find a way to land him.

[Patriot Killa]

Apparently the Bills Love Rosen just as much as the rest of the QB needy teams. They are said to be willing to trade up to #2 for him. If we don’t get Cousins, we might have bigger problems on our hands than overpaying....

I would hope we get one of your top 2 though.

[jetsons]

I want Mayfield.

[nycdan]

1 hour ago, Patriot Killa said:

Apparently the Bills Love Rosen just as much as the rest of the QB needy teams. They are said to be willing to trade up to #2 for him. If we don’t get Cousins, we might have bigger problems on our hands than overpaying....

I would hope we get one of your top 2 though.

Bills 'willing' to trade up to 2.  I've seen that rumor floated.  Has anyone tried to really parse out the value proposition? 

I've heard #21, #22, Cordy Glenn and another pick (2019 2nd).  I'm pretty skeptical on the so-called trade value chart, but it's useful as one indicator.  The two BUF picks are worth 1,580 vs. the NYG at 2,600.  a mid-2019 2nd equates to a mid-2018 3rd which is another 190.  So they are 830 points short which is equivalent to the 19th pick of the 1st round.  Glenn has missed about half of the team's games over the past 2 seasons.  I think they would have to pony up at least another serious pick like this year's 2nd rounder to close the gap and that's only if nobody else was bidding.

Now if you stick to the chart, NYJ have a long way to go as well, with a 1,000 point difference between #6 and #2, which makes #6 worth almost the same as #s 21/22.  Leaving Glenn out of it and using the Wentz trade as a guide, it might take our #6 plus either next year's #1 or one of this year's 2nd and next year's 2nd.  BUF could match it but would have to do even more because their 2nd rounder is much lower than ours' this year.

So I think it really just comes down to what the Giants are looking to do.  At 6, Chubb, Barkley or Minkah are still very much in play.  At 21/22 they might grab one of the OTs and Guice.  Oddly, the value in the early 20s seems to be very heavily slanted to the OL so getting Cordy Glenn with both of those picks might not make a ton of sense.  It'll be interesting to see how it plays out but I would be surprised if BUF was able to get up to 2.  More likely they could go to 5 if DEN drafts Cousins, or maybe 4 if not.