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Sportsbook odds for #1 Pick


JoJoTownsell1

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32 minutes ago, JoJoTownsell1 said:

bookmaker and probably just about any other sportsbook. Mayfield now at -260 to go #1 overall. 

Wow.  Any yet someone just said that Mayock was on NFLN and said this Mayfield at #1 is a complete smokeshow.  Darnold will be the pick.  I wonder if this is true deception by the Browns in trying to get the Jets or someone else to trade up?  Imagine going so far as Dorsey bringing in all his scouts early this morning and showing revealing a Draft Board that turned out to not be true. :o 

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6 minutes ago, Adoni Beast said:

Vegas knows more than Mayock. There is no reason for the team that owns the #1 pick to create smokescreens unless they were looking to trade down, which they aren’t and would have already if they wanted to. 

Vegas is only reacting to the news and to waves and waves of bets on Mayfield going #1. There is an online sportsbook guy I follow on twitter saying they will all get killed if Mayfield goes #1. 

With that said, the odds are now at -325 for Mayfield to go #1. That is up from -180 just a few hours ago. 

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Just now, JoJoTownsell1 said:

Vegas is only reacting to the news and to waves and waves of bets on Mayfield going #1. There is an online sportsbook guy I follow on twitter saying they will all get killed if Mayfield goes #1. 

With that said, the odds are now at -325 for Mayfield to go #1. That is up from -180 just a few hours ago. 

When a Vegas line moves this close to the event it is for, you can feel pretty good about that bet. This isn’t a game either where upsets happen. This is information related. Trust me, Vegas has shelled out good cash for the information. 

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27 minutes ago, Adoni Beast said:

Vegas knows more than Mayock. There is no reason for the team that owns the #1 pick to create smokescreens unless they were looking to trade down, which they aren’t and would have already if they wanted to. 

well, unless that team also owns the #4 pick. And a lot of active trades in the works at the #2 pick.  

With that said, I think it's much, much more likely that you're right and Cleveland is going Mayfield, but you never know.

 

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31 minutes ago, Adoni Beast said:

Vegas knows more than Mayock. There is no reason for the team that owns the #1 pick to create smokescreens unless they were looking to trade down, which they aren’t and would have already if they wanted to. 

They own the #1 pick but also the #4 pick. There is definitely a reason to put on the smokescreen because of that #4 pick.

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2 hours ago, Adoni Beast said:

Vegas knows more than Mayock. There is no reason for the team that owns the #1 pick to create smokescreens unless they were looking to trade down, which they aren’t and would have already if they wanted to. 

But they have the #4 pick as well - why show your hand?

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6 hours ago, JoJoTownsell1 said:

Mayfield -181

Darnold +144

Allen +166

Rosen +6000

not good because it has allen ranked ahead of rosen by a ton.  this means that if the giaints go barkley then the jets will pick either darnold or allen.  but if the giaints or whoever they trade with go darnold then the jets take allen.

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1 minute ago, rangerous said:

not good because it has allen ranked ahead of rosen by a ton.  this means that if the giaints go barkley then the jets will pick either darnold or allen.  but if the giaints or whoever they trade with go darnold then the jets take allen.

Nope, these are odds for #1 which Rosen saud he didn't want to go to Cleveland and there has been nothing linking him there. Has nothing to do with what Jets might do other than whomever Cleveland takes at 1 won't be available 

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Just now, CTM said:

Nope, these are odds for #1 which Rosen saud he didn't want to go to Cleveland and there has been nothing linking him there. Has nothing to do with what Jets might do other than whomever Cleveland takes at 1 won't be available 

don't kid yourself.  it may be clevelands pick but these teams are all looking for the same thing and rosen being so far out of the running means something. likewise, darnold and allen being so close means something.

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17 minutes ago, rangerous said:

don't kid yourself.  it may be clevelands pick but these teams are all looking for the same thing and rosen being so far out of the running means something. likewise, darnold and allen being so close means something.

Good god. These are a bit dated but explain to me why Rosen is the favorite for our pick if I'm kidding myself. 

https://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/nfl-draft-2018-odds-and-picks

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4 hours ago, jetstream23 said:

Wow.  Any yet someone just said that Mayock was on NFLN and said this Mayfield at #1 is a complete smokeshow.  Darnold will be the pick.  I wonder if this is true deception by the Browns in trying to get the Jets or someone else to trade up?  Imagine going so far as Dorsey bringing in all his scouts early this morning and showing revealing a Draft Board that turned out to not be true. :o 

Rumor was they were trying to smoke out a leak.

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1 hour ago, batman10023 said:

not sure a smoke screen gets them anything.  they have the first pick.  

To optimize the return for #4 they would attempt to induce another team to trade up for a QB this ensuring who they want at #4

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2 minutes ago, Vader said:

To optimize the return for #4 they would attempt to induce another team to trade up for a QB this ensuring who they want at #4

this doesn't make any sense.  which pick are they going to trade?  the first pick? they are not trading the first pick. 

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8 hours ago, JoJoTownsell1 said:

Mayfield -181

Darnold +144

Allen +166

Rosen +6000

I am no qb wisperer, but the vibe I am getting is that there is not a lot of difference in these qb's and they are all rated about the same. I don't see why rosen couldn't go number #1. he looks to be as talented as the other guys. what would $100 on rosen +6000 pay out?

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6 minutes ago, ylekram said:

I am no qb wisperer, but the vibe I am getting is that there is not a lot of difference in these qb's and they are all rated about the same. I don't see why rosen couldn't go number #1. he looks to be as talented as the other guys. what would $100 on rosen +6000 pay out?

6k

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13 hours ago, CTM said:

Good god. These are a bit dated but explain to me why Rosen is the favorite for our pick if I'm kidding myself. 

https://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/nfl-draft-2018-odds-and-picks

i guess the odds picked the qb draft order pretty well.

 

13 hours ago, CTM said:

Good god. These are a bit dated but explain to me why Rosen is the favorite for our pick if I'm kidding myself. 

https://www.oddsshark.com/nfl/nfl-draft-2018-odds-and-picks

 

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