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New York Jets are faced with a fascinating Jason Myers decision


Gas2No99

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New York Jets are faced with a fascinating Jason Myers decision

Jason Myers

 

Michael Nania

 

I‘ll readily admit it—when the dust settled and it was clear that Jason Myers was going to be the opening week kicker for the New York Jets, I was as skeptical of the decision as could be regarding the kicker position.

Free agent Chandler Catanzaro bolted for Tampa Bay, leaving the Jets on the prowl for a new starting kicker.

 

When they decided on Myers over the rookie Taylor Bertolet, I was enraged. Myers fizzled out in Jacksonville, connecting on only 81.0 percent of his field goals (77.6 percent over his final two seasons) and a ghastly 87.6 percent of his extra points, missing more point after attempts than anybody in the league from 2015-17.

He also struggled in clutch situations. From 2015-17, Myers hit only 12 of 20 (60 percent) field goals to tie or take the lead in the 4th quarter and overtime—36th of 36 kickers with 10-plus tries in that situation.

I thought to myself, “the Jets couldn’t do any better than this?”

 

They couldn’t give the young stud a shot?

There wasn’t a more reliable vet out there?

Why couldn’t they roll the dice on Dan Bailey?

 

Yet, as we sit here in February, Myers was one of only three members of the 2018 Jets to make the Pro Bowl.

My mouth was shut in the grandest of fashions.

Myers made 33 of his 36 field goal attempts on the season, a sterling 91.7 percent rate that was good enough for sixth best in the league and best among regular AFC starters. His 33 makes tied for third in the league, while he ranked seventh in the league in scoring with 129 points.

Myers’ total of 129 points was the second-most ever in a single season by a JetJim Turner dropped 145 in the Jets’ 1968 championship season. Myers’ 33 makes tied Nick Folk‘s 2013 campaign for the second-most ever by a Jet, also behind Turner’s 1968 season (34 makes).

 

The Marist College product did all of that kicking from an average distance of 40.53 yards, the sixth-furthest average in the league among the 29 kickers with at least 20 field goal attempts.

It’s only the second time in NFL history that a kicker made over 2.0 field goals per game from an average distance of 40.0-plus yards while connecting on over 90.0 percent of his kicks. The only other kicker to do it previously was potential future Hall-of-Famer Justin Tucker.

Myers’ total of six 50-plus yard field goals made also tied for the most in the league. His total of 17 makes from 40-plus placed him alone at the top of the league.

Bottom line—Myers absolutely killed it for the Jets in 2018.

However, with the California native hitting free agency, the Jets now have a tough decision to make. Do they buy into his breakout 2018 season and give him the dough? Or, similarly to how they handled Catanzaro a year ago, do they decide Myers’ 2018 season was a fluke and move on from him?

Let’s take a look back at recent history and see if any examples exist that could help us figure out whether or not breakout kicker performances lead to sustained future success.

We can rewind the clock back a year and take a look at Myers’ replacement in Jacksonville, Josh Lambo.

The Jaguars cut Myers six games into the 2017 season after he made only 73.3 percent of his field goals and 88.2 percent of his extra points, failing to bounce back after a poor 2016 campaign.

Lambo took over for the final ten games. He had previously struggled in San Diego, where he missed eight extra points and made only 81.5 percent of his field goals.

Finishing up 2017 for the Jaguars, Lambo hit 95.0 percent of his field goals and a decent 91.7 percent of his extra points, then followed it up with a perfect playoff run as he went four-for-four on field goals and nine-for-nine on PATs.

Lambo followed it up in 2018 with a 90.5 percent field goal percentage and a career-best 95.0 percent extra point rate, missing only one PAT all year.

The Jaguars just recently rewarded him with an extension—so we shall see from here how things turn out for Lambo.

How about some free agent examples from 2018?

While Lambo is a feel-good story, taking a look at the names given big money on the kicker market a year ago rings a much different tune.

Jason Myers Lachlan Edwards (Photo by Frederick Breedon/Getty Images)

The highest-paid kicker in 2018 free agency? Cody Parkey.

The Bears gave Parkey a four-year, $15.0M deal that made him the ninth-highest paid kicker in 2018.

Parkey, who made a career-high 91.3 percent of his field goals for the Dolphins in 2017 (Gase as HC), cashed in big on his career year, but failed to deliver.

He kicked a career-higher high seven field goals in his first and only season as a Bear, making just 76.7 percent of his attempts.

The playoffs rolled around, and we all know what happened on that dark night in Chicago.

Doink. Doink.

Parkey is still a Bear as of today. The team will likely replace him – but they will not be cured of his salary cap hit in 2019 due to the $9M they guaranteed him last year.:jawdrop:

How about the second-highest paid kicker in 2018 free agency?

That was the aforementioned Jets incumbent—Chandler Catanzaro, who signed a three-year, $9.8M deal with Tampa Bay.

Catanzaro made only 73.3 percent of his field goals and 85.2 percent of his extra points, missing four of each, and was cut by the Buccaneers just nine games into his deal.

The third-highest paid kicker of 2018 free agency was Caleb Sturgis, the former Eagle that was signed by the Chargers.

Strugis played in only one game for the 2017 Super Bowl Champion Eagles, but had a strong year in his previous fully healthy season. In 2016, he made 85.4 percent of his field goals and 96.8 percent of his extra points.

The Chargers gave Sturgis a two-year, $4.5M deal.

He didn’t even last half the season in Los Angeles. Through six games, Sturgis had already missed four field goals and an astronomically terrible six extra points, converting on 69.2 percent of his FGs and 60.0 percent his PATs.

Rookie Michael Badgley took over for L.A. and was great, missing only one field goal and one extra point over the final ten games of the season.

So, the Jets have a tough decision to make. Myers was a truly elite performer in 2018. As it was only his fourth NFL season and he will only be 28 years old this season, that run could very well have been a sign of things to come for Myers rather than a blip on the radar.

Still, it doesn’t erase the previous three years in which Myers was a major liability for the Jaguars. Until Myers puts together back-to-back strong years, he can’t be considered a sure thing.

In my opinion, I’d take the risk and lock up Myers on a front-loaded longterm deal with little money guaranteed beyond the first year and go from there. The Jets are in a cap situation where they can afford to lose out on a tiny bit of extra space in the present to convince Myers to come back on a deal that keeps the team safe in the future.

Bring him back, cross your fingers he can make 2018 the norm, and just make sure you have the flexibility to move on if he bombs.

Who will the Jets bet on? Will it be their in-house Pro Bowler with a checkered past? Or will it be an unproven youngster on a measly deal for peanuts?

Your move, Mike Maccagnan.

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Just now, T0mShane said:

Having to produce 1,200 words on the Jets kicker situation is why many bloggers choose to kill themselves. 

I think elite kickers should have more coverage. This blogger is clearly a fearless renegade bent on changing the landscape of the NFL with emphasizing the importance of kickers. 

Good on him.

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5 minutes ago, T0mShane said:

Having to produce 1,200 words on the Jets kicker situation is why many bloggers choose to kill themselves. 

I thought he was opining on what the Jets should do with one of their top 3 players (according to the league) who's also a FA, sadly the Kicker was the Jets' most dangerous Offensive Scoring Weapon in 2018 :(

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45 minutes ago, thshadow said:

At the risk of being responsive to the OP :lol:- isn't the franchise number for kickers really low?  That's an easy way to get a guaranteed 1-year contract.

 

Yeah, the OP is a REAL @$$hol3! 

 

Kicker Contracts:

Player Team Total 
Value
Avg./Year Total 
Guaranteed
Avg. 
Guar./Year
% Guar. Free 
Agency
Stephen Gostkowski Patriots $17,200,000 $4,300,000 $10,100,000 $2,525,000 58.7% 2019 UFA
Graham Gano Panthers $17,000,000 $4,250,000 $8,000,000 $2,000,000 47.1% 2022 UFA
Chris Boswell Steelers $16,806,000 $4,201,500 $7,295,000 $1,823,750 43.4% 2023 UFA
Justin Tucker Ravens $16,800,000 $4,200,000 $10,800,000 $2,700,000 64.3% 2020 UFA
Mason Crosby Packers $16,100,000 $4,025,000 $5,000,000 $1,250,000 31.1% 2020 UFA
Ryan Succop Titans $20,000,000 $4,000,000 $7,500,000 $1,500,000 37.5% 2023 UFA
Adam Vinatieri Colts $3,875,000 $3,875,000 $2,000,000 $2,000,000 51.6% 2020 UFA
Matt Prater Lions $11,400,000 $3,800,000 $3,600,000 $1,200,000 31.6% 2021 UFA
Brandon McManus Broncos $11,254,000 $3,751,333 $6,000,000 $2,000,000 53.3% 2021 UFA
Cody Parkey Bears $15,000,000 $3,750,000 $9,000,000 $2,250,000 60.0% 2022 UFA
Matt Bryant Falcons $10,500,000 $3,500,000 $2,000,000 $666,667 19.0% 2021 UFA
Phil Dawson Cardinals $6,000,000 $3,000,000 $1,500,000 $750,000 25.0% 2019 UFA
Stephen Hauschka Bills $8,850,000 $2,950,000 $4,000,000 $1,333,333 45.2% 2020 UFA
Dustin Hopkins Redskins $7,575,000 $2,525,000 $1,201,072 $400,357 15.9% 2021 UFA
Greg Zuerlein Rams $6,750,000 $2,250,000 $2,375,000 $791,667 35.2% 2020 UFA
Randy Bullock Bengals $4,205,000 $2,102,500 $750,000 $375,000 17.8% 2021 UFA
Sebastian Janikowski Seahawks $2,015,000 $2,015,000 $600,000 $600,000 29.8% 2019 UFA
Robbie Gould 49ers $4,000,000 $2,000,000 $1,000,000 $500,000 25.0% 2019 UFA
Dan Bailey Vikings $1,750,000 $1,750,000 $1,750,000 $1,750,000 100.0% 2019 UFA
Mike Nugent Raiders $1,015,000 $1,015,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Kai Forbath Jaguars $1,720,000 $860,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 UFA
Chandler Catanzaro Panthers $790,000 $790,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Cairo Santos Buccaneers $790,000 $790,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Jason Myers Jets $705,000 $705,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Josh Lambo Jaguars $1,320,000 $660,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 UFA
Jason Sanders Dolphins $2,551,200 $637,800 $91,200 $22,800 3.6% 2022 UFA
Giorgio Tavecchio Falcons $1,200,000 $600,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 RFA
Zane Gonzalez Cardinals $1,200,000 $600,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 RFA
Redford Jones Bears $1,755,000 $585,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2022 RFA
Tristan Vizcaino Bengals $1,755,000 $585,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2022 RFA
Phillip Andersen Buccaneers $1,755,000 $585,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2022 RFA
Eddy Pineiro Raiders $1,735,000 $578,333 $25,000 $8,333 1.4% 2021 RFA
Michael Badgley Chargers $1,710,000 $570,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2021 RFA
Ka’imi Fairbairn Texans $1,627,500 $542,500 $7,500 $2,500 0.5% 2019 RFA
Wil Lutz Saints $1,620,000 $540,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 RFA
Ty Long Chargers $1,080,000 $540,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2021 ERFA
Brett Maher Cowboys $1,050,000 $525,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 ERFA
Matt McCrane Steelers $1,050,000 $525,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 ERFA
Greg Joseph Browns $1,050,000 $525,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 ERFA
Harrison Butker Chiefs $1,020,000 $510,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Jake Elliott Eagles $1,020,000 $510,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Aldrick Rosas Giants $1,020,000 $510,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2019 ERFA
Sam Ficken Seahawks $495,000 $495,000 $0 $0 0.0% 2020 ERFA
Daniel Carlson Raiders $480,000 $480,000 $0 $0 0.0%

2019 ERFA

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I am loathe to use this term, because I hate it so much, but here it goes....  Sign this Beast!  Myers surely deserves to be re-signed based on his tremendous performance last year.  As cited, his season statistically was  as good as any Jets' kicker has ever had, but it is more than that.  He was consistently one of the best in the league on kickoffs.  He demonstrated one of the strongest legs in the league, seemingly having unlimited range.  He was a fearless tackler on special teams, something I respect in a kicker, a tribute to the great Garo Yepremian.?  It is also a tribute to the Jets Field Goal Kicking Coach, as fine as you will find in the league.  A " Maccagnan Special", a front loaded short term  deal is in order.   BTW  Adrick Rosas agent, if he has one should be shot.  He's an excellent kicker, working for pennies.

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5 minutes ago, joenamathwouldn'tcry said:

I am loathe to use this term, because I hate it so much, but here it goes....  Sign this Beast!  Myers surely deserves to be re-signed based on his tremendous performance last year.  As cited, his season statistically was  as good as any Jets' kicker has ever had, but it is more than that.  He was consistently one of the best in the league on kickoffs.  He demonstrated one of the strongest legs in the league, seemingly having unlimited range.  He was a fearless tackler on special teams, something I respect in a kicker, a tribute to the great Garo Yepremian.?  It is also a tribute to the Jets Field Goal Kicking Coach, as fine as you will find in the league.  A " Maccagnan Special", a front loaded short term  deal is in order.   BTW  Adrick Rosas agent, if he has one should be shot.  He's an excellent kicker, working for pennies.

YEah, but the article also points out how HORRIBLE he was the previous 3 years and whether 2018 was just a fluke. 

The Cody Parkey comparison and costly risk it ended up being is a legitimate one, IMO. 

If Mac were shrewd enough, he would FTag Meyers and see what desperate contending team (Chicago? Recall Minny in 2015 w/Blair?) may be willing to part with a pick for a PK they can have faith in.

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In regards to the kicker situation, he would be worth talking to about a new deal, but if the cost is high, it's really not worth it.  He doesn't have the greatest track record, and was having issues at the end of the season.  However, even more than that, the one thing that Jets do deserve credit for is that they've been very successful in recent years of getting very good seasons out of other team's past struggling kickers.  It was Folk, then Catanzaro, and now Myers.  In the case of those first two, they both immediately went back to their pre-Jets struggles with their next teams.

As bad as they've done with other things, the Jets have done an excellent job of coaching up their kickers, so nothing against Myers, but there's not much reason to make heavy investments there.

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5 minutes ago, Bleedin Green said:

In regards to the kicker situation . . .   He doesn't have the greatest track record, and was having issues at the end of the season.  However, even more than that, the one thing that Jets do deserve credit for is that they've been very successful in recent years of getting very good seasons out of other team's past struggling kickers.  It was Folk, then Catanzaro, and now Myers.  In the case of those first two, they both immediately went back to their pre-Jets struggles with their next teams.

 

 

Great Point.

I recall being REALLY disappointed with each of those mentioned PKs making the team in their respective years and then they end up being one of our more valuable and consistent players on the entire 53-man roster!?!?

It's weird that we've had HORRIBLE special teams since Westhoff left, but the PKs who were below-avg. JAGS ended up being the strong suit of that unit despite the overall decline in the other STs aspects. 

I still say Tag & Trade, if feasible. 

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33 minutes ago, Gas2No99 said:

Would JN be in favor of paying a historic one-year wonder Kicker ~ $4-5M/year when they just cut an OLineman that would have cost $6.5M?

Which is more valuable/harder to replace? a Guard or a top PK? 

Why is that the choice?  Strictly hypothetical?  I am pretty sure that Meyers can be signed for around 2.75 million, or slightly more. That would place him in reasonable company and would be a nice increase over what he made last season.  Besides, I hear he is a better snapper than Long.  Franchising him would make his salary 4.25 million and would defeat the purpose.  As stated, "one year wonders", don't warrant Franchise Tag Status.They can get him for less than that.

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2 hours ago, Patriot Killa said:

Good thing Jamal is a middle linebacker. 

Well we need players that are great even if they truly play other positions like a safety mostly playing LB. We just need football players like Jamal, Darnold, Herndon, etc. to turn this team to be first more competitive and then go from there.

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2 hours ago, joenamathwouldn'tcry said:

Why is that the choice?  Strictly hypothetical? I am pretty sure that Meyers can be signed for around 2.75 million, or slightly more. That would place him in reasonable company and would be a nice increase over what he made last season.  Besides, I hear he is a better snapper than Long.  Franchising him would make his salary 4.25 million and would defeat the purpose.  As stated, "one year wonders", don't warrant Franchise Tag Status.They can get him for less than that.

 

Caveat #1: I think, like Cody Parker in '18, Meyers will try to $$$ in BIG on his 2018 performance and go to a contender who needs that PK to get them over the hump. So, referring to the list of PK salaries posted above, I think he'll sign - and most likely get - in that $4M+ area. I'd be ecstatic if he were to sign for $2.75M w/us, but with the cap going up and teams in need of his services (Indy, Chicago) as a FA, I don't see it. 

 

It's not a choice, but more of a comparison. Jets were not willing to (and I agree) spend $6.5M for a 5th year OLineman who could arguably play 2 positions in an area of team desperate for depth (he was that bad), BUT (as some stated above to sign him to a multi-year deal) would spend $4M on a PK? 

But the sad part is that Meyers was material to our offense in '18 - could be interpreted as a good thing or a bad thing. 

I agree that Jets should attempt to re-sign him, but no more than a certain ceiling. $3.8M IMO. I just don't agree w/you that he would sign for that cheap; he's going to try to squeeze as much $ as he can for that 2018 performance. 

 

 

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1 minute ago, TuscanyTile2 said:

New York Jets are faced with a fascinating Jason Myers decision

So basically the article was "should they bring him back?"  Fascinating!

zzzZZzzzZ

What would you pay him to bring him back?

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2 minutes ago, Gas2No99 said:

What would you pay him to bring him back?

I'll trust the Jets to make the decision.  I'm just saying nothing about what I read is anything I'd consider to be "fascinating". 

I know you didn't write the article btw.  But the person who did put a very clickbait title.

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8 minutes ago, Gas2No99 said:

 

Caveat #1: I think, like Cody Parker in '18, Meyers will try to $$$ in BIG on his 2018 performance and go to a contender who needs that PK to get them over the hump. So, referring to the list of PK salaries posted above, I think he'll sign - and most likely get - in that $4M+ area. I'd be ecstatic if he were to sign for $2.75M w/us, but with the cap going up and teams in need of his services (Indy, Chicago) as a FA, I don't see it. 

 

It's not a choice, but more of a comparison. Jets were not willing to (and I agree) spend $6.5M for a 5th year OLineman who could arguably play 2 positions in an area of team desperate for depth (he was that bad), BUT (as some stated above to sign him to a multi-year deal) would spend $4M on a PK? 

But the sad part is that Meyers was material to our offense in '18 - could be interpreted as a good thing or a bad thing. 

I agree that Jets should attempt to re-sign him, but no more than a certain ceiling. $3.8M IMO. I just don't agree w/you that he would sign for that cheap; he's going to try to squeeze as much $ as he can for that 2018 performance. 

 

 

If that's the case with him, then it's bye bye.  2018 is over.  The whole dynamic of the team will be different, so to assume that the kicker will be as integral a part of the scoring as he was last year doesn't make sense.  I get the analogy in respect to Long and it was a good one.  Sometimes players, kickers especially, get tired of changing teams year after year.  Maybe Meyer's is one of these, and that it'll work to our advantage.  The retention of Boyer has to be a plus, I assume.  Catanzaro had a decent year for us in 2017, but I had nowhere near the confidence in him that I had in Meyers last season.  He was awesome in all facets of the kicking game.  I like to have a comfort level with the kicker. I think their importance is underrated. G-d knows enough sh*t goes wrong during the games without adding extra points and 45 yard field goals to the mix. I haven't had that comfort with a kicker since Folk had that one good year and before that going all the way back to Pat Leahy.  I like that feeling.  I hope they keep him.

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39 minutes ago, TuscanyTile2 said:

I'll trust the Jets to make the decision.  I'm just saying nothing about what I read is anything I'd consider to be "fascinating". 

I know you didn't write the article btw.  But the person who did put a very clickbait title.

LOL! That's your 1st mistake right there. If history has shown Jets fan anything . . . . 

 

It is clickbait-is, but it's the dead zone after the SB and before the annual human meat market assessment in Indy. 

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30 minutes ago, joenamathwouldn'tcry said:

 I haven't had that comfort with a kicker since Folk had that one good year and before that going all the way back to Pat Leahy.  I like that feeling.  I hope they keep him.

Really? No love for John Hall 

kickers-hall.jpg

 

 

I agree w/your post wholeheartedly. 2018 was last year and if the team is IMPROVED on offense in ANY sense, then Meyers won't be as crucial to the team's overall offensive success if he's merely relegated to PATs. I think he'll ask for the moon and the Jets will be in need of PK services via FA once again. 

Scoring points, even FGs, does help the confidence of a developing young QB that sees some fruit to his offensive drives' despite not getting the TD. 

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