The Road to the Playoffs

[kevinc855]

Bills still gotta play the pats and ravens. Cowboys game isn’t a gimme for them either 

[Bruce Harper]

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[CanadienJetsFan]

One game at a time.

beat Cincy.

[UnknownJetFan]

10 hours ago, Barry McCockinner said:

First things first. The point of this thread is to document and discuss our outside shot at the playoffs. Their is a very low probability of this actually happening at this point. No ish. If you're here to tell us there's no chance or it's not happening you can eat my entire ass.

1) At this point it seems there is only 1 wildcard spot up for grabs unless the Bills have an epic collapse.
    1a) I actually don't put it pas them as they're playing @Dal, vs. Bal, @Pitt, @NE the next 4 weeks. 

2) The Jets must win out which means winning @Baltimore and @Buffalo.

These are the opponents ahead of us for the second wildcard spot right now.

Raiders 6-5
    @KC, vs. Ten, vs Jax, @LAC, @Den
    We need them to lose 2, we have the tie breaker.

Steelers 6-5
    vs. Cle, @Ari, vs Buff, @NYJ, @Bal
    We need them to lose two, one of which is us.

Browns 5-6
    @Pitt, vs. Cin, @Ari, vs Bal, @Cin
    We need them to lose two since they have tie-breaker

Colts 6-5
    vs. Tenn, @TB, @NO, vs. Car, @Jax
    We need them to have 2 losses including an AFC opponent or 3 losses to NFC

Titans 6-5
    @Indy, @Raiders, vs Hou, vs NO, @Hou
    We need them to lose 3

Feel free to add possibilities or correct. Here's the playoff machine - fun to play with.

http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine/_/factor/wins/results/401128063~1~401128058~1~401128005~2~401127997~2~401128020~2~401128060~2~401127933~1~401127946~2~401127896~1~401127973~2~401127950~1~401127988~1~401127906~2~401128117~1~401127994~2

 

Next week:

Raiders @KC - Root for KC

Cle @Pitt - Root for Pitt, they still play us & Bal

Tenn @Indy - Root for Tenn, they still play @Oak, Hou x2 & NO

Buff @Dal - Root for Dal

If all this happens + Jets win we have the following going into week 14.

Jets 5-7

Oak 6-6

Cle 5-7

Tenn 7-5

Buff 8-4

BTW, Tenn Conf record in 4-4 so 2 AFC losses makes that 6-6 and they have Texans twice so that could easily occur. Then it would come to other tiebreakers which are hard to calculate here. So, 3 losses by them may not be necessary.

Also complicating this further that helps and can hurt us in that if 3 or more of these teams tie at 9-7 and have all played and each have beaten others in that ring of 9-7 teams, sometimes that voids the head to head record and drops down to the next tiebreaker of conf record. Pit and Clev have best conf records at 5-3 which may be an issue since best we can be is 6-6. But, I digress, Gase said back in Training camp that there was no reason we would not be in the playoff conversation and in Dec. be playing meaningful games and if the next 2 weeks we take care of business then he would be right about that despite the 1st half of the season woes that are well documented.

[Jets0712]

We win out. Pitt & oak all 9-7 all others 8-8. Were in


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[SAM SAM HE'S OUR MAN]

13 minutes ago, Jets0712 said:

We win out. Pitt & oak all 9-7 all others 8-8. Were in


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Would you like to buy a bridge ?

[Barry McCockinner]

8 hours ago, CanadienJetsFan said:

One game at a time.

beat Cincy.

I laugh and cringe every time I see a fan post something like this as if we need to stay focused as fans or bad things will happen. That's how the players need to look at it. It doesn't matter if fans take it one game at a time ffs

 

ONE GAME AT A TIME GUYS, STAY FOCUSED ON THE BENGALS. ALL HANDS ON DECK.

[Jetlife33]

Crazier things have happened tbh. Bills schedule is brutal and their 2 easier games are in Pitt and against us. Not getting my hopes up though, it is fun to think about that’s for sure. 

[DJF71]

Basically need every one of those teams to have a worse record than the Jets.  We don't hold the tiebreaker with any of them except the Raiders.

[DJF71]

If we finish 9-7 then thats good enough for me.

[Barry McCockinner]

40 minutes ago, DJF71 said:

Basically need every one of those teams to have a worse record than the Jets.  We don't hold the tiebreaker with any of them except the Raiders.

this is wrong, read the thread.

[southparkcpa]

13 hours ago, kevinc855 said:

Don’t bet against that epic Bills collapse ending with our week 17 w against them ?

I would LOVE that, Charlotte is FULL of Western NY transplants.  The GM of the Bills, Brendon Beane, worked for me 24 years ago here in Charlotte as an intern from UNC Wilmington. Smart kid.

[Irish Jet]

If we win the next two games I can see Jamal and co talking so much sh*t heading into Baltimore about our run defence shutting them down. They'll then run for 300 yards and drop 50 points on us. 

That would be a very Jets and very NFL thing to happen.

[DJF71]

29 minutes ago, Barry McCockinner said:

this is wrong, read the thread.

Name the teams in the AFC that we hold the tiebreakers because I have done the Playoff Predictor for 3 weeks and I've predicted games every week.  The Jets only made the playoffs once and that was because the Browns, Steelers Colts and Titans were 8-8.  Oh and the Bills have to be 8-8 as well.

[Rexorcism]

First things first. The point of this thread is to document and discuss our outside shot at the playoffs. Their is a very low probability of this actually happening at this point. No ish. If you're here to tell us there's no chance or it's not happening you can eat my entire ass.
1) At this point it seems there is only 1 wildcard spot up for grabs unless the Bills have an epic collapse.
    1a) I actually don't put it past them as they're playing @Dal, vs. Bal, @Pitt, @NE the next 4 weeks. 
2) The Jets must win out which means winning @Baltimore and @Buffalo.
These are the opponents ahead of us for the second wildcard spot right now.
Raiders 6-5
    @KC, vs. Ten, vs Jax, @LAC, @Den
    We need them to lose 2, we have the tie breaker.
Steelers 6-5
    vs. Cle, @Ari, vs Buff,@NYJ, @Bal
    We need them to lose two, one of which is us.
Browns 5-6
    @Pitt, vs. Cin, @Ari, vs Bal, @Cin
    We need them to lose two since they have tie-breaker
Colts 6-5
    vs. Tenn, @TB, @NO, vs. Car, @Jax
    We need them to have 2 losses including an AFC opponent or 3 losses to NFC
Titans 6-5
    @Indy, @Raiders, vs Hou, vs NO, @Hou
    We need them to lose 3
Feel free to add possibilities or correct. Here's the playoff machine - fun to play with.
http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine/_/factor/wins/results/401128063~1~401128058~1~401128005~2~401127997~2~401128020~2~401128060~2~401127933~1~401127946~2~401127896~1~401127973~2~401127950~1~401127988~1~401127906~2~401128117~1~401127994~2
 
Next week:
Raiders @KC - Root for KC
Cle @Pitt - Root for Pitt, they still play us & Bal
Tenn @Indy - Root for Tenn, they still play @Oak, Hou x2 & NO
Buff @Dal - Root for Dal
If all this happens + Jets win we have the following going into week 14.
Jets 5-7
Oak 6-6
Cle 5-7
Tenn 7-5
Buff 8-4

If theres .0001% of a chance Im in. All you have to do is remember 2009 or 2002.

[Rexorcism]

The only way the jets can get in is if they are the only 9-7 team and everyone else is 8-8 or worse.  
The jets afc conference record is awful.  They will not win any tie breakers.

Always the master of gloom and doom. ?

[Rexorcism]

Would you like to buy a bridge ?

How much?

[Jetsfan80]

I would LOVE that, Charlotte is FULL of Western NY transplants.  The GM of the Bills, Brendon Beane, worked for me 24 years ago here in Charlotte as an intern from UNC Wilmington. Smart kid.

 He was recognized at halftime of a UNCW game I was working, and I got a chance to meet him. I congratulated him on all of his success up in Buffalo. Nice guy. He even offered me condolences for being a Jets fan, which I appreciated.     

 

Pretty cool that he went to a school that doesn’t even have a football program, but is now an NFL GM.

 

Go (UNCW) Seahawks!

[Barry McCockinner]

3 hours ago, DJF71 said:

Name the teams in the AFC that we hold the tiebreakers because I have done the Playoff Predictor for 3 weeks and I've predicted games every week.  The Jets only made the playoffs once and that was because the Browns, Steelers Colts and Titans were 8-8.  Oh and the Bills have to be 8-8 as well.

You could have just read the thread like I said but here are 4 examples of the Jets going 9-7 with another team. Someone mentioned there's also a way for it to happen with the Titans but I don't know how. 

Jets + Bills @ 9-7
http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine/_/factor/wins/results/401128063~2~401128058~2~401128005~2~401127997~2~401128020~2~401128060~2~401127933~1~401127946~2~401127896~1~401127973~2~401127950~1~401127988~1~401127906~1~401128117~1~401127994~2~401127935~2~401128022~2~401127869~2~401128108~1~401127903~2~401128034~1~401128028~1~401127901~1~401128032~2~401128017~1~401128065~2

Jets + Raiders @ 9-7
http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine/_/factor/wins/results/401128020~2~401127933~1~401127973~2~401127937~2~401127946~2~401128103~1~401128060~1~401127997~2~401128005~2~401128058~2~401128099~1~401128036~2~401127988~1

Jets + Colts @ 9-7
http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine/_/factor/wins/results/401127973~2~401127937~2~401127946~2~401127933~1~401128020~2~401128103~1~401128060~2~401127997~2~401128005~1~401128063~1~401128058~2~401128099~2~401127896~1

Jets + Steelers @ 9-7
http://espn.go.com/nfl/playoffs/machine/_/factor/wins/results/401127933~1~401127973~2~401127997~2~401128005~1~401128103~1~401128060~2~401128020~2~401128058~2~401128063~1~401128099~2~401128065~2~401127988~1~401128036~1~401127950~2

 

[JohnnyLV]

4 hours ago, DJF71 said:

Basically need every one of those teams to have a worse record than the Jets.  We don't hold the tiebreaker with any of them except the Raiders.

Thats true now, but NOT if we win out. If we win out according to the Playoff Machine we win the tiebreakers against most of them actually.

[DJF71]

Thats true now, but NOT if we win out. If we win out according to the Playoff Machine we win the tiebreakers against most of them actually.

Not if there are multiple 9-7 teams which there will be.

[THE BARON]

16 hours ago, Beerfish said:

I see no way at all that we beat Baltimore.  I also think we can lose vs anyone so a team like miami or cincy could beat us.

I predict a Jets win vs. the Ravens.

[DJF71]

I predict a Jets win vs. the Ravens.

I’m on board with that.

[Barry McCockinner]

9 minutes ago, DJF71 said:

 

Not if there are multiple 9-7 teams which there will be.

 

Bills, Raiders, Jets @ 9-7

Bills, Steelers & Jets @9-7

Bills, Colts & Jets @9-7

[Beerfish]

10 minutes ago, THE BARON said:

I predict a Jets win vs. the Ravens.

I predict beta max will make a come back.

[whodeawhodat]

16 hours ago, greenwichjetfan said:

Appreciate this. Regardless of how small the chance, it’s always nice to know where we stand relative to others in the hunt. 

saw today we have a 1.1% chance so 

[DJF71]

Bills, Raiders, Jets @ 9-7
Bills, Steelers & Jets @9-7
Bills, Colts & Jets @9-7

Steelers have no chance at 9-7 and I don’t think the Colts do either. Let’s see how it plays out. I only care about the Jets not some meaningless 1st round exit. If they make them great. If not the season was about rebounding.

[Barry McCockinner]

23 minutes ago, DJF71 said:

 

Steelers have no chance at 9-7 and I don’t think the Colts do either. Let’s see how it plays out. I only care about the Jets not some meaningless 1st round exit. If they make them great. If not the season was about rebounding.

 

edit: deleting my comment because it was douchey

[Miss Lonelyhearts]

7 minutes ago, Beerfish said:

I predict beta max will make a come back.

I dunno. It seems like he's serious about the bans this time.

[peebag]

16 hours ago, Barry McCockinner said:

Baltimore's strength is running the ball. We are the best in the league at stopping the run and have bottled up some big time backs. 

Our offense line is made of cottage cheese and string and Baltimore's defense isn't too shabby

[Losmeister]

16 hours ago, slimjasi said:

The super unlikely part isn't getting into the playoffs with a 6-6 conference record (For example, in 2009, they were 7-5 in conference games), it's winning 8 straight games to even get to that point. 

....was his name-o

[Maxta_p]

maybe we can have one of our coaches trip lamar if he gets to the sidelines

[Barry McCockinner]

15 minutes ago, peebag said:

Our offense line is made of cottage cheese and string and Baltimore's defense isn't too shabby

They're very good when playing with a lead, that's for sure. It's a different ballgame when they aren't running up the score.

[THE BARON]

34 minutes ago, peebag said:

Our offense line is made of cottage cheese and string and Baltimore's defense isn't too shabby

Along with all the rest of the recipe for the Jets to beat L.J. and the Ravens.... 

BRING THE WOOD !!!

[The Crusher]

17 hours ago, Losmeister said:

https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

1.1% shot

98.9% problems and a bitch ain’t one.