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Jetsfan80

Jets individual Over/Unders: Offense

Pick the O/U's for the following players  

36 members have voted

  1. 1. Sam Darnold: 4,000 passing yards

    • Over
      24
    • Under
      12
  2. 2. Denzel Mims: 850 receiving yards

    • Over
      10
    • Under
      26
  3. 3. Breshad Perriman: 7.5 TDs

    • Over
      5
    • Under
      31
  4. 4. Chris Herndon: 5.5 TDs

    • Over
      25
    • Under
      11
  5. 5. Le'Veon Bell: 1,500 Yards from Scrimmage

    • Over
      18
    • Under
      18
  6. 6. Jamison Crowder: 89.5 Catches

    • Over
      19
    • Under
      17


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Pick the O/U's for offensive players here!  I based the O/U's for the veteran players on past performance.  For instance, using his per game yardage totals, Darnold's yardage per 16 games is a little over 3,600.  4,000 would represent a significant uptick but not an outlandish number to go with.

For Mims, keep in mind that only 14 rookie receivers have achieved 1,000+ yards since the AFL-NFL merger.  850, thus, is a pretty good number to set as the O/U for a rookie like him that is expected to get solid playing time.

If you disagree strongly with these O/U's, make your case as well!

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6 hours ago, GreenReaper said:

2. Denzel Mims: 850 receiving yards...Over = 72 x 15.6 = 1123.

He would join elite company in that case.  Only 5 receivers since 1970 have achieved 1,100+ yards in their rookie seasons:

  • Anquan Boldin (1,377 - 2003)
  • Randy Moss (1,313 - 1998)
  • Odell Beckham (1,305 - 2014)
  • Michael Thomas (1,137 - 2016)
  • Terry Glenn (1,132 - 1996)

 

6 hours ago, GreenReaper said:

3. Breshad Perriman: 7.5 TDs...Under = 7 TDs...a good year for him though.
 

Sounds about right.  I probably set his O/U too high at 7.5.  My thinking there was he caught 6 TDs last season despite only starting 4 games.  There's nothing stopping him from starting all 16 this year, or at bare minimum being a high volume WR3. 

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