Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
Jetsfan80

Pat Mahomes projections: Make your predictions

Pat Mahomes projections  

35 members have voted

  1. 1. How much will Pat Mahomes make on his new deal, on a per year basis?

    • $35-$36M per year (I.E. just above the top contract - Russell Wilson)
      7
    • $36-$38M per year
      5
    • $38-$40M per year
      6
    • $40-$42M per year
      9
    • $42-$44M per year
      5
    • $44-$46MM per year
      1
    • $46-$48M per year
      1
    • $48-$50M per year
      0
    • $50M+ per year
      1
    • Under $35M per year
      0
  2. 2. What percentage of guaranteed money will Mahomes get on his new deal?

    • 50-60 % (Ex: Jimmy Garoppolo, Derek Carr, Drew Brees, Teddy Bridgewater)
      1
    • 60-70 % (Ex: Matt Ryan, Matthew Stafford)
      2
    • 70-75 % (Ex: Aaron Rodgers)
      6
    • 75-80 % (Ex: Russell Wilson, Ben Roethlisberger, Ryan Tannehill)
      5
    • 80-85 % (Ex: Carson Wentz, Jared Goff)
      5
    • 85-100 % (Ex: Kirk Cousins, Phillip Rivers, Tom Brady)
      16
    • Under 50 %
      0
  3. 3. How many more Super Bowls will Pat Mahomes win in his career (he has 1, the record is 6)?

    • 0
      3
    • 1
      14
    • 2
      9
    • 3
      3
    • 4
      2
    • 5
      1
    • 6+
      3
  4. 4. How many more NFL MVP's will Mahomes win (he has 1; the NFL record is 5)?

    • 0
      1
    • 1
      6
    • 2
      11
    • 3
      10
    • 4
      4
    • 5+
      3
  5. 5. Where will Mahomes finish on the all-time Touchdown Pass list (he currently has 76)?

    • # 1 (above Drew Brees/Tom Brady - 547/541)
      9
    • # 3 (above Peyton Manning - 539)
      3
    • # 4 (above Brett Favre - 508)
      9
    • # 5 (above Dan Marino/Phillip Rivers - 420/397)
      2
    • # 7 (above Eli Manning/Aaron Rodgers/Ben Roethlisberger - 366/364/363)
      7
    • # 10 (above Fran Tarkenton/Matt Ryan - 342/321)
      1
    • # 12 (above John Elway - 300)
      0
    • # 13-25 (about 250-300 TDs)
      2
    • # 26-50 (about 200-250 TDs)
      1
    • # 51-100 (about 135-200 TDs)
      0
    • Outside of the Top 100 (less than 135 TDs)
      1
  6. 6. Where will Mahomes finish on the all-time Passing Yardage list (he currently has 9,412)?

    • #1 (above Drew Brees/Tom Brady - 77,416/74,571)
      10
    • # 3 (above Peyton Manning - 71,940)
      6
    • # 4 (above Brett Favre - 71,838)
      7
    • # 5 (above Dan Marino/Phillip Rivers/Eli Manning/Ben Rothelisberger - 61,361/59,271/57,023/56,545)
      4
    • # 9 (above John Elway/Matt Ryan - 51,475/51,186)
      2
    • # 11 (above Warren Moon/Fran Tarkenton/Aaron Rodgers - 49,325/47,003/46,946)
      3
    • # 14 (above Carson Palmer - 46,247)
      1
    • # 15-30 (about 34,000-46,000 yards)
      0
    • # 31-75 (about 25,000-34,000 yards)
      1
    • Outside of the Top 75
      1


Recommended Posts

13 hours ago, Jetsfan80 said:

No, I didn't.  I answered why 16+ is rare.  And I can understand you not agreeing that he'll have a 15-year career. 

But saying it'll likely be 12, and maybe less?  I don't understand your thought process behind that.  Why would his career last as many years or less than Jay Cutler's?

Rare?

16+ puts your QB at 40 years old, what do we have 2 now and thats met with shock

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
8 minutes ago, Jetsfan80 said:

There have been 6 who have put up 16+ in this century alone:  Brees, Brady, Peyton, Eli, Roethlisberger and Rivers.  Rodgers is closing in on 16 and even Ryan Fitzpatrick might as well.  I imagine Matt Ryan will hit that number, too.  Stafford has injury concerns so I won't predict him to get to 16.

Further back, there was Testaverde (21), Marino (17), Dave Krieg (17), Favre (16), Elway (16), Moon (16, PLUS 5 seasons prior in the CFL) and Kerry Collins (16), among others.

So yes, rare is an appropriate term.  

What seemed odd was for @Warfish not only to say he doesn't expect Mahomes to make it to 15 years, his best guess was that his career would end up being 12 years or less (the length of Jay Cutler's career).  He didn't explain his thought process behind saying that.  The odds are actually against it being 12 or less for a QB of his caliber.  As talented as Mahomes is, unless you're counting on a significant Alex Smith-like injury, I expect he'll be in the league for a long time. 

It wouldn't require him playing until he's 40 to get into that 14-15 year range, either.  He's only 24 and already has 2 years as a starter under his belt.  He'll have started/been in the league for 14/15 years at the age of 35.

Will take an incredible amount to things to play out perfectly.  

Health, obviously

Injuries

The team itself.  

Who would have thought that an Andrew Luck wouldn't last 10 years?

  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
19 hours ago, Jetsfan80 said:

 

A lot went wrong for Andrew Luck that doesn't go wrong for other QB's typically, either.  He's also a bright guy, with an Architecture degree from Stanford.  Football wasn't the be-all end-all for him.  It probably isn't for Mahomes, either, but Luck dealt with a lot of injuries and hits that I just don't think Mahomes will have to deal with.  The safety net made it easier for Luck to hang up the cleats once the injuries piled up.

It's never been a better time to be a QB in the NFL.  Wide open passing lanes because of excessive PI calls.  A relatively clean pocket thanks to excessive roughing the passer penalties.  

And Mahomes has everything going for him too.  He has an excellent organization and HC behind him, unlike Luck had in Indianapolis (they're getting their sh*t together of late, but not in enough time to protect their franchise QB).  Reid won't be there forever, of course, but I'm sure he'll have a successor lined up before he goes.  

My best guess is Mahomes will play as long as he wants to in this league.  

Point is you never know and after his third season, where Mahomes is, no one thought Luck wouldn't see 10 years.  Not much too complicated happened to Luck.  He tore his shoulder up.  Like Chad and a lot of other QBs.  Could happen to any of them at any moment and why I brought him up.  No one knows but chances are Mahomes doesnt see 16+ seasons.  Too few do for a reason.  Excellent organizations go bad over the course of 16 years.  That excellent organization before this run with Reid didn't win squat since what 1970?  One year after us?  With I would think fewer playoff appearances and wins.  Reids not going to be around for half of those 16+ years.  Again this solid franchise couldn't find a Reid for 50 years but they'll have one waiting in the wings why?  Because?  Again he point is its so hard to put all the pieces in place to have that kind of career i

I do agree its a great time to play QB, they're protected to such a high degree that if you love the game, stay healthy and want to play longer you can.  

  • Upvote 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Sign in to follow this  

Content Partnership

Yes Network

Site Sponsor

MILE-Social - NJ Social Media & SEO company
×
×
  • Create New...