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Kristian Dyer: Little Change to Jets Projected win Total Following Adams Deal

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Kristian Dyer of Sports Illustrated has some news for those Jets fans who think that trading Jamal Adams leaves the Jets far worse off than they were before sending him to the Seattle Seahawks.  Take a deep breath, it may not be that bad.

In a piece for SI, Dyer spoke with the folks with FootballOutsiders who dropped the Jets expected win total from 7.4 to 7.2.  That’s right.  Trading Jamal Adams has one of the more respected analytical folks in the business dropping the Jets win total by 0.2.  Hardly the end of the world.

Aaron Schatz of football outsider acknowledges the fact that the 7.2 estimate is conservative but says acquiring safety Bradley McDougald played a role in the negligible drop in projected wins.

“Adams wasn’t traded for nothing. He was traded for Bradley McDougald, who is probably a league-average starting safety. That’s a lot better than having to replace Adams with some scrub at the position”.

You can read the full article on SI.com right here.

The post Kristian Dyer: Little Change to Jets Projected win Total Following Adams Deal appeared first on JetNation.com (NY Jets Blog & Forum).

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Click here to read the full story...

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exactly this...  McDoog started ona perennial playoff team...   for 2 years....

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changes our wins by a massive 2.7%

Showtime Lol GIF by Desus & Mero

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5 minutes ago, Jetsfan80 said:

Weird.  I've been told that Jamal Adams is a generational talent that wins games on his own, while Bradley McDougald is a JAG.

I heard he won three games by himself.

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1 minute ago, Jetsfan80 said:

Forecast for every day the next 8 million years:

 

15804a09c463c124e07430d0b92912ca.gif

I used to live on Vancouver Island and it was similar to that, certainly the winters were perennially like that.

Having said that now that I am back living on the Canadian prairies and have become a winter wimp I'll the take the rain.

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Name another non QB with a W/L record 

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NFC executive “ adams is the second best defensive player in the NFL”

Pete Carroll, defensive backs guru and John Schneider, “he’s worth 2 first round picks “

jetnation “slow box safety “

lol

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36 minutes ago, T0mShane said:

It’s going to be amazing watching the Seahawks not want to pay Jamal next offseason. Like, tears of laughter will fill my pool.

This is definitely happening.  

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How has the addition of Jamal affected the Seahawks win total? 

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1 hour ago, Jetsfan80 said:

Weird.  I've been told that Jamal Adams is a generational talent that wins games on his own, while Bradley McDougald is a JAG.

Well, if Kristian Dyer wrote it then we know it has to be true.

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Wait so box safeties do little to affect a team's success rate?

You don't say!

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10 minutes ago, FidelioJet said:

Well, if Kristian Dyer wrote it then we know it has to be true.

It's Football Outsiders. Unless they're all Jets fans there and I'm unaware of it, they don't give a crap whether we paid/kept Jamal Adams or not.

Every site I'm visiting with posted O/U wins has the Jets between 6.5 and 7.0 wins, with more of them leaning towards 6.5, whether they've been updated post-Adams or not (and most haven't).

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1 hour ago, T0mShane said:

I heard he won three games by himself.

We'll miss him as much as Skrine...

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38 minutes ago, Larz said:

NFC executive “ adams is the second best defensive player in the NFL”

Pete Carroll, defensive backs guru and John Schneider, “he’s worth 2 first round picks “

jetnation “slow box safety “

lol

Jets organization: SUCKERS!!!! LOL

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HOW COULD THIS BE?

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THERE MUST BE SOME MISTAKE!

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1 hour ago, Larz said:

NFC executive “ adams is the second best defensive player in the NFL”

Pete Carroll, defensive backs guru and John Schneider, “he’s worth 2 first round picks “

jetnation “slow box safety “

lol

We’ll see...

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1 hour ago, Sperm Edwards said:

Jamal Adams won a game of Connect Four in three moves.

If you want a list of Jamal’ enemies, just check the extinct species list.

Jamal Adams counted to infinity. Twice.

Champions are the breakfast of Jamal Adams.

etc.

If Jamal Adams was peanut butter, he'd be 24 karat gold.

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The reality is that outside of a QB and maybe someone like Christian McCaffrey, any player that misses a game doesn't impact the spread in a game. 

So not surprising that the loss of Adams wouldn't impact the win total too much. If the Jets went out tomorrow and traded draft picks for a stud edge rusher the win total wouldn't go up too much either

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When the Jets are up by 3 in the 4th qtr needing a stop on defense they are going to miss their prez.

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1 hour ago, Sperm Edwards said:

Jamal Adams won a game of Connect Four in three moves.

If you want a list of Jamal’ enemies, just check the extinct species list.

Jamal Adams counted to infinity. Twice.

Champions are the breakfast of Jamal Adams.

etc.

I once saw him parallel park a train.`

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Remember that time Jamal Adams reversed the rotation of the world and single handedly saved the Jets?

Me neither.

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