southparkcpa Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 2 hours ago, Augustiniak said: i'm an actuary, i get the math. i'm just introducing another topic for the sake of sanity How can you tell the difference between an actuary and the dead guy at a wake?? The dead guy is in a new suit. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantasy Island Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigRy56 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 I’m surprised it’s 6 points to be honest - the Jets will win that one Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augustiniak Posted August 19, 2020 Author Share Posted August 19, 2020 19 minutes ago, southparkcpa said: How can you tell the difference between an actuary and the dead guy at a wake?? The dead guy is in a new suit. Awesome, just awesome 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastineau Lives Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 3 hours ago, T0mShane said: The Jets soundly beat the Bills twice last year, but they blew a 17 point lead in the first game when Josh Allen figured out that he could get whatever he wanted if he targeted Jamal Adams’ area on the field And it happened right after CJ Mosley went down, wow. What a four second span for Allen! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetsfan80 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 4 hours ago, Augustiniak said: to be fair josh allen barely played in that game, the bills were prepping for the playoffs. again you'd think the bills would be larger favs. if your life depended on it today would you take the bills and give 6 or take the jets? He's talking about Week 1, not Week 17. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philc1 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 4 hours ago, section314 said: That Vegas thinks that the 2nd best team in the AFC is a TD better than us. Seems fair. The boys in Vegas know what they’re doing. The Bills aren’t as good as the media keeps proclaiming them to be. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnknownJetFan Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 5 hours ago, JoeWillieWhiteShoesHOF said: First few weeks lines aren’t as accurate as they should be. Then as more data is produced and teams get settled into “being who they are” the lines get tougher and tougher. I wouldn’t read too much into the 6 number other than it looks like Vegas wants some more money being bet on Buffalo, I wouldn’t say that if it were 7.. 7 1/2...which is actually a good sign for the Jets, who have inferior team when compared to Buffalo (outside of QB), and are on the Road. I think everyone is making one mistake on this whole roster and as you say an inferior team compared to the Bills. The Jets have more question marks than the Bills, but maybe in some areas not only if guys pan out, but also may have better upsides. Beckton and QW likely have better upsides than the same players at those positions on the Bills, but are 1st and 2nd year players respectively. Perriman may wind up being a very good Numer 1 WR that the Bills even with their secondary may have trouble with especially with our TEs Herndon and Griffen both are at the top of their games. Also, our back seven and secondary may wind up being better than most expect though they will have to be just to slow up Diggs and the other weapons the Bills have. We likely need to go to the source mainly in this game where try to get Allen a bit off balance and his chemistry with Diggs not being there yet may limit the damage that duo can do. We have other question marks like Bell and the Oline may be much tougher to handle than last year(how could that be worse?). In any event, our roster is not being accounted for many of these question marks or at least about half of them going in our favor. I am not even counting the rest of our draft picks that could be better quicker than expected right out of the gate, but I do not want to say much there since most of them are hurting a bit and are losing valuable pratcie time with the players/coaches i.e Mims, Zuniga, Clark, etc. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnknownJetFan Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 3 hours ago, vinny the snake said: Do we know Darnold had Mono during that game or just making the assumption because Sam could never play that bad against a top 5 defense? His diagnosis stated at the time that he was already starting to feel the effects of Mono in the Bills game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batman10023 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 5 hours ago, derp said: What field? I spent several years on the path before deciding it wasn't for me - still think the actuarial skill set is cool and under-appreciated. do you have a personality? Isn't an actuary an accountant without a personality? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augustiniak Posted August 19, 2020 Author Share Posted August 19, 2020 4 minutes ago, batman10023 said: do you have a personality? Isn't an actuary an accountant without a personality? are my posts that bad? guess so. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batman10023 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 6 minutes ago, Augustiniak said: are my posts that bad? guess so. how often am i gonna be in a situation to use my one actuary joke? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derp Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 17 minutes ago, batman10023 said: do you have a personality? Isn't an actuary an accountant without a personality? Accountants have personalities? I left the actuarial field. Still think the skill set is under-appreciated. And as someone who worked in both consulting and insurance, there’s a significant difference between consulting actuaries and everyone else from a personality standpoint. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYJ1 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 9 hours ago, Augustiniak said: Point spread is Bills by 6. They're at home, they're considered to be a well rounded team with lots of talent and they made the playoffs last year. Brady is no longer in the division and they're widely regarded as the favorites to win the AFC East. Jets on the other hand were just ranked as having the worst roster in the NFL. Yet the Jets are only 6 point dogs on the road, where in a normal situation the home team gets 3 points. Truth, I expected the spread to be higher, but at least a TD. Does this spread say that the Jets aren't as bad as the writers write, that Allen is a liability, or that Darnold can even a lot of this out despite no Adams? Or something else. Just curious about thoughts. The spread means the Jets suck. Get ready for 4-12.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gibby Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 9 hours ago, SAR I said: The “public” are stupid. The Jets beat the Bills twice last year and Sam Darnold has never lost in Buffalo. Josh Allen plays his worst in high pressure situations. The Bills have never played the role of the division favorite. Some see it as an upset, I see it as an expectation. Jets 30 Bills 20 SAR I Lower score- but I agree. The Jets need to get off to a good start. The next game is 9ers at home. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pdxgreen Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 I don't buy the Josh Allen BS. They have a good team around him but Sam can still lift this team with his play. Give him a healthy receiver core and a decent ground game and we can beat those punks. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Titan24 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 If I’m a betting man..... and I am, I’m laying the 6 all day. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TuscanyTile2 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 9 hours ago, Augustiniak said: Point spread is Bills by 6. They're at home, they're considered to be a well rounded team with lots of talent and they made the playoffs last year. Brady is no longer in the division and they're widely regarded as the favorites to win the AFC East. Jets on the other hand were just ranked as having the worst roster in the NFL. Yet the Jets are only 6 point dogs on the road, where in a normal situation the home team gets 3 points. Truth, I expected the spread to be higher, but at least a TD. Does this spread say that the Jets aren't as bad as the writers write, that Allen is a liability, or that Darnold can even a lot of this out despite no Adams? Or something else. Just curious about thoughts. What are the odds though (e.g. -120)? That's a big piece of the gambling equation. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TuscanyTile2 Posted August 19, 2020 Share Posted August 19, 2020 2 hours ago, derp said: Accountants have personalities? I left the actuarial field. Still think the skill set is under-appreciated. And as someone who worked in both consulting and insurance, there’s a significant difference between consulting actuaries and everyone else from a personality standpoint. I took the joke to mean actuaries are so dull that they even make accountants look good personality-wise. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derp Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 50 minutes ago, TuscanyTile2 said: I took the joke to mean actuaries are so dull that they even make accountants look good personality-wise. Thank you for explaining. I did not understand the joke and then playfully kid back. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CSNY Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 Lay the 6. Jets o line will need time to gel and against the Buffalo D line don’t think it will hold up. it will be a carbon copy of last years line with incremental improvement for the first 4 - 6 weeks as line gets familiar with each other. After getting experience playing together o line should be much better going forward 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batman10023 Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 2 hours ago, TuscanyTile2 said: I took the joke to mean actuaries are so dull that they even make accountants look good personality-wise. Bingo Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batman10023 Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 2 hours ago, derp said: Thank you for explaining. I did not understand the joke and then playfully kid back. This would be where I would use my second actuary joke if I had one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoeWillieWhiteShoesHOF Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 7 hours ago, batman10023 said: do you have a personality? Isn't an actuary an accountant without a personality? Do you know how you can tell an extroverted accountant? He looks at the OTHER person’s shoes when speaking. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
batman10023 Posted August 20, 2020 Share Posted August 20, 2020 34 minutes ago, JoeWillieWhiteShoesHOF said: Do you know how you can tell an extroverted accountant? He looks at the OTHER person’s shoes when speaking. Appropriate that you put out a joke with shoe in it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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