Jetsfan80 Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 https://www.nfl.com/videos/game-theory-week-5-win-probabilities-score-projections-x3971 Cynthia's Week 5 win probabilities, score projections Cynthia Frelund projects the score and win probability for every week 5 game Ravens (vs CIN): 81 % Cowboys (vs NYG): 73 % Chiefs (vs LVG): 73 % Steelers (vs PHI): 72 % Saints (vs LAC): 72 % 49ers (vs MIA): 71 % Rams (@ WAS): 70 % Patriots (vs DEN): 69 % Seahawks (vs MIN): 65 % Cardinals (@ NYJ): 63 % Texans (vs JAX): 56 % Panthers (@ ATL): 55 % Browns (vs IND): 52 % Bills (@ TEN): 52 % Titans (vs BUF): 48 % Colts (@ CLE): 48 % Falcons (vs CAR): 45 % Jaguars (@ HOU): 44 % Jets (vs AZ): 37 % Vikings (@ SEA): 35 % Broncos (@ NE): 31 % Washington (vs LAR): 30 % Dolphins (@ SF): 29 % Chargers (@ NO): 28 % Eagles (@ PIT): 28 % Raiders (@ KC): 27 % Giants (@ DAL): 27 % Bengals (@ BAL): 19 % Byes: Lions, Packers 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BurnleyJet Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 Go 63% ? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bitonti Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 that number sounds 1) accurate 2) about 30 percent higher than most fans predictWest coast team 1p start2nd east coast game in a row (travel)10 days rest for the Jets Who are Desperate for a win Bell their best player returns New Jets qb Flacco that's won a super bowl and objectively better than darnold by every possible statistical measurement This is a trap situation for Arizona. There's a reason why the spread is 7 not 17 Sent from my Pixel 2 using JetNation.com mobile app 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesr Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 5 hours ago, Jetsfan80 said: https://www.nfl.com/videos/game-theory-week-5-win-probabilities-score-projections-x3971 Cynthia's Week 5 win probabilities, score projections Cynthia Frelund projects the score and win probability for every week 5 game I stopped reading here ... ? 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastineau Lives Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 5 hours ago, Jetsfan80 said: https://www.nfl.com/videos/game-theory-week-5-win-probabilities-score-projections-x3971 Cynthia's Week 5 win probabilities, score projections Cynthia Frelund projects the score and win probability for every week 5 game I stopped masturbating here. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lizard King Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 Need to hear from Nania. In his blog post that Manish pointed us all to, he plotted TomShane’s blood alcohol level at 11am against some opaque Mediterranean weather derivatives and correctly predicted the present state we are in. This was prior to even finalizing the roster. But please keep posting fap bait. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lizard King Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 26 minutes ago, Gastineau Lives said: I stopped masturbating here. Got married and yet still has palms like a port newark longshoreman. Some things never change. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jeremy2020 Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 1 hour ago, Gastineau Lives said: I stopped masturbating here. oh, wow, you made it that far, huh Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jgb Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 There is a 90% probability that no matter how Flacco performs, it will be used to excuse Sam's failures. "Joe did poorly. No one could win with these weapons. [INSERT MASSIVE LOGIC GAP] Therefore Sam is a FQB." -or- "Joe did well. This proves that Gase ruined Sam. Get him a good HC and he will be good, also." 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
predator_05 Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 This forum is the only thing keeping Frelund's career going. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section314 Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, predator_05 said: This forum is the only thing keeping Frelund's career going. When you find out just exactly what that is, let us know.? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Nut Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 5 hours ago, bitonti said: New Jets qb Flacco that's won a super bowl and objectively better than darnold by every possible statistical measurement Too bad its not 5 years ago. And a neck ago Then this might be true Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bitonti Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 Just now, Jet Nut said: Too bad its not 5 years ago. And a neck ago Then this might be true Joe Flacco is a far better QB than Sam Darnold that doesn't make him great it just makes him better than Sam Darnold Check down Charlie can win games when the guy you're checking down to is Leveon bell with a month off 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Nut Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 1 minute ago, bitonti said: Joe Flacco is a far better QB than Sam Darnold that doesn't make him great it just makes him better than Sam Darnold Check down Charlie can win games when the guy you're checking down to is Leveon bell with a month off Joe Flacco hasn't been a good QB for years. Hes not a better QB than Darnold. Its amazing how bad your posts have gotten 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bitonti Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 2 minutes ago, Jet Nut said: Joe Flacco hasn't been a good QB for years. Hes not a better QB than Darnold. Its amazing how bad your posts have gotten I'm not going to spam the board with a "yes/no" debate any further. do me a favor buddy click both of these links and tell me how or by what measure Sam Darnold is a better NFL QB than Joe Flacco even 2019 denver flacco was better than 2020 Darnold https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/F/FlacJo00.htm https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/D/DarnSa00.htm Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jgb Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 6 minutes ago, bitonti said: I'm not going to spam the board with a "yes/no" debate any further. do me a favor buddy click both of these links and tell me how or by what measure Sam Darnold is a better NFL QB than Joe Flacco even 2019 denver flacco was better than 2020 Darnold https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/F/FlacJo00.htm https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/D/DarnSa00.htm BUT WEAPONZZ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Nut Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 10 minutes ago, bitonti said: I'm not going to spam the board with a "yes/no" debate any further. do me a favor buddy click both of these links and tell me how or by what measure Sam Darnold is a better NFL QB than Joe Flacco even 2019 denver flacco was better than 2020 Darnold https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/F/FlacJo00.htm https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/D/DarnSa00.htm 2016 called. I know you want to debate 2010ish Flacco vs a rookie or 2nd year Sam but I wont. I'll take Sam 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bitonti Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 7 minutes ago, Jet Nut said: 2016 called. I know you want to debate 2010ish Flacco vs a rookie or 2nd year Sam but I wont. I'll take Sam since we won't agree care to make some sort of charity wager on it? it can be small like 20 bucks to charity of the winners choice i'll take the Jets +7 thats how much I believe Flacco keeps it close if not wins outright i'd take Jets moneyline but i'd need those odds Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastineau Lives Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 2 hours ago, jeremy2020 said: oh, wow, you made it that far, huh I've been doing kegels. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Nut Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 13 minutes ago, bitonti said: since we won't agree care to make some sort of charity wager on it? it can be small like 20 bucks to charity of the winners choice i'll take the Jets +7 thats how much I believe Flacco keeps it close if not wins outright i'd take Jets moneyline but i'd need those odds One game would prove what exactly? That Foles is a better talent than Brady? I can go on and on with one game wins Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bitonti Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 1 minute ago, Jet Nut said: One game would prove what exactly? That Foles is a better talent than Brady? I can go on and on with one game wins This is not going to be Joe Flacco's only start we can bet on all these games if you like history says Darnold misses a month 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Nut Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 4 minutes ago, bitonti said: This is not going to be Joe Flacco's only start we can bet on all these games if you like history says Darnold misses a month What history, missing a few games as a rookie, maybe? If he wasn't given a few games to watch and settle down. Sams back in less than a month, more than likely next week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section314 Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 5 minutes ago, bitonti said: This is not going to be Joe Flacco's only start we can bet on all these games if you like history says Darnold misses a month If it is anywhere near a month, I hope that they get Morgan up to speed. Have zero interest in watching Flacco any more than on Sunday. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
varjet Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 Sam has a painful shoulder injury. He is not and should not be playing for at least a month. Flacco will play for no more than a month, and then get injured behind this o-line. If I had to guess the play calling will not be adapted for a not mobile QB playing behind a bad/injured line. At least 3, if not 4, QBs will be playing for the Jets this season. My other prediction is that Darnold will play at least 4 games in the second half of the season and look much better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beerfish Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 Some of those odds are strange, I'd easily rate the jet as the worse chance to win this week, some of those lower odds are far more plausible. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UntouchableCrew Posted October 10, 2020 Share Posted October 10, 2020 Those odds are probably based on the situation (1 PM East Coast game, Jets on extra rest) and the fact that the Cardinals have been pretty mediocre so far. Doesn't matter. This will be a "get right" game for Kyler Murray. That's the exact kind of QB who's going to eat our lunch. This is going to be a game where Hopkins runs wild and every time we think we've got them on 3rd and long Murray will scamper for 16 yards. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetsfan80 Posted October 10, 2020 Author Share Posted October 10, 2020 36 minutes ago, UntouchableCrew said: Those odds are probably based on the situation (1 PM East Coast game, Jets on extra rest) and the fact that the Cardinals have been pretty mediocre so far. Doesn't matter. This will be a "get right" game for Kyler Murray. That's the exact kind of QB who's going to eat our lunch. This is going to be a game where Hopkins runs wild and every time we think we've got them on 3rd and long Murray will scamper for 16 yards. lol, like we'll force any 3rd downs, let alone 3rd and long situations. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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