Jetsbb Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 Usually you get only two picks in the third and fourth rounds we had five. Ashtyn Davis, Jabari Zuniga, Lamichael Perine, James Morgan and Cameron Clark. The popular opinion, now that we have the 2nd pick, is to trade down. Douglas has proven he can nail the premium pick but falls far short in the upper mid rounds. I wouldn't want to trade down and then get this level of talent back in return. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetsfan80 Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 If Douglas can't hit on his mid round picks at least on occasion, then he isn't the right guy at GM anyways. I don't support trading down from 2 but the 2020 draft class, however it turns out, isn't a great argument against trading down going forward. I'm down to trade down from the Seattle pick. Bryce Hall looks like a very good pick so far, for whatever its worth. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Long Island Leprechaun Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, Jetsbb said: Usually you get only two picks in the third and fourth rounds we had five. Ashtyn Davis, Jabari Zuniga, Lamichael Perine, James Morgan and Cameron Clark. The popular opinion, now that we have the 2nd pick, is to trade down. Douglas has proven he can nail the premium pick but falls far short in the upper mid rounds. I wouldn't want to trade down and then get this level of talent back in return. I think it would be worthwhile to actually assess how many third and fourth round players remain in the NFL, much less become starters. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GreenFish Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 It’s too early to judge the 2020 draft. We haven’t even seen two of those guys. But if the Jets trade down from 2, u have to believe they’ll be getting an extra 1st or 2nd, not mid round picks. He’ll get skewered if all he got were extra mid round picks for moving down from 2. The Jets moved up from 6th to 3rd for 3 second rounders for example. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FidelioJet Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 1 minute ago, GreenFish said: It’s too early to judge the 2020 draft pick. We haven’t even seen two of those guys. But if the Jets trade down from 2, u have to believe they’ll be getting an extra 1st or 2nd not a mid round pick. Probably both. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post JohnnyLV Posted December 21, 2020 Popular Post Share Posted December 21, 2020 We have no idea whether these guys are good or busts. Not all rookies become elite first year. Q was bad last year and he is looking like he could be dominant. Such a silly post. 10 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KINGDIRK Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 He should have started James Morgan the final month. That four week face plant would have netted us Lawrence. Which would have meant that trade down and pick was enormous. But alas.... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNuuFaaolaExperience Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 9 minutes ago, Jetsbb said: Usually you get only two picks in the third and fourth rounds we had five. Ashtyn Davis, Jabari Zuniga, Lamichael Perine, James Morgan and Cameron Clark. The popular opinion, now that we have the 2nd pick, is to trade down. Douglas has proven he can nail the premium pick but falls far short in the upper mid rounds. I wouldn't want to trade down and then get this level of talent back in return. I missed the memo where every draft pick has to be an immediate hit. We don't know which picks will end up being good or bad. Nobody knows what Becton and Mims end up being. Who knows who will get banged for PEDs or threaten to nut in a cop's wife's eye. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FidelioJet Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 JD is in over his head. 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Jetsfan80 Posted December 21, 2020 Popular Post Share Posted December 21, 2020 19 minutes ago, Long Island Leprechaun said: I think it would be worthwhile to actually assess how many third and fourth round players remain in the NFL, much less become starters. Remain in the NFL....for how long? If you look at, say, the 2017 draft class (its been over 3 years so we can "assess it" properly by now), the following guys from rounds 3-4 are arguably effective starters/starter quality in the NFL in 2020: DT Larry Ogunjobi CB Ahkello Witherspoon RB Alvin Kamara WR Cooper Kupp C/G Pat Elflein G Dan Feeney WR Chris Godwin RB Kareem Hunt DB Shaquill Griffin S John Johnson CB Jourdan Lewis WR Kenny Golladay CB Rasul Douglas TE Jonnu Smith RB James Conner S Eddie Jackson S Rayshawn Jenkins RB Tarik Cohen ILB Ben Gedeon S Montae Nicholson OLB Samson Ebukam DE Deatrich Wise RB Jamaal Williams RB Marlon Mack That's 24 players out of 75 picks in that range, or 32 %. And considering that draft class was pretty loaded, that's probably on the high end compared to a more "average" class. Meanwhile, the following players from the 3rd-4th round of that class are out of the league entirely, from what I can tell: DE Daeshon Hall WR ArDarius Stewart OLB Tim Williams WR Carlos Henderson OT Antonio Garcia QB Davis Webb WR Chad Williams CB Brendan Langley DT Nazir Jones WR Amara Darboh G Dorian Johnson RB Joe Williams G Nico Siragusa CB Howard Wilson TE Michael Roberts RB Donnell Pumphrey QB Joshua Dobbs G Sean Harlow WR Jehu Chesson So 19 out of 75 are out of the league, or 25 %. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pointman Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 3 minutes ago, FidelioJet said: JD is in over his head. Then he fits right in. The mensa meeting that the Johnson goofs have with Gase must be amazing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNuuFaaolaExperience Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 6 minutes ago, KINGDIRK said: He should have started James Morgan the final month. That four week face plant would have netted us Lawrence. Which would have meant that trade down and pick was enormous. But alas.... Who is he? JD doesn't dictate who plays. Adam Gase has complete control over who plays. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SomebodytoAnybody47 Posted December 21, 2020 Popular Post Share Posted December 21, 2020 If you’re trading down from 2, you’re getting premium picks. Not 4th rounders. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HawaiisOnlyJetsFan Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 No training camp, no preseason. You expect 3rd -5th round rookies to be playing at an all pro level out of the gate (with our genius coaching staff no less)? 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rangerous Posted December 21, 2020 Share Posted December 21, 2020 21 minutes ago, Jetsbb said: Usually you get only two picks in the third and fourth rounds we had five. Ashtyn Davis, Jabari Zuniga, Lamichael Perine, James Morgan and Cameron Clark. The popular opinion, now that we have the 2nd pick, is to trade down. Douglas has proven he can nail the premium pick but falls far short in the upper mid rounds. I wouldn't want to trade down and then get this level of talent back in return. The odds of getting an impact player in the 3rd and 4 th rounds is slim. Right now they have two players, Davis and Zuniga , playing significant minutes. As far as I know, clark is the only disappointment. Morgan is the 3rd string QBs so it’s not like he’d be in a game in the best times. Plus you simply can’t judge a draft class for two or three seasons. If they’re bad or off the team then feel free to condemn Douglas. as for trading down, unless there’s a bona fide all pro at two then I’d think about it. and if it’s a good offer and there are players the team needs then I’d go for it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Long Island Leprechaun Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 hour ago, Jetsfan80 said: Remain in the NFL....for how long? If you look at, say, the 2017 draft class (its been over 3 years so we can "assess it" properly by now), the following guys from rounds 3-4 are arguably effective starters/starter quality in the NFL in 2020: DT Larry Ogunjobi CB Ahkello Witherspoon RB Alvin Kamara WR Cooper Kupp C/G Pat Elflein G Dan Feeney WR Chris Godwin RB Kareem Hunt DB Shaquill Griffin S John Johnson CB Jourdan Lewis WR Kenny Golladay CB Rasul Douglas TE Jonnu Smith RB James Conner S Eddie Jackson S Rayshawn Jenkins RB Tarik Cohen ILB Ben Gedeon S Montae Nicholson OLB Samson Ebukam DE Deatrich Wise RB Jamaal Williams RB Marlon Mack That's 24 players out of 75 picks in that range, or 32 %. And considering that draft class was pretty loaded, that's probably on the high end compared to a more "average" class. Meanwhile, the following players from the 3rd-4th round of that class are out of the league entirely, from what I can tell: DE Daeshon Hall WR ArDarius Stewart OLB Tim Williams WR Carlos Henderson OT Antonio Garcia QB Davis Webb WR Chad Williams CB Brendan Langley DT Nazir Jones WR Amara Darboh G Dorian Johnson RB Joe WilliamsFiar G Nico Siragusa CB Howard Wilson TE Michael Roberts RB Donnell Pumphrey QB Joshua Dobbs G Sean Harlow WR Jehu Chesson So 19 out of 75 are out of the league, or 25 %. Thanks for the breakdown. I was too lazy to do it myself. So in a good year, as you said, one can expect 1 out of 3 3rd and 4th rounders to find success in the NFL. We already have Elflien on our roster, so I don't know how to credit that. Not to mention that if JD hits on two of the four picks, he's batting 100% based on the rate of one pick per round. He simply doubled his odds. Davis and Perine have started as rookies. Clark is a project but by no means a bust. Morgan is an unknown. I'd say that's pretty good drafting, frankly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kevinc855 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 I agree he whiffed mid round. However trading 2 away wont net you 4ths. It most likely gets you 2nd round if not 1sts next year Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetsfan80 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 1 hour ago, Long Island Leprechaun said: Thanks for the breakdown. I was too lazy to do it myself. So in a good year, as you said, one can expect 1 out of 3 3rd and 4th rounders to find success in the NFL. We already have Elflien on our roster, so I don't know how to credit that. Not to mention that if JD hits on two of the four picks, he's batting 100% based on the rate of one pick per round. He simply doubled his odds. Davis and Perine have started as rookies. Clark is a project but by no means a bust. Morgan is an unknown. I'd say that's pretty good drafting, frankly. Elflein is right on the borderline. He had a very good rookie year and looked OK here, with a horrible couple years sandwiched in the middle. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shuler82 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 Ehhh. Not this again. Let’s give the rookie class a full offseason with training camp and preseason games before we start labeling everyone a bust. Or is that too much to ask? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjasi Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 6 hours ago, Jetsfan80 said: If Douglas can't hit on his mid round picks at least on occasion, then he isn't the right guy at GM anyways. I don't support trading down from 2 but the 2020 draft class, however it turns out, isn't a great argument against trading down going forward. I'm down to trade down from the Seattle pick. Bryce Hall looks like a very good pick so far, for whatever its worth. Who are you taking at 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beerfish Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 6 hours ago, HawaiisOnlyJetsFan said: No training camp, no preseason. You expect 3rd -5th round rookies to be playing at an all pro level out of the gate (with our genius coaching staff no less)? Pro bowl? why do people go WAY overboard when making a point? zuniga has been active like one or two games and his big stat is a penalty. Morgan and Clark have not been active at all. Perine played a bit and looked blah. You expectt guys to suit up and at least be active on a team as bad as the jets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetsfan80 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 13 hours ago, slimjasi said: Who are you taking at 2 Zach Wilson or Fields. I'll have to wait for the pre-draft process to play out over the next few months to determine which one I prefer. Gun to my head, right now, I'm taking Wilson. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjasi Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 3 minutes ago, Jetsfan80 said: Zach Wilson or Fields. I'll have to wait for the pre-draft process to play out over the next few months to determine which one I prefer. Gun to my head, right now, I'm taking Wilson. What about Lance? I'm pretty down on Fields based on his recent play, but am intrigued by Wilson and Lance. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetsfan80 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 5 minutes ago, slimjasi said: What about Lance? I'm pretty down on Fields based on his recent play, but am intrigued by Wilson and Lance. Lance is a non-starter for me thanks to lack of college experience. We've been down this inexperienced prospect road before with Sanchez and Darnold (who I readily admit were far less talented prospects). A college player with the # of starts he's had (I believe 13 or 14?) is, historically, a terrible bet. Wilson, for comparison, has 29 collegiate starts to date, and counting. Lance may well be the next Kyler Murray but I'd rather let another franchise try to find that out. If we DID go with Lance, I certainly can't justify that pick at # 2 overall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waka Flocka Flacco Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 3 minutes ago, Jetsfan80 said: Zach Wilson or Fields. I'll have to wait for the pre-draft process to play out over the next few months to determine which one I prefer. Gun to my head, right now, I'm taking Wilson. How does your opinion of Douglas change if the Jets don't stick at 2 and draft a quarterback? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYJ1 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 21 hours ago, Jetsbb said: Usually you get only two picks in the third and fourth rounds we had five. Ashtyn Davis, Jabari Zuniga, Lamichael Perine, James Morgan and Cameron Clark. The popular opinion, now that we have the 2nd pick, is to trade down. Douglas has proven he can nail the premium pick but falls far short in the upper mid rounds. I wouldn't want to trade down and then get this level of talent back in return. Based on ONE draft? He's proven NOTHING. What a dumb thread Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jetsfan80 Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 5 minutes ago, Waka Flocka Flacco said: How does your opinion of Douglas change if the Jets don't stick at 2 and draft a quarterback? If he is able to trade down and still land one of the top QB's, that would be the only other result I'd be OK with. The Jets need to come away from this draft with a QB with their first selection, whatever pick slot it is, or I will be pretty livid with Douglas. Kicking the can down the road at QB is really not an option. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsFanatic Posted December 22, 2020 Share Posted December 22, 2020 21 hours ago, Jetsbb said: Usually you get only two picks in the third and fourth rounds we had five. Ashtyn Davis, Jabari Zuniga, Lamichael Perine, James Morgan and Cameron Clark. The popular opinion, now that we have the 2nd pick, is to trade down. Douglas has proven he can nail the premium pick but falls far short in the upper mid rounds. I wouldn't want to trade down and then get this level of talent back in return. Too early to tell how these picks will work out. His fifth and sixth look very solid. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HawaiisOnlyJetsFan Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 19 hours ago, Beerfish said: Pro bowl? why do people go WAY overboard when making a point? zuniga has been active like one or two games and his big stat is a penalty. Morgan and Clark have not been active at all. Perine played a bit and looked blah. You expectt guys to suit up and at least be active on a team as bad as the jets. So 2 of 7 picks from the 3rd-5th round haven't suited up and contributed. 3 are starting, 5 have "suited up and are/were active" what exactly is your point? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jetscrazey Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Zuniga looks like a miss. Davis is still to be seen. Perine is ok but not too impressed with him, there's plenty of backs out there just like him. Douglas nailed rounds 1 and 2 but after that and its pretty meh. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SayNoToDMC Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 Cause if we keep trading back till we have the entire 2026 draft we're bound to land some talent for Arch Manning 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
choon328 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 On 12/21/2020 at 6:23 PM, Jetsbb said: Usually you get only two picks in the third and fourth rounds we had five. Ashtyn Davis, Jabari Zuniga, Lamichael Perine, James Morgan and Cameron Clark. The popular opinion, now that we have the 2nd pick, is to trade down. Douglas has proven he can nail the premium pick but falls far short in the upper mid rounds. I wouldn't want to trade down and then get this level of talent back in return. Historically, if JD gets 1 starter out of those 5 picks he'd be right on target to what the actual percentage is in every draft. Any pick beyond the 1st round has about a 30% chance of becoming a starter. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadaSteve Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 On 12/21/2020 at 6:23 PM, Jetsbb said: Usually you get only two picks in the third and fourth rounds we had five. Ashtyn Davis, Jabari Zuniga, Lamichael Perine, James Morgan and Cameron Clark. The popular opinion, now that we have the 2nd pick, is to trade down. Douglas has proven he can nail the premium pick but falls far short in the upper mid rounds. I wouldn't want to trade down and then get this level of talent back in return. Jesus....are you serious! THEY ARE FOURTH ROUND PICKS! They don't contribute like a premium pick. I swear to god....only Jets fans think we should have pro-bowl starters from every pick. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SayNoToDMC Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 5 hours ago, CanadaSteve said: Jesus....are you serious! THEY ARE FOURTH ROUND PICKS! They don't contribute like a premium pick. I swear to god....only Jets fans think we should have pro-bowl starters from every pick. I mean in defense of Jets fans(Not sure I am anymore) our premium picks tend to suck even when we draft non premium positions early. Just pull up the last 20 years of first and second rounders yourself so I don't gotta argue with you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jetstream23 Posted December 23, 2020 Share Posted December 23, 2020 On 12/21/2020 at 4:25 PM, Jetsfan80 said: If Douglas can't hit on his mid round picks at least on occasion, then he isn't the right guy at GM anyways. I don't support trading down from 2 but the 2020 draft class, however it turns out, isn't a great argument against trading down going forward. I'm down to trade down from the Seattle pick. Bryce Hall looks like a very good pick so far, for whatever its worth. It's interesting that the Jets have now found injury value twice at CB in the Draft. Austin and Hall were both 2nd Round type talents that fell to later in the Draft due to significant injury. The Jets were savvy (and lucky) enough to grab those guys and both look to be, at a minimum, keeper in the rotation at CB. I actually think Hall has the upside of a solid starting CB2 and Austin might be a CB3 type. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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