cookiemonsta911 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Set up : Strong negatively tilted trough is ejecting ahead and into a strong and very humid airmass. Low level advection of cape through the afternoon, and combined with mostly scattered clouds will quickly get the air unstable. wsw upper jet at or near 130 kt is expected to move into western Tennnessee. It will overlap with the warm sector and produce strong vertical wind shear near 80 to 100 kt in the warm sector. Any storms that develop will produce killer tornadoes for many many miles. Many towns will be completely destroyed. Spread the news, get people prepared and seek shelter if you live there when a warning sounds . Strong mid level cap advecting in will keep storms scattered in prime position to take advantage of the rapid shear profiles. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookiemonsta911 Posted March 25, 2021 Author Share Posted March 25, 2021 Not every location will be hit, but many areas could be hit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookiemonsta911 Posted March 25, 2021 Author Share Posted March 25, 2021 Its possible this will be the worst outbreak in the history books. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookiemonsta911 Posted March 25, 2021 Author Share Posted March 25, 2021 Note the nw to se oritentation of the colors in Illinois. This means the upper winds is surging directly into the warm moist sector. This happens once every 2 years. But to overlap with this quality of low level moisture is surely going to result in a historic event. Wind speeds in this jet max are at 130 kt 9km to 12km above ground. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cookiemonsta911 Posted March 25, 2021 Author Share Posted March 25, 2021 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1974_Super_Outbreak Similar type outbreak. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lupz27 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 We need more weather talk around here seriously. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronx Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Thanks for posting this information. Sometimes we need OTs like this to keep us up to date on serious matters. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Charlie Brown Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Let us pray for those that are in the path of the storm knowing that our prayers have power and that the people that are in harms way are that which is important in life? 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Creepy Lurker Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 I only get my weather reports from @cookiemonsta911 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DetroitRed Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, Creepy Lurker said: I only get my weather reports from @cookiemonsta911 JN weather legend 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronx Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 I warned some immediate family in the vicinity. Truly appreciate it and maybe this is an indicator that I am probably spending too much time visiting www.jetnation.com Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawn306 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Weather > 50 Darnold, Wilson threads 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawn306 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 23 Tornadoes last week in the south. One was about 8 miles north of us in SC and went East. Nashville got blasted last year by one in the middle of the night. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
freestater Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 I sure hope jetsrule is safe behind whatever bush he happens to be. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biggs Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 I thought politics and religion were banned? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantasy Island Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jetstream23 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 8 hours ago, cookiemonsta911 said: Note the nw to se oritentation of the colors in Illinois. This means the upper winds is surging directly into the warm moist sector. This happens once every 2 years. But to overlap with this quality of low level moisture is surely going to result in a historic event. Wind speeds in this jet max are at 130 kt 9km to 12km above ground. Whoa! That cyclonic vorticity really has me concerned. (Goes to Google "cyclonic vorticity") 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawn306 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Big one is Alabama right now. Tornado Warning for Spartanburg SC right now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
genot Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Thank You Cookie Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joewilly12 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 17 minutes ago, shawn306 said: Big one is Alabama right now. Tornado Warning for Spartanburg SC right now How's the Ridgeville SC area making out? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawn306 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 7 minutes ago, joewilly12 said: How's the Ridgeville SC area making out? They should be ok. Storms are moving north easterly right. So basically the I-85 corridor from Clemson up towards Shelby NC 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joewilly12 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 3 minutes ago, shawn306 said: They should be ok. Storms are moving north easterly right. So basically the I-85 corridor from Clemson up towards Shelby NC Thanks my neighbors relocated down there. Everyone tried to tell them about this they didn't want to hear it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
win4ever Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Yup, didn't send son to daycare and decided not to work today here in Nashville. Lots of theories that this could be really bad.The tornado last year was about 2 miles from home and actually hit part of the daycare facility we use (at night thus was empty).Sent from my iPhone using JetNation.com mobile app Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joewilly12 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 1 minute ago, win4ever said: Yup, didn't send son to daycare and decided not to work today here in Nashville. Lots of theories that this could be really bad. The tornado last year was about 2 miles from home and actually hit part of the daycare facility we use (at night thus was empty). Sent from my iPhone using JetNation.com mobile app Hope you guys are all alright. Stay safe you and the family. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shawn306 Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 late tonight could be rough for us. Just have to be vigilant when monitoring this stuff. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Panzer Division Marduk Posted March 25, 2021 Share Posted March 25, 2021 Was watching some guys cover that tornado that went through Centerville in Alabama. Holy crap. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
win4ever Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 5 hours ago, joewilly12 said: Hope you guys are all alright. Stay safe you and the family. Thanks. So far some hail and winds with the usual rain storms. Hasn't been terrible so far. Heard it was much worse in Alabama. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joewilly12 Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 9 minutes ago, win4ever said: Thanks. So far some hail and winds with the usual rain storms. Hasn't been terrible so far. Heard it was much worse in Alabama. Seeing the news on the Weather Channel HD WOW Houses destroyed in neighborhoods where others are untouched I think it was Alabama or Georgia. Stay safe and God Bless you ALL Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
win4ever Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 Seeing the news on the Weather Channel HD WOW Houses destroyed in neighborhoods where others are untouched I think it was Alabama or Georgia. Stay safe and God Bless you ALL The one last year was scary because how close it was. Houses on the other side of daycare were completely destroyed. Like just wiped out, could see the path by just looking at the lack of trees in areas. I used to love severe weather living in NY. More than thrilled for blizzards. Moving here, just fear with every severe change. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joewilly12 Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 6 minutes ago, win4ever said: The one last year was scary because how close it was. Houses on the other side of daycare were completely destroyed. Like just wiped out, could see the path by just looking at the lack of trees in areas. I used to love severe weather living in NY. More than thrilled for blizzards. Moving here, just fear with every severe change. Snow you can deal with its risky moving down South especially in hurricane alley and tornado alley. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
win4ever Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 3 hours ago, joewilly12 said: Snow you can deal with its risky moving down South especially in hurricane alley and tornado alley. Weird thing was Nashville isn't really in traditional tornado alley, and too far inland for any real threat from hurricanes. However, in the last 10 years, definitely see some impact of climate change and unusual storms. I moved in '09, and I think they had snow for the first time in a long time that winter (or the next, I forget). That first time? The city literally didn't have snow plows or salt in their budget. It was like an inch of snow and everything came to a halt for 2-3 days, and it was mostly civilians hooking up plows to their pickup trucks clearing the roads. Now, we get 1-2 snow storms each year, even if it's just an inch or two. I'm wondering if climate change is also changing some of the traditional storm centers around the country, with more severe and sustained ones. Hurricane is still too far out, but I'm worried about this shift for tornadoes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jetophile Posted March 26, 2021 Share Posted March 26, 2021 Stay safe, everyone. A really good friend of mine lives in Kansas. All 'Wizard of Oz' jokes aside, I always tell him to GTF outta there. One time he told me he was in a storm cellar so I went, "Surrender, Dorothy!" because I totally thought he was kidding. He goes, "I really am huddled in a storm cellar with my dog in fear for my life." Oops. Hays, KS. ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxman Posted March 29, 2021 Share Posted March 29, 2021 Tornado.in neptune nj today. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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