Popular Post Warfish Posted January 11, 2022 Popular Post Share Posted January 11, 2022 Quote ....He has been a different QB than he was the first half of the season..... This is a sentiment I hear around the forum regularly, that Zach made alot of progress in the second half of the year, was a totally different QB than he was early on, etc. So I wondered if there was anything in the actual statistical production that would help support that belief, something a bit less subjective that the "eye test" of fans. Here are the results: Zach Wilson Week 1-7 (327 Off. Snaps, 6 Games) -- 104 of 181 (57.46%) for 1,168 Passing Yards, 4 TD, 9 INT, 19 Sacks, 6.45 YPA, 8 Rushes for 22 Yards and 0 TD's, and 2 Fumbles. Zach Wilson Week 12-18 (414 Off. Snaps, 7 Games) -- 109 of 202 (53.96%) for 1,166 Passing Yards, 5 TD, 2 INT, 25 Sacks, 5.77 YPA, 21 Rushes for 163 Yards and 4 TD's and 3 Fumbles. A few positives stick out: 1. Reduced INT's over one additional game, from 9 (1.5/game) to 2 (0.3/game). A big meaningful improvement here. 2. Increased rushing over one additional game, from 2.75/carry to 7.76/carry. That big run late in the year certainly helps here, given the small sample size. However, I'm sort of surprised how his actual passing production actually declined in the 2nd half: 1. Completion % dropped from 57.5% to 54.0%. 2. Passing Yards/Game dropped from 194.7/game down to 166.6/game. 3. Sacks taken increased from 3.2/game to 3.6/game. Now, I expect the argument in defense of these numbers to be injuries. That despite lower per-game production, he was in fact actually playing much better but production was reduced because of diminished O-line play, better decision making and fewer snaps available from his better WR's. A look at some reputable O-line ranking site would be a good way to explore the weaker O-line later in the year idea. One might also argue we played better Defenses in the second half. That would just take a review of each opponents Defensive Rankings if that interests you, with Miami, Tampa and Buffalo late it could certainly be true. And one could, if they wished, look at each skill player, and how many snaps they played from weeks 1-7 and how many they played from weeks 12-18 to at least get a general idea of skill player availability to Zach during each period. Out of my own curiosity on this one I tested Moore, arguably our best and most explosive WR this season: Moore played 199 snaps in Weeks 1-7, was targeted 26 times (5.2/game), made 9 catches (35%) for 79 yards (15.8 YPG) Moore played 110 snaps in Weeks 12-13, missing Weeks 14-18, was targeted 20 times (10/game), made 10 catches (50%) for 123 yards (61.5 YPG). Moore played 167 snaps in Weeks 8-11 without Wilson, was targeted 31 times (7.75/game), made 24 catches (77%) for 336 yards (84.0 YPG). I know we have many Fans who think stats and analysis of them is meaningless or of very limited value. So they can feel free to ignore this information or provide their own analysis of it if they wish, no worries. And some truly do believe the "eye test" is the only test that matters. I can respect that, but I think production, and analysis of it, has value and is of interest. Enjoy. 25 2 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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