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The over/under for Jets wins in 2022 is still at 5.5!!


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1 minute ago, nycdan said:

I think one factor is we play the AFCW this year.  That's going to be a barrel of fun.

Yes we may have the 2nd hardest schedule in the league (for a team coming off a 4 win season is a joke!) but with the improvements JD made to the roster, if the Jets can't get 6 wins out of 17 games then something is seriously wrong.

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5 minutes ago, DoomProphet said:

According to several betting sites including DraftKings sportsbook.

The OVER is easy money!!!!

jetsoverunder.jpg

I realize I'm a homer, but I need to bet on this.  The pathetic Jets won 4 games last season, and we basically beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but screwed it up in the end.  As far as I'm concerned, we got 5 wins last year, with holes and injuries.  I think 6 wins is the lowest I see us going, with 7-9 wins possible if things shake out the way we hope.

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3 minutes ago, Alka said:

I realize I'm a homer, but I need to bet on this.  The pathetic Jets won 4 games last season, and we basically beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but screwed it up in the end.  As far as I'm concerned, we got 5 wins last year, with holes and injuries.  I think 6 wins is the lowest I see us going, with 7-9 wins possible if things shake out the way we hope.

That's not a homer take. If the Jets can't get at least 6 wins this year then something is SERIOUSLY wrong. This is EASY $$$

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6 minutes ago, T0mShane said:

The league is about coaches and quarterbacks, and unless something radically changes for the two guys we got, they’re both lower-tier guys and that guarantees a lower-tier record. 

If you're right about this, then the Jets will be searching for a new QB after this season.  

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9 minutes ago, LongTimeJetFan said:

Where are the 6 wins coming from?

Let’s assume 

Wins:

2 out of 3 Home vs Jax, Chicago, Detroit. 

That means they will need to win a combination of 4 division games +
 

@ Cleveland, Green Bay, Seattle, Pittsburgh, Denver

Home vs Cincinnati and Baltimore 

5.5 is fair. If the season started today the Jets are likely to be favorites in 3 games and underdogs in 14. 
 

Not a lot is talked about how brutal the schedule is for Zach Wilson. All those defenses are going to be pretty good. 

How about if we beat Jax, Chicago and Detroit at home, which I believe is reasonable.

How about if we split with Miami and New England, and lose both games to Buffalo, which I think is reasonable.

That means that in the other 8 games remaining, the Jets need to win 1 game.  I like those odds. I mean, not for nothing, but the Jets did beat both the Bengals and Titans last year, and should have beaten the Buccaneers, but blew it in the end.

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I'm trying to be realistic here when i say I think 6-7 wins is doable. Im not expecting a playoff run...and while I'd love to see the wins pile up, what we really need to see is how this team performs in the losses. Last year, we were blown out way too often. This team needs to be playing meaningful 4th quarters this year. If we have chances to win games in the 4th, if this team is making some of the better teams earn the W's - even if we come up short, it will show vast improvement from last year. 2022 is supposed to be the year where this team learns they can compete. 2023 should be the year where they are competing. 

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1 hour ago, T0mShane said:

If the Jets win less than six games this season, it’s nobody’s fault but Saleh’s. If Wilson stinks, he has guys on the bench he can play instead. We know the team has talent now. It’s on Saleh and his buddy coaching staff to put something together.

I realize that what you say is completely true, but it's not just about wins and losses, but about building a Super Bowl team for the future.  While I love Saleh's energy and enthusiasm, I am on the fence regarding his coaching ability.  A lot will be answered this year, and I'm looking forward to getting all the answers, and seeing where we go from there.

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2 hours ago, Alka said:

How about if we beat Jax, Chicago and Detroit at home, which I believe is reasonable.

How about if we split with Miami and New England, and lose both games to Buffalo, which I think is reasonable.

That means that in the other 8 games remaining, the Jets need to win 1 game.  I like those odds. I mean, not for nothing, but the Jets did beat both the Bengals and Titans last year, and should have beaten the Buccaneers, but blew it in the end.

We could also easily lose 2 of the 3. Jacksonville, Detroit, and Chicago fans are looking at their schedule and marking the Jets down as a potential win. Unfortunately this is a QB driven league and Wilson is a major unknown. 

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8 minutes ago, LongTimeJetFan said:

We could also easily lose 2 of the 3. Jacksonville, Detroit, and Chicago fans are looking at their schedule and marking the Jets down as a potential win. Unfortunately this is a QB driven league and Wilson is a major unknown. 

And at 5.5 win projection, it seems that they are predicting that Zach Wilson will not take a major step forward like all Jets fans hope will happen.

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3 hours ago, LongTimeJetFan said:

Where are the 6 wins coming from?

Let’s assume 

Wins:

2 out of 3 Home vs Jax, Chicago, Detroit. 

That means they will need to win a combination of 4 division games +
 

@ Cleveland, Green Bay, Seattle, Pittsburgh, Denver

Home vs Cincinnati and Baltimore 

5.5 is fair. If the season started today the Jets are likely to be favorites in 3 games and underdogs in 14. 
 

Not a lot is talked about how brutal the schedule is for Zach Wilson. All those defenses are going to be pretty good. 

it's easy to say "they won 4 last year now they win more because they got better"

that's easy logic.

it's hard to look at the schedule and go team by team and find where they get the 6 wins to win this money

The road schedule especially is terrible with so called "easy wins" like Pitt and Sea in buildings where the Jets usually get destroyed.

yes they got better but Zach Wilson has to become Joe Namath for the Jets to go anywhere in a killer AFC

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2 hours ago, T0mShane said:

If the Jets win less than six games this season, it’s nobody’s fault but Saleh’s. If Wilson stinks, he has guys on the bench he can play instead. We know the team has talent now. It’s on Saleh and his buddy coaching staff to put something together.

Zach Wilson is the nephew of the team's biggest sponsor

Saleh couldn't bench Zach Wilson if his life depended upon it

 

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3 hours ago, T0mShane said:

The league is about coaches and quarterbacks, and unless something radically changes for the two guys we got, they’re both lower-tier guys and that guarantees a lower-tier record. 

We should bet on it. 

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2 hours ago, Alka said:

How about if we split with Miami and New England, and lose both games to Buffalo, which I think is reasonable.

The Jets haven't beaten the Patriots in 22 chances.

They are 2-10 against Miami in the last 6 years 

the casual "they are going to split with Miami and New England" is why vegas wants Jets fans to make this bet 

 

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3 hours ago, LongTimeJetFan said:

Where are the 6 wins coming from?

Let’s assume 

Wins:

2 out of 3 Home vs Jax, Chicago, Detroit. 

That means they will need to win a combination of 4 division games +
 

@ Cleveland, Green Bay, Seattle, Pittsburgh, Denver

Home vs Cincinnati and Baltimore 

5.5 is fair. If the season started today the Jets are likely to be favorites in 3 games and underdogs in 14. 
 

Not a lot is talked about how brutal the schedule is for Zach Wilson. All those defenses are going to be pretty good. 

We can easily beat Seattle. Pittsburgh is winnable game. As is green bay.

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1 hour ago, Alka said:

And at 5.5 win projection, it seems that they are predicting that Zach Wilson will not take a major step forward like all Jets fans hope will happen.

The deck is stacked against ZW. Its pretty rare in modern football to look as bad as ZW as a rookie and becoming a top QB. Josh Allen is the only recent example. 

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2 hours ago, Facts said:

Part of me says that’s easy money.

The other part of me says “Vegas ain’t stupid. They know something”

Vegas isn’t perfect. I believe they had the bengals at 5.5 this time last year. Not saying we’re the bengals, but even Vegas can miss the boat. 

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4 hours ago, LongTimeJetFan said:

The deck is stacked against ZW. Its pretty rare in modern football to look as bad as ZW as a rookie and becoming a top QB. Josh Allen is the only recent example. 

This is an uncomfortable truth…

Blame Saleh and coaching staff will be a common comment if Zach isn’t good

But Lafleur and Saleh have already proven more in the NFL than Zach.  The only question would be if they stick with Zach too long and it would be tough to blame for giving the 2nd year QB a chance to work through things.

If Zach is bad, you keep the org in tact and go all in on getting the best QB that hits the market.

Having said that I’m bullish on Zach taking a leap.  But very few folks seems comfortable holding him to a top 16 QB expectation (on a 17 games basis, or on a per game average basis)… which is making me nervous that we may have a Baker and not a Burrow…

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Not many people would touch Zach in a 16 team, 1QB re-draft fantasy football league…

Which makes me think Vegas realizes 5.5 will get a lot of interest in the under… which should be easy money for Vegas.  Line will go up as season approaches.

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