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Joe Douglas Facing Several Dilemmas That Highlight Unpredictability of NFL Draft


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It has been said that even the best general managers in the will hit on about fifty percent of their picks in the NFL draft.  Those are the best.  The cream of the crop.  And with a bevy of on and off-field traits to be evaluated each year, choosing players will always be an inexact science.  Just ask Jets GM Joe Douglas, who is seeing right now how something can go from afterthought to emergency in the blink of an eye.

Just look at the players Douglas has taken early on in his first two drafts at the helm at 1 Jets Drive.  Mekhi Becton, Denzel Mims, Zach Wilson and Elijah Moore.  All highly touted players.  Each one a cause for serious concern, albeit for different reasons.

In the case of Becton, despite managing to stay healthy throughout his collegiate careers, has battled injuries since entering the NFL and thus far, the injuries are winning.  Becton will have missed all but a handful of snaps over the past two seasons when this year winds down.  The product of a freak injury suffered by Becton when guard Greg Van Roten was tossed on to the back of Becton’s leg in the season opener two years ago.

Then there’s Mims.  A productive college receiver with a great height/speed ratio who showed a fair bit on the field as a rookie.  However, once failed head coach Adam Gase was sent packing, Mims found himself playing for a staff whose offensive philosophy wasn’t a fit.  Mims went from promising to perplexing and everything that could go wrong did go wrong in year two.  Whether it was food poisoning, drops or drawing out of character penalty flags.  Mims may or may not be on the way back as he has contributed with some key plays over the past two weeks, but his time with the Jets hasn’t been anything close to what the team envisioned.

Nice reminder of what Denzel Mims looked like just two seasons ago. It's time to give him another shot.https://t.co/4upqQ3rj3V

— Glenn Naughton (@AceFan23) October 21, 2022

With the 34th pick in the 2021 draft, Douglas snagged another wide receiver in Elijah Moore.  A supremely talented player with high-end speed and quickness.  Moore is able to create space between himself and defenders, but at the moment only seems to be interested in distancing himself from the Jets and his teammates.  Moore made plays as a rookie that had the Jets believing they’d spent wisely with that 34th pick and that Moore would be a key part of the future.  What they didn’t know, and couldn’t have known, was that Moore would melt down if things didn’t go his way for a few weeks.

After a well-publicized trade demand at the end of a 3-game winning streak, Moore has gone public in saying he’s not sure what his relationship with quarterback Zach Wilson is due to his lack of targets.  Moore, who just a month ago was seen as a long-term piece to what could be an explosive offense, has decided he’d rather play elsewhere.  This may pass in time, but yet again, a development that would have been impossible to predict.

@nyjets WR Elijah Moore making DB's look silly. Don't let the numbers fool you. If and when the targets come, the production will follow. pic.twitter.com/H4H675i2bn

— Glenn Naughton (@AceFan23) October 3, 2022

Then of course there’s Wilson himself.  A young QB who isn’t asked to be perfect, but just to show progress.  And at this point, even that looks to be too much.  An incredibly accurate passer in college, Wilson looks nothing like the player he was at BYU.  Oddly enough, he doesn’t even look much like the player he was at the tail end of last season.  Gone are the quick reads and decisive throws, replaced by chaos and panic and the first sign of pressure.  Sure, the Jets offensive line has struggled, but if you’ve been paying attention, you’ve seen Wilson in plenty of situations where stepping up on the pocket to make a throw was an option, but Wilson chose instead to bail out and roll ten or more yards in reverse to escape pressure that hadn’t even arrived yet.

Just another of many unpredictable developments for several talented young players showing that those great evaluators who are hitting on “only” half of their draft choices are avoiding innumerable potholes along the way.

 

 

 

The post Joe Douglas Facing Several Dilemmas That Highlight Unpredictability of NFL Draft appeared first on JetNation.com (NY Jets Blog & Forum).

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18 minutes ago, Chewy and the Jets said:

Can't wait for the bye week when we can discuss Wilson, Mims, Moore and Bechton.  Lets make a deal here:  for every five mentions of any of these guys we mention Sauce Gardner, Breece Hall. Vera Tucker, Quinnen Williams, or DJ Reed,  Because all five of these guys are/were playing at elite/pro bowl level.    

What's the conversation to be had?  I think we universally agree that they're awesome.  

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2 hours ago, AFJF said:

Who ya got?

 

Wilson mainly because he’ll get the most opportunity of the bunch. 

Becton can’t be counted on to even play, Mims is already in his 3rd year, and Moore has hurt his stock immeasurably with selfish behavior. 
 

But I do think if Wilson makes it here at least one of those WRs will. 

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18 minutes ago, AFJF said:

What's the conversation to be had?  I think we universally agree that they're awesome.  

Do you pay a DT who's been up and down over his career over 20 million a year after playing in a 'contract' year?

 

...or ...and hear me out on this.. do you spend a 1st round draft pick on another DT?!

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2 hours ago, AFJF said:

Who ya got?

 

Becton will show up out of shape / get injured again.

Even if mims gets more playing time he would never resign here. He wants a fresh start elsewhere.

Zach Wilson is the worst qb in the league.

So I have to vote for Elijah moore. Maybe Zach gets benched and moore gets more targets/ opportunity. I’d say he has shown the most talent out of this particular group 

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19 minutes ago, jeremy2020 said:

Do you pay a DT who's been up and down over his career over 20 million a year after playing in a 'contract' year?

 

...or ...and hear me out on this.. do you spend a 1st round draft pick on another DT?!

I wouldn't class QW as a guy who has been up and down.  I see him as a guy who was drafted very young, had moments (even as a rookie) where you could see that if he ever put it all together he'd be a force.  Now in year four, he looks to have put it all together.  That's more finding your way than being up and down IMO.  Up and down is good one year, bad the next, etc.  QW has never been bad.

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It’s a valid discussion on Q.  We all remember the Mo Wilkerson debacle but people in the league and around the team knew he was a POS playing only for the money.  I sat next to Bob Waschuzen (spelling) at a Jets outing after that deal and he said it was the worst contract in the whole NFL that year.   I asked him why.   He said because pass rushing is so damn hard and takes so much effort that many of the guys need the cash incentive to keep at it and if it were up to him he would give only one year deals to these guys.  Obviously that’s overly simplistic because players and their agents wouldn’t go for it but conceivably we could exercise his 5th year option and then franchise him if necessary thereby locking him up on a max effort basis for the next two years.   That might be the way to go.  

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19 hours ago, Darnold Schwarzenegger said:

Becton will show up out of shape / get injured again.

Even if mims gets more playing time he would never resign here. He wants a fresh start elsewhere.

Zach Wilson is the worst qb in the league.

So I have to vote for Elijah moore. Maybe Zach gets benched and moore gets more targets/ opportunity. I’d say he has shown the most talent out of this particular group 

Moore has unquestionably had the best flashes out of that group. 

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1 minute ago, maury77 said:

Moore has unquestionably had the best flashes out of that group. 

That's very interesting to me, because I would say that Becton has "unquestionably" had the best flashes - since his rookie season was clearly the best single season of the bunch. 

Having said that, I have no faith in Becton going forward given the injuries/weight issues. 

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19 hours ago, Chewy and the Jets said:

Can't wait for the bye week when we can discuss Wilson, Mims, Moore and Bechton.  Lets make a deal here:  for every five mentions of any of these guys we mention Sauce Gardner, Breece Hall. Vera Tucker, Quinnen Williams, or DJ Reed,  Because all five of these guys are/were playing at elite/pro bowl level.    

Controversy sells, dude.  Threads about DJ Reed playing well don't make it more than a couple posts.  Threads about the WR b*tching about the QB go 8 pages. 

You may have noticed this time of year that political ads trend negative.  We all "hate them" but they work for a reason.

Just embrace the darkness and the drama.

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2 hours ago, slimjasi said:

That's very interesting to me, because I would say that Becton has "unquestionably" had the best flashes - since his rookie season was clearly the best single season of the bunch. 

Having said that, I have no faith in Becton going forward given the injuries/weight issues. 

That's fair, I agree with everything you said. 

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I think I'm the only one holding out hope for Mekhi.

That maybe this humbling experience of being hurt again after (possibly. I don't truly know I wasn't there.) relying on ability and youth and a last minute effort to be in shape instead of full time dedication has changed his attitude. 

That maybe he sees the success his fellow young mates are having has sparked the fire to be a part of it.

That maybe having a beautiful baby in his young family has changed his perspective. 

I am really hoping he has found the inspiration to fulfill his potential and remain healthy.

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I think I'm the only one holding out hope for Mekhi.
That maybe this humbling experience of being hurt again after (possibly. I don't truly know I wasn't there.) relying on ability and youth and a last minute effort to be in shape instead of full time dedication has changed his attitude. 
That maybe he sees the success his fellow young mates are having has sparked the fire to be a part of it.
That maybe having a beautiful baby in his young family has changed his perspective. 
I am really hoping he has found the inspiration to fulfill his potential and remain healthy.
My level of hope in MB went from 50% in the off season to 35% when. He showed up out of shape, and now stands at a steady 3 to 3.25 %

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk

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6 hours ago, Dunnie said:

My level of hope in MB went from 50% in the off season to 35% when. He showed up out of shape, and now stands at a steady 3 to 3.25 %

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk

Same.  At this point, I feel like we'll need a near miracle for Becton to turn things around.  Stinks too.  He was one of the only bright spots on the team his rookie year.  I really thought we had a great one.

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7 hours ago, Dunnie said:

My level of hope in MB went from 50% in the off season to 35% when. He showed up out of shape, and now stands at a steady 3 to 3.25 %

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
 

I certainly don't disagree with everyone's lack of hope on the matter. 

The young man earned his criticism, for sure.

As a pragmatic optimist,  I Guess I'm a hope for the best and prep for the worst kind of guy. 

He has the potential to be the best in the league. That would be pretty awesome to have on the team. Personally, I'm still drafting a tackle. Which, given my history on drafting, could be an awful decision. 

Sometimes a very humbling experience can change a man for the better, sometimes it makes him a bigger A hole. I hope it's the former.

Also, lol, on the 3% to 3.25%. I actually lolled on that. It's probably accurate. ?

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1 hour ago, ACourseinMiracles said:

I certainly don't disagree with everyone's lack of hope on the matter. 

The young man earned his criticism, for sure.

As a pragmatic optimist,  I Guess I'm a hope for the best and prep for the worst kind of guy. 

He has the potential to be the best in the league. That would be pretty awesome to have on the team. Personally, I'm still drafting a tackle. Which, given my history on drafting, could be an awful decision. 

Sometimes a very humbling experience can change a man for the better, sometimes it makes him a bigger A hole. I hope it's the former.

Also, lol, on the 3% to 3.25%. I actually lolled on that. It's probably accurate. ?

I guy his size and (over)weight with a bad knee is a suckers bet.  All of us who think this would love to be wrong.  Enough said.   

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I guy his size and (over)weight with a bad knee is a suckers bet.  All of us who think this would love to be wrong.  Enough said.   
Well .. I've been to Vegas enough to know that betters never know when to call it quits.

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk

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10 hours ago, Dunnie said:

My level of hope in MB went from 50% in the off season to 35% when. He showed up out of shape, and now stands at a steady 3 to 3.25 %

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk
 

At 3.25% you have one of the more optimistic outlooks on the board.

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