Jack Straw Posted March 31 Share Posted March 31 Joe Douglas is clearly going all-in for 2023, so how will he use the #13 pick in the draft? There will be plenty of fantastic talent still left on the board when pick 13 comes around, and Douglas will need to weigh overall talent against need to narrow in on his preferred choice. The biggest team needs for the Jets are DT, OT, C, OLB, S, and Edge. If history is any guide, Joe Douglas isn't using a premium pick on non-premium position, so it's highly unlikely that he selects a center, safety, or outside linebacker at 13. That leaves OT, DT, and Edge as the remaining options. Let's examine each position: Offensive Tackle: The Jets have Duane Brown coming back healthy and penciled in at LT, but he'll be 38 when camp opens. The Jets love Mitchell at RT and for good reason -- he was excellent there before his injury. Mitchell also offer unique versatility, having played some LT in college. He's got the length and athleticism to hold up at LT, and I wonder if Douglas and the coaching staff are debating giving him reps there when camp opens. Either way, if he's healthy, he'll be on the field, and can be penciled in at RT. Mekhi Becton is coming back from injury and looks to be in fantastic shape. In a perfect world, Becton wins the LT job, Mitchell wins the RT job, and Duane Brown gets to enjoy $9 million for being a high-end insurance policy at LT. However, with Becton's long injury history and Brown's age, the Jets need to add talent at this position for future years. The hope is that any OT drafted this year won't have to see much of the field in 2023. But if Becton and Mitchell can stay healthy, is it worth drafting an OT at 13 who is unlikely to see the field? If so, Peter Skoronski, Paris Johnson and/or Broderick Jones are the only three obvious, high-end LT talents worthy of the 13th selection. My gut tells me that JD would prefer Paris Johnson or Broderick Jones given their size, length, and upside, but all three are fantastic options. There is plenty of additional talent at OT, but no clear-cut, high-end LT candidates worthy of pick 13, IMO. At RT, you have fantastic talent in Darnell Wright, Dawand Jones, Anton Harrison and others that would be fantastic values between picks 20 - 50. But when you're trying to win a Super Bowl in 2023, do you draft a player who might not contribute until 2024? My gut tell me no. Between Brown, Becton, and Mitchell, there are three options who can play LT in 2023. Defensive Tackle: Unless Jalen Carter slips to 13th, there is no game-changing DT at 13 worth taking. This would be best addressed in rounds 2-3. Edge: Between Carl Lawson, JFM, Michael Clemons, Jermaine Johnson, and Bryce Huff, the Jets have plenty of talent on the edge to survive 2023. But with Lawson and Huff unlikely to be back in 2024, adding youth here is likely on JD's to-do list going into the draft. Will Anderson will be long gone by pick 13, which leaves Tyree Wilson and Nolan Smith as two candidates. Tyree Wilson is strong in run-support but isn't a game-wrecker off the edge, and likely wouldn't see the field much ahead of JFM, Michael Clemons and Jermaine Johnson on run downs. That makes him an unlikely choice, assuming he's even still on the board when the Jets pick. Nolan Smith, however, is an interesting option. He's a tremendous athlete and was great on the nation's best defense, and could come in and fill the void left by Kwon Alexander's departure. Smith would be an instant starter on day one, and offers tremendous versatility on a stacked Jets defense. Smith doesn't have the size of length of traditional pass rushers, but he's all over the field and can rush the passer, drop into coverage, and fly around the field in run support. I think he'd be best used as a "rover" chess piece that you move around the field. When I watch him play, I think, "he's Jamal Adams at 6'2, 240lbs." While I love Smith, there are plenty of great athletes at edge that can do 85-90% of what Smith does at a fraction of the cost, which makes me think that JD will go in another direction on draft day. Final Thoughts: If the Jets decide to stick around at 13, they are guaranteed to land a good player at OT and/or Edge. However, with Douglas being forced to part with picks in exchange for Rodgers, I expect him to be active on draft day to recoup what was lost and more. Look for the Jets to move down multiple times on draft day, with the goal of converting pick 13 into four picks in the top 50. Ultimately, I think Douglas wants to leave the 2023 draft with four picks in the top 50, five picks in the top 75, and 6 picks in the top 100. And with those picks, he'll be able to address OT, C, OLB, WR, and more. 5 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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