What record is needed to win the AFC East?

[UntouchableCrew]

This is less about the Jets specifically and more about the division -- Jets, Pats, Bills and Fins.

The general consensus is that this division will be a meat-grinder this year. Not only are all four teams expected to be somewhere between competent and very good but the division plays the NFC East (easily the best division in the NFC featuring the Eagles, the defending NFC Champs) and the AFC West (another very strong division featuring the Super Bowl champ Chiefs.)

With that in mind -- how many wins will be needed to win the division? I.e. would a 13-4 season be a lock to win? 12-5? Or could you see a close division race where 10-7 or even 9-8 on tiebreakers gets the job done?

For reference, here are the records of the AFC East Champ for the last several years:

2022: 13-3

2021: 11-6

2020: 13-3

2019: 12-4

2018: 11-5

2017: 13-3

[PS17]

12-5. I don’t think the Bills make it to 13 this year. Whoever can get to 12 wins playing our division, the AFCW and NFCE, I think that should do it. 

[Larz]

 

13-4

man I’m still not used to 17 games math 😂

[UntouchableCrew]

21 minutes ago, Larz said:

man I’m still not used to 17 games math 😂

It'll always be weird. I hate it, really.

[jgb]

I voted but i don’t really know. I’d be surprised if any team ends with more than a 1 game lead over 2nd place, though.

[Beerfish]

12 wins i voted, the afc east all have to play some very tough teams from other divisions this year and have to beat up on each other.  I do not see a 13 or 14 win team.

[sec143dmf]

More wins then the other 3 teams in the division.  This goes for all divisions. 

[BigRy56]

12 games should do it. I think the Jets win 12 - let’s hope they start the season with the tiebreaker win

[slats]

2 hours ago, UntouchableCrew said:

It'll always be weird. I hate it, really.

Don’t worry, it'll be 18 games before you know it. 

[jgb]

Just now, slats said:

Don’t worry, it'll be 18 games before you know it. 

[Bobby816]

I think 12-5 possibly 11-6

[sackdance]

Division record & finish prediction: 

1st - Jets ... 5-1 div record / this year we execute on what we only showed flashes of last year

2nd - Bills ... 3-3 div / largely overrated, we crush in opener

3rd - Pats ... 3-3 / middling football team, zero magic at QB 

4th - Dolphins 1-5 / dumpster fire, already stinky.

-

You may rely on this information. 

[Claymation]

3 hours ago, Larz said:

 

13-4

man I’m still not used to 17 games math 😂

I felt that way when they went from 14 games to 16.

[UntouchableCrew]

2 hours ago, slats said:

Don’t worry, it'll be 18 games before you know it. 

Yes, that sucks too.

[UntouchableCrew]

2 hours ago, Bobby816 said:

I think 12-5 possibly 11-6

This is where I am. 12-5 takes it, 11-6 might take it on tiebreakers.

[LockeJET]

12-5 

[Dunnie]

11-6 minimum

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[Jetsfan1222]

[Bleedin Green]

12-5 would be the absolute minimum, but could certainly vary depending on whether those 5 losses were coming from in the division or outside of it.  Too many in-division losses can easily push that # up another win or two.  On the other hand, if sweeping the division then that gives the tiebreaker advantage which would be of help in the total wins needed.

[slimjasi]

I voted 12-5, but 11-6 could do it. 
 

I expect there to be a lot of splits and all 4 teams play the NFC East and AFC West. Not easy. 

[Sonny Werblin]

Doesn’t matter what the minimum number of wins needed to win division would be because the Jets are going 17-0 on their way to an undefeated SB championship season.

[ChrebetOverKeyshawn]

12 gets it done, and I believe the Jets win 13 this year 

[jbt]

It will come down to tiebreakers 

[Jets0712]

12-5. JETS
11-6 Bills
10-7 Mia
8-9 Pats


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[y2k8]

 

Nevermind.