Dcat Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Lines per Draft kings midnight: HOU 43.5 BAL -9.5 GBP 50.5 SFO -9.5 TBB 49.5 DET -6 KCC 45.5 BUF -2.5 Team Totals: Ravens > 26.5 -118 Ravens > 27.5 +105 Texans > 16.5 -115 Packers > 19.5 -122 Packers > 20.5 +102 49ers > 30.5 -115 Bucs > 20.5 -118 Lions > 27.5 -115 Chiefs > 21.5 -115 Chiefs > 22.5 -102 Bills > 23.5 -115 Post your props. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 This week is difficult. No easy bets like last weeks predictable wins by Texans, Bucs and Rams covering the spread. My picks as of the moment: Bills/KC under 46.5. 0.5U (got that when the line first came out. Line has dropped a point since). Houston team total over 16.5. 1U. Tampa team total over 20.5. 1U. Baker Mayfield over 1.5 passing TDs -108 1U Considering: Houston + 9.5 0.5U Green Bay +9.5 0.5U more props? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
greenwichjetfan Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 ATS Ravens Packers Chiefs Lions Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 My gut tells me stick with the ravens and give the number Gonna be cold and that defense should rattle the young texans i am thinking a few turnovers and maybe even one for a score we’ll see as we get closer and maybe I just stick with college bb and nba but thinking go pretty large on ravens and maybe even dare throw a parlay with the 9ers 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UntouchableCrew Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 I like Bucs and the points. Feels like that will be a close game. Chiefs edge Bills. Don’t have a strong feel for either 1 seed after the long layoff. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 Saturday early game: Texans @ Ravens, my plays: DK promo: N Collins and Z Flowers each get 1+ reception in the 1st Qtr. Boosted from -140 to +100. The limit for me was $25. I would put whatever the max is on that one. Texans team total: over 16.5 -115 I Likely: His line is moving up, so hurry. Over 36.5 rec yds -130 on DK (up from 34.5 last night dammit) . I Likely: Over 3.5 receptions +120 on MGM. I Likely: Alt line > 51.5 rec yds +210 DK. Z Flowers: over 50.5 rec yds -104 on Caesars. B Jordan: over 13.5 rec yds -113 on Caesars B Jordan: (alt. line) over 25 rec yds +200 on DK (love this one) G Edwards: anytime TD +110 N Collins: anytime TD +165 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 22 minutes ago, Trotter said: My gut tells me stick with the ravens and give the number Gonna be cold and that defense should rattle the young texans i am thinking a few turnovers and maybe even one for a score we’ll see as we get closer and maybe I just stick with college bb and nba but thinking go pretty large on ravens and maybe even dare throw a parlay with the 9ers cbb has been a roller coaster the past 2 weeks. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OilfieldJet Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 I’ll take all the underdogs with the points. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 13 minutes ago, Dcat said: cbb has been a roller coaster the past 2 weeks. I have been pretty lucky not killing it by any means but making a few dollars Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UntouchableCrew Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 32 minutes ago, OilfieldJet said: I’ll take all the underdogs with the points. I think if I had to pick every game I’d go that route too. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section314 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 I would take the favs in all 4 games. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
playtowinthegame Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Texans +9.5 49ers -9.5 (Adjusted the spread by half a point) Lions -5.5 (Adjusted the spread by half a point) Bills ML 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 You are where I am at except ravens/ texans i just see a big game from Lamar and a few mistakes from shroud of corse I thought that last week so I am obviously no genius 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 @Green Ghost let’s the the day off to an early start what do you think about the orange at noon? home slight favorite nice win the other night I am tempted Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ghost Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 I like the following: Packers +10 Christian Watson 40+ yards Christian Watson TD Isaiah Likely 25+ yards FD also has 50% boost on live boots. If you want to sign me, let me know and we can both get free bets 😃 I’ll just have to send the link. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TuscanyTile2 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 HOU 43.5 BAL -9.5 GBP 50.5 SFO -9.5 Regarding today's games, I like SF -9.5, Houston +9.5 and the over in both. My biggest concern for Houston is that I don't know how CJ Stroud will handle the frigid weather. Then again, who knows how Lamar will do either. Baltimore will probably get Mark Andrews back but their RB is Dalvin Cook. I'll put my faith in Stroud here, getting 9.5 points. In the SF/GB game, I think SF is more of a complete team plus GB is such a young team and maybe they're believing their press clippings. They might keep it close for a while but I expect the 49ers to eventually get things rolling. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 5 minutes ago, TuscanyTile2 said: HOU 43.5 BAL -9.5 GBP 50.5 SFO -9.5 Regarding today's games, I like SF -9.5, Houston +9.5 and the over in both. My biggest concern for Houston is that I don't know how CJ Stroud will handle the frigid weather. Then again, who knows how Lamar will do either. Baltimore will probably get Mark Andrews back but their RB is Dalvin Cook. I'll put my faith in Stroud here, getting 9.5 points. In the SF/GB game, I think SF is more of a complete team plus GB is such a young team and maybe they're believing their press clippings. They might keep it close for a while but I expect the 49ers to eventually get things rolling. Andrews not playing. RB is Gus Edwards. Cook and Melvin Gordon are the emergency guys I think. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 18 minutes ago, Trotter said: @Green Ghost let’s the the day off to an early start what do you think about the orange at noon? home slight favorite nice win the other night I am tempted butting in.... I'd rather watch than bet Mia/Syr. Gun to my head, I take Mia +102 ML. Definitely can go either way. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Green Ghost Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 4 hours ago, Trotter said: @Green Ghost let’s the the day off to an early start what do you think about the orange at noon? home slight favorite nice win the other night I am tempted Just saw this Trots. I hope you didn’t follow your instincts… my guy had them at -4. We’ve had enough bad beats lately. 🙄 NFL today even though I want to see Houston advance, I’m going with the Ravens in the first game. If the dirty birds don’t cover, I’m leery of the points in the second game… I might bet my heart and take the Pack. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bitonti Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 BAL -10 SFO - 10 don't overthink this Houston just won the biggest game of their life and now have to go to 0 degree Baltimore. Ravens are 6-1 after their last 7 byes. We all saw this Texans team give up in the rain against NYJ they won't like the weather today and will shut down Green Bay won't be able to run on SF defense and will be playing catchup all day. Love has been hot lately but SFO is loaded for bear fwiw i never ever do parlays but i have one BAL ML, SFO ML and DET ML that gets to about even money I like KCC to upset BUF on Sunday night due to the Taylor Swift factor and Buffalo has too many key injuries on defense 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 For the hell of it just threw in a parlay of ravens, 9ers and lions all minus the point plus bills ml 50 for 500. If the first 3 ever hit then hedge the chiefs in case the zebras get involved and pick up a few dollars either way 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TuscanyTile2 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 25 minutes ago, bitonti said: BAL -10 SFO - 10 don't overthink this Houston just won the biggest game of their life and now have to go to 0 degree Baltimore. Ravens are 6-1 after their last 7 byes. We all saw this Texans team give up in the rain against NYJ they won't like the weather today and will shut down Green Bay won't be able to run on SF defense and will be playing catchup all day. Love has been hot lately but SFO is loaded for bear fwiw i never ever do parlays but i have one BAL ML, SFO ML and DET ML that gets to about even money I like KCC to upset BUF on Sunday night due to the Taylor Swift factor and Buffalo has too many key injuries on defense In my experience, when I try to "bet comfortable", it doesn't work out. I feel like I do better when I "bet bold". Odds are an underdog will cover (if not win outright). I feel like Ravens/Texans is actually kind of a close matchup. No Mark Andrews and they have Dalvin Cook as their RB and they're giving 9.5 to the Texans?! I'll take Stroud and the 9.5 points. For a longer-shot, I also kind of like Texans ML. As far as the Packers, I feel like more people are on their bandwagon. I'm thinking they're more likely to fall off a little bit today. SF is such a loaded team that I feel like if GB slips up at all, they're going to pay the price. SF -10 is my pick there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bitonti Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, TuscanyTile2 said: In my experience, when I try to "bet comfortable", it doesn't work out. I feel like I do better when I "bet bold". Odds are an underdog will cover (if not win outright). I feel like Ravens/Texans is actually kind of a close matchup. No Mark Andrews and they have Dalvin Cook as their RB and they're giving 9.5 to the Texans?! I'll take Stroud and the 9.5 points. For a longer-shot, I also kind of like Texans ML. As far as the Packers, I feel like more people are on their bandwagon. I'm thinking they're more likely to fall off a little bit today. SF is such a loaded team that I feel like if GB slips up at all, they're going to pay the price. SF -10 is my pick there. I agree with you on feeling but taking 10 on The dogs today feels more comfortable than laying the points. Especially after last week I can't get over how Stroud packed it in vs the Jets in bad weather. Obviously much more at stake today but in zero degrees there's going to come a point where Houston doesn't want to be there anymore 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 Houston now +10. I guess too much money was coming in on Ravens. The push factor is tempting, but I'll stick to my earlier bets on this one. Rooting for Texans. Just started looking at night game props. Some interesting ones for sure. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, bitonti said: I agree with you on feeling but taking 10 on The dogs today feels more comfortable than laying the points. Especially after last week I can't get over how Stroud packed it in vs the Jets in bad weather. Obviously much more at stake today but in zero degrees there's going to come a point where Houston doesn't want to be there anymore I was there. He didn't "pack it in". Christ. The Jets beat the sh*t out of Stroud all game long. It's like you didn't watch the game. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Obrien2Toon Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Love the big favs texans beat a terrible browns team, bucs beat a eagles team that gave up weeks before 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 2nd half betting line: Ravens -6.5 2nd half totals +/- 21.5. +300's for Houston to win this game. The value is there, for sure. I'm thinking the over for the second half Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TuscanyTile2 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, Dcat said: 2nd half betting line: Ravens -6.5 2nd half totals +/- 21.5. +300's for Houston to win this game. The value is there, for sure. I'm thinking the over for the second half Houston's offense hasn't really done that much, yet they should be ahead 13-10. I still like the Texans in the game and I think those are nice odds on the ML. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bitonti Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 hours ago, Dcat said: I was there. He didn't "pack it in". Christ. The Jets beat the sh*t out of Stroud all game long. It's like you didn't watch the game. Here we are shut down time It's ok i know you did not mean to be mean Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
playtowinthegame Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 4 hours ago, bitonti said: BAL -10 SFO - 10 don't overthink this 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 26 minutes ago, bitonti said: Here we are shut down time It's ok i know you did not mean to be mean What you said about him quitting at the Jets game was a flat out lie. And somehow you think the result of today's game against the Ravens validates your bullsht about the Jets game? Your brain is peculiar. Needs to be left to science. Not unlike AbbyNormal. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bitonti Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 14 minutes ago, Dcat said: What you said about him quitting at the Jets game was a flat out lie. And somehow you think the result of today's game against the Ravens validates your bullsht about the Jets game? Your brain is peculiar. Needs to be left to science. Not unlike AbbyNormal. They got cold in the 2nd half that's all I'm saying. These warm weather teams on the road can't function in zero degrees Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Ok 9ers let’s top off this day with a nice win exceeding 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 2 hours ago, bitonti said: They got cold in the 2nd half that's all I'm saying. These warm weather teams on the road can't function in zero degrees But that's NOT at all what happened in the Houston-Jets game. 1. It was not very cold. I was there. 2. You alluded that Stroud just quit when the truth was that the Jets defense beat the hell out of him. Nonetheless you chose to use your fabrication to back up your prediction for today. What's wrong with you? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fibonacci Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Feels like it will be a Lions and Bills kind of a day. My bets for the day are: Lions -6 (3U) Bills -2.5 (3U) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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