Will Aaron Rodgers Throw For Over 300 Sunday?

[Barry McCockinner]

 

[BreeceHallofFame]

300 is an arbitrary number 

only one QB threw for 300 week 1, avg for day was 185

you can throw for 5k yards and never hit 300

if then run game is as good as we expect 300 yard games will be rare 

btw his last season was played with a broken thumb and Lazard as #1 option 

[Joe W. Namath]

No.  This will be a low scoring rock fight.

[BreeceHallofFame]

Caleb threw for 80 yards against this D

[Ken Schroy]

I don't see it. I think they are going to try and run the ball to get this OL working together to establish some coordination. Then STOP the run on the other side. Basic stuff.

[faba]

They want to run the ball so no he does not have to throw for 300 yards if he does it means we are way behind not good

[Green Ghost]

I’m trying to understand why everyone was so excited to get Aaron Rodgers, and now that he’s finally playing everyone is afraid to let him air it out.

[BreeceHallofFame]

4 minutes ago, Green Ghost said:

I’m trying to understand why everyone was so excited to get Aaron Rodgers, and now that he’s finally playing everyone is afraid to let him air it out.

I think the idea is to build a lead and then dominate the opponent with the run game. Throwing for 300+ consistently usually implies a bad defense or run game. Obviously the defense and run game sucked Monday so if that continues Aaron with throw for 5k yards 

[The Crusher]

22 minutes ago, Barry McCockinner said:

 

No, he will not. He will likely have tons of receptions within 0-9 yards. Maybe a bang play or two to with either Garret or his Boo Sir Drops a lot. He will also have one of those weird interception on a semi tipped ball. 

[THE BARON]

10 minutes ago, Green Ghost said:

I’m trying to understand why everyone was so excited to get Aaron Rodgers, and now that he’s finally playing everyone is afraid to let him air it out.

it is more about having anything approximating a good passer vs. having dennis the menace. they dont need a hof performance by rodgers.  just a good performance.  

[Bobby816]

Doubt it. I still think we care to win by running the ball. SF game not going our way doesn't change that.

[Green Ghost]

7 minutes ago, The Crusher said:

No, he will not. He will likely have tons of receptions within 0-9 yards. Maybe a bang play or two to with either Garret or his Boo Sir Drops a lot. He will also have one of those weird interception on a semi tipped ball. 

Sounds like his game Monday night.

[The Crusher]

Just now, Green Ghost said:

Sounds like his game Monday night.

Honestly not sure why anyone would think it will be any different. I think that by game 3-4 we will see this team gel, till then same old same old. Plus coaches are scared poopless of anything happening to Aaron so they will vanilla bland  salt the living hell out of this offense. Plus Hacket is a dumb dumb. 

[Jet_Engine1]

16 minutes ago, Green Ghost said:

I’m trying to understand why everyone was so excited to get Aaron Rodgers, and now that he’s finally playing everyone is afraid to let him air it out.

Pass Pro was 10X better than run blocking against the 49ers... who are pretty, pretty good at rushing the QB. THROW THE BALL. Spam Garrett if he has to and if Williams is listed as active, maybe like, use him. He isn't exactly in the long-term plans, right?

Much like Sergeant Four Leaf Tayback, Lazard has regrown his hands and Conklin, Ruckert, Lil' Gipper, and Milk Carton Corley are all still in the roster, right?

[GKnight83]

Caleb threw for 80 yards against this D

Caleb is nowhere close to the QB AR is.

And 294 is close enough to 300 to make me laugh at your comments


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[FidelioJet]

Rodgers isn't close the MVP player we had hoped he might be.   At this point he's a game manager.  

Yes, he can still throw the ball but the days of counting on him to carry his team is over.  Sure, he'll have a 300 yard game here or there (might even be this week) but it shouldn't ever be expected.

[BreeceHallofFame]

 

Just now, FidelioJet said:

Rodgers isn't close the MVP player we had hoped he might be.   At this point he's a game manager.  

Yes, he can still throw the ball but the days of counting on him to carry his team is over.  Sure, he'll have a 300 yard game here or there (might even be this week) but it shouldn't ever be expected.

dam it took you 21 plays which included multiple drops, fumbles, out of bounds catch’s, and tipped interceptions to make that call? Got any stock tips?

[Augustiniak]

26 minutes ago, The Crusher said:

No, he will not. He will likely have tons of receptions within 0-9 yards. Maybe a bang play or two to with either Garret or his Boo Sir Drops a lot. He will also have one of those weird interception on a semi tipped ball. 

If he does it’s b/c someone takes a short pass to the house.  But if Tenn completely takes away the run we’ll see if Hackett adjusts.  

[Icer]

Titans D did pretty well against the Bears, so I don't expect fireworks. Even if Caleb is a rookie they have alot of weapons

[slimjasi]

I'm not sure, but as I routinely point out on this board, total yardage isn't a great way to gauge things. 

Look at yards per attempt, not total yards. 

Rodgers threw for 8 yards per attempt on Monday night, which is very good. If he continues to do that and we can run the ball with any sort of consistency, the offense will be fine. Total passing yards are dependent on how many times we throw the ball. 

 

[SomebodytoAnybody47]

200-250 range.

[OtherwiseHappyinLife]

I'm a big fan of letting Rodgers air it out and throwing to set up the run rather than forcing the 'predictable' run or when it is ineffective.

But the key to me is keeping the Titans off balance.  I shared a stat the other day that the Jets ran the ball on 2nd down 6 of 7 times in the first half against the 49ers.  This whole philosophy of minimizing 3rd down distances is hurting us by shrinking the field and letting the Defense attack the run on 2nd down and pass on 3rd down.

Let Rodgers throw on early downs and 2x or more in a row.  Don't be afraid.  Then run when they're expecting the pass and vice versa. 

The better question to me is will the Jets score more than 21 points?  The answer is yes and the Jets beat the Titans on Sunday.

[UntouchableCrew]

Andy Dalton has done it three times for three teams because he's making spot starts for awful teams and accumulating lots of garbage time stats.

I'd be surprised if Rodgers passed for 300 yards too many times this year. I feel like Bills/Dolphins games seem like the sort of games I could see it happening though.

[Darnold's Forehead]

Idk but Mike Williams needs to play a substantial amount of snaps.  Hopefully Saleh has realized that his no gas, all brake approach to readying and protecting players has not worked one bit.

He was cleared to play.  They can’t afford him not playing.

[Barry McCockinner]

1 hour ago, Green Ghost said:

I’m trying to understand why everyone was so excited to get Aaron Rodgers, and now that he’s finally playing everyone is afraid to let him air it out.

wut? who are the people that are afraid?

[T0mShane]

[BreeceHallofFame]

23 minutes ago, Barry McCockinner said:

wut? who are the people that are afraid?

He’s projecting 

[T0mShane]

1 hour ago, slimjasi said:

I'm not sure, but as I routinely point out on this board, total yardage isn't a great way to gauge things. 

Look at yards per attempt, not total yards. 

Rodgers threw for 8 yards per attempt on Monday night, which is very good. If he continues to do that and we can run the ball with any sort of consistency, the offense will be fine. Total passing yards are dependent on how many times we throw the ball. 

 

Take out the 36 yarder on the free play to Lazard and it’s 6.6 ypa, which knocks him down to bottom third of the league on what was a historically bad day for passing yardage totals

[Barry McCockinner]

29 minutes ago, T0mShane said:

Take out the 36 yarder on the free play to Lazard and it’s 6.6 ypa, which knocks him down to bottom third of the league on what was a historically bad day for passing yardage totals

why are we doing that tough? It's part of his game, he's better than anyone at it. I could see if Zach Wilson somehow mistakenly pulled off a free play and you wanted to remove it from the stat line but it's Aaron Rodgers.

[Beerfish]

www. game manager .calm

[Jetsplayer21]

2 hours ago, Barry McCockinner said:

 

2021, 2nd yr of his back to back MVPs. 2022 had a broken thumb almost all yr on throwing hard. And then of course last yr didn’t play. Total yardage is what is most important ( other than score ) on the ground , air. 

[slimjasi]

46 minutes ago, T0mShane said:

Take out the 36 yarder on the free play to Lazard and it’s 6.6 ypa, which knocks him down to bottom third of the league on what was a historically bad day for passing yardage totals

Yeah, I don't get taking out that play. Rodgers has done that forever. 

 

[jgb]

10 minutes ago, slimjasi said:

Yeah, I don't get taking out that play. Rodgers has done that forever. 

 

I agree, you cannot compromise the integrity of the data set to create the conclusion you’re looking for. And, even if you wanted to commit such an unpardonable sin against statistics, you’d also have to remove the data point that best supports your position to at least feign intellectual honestly.

[Prodigal Syndicate]

2 hours ago, BreeceHallofFame said:

300 is an arbitrary number 

only one QB threw for 300 week 1, avg for day was 185

you can throw for 5k yards and never hit 300

if then run game is as good as we expect 300 yard games will be rare 

btw his last season was played with a broken thumb and Lazard as #1 option 

 

1 hour ago, UntouchableCrew said:

Andy Dalton has done it three times for three teams because he's making spot starts for awful teams and accumulating lots of garbage time stats.

I'd be surprised if Rodgers passed for 300 yards too many times this year. I feel like Bills/Dolphins games seem like the sort of games I could see it happening though.

Just for fun and out of curiosity I took a look at the team results before and after this streak started.

Rodgers last game he threw for 300 yards they won.

Since the streak started Rodgers has gone 11-12 as a starter (12-12 if you wanna count the achilles games) and missed the playoffs.

His record for the 29 games before the streak started was 23-6.

[Creepy Lurker]

2 hours ago, Jet_Engine1 said:

Sergeant Four Leaf Tayback

I’ve been thinking about this analogy for Lazard all week since I just watched tropic thunder last week haha.