ESPN and Pro Football Network disagree on Jets playoff chances

[AFJF]

Cimini says ESPN analytics put Jets playoff chances at 18%.

PFN says 37%.

Before Thursday’s win, the Jets had a 22.3% chance of making the playoffs. Now, after defeating the Texans, New York’s postseason odds have increased to 37%.

[Larz]

Contractually obligated to post this by internet law

 

[BreeceHallofFame]

Another one?

[The Crusherer]

Trolling Jet fans is big business. But, a win is a win and it’s way less miserable than losing even if it turns into nothing. Week long buzz fur now. 

[Reasonable Jets Fan]

22 minutes ago, AFJF said:

Cimini says ESPN analytics put Jets playoff chances at 18%.

PFN says 37%.

Before Thursday’s win, the Jets had a 22.3% chance of making the playoffs. Now, after defeating the Texans, New York’s postseason odds have increased to 37%.

[Jet_Engine1]

OK, I am VERY confused by this, did I miss something??

 

Who is @The Crusherer and is he @The Crusher? Are they the same person? Different people? If not, where IS @The Crusher?  And who is @The Crusherer??

 

[The Crusherer]

1 minute ago, Jet_Engine1 said:

OK, I am VERY confused by this, did I miss something??

 

Who is @The Crusherer and is he @The Crusher? Are they the same person? Different people? If not, where IS @The Crusher?  And who is @The Crusherer??

 

@The Crusher is taking a modest leave of absence and asked if I could post in his stead but I’m a really bad speller. So didn’t want to bother other mods with changing it and figured it was close enough. 

[Adoni Beast]

Enjoy the win…but let’s get to .500 before we even start thinking about playing more than 17 games this season.

[ChrebetOverKeyshawn]

Very torn this morning, no doubt it’s in the back of everyone’s minds an absolute egg in Arizona is completely on the table. At the same time 6-6 is definitely achievable with some new found momentum. If you want to get even crazier look at Buffalo’s next 4 opponents, they could be just 7-5. Not banking on it, but it’s not outrageous. 

[RoadFan]

This is ridiculous.   I am happy they finally won a game.  However, last night was yet another display of horrendous mistakes.

The Jets cannot win consistently with the worst special teams units in franchise history…

[NYJCAP2]

Still leading the league in penalties.

Two tie-breaking losses to wild card contenders. Denver and Pitt.

Have lots of work to do, not buying it yet. Still in prove it mode.

[Alka]

3 hours ago, AFJF said:

Cimini says ESPN analytics put Jets playoff chances at 18%.

PFN says 37%.

Before Thursday’s win, the Jets had a 22.3% chance of making the playoffs. Now, after defeating the Texans, New York’s postseason odds have increased to 37%.

How about this?

If the Jets lose the next game, then we can stop arguing about the Jets playoff chances.  Sound good?

[varjet]

13 minutes ago, Alka said:

How about this?

If the Jets lose the next game, then we can stop arguing about the Jets playoff chances.  Sound good?

This is correct.  

Woody is engaged and is not giving up.   They want to be relevant through November.  It is possible.  

[fullblast]

They both agree that we aren’t making the playoffs. Looks legit.

[jamesr]

Very torn this morning, no doubt it’s in the back of everyone’s minds an absolute egg in Arizona is completely on the table. At the same time 6-6 is definitely achievable with some new found momentum. If you want to get even crazier look at Buffalo’s next 4 opponents, they could be just 7-5. Not banking on it, but it’s not outrageous. 

Playing Buffalo with SOLE POSSESSION of the AFC East on the line?

Sent from my Pixel 7 using Tapatalk

[JoeNamathsFurCoat]

4 hours ago, NYJCAP2 said:

Still leading the league in penalties.

Two tie-breaking losses to wild card contenders. Denver and Pitt.

Have lots of work to do, not buying it yet. Still in prove it mode.

Biggest thing to work on is tackling

Just pathetic

So much unnecessary yards after contact 

[Vader]

5 hours ago, RoadFan said:

This is ridiculous.   I am happy they finally won a game.  However, last night was yet another display of horrendous mistakes.

The Jets cannot win consistently with the worst special teams units in franchise history…

no but we can win by beating our opponents by two scores with like 4 minutes to go in the game 

[AFJF]

5 hours ago, Alka said:

How about this?

If the Jets lose the next game, then we can stop arguing about the Jets playoff chances.  Sound good?

Are people arguing about this?  I started the thread as a topic but as exciting as it was to see this team play well for a half, that's all it was.  It was one half of good football.  I still say they don't make it, but if the math says 33% then it's about 32% higher than the chance I was giving them.

[Alka]

19 hours ago, AFJF said:

Are people arguing about this?  I started the thread as a topic but as exciting as it was to see this team play well for a half, that's all it was.  It was one half of good football.  I still say they don't make it, but if the math says 33% then it's about 32% higher than the chance I was giving them.

I really was not trying to criticize you for the thread.  I just can't get my hopes up, because the Jets are sure to let me down.  I need to stay calm, and not get too excited about winning 1 game, after losing 5 in a row.  My response was more for myself then it was directed at anyone else.  But the fact is that the Jets should be favored in the next 2 games at least, and probably well beyond that.  

I will be going to the Jets/Seahawks game, and if the Jets continue to win, that game would put the Jets at a 6-6 record, should they win the next 2 and then the Seahawks.

But if I had to bet, then I would bet against the Jets doing that, since this is the NY Jets we are talking about.

[Ulrich]

On 11/1/2024 at 4:28 PM, JoeNamathsFurCoat said:

Biggest thing to work on is tackling

Just pathetic

So much unnecessary yards after contact 

Definitely a major problem. But pales in comparison to the Jets having one of the worst scoring offenses in the league averaging a pedestrian 19 ppg (the best teams in the league have offenses averaging around 25 - 31 ppg). Jets haven’t even scored more than 24 in any game period.

Meanwhile the defense remains top 10 in points allowed and is 4th in yards allowed.

Problem with this team remains by far an offense that doesn’t put up enough points. It moves the ball at times but has had trouble cashing in TDs, not to mention field goals because of Zuerlein. Also has too many 3 & outs, and penalties & plays for no gain/losses which lead to 3 & outs.

But definitely the tackling has been horrendous. Tiki Barber emphasized that yesterday on WFAN. 

[Greenseed4]

According to NFL.com we’re at 29%
 

[ChewyandtheJets]

I’m pretty good with numbers and having rolled it around in my head for about 30 seconds 29% chance seems impossibly optimistic.  Dont think there would be a lot of money coming in on the Jets with those odds.  Even if they win 6 of 7 that puts them at 9-8 and what have we seen of this team to think they have the slightest chance to pull this off.  

[Rich Thornburgh]

Wait so the patriots fans at ESPN think the jets are missing the playoffs?

[Jetsplayer21]

13 hours ago, ChewyandtheJets said:

I’m pretty good with numbers and having rolled it around in my head for about 30 seconds 29% chance seems impossibly optimistic.  Dont think there would be a lot of money coming in on the Jets with those odds.  Even if they win 6 of 7 that puts them at 9-8 and what have we seen of this team to think they have the slightest chance to pull this off.  

I wouldn’t be proud if this would be the jets, but I think there is a pretty decent chance the 7th seed in afc will be 8-9. 

[Greensleeves]

13 hours ago, ChewyandtheJets said:

I’m pretty good with numbers and having rolled it around in my head for about 30 seconds 29% chance seems impossibly optimistic.  Dont think there would be a lot of money coming in on the Jets with those odds.  Even if they win 6 of 7 that puts them at 9-8 and what have we seen of this team to think they have the slightest chance to pull this off.  

Nope, if you were good at numbers then you know it puts them at 9-7 if they win 6 of 7. 😂

[Plen T]

We needed Miami to beat Buffalo today 

[DJF71]

Jets are one game from the worst record in the NFL.

[DJF71]

34 minutes ago, Plen T said:

We needed Miami to beat Buffalo today 

So the Jest can be in 3rd in the division?

[ChewyandtheJets]

14 hours ago, Greensleeves said:

Nope, if you were good at numbers then you know it puts them at 9-7 if they win 6 of 7. 😂

Correction:  I was once good with numbers 🤪

[OilfieldJet]

On 11/1/2024 at 8:00 AM, AFJF said:

Cimini says ESPN analytics put Jets playoff chances at 18%.

PFN says 37%.

Before Thursday’s win, the Jets had a 22.3% chance of making the playoffs. Now, after defeating the Texans, New York’s postseason odds have increased to 37%.

They do agree: Low.

[rex-n-effect]

The schedule is easier moving forward, minus the Cardinals and Bills games, but the team has to pretty much pick up all the other games to have a chance at a wildcard. Or I guess there's a scenario where the Jets win a lot and the Bills lose a lot and reverse fortunes. 

I'm not counting on anything based on one good half of football.

[BigRy56]

PFN is correct

[Tooooon]

On 11/3/2024 at 10:36 AM, ChewyandtheJets said:

I’m pretty good with numbers and having rolled it around in my head for about 30 seconds 29% chance seems impossibly optimistic.  Dont think there would be a lot of money coming in on the Jets with those odds.  Even if they win 6 of 7 that puts them at 9-8 and what have we seen of this team to think they have the slightest chance to pull this off.  

You’re good with numbers but think 6 of 7 = 9-8?