After 3 Days of Camp, My Odds of All 90 Players Making the Team

[Sarge4Tide]

Just a wild guess, of course, will update throughout the preseason

BOLD GREEN - Virtually 100% Lock to Make the Team
Green - 90% - 100% Chance of Making the Team
Purple - 75%-90% Chance of Making the Team
BOLD ORANGE - 50%-75% Chance of Making the Team
Red - 25% - 50% Chance of Making the Team
Underlined Red - <25% Chance of Making the Team

 

1. 92 - Leonard Williams 6'5 300 USC (DE/DT)
2. 33 - Jamal Adams 6'0" 214 LSU (2017 Draft Pick)  (S)
3. 96 - Muhammad Wilkerson 6'4" 315 Temple  (DT/DE)
4. 5 - Christian Hackenberg 6'4" 225 Penn State  (QB)
5. 81 - Quincy Enunwa 6'2" 225 Nebraska (WR)
6. 21 - Morris Claiborne 5'11"  192 LSU (2017 Free Agent Signing) (CB)
7. 58 - Darron Lee 6'1" 235 Ohio State (LB)
8. 91 - Sheldon Richardson 6'3" 294 Missouri (DT/DE)
9. 26 - Marcus Maye 6'0" 210 Florida(2017 Draft Pick) (S)
10. 29 - Bilal Powell 5'11" 207 Louisville (RB)
11. 67 - Brian Winters 6'4" 320 (G)
12. 48 - Jordan Jenkins 6'3" 259 Ohio State (LB)
13. 15 - Josh McCown 6'4 218 Sam Houston State (2017 Free Agent Signing) (QB)
14. 11 - Robby Anderson 6'3" 190 Temple  (WR)
15. 18 - Ardarius Stewart 5'11" 204 Alabama (2017 Draft Pick) (WR)
16. 6 - Chad Hansen 6'2" 202 Washington (2017 Draft Pick) (WR)
17. 46 - Tanner Purdum 6'3" 275 (Unrestricted Free Agent - RE-SIGNED) (LS)
18. 88 - Austin Seferian-Jenkins 6'5" 260 Washington  (2 Game Suspension) (TE)
19. 49 - Jordan Leggett 6'5" 258 Clemson (2017 Draft Pick) (TE)
20. 56 - Demario Davis 6'2" 242 Arkansas State (Acquired via Trade with Cleveland) (LB)
21. 4 - Lac Edwards 6'4" 215 Sam Houston State (P)
22. 77 - James Carpenter 6'5 321 Alabama (G)
23. 76 - Wesley Johnson 6'5" 297 (C/G)  (Restricted Free Agent - RE-SIGNED)
24. 68 - Kelvin Beachum 6"3" 303 (T) SMU (2017 Free Agent Signing)
25. 72 - Brandon Shell 6'5" 325 South Carolina (T/G)
26. 22 - Matt Forte 6'2" 218 Tulane (RB)
27. 32 - Justin Burris 6'0" 205 NC State (CB)
28. 71 - Ben Ijalana 6'4" 322 Villanova (T/G)  (Unrestricted Free Agent - RE-SIGNED)   
29. 41 - Buster Skrine 5'9" 185 Tennessee-Chattanooga (CB)
30. 27 - Darryl Roberts 6'0" 182 Marshall (CB)
31. 79 - Brent Qvale 6'7 315 Nebraska (T)
32. 99 - Steve McLendon 6'3" 310 Troy (DT)
33. 35 - Elijah McGuire 5'10" 214 LA-Lafayette (KR) (2017 Draft Pick) (RB)
34. 55 - Lorenzo Mauldin 6'4" 259 Louisville (LB)
35. 20 - Marcus Williams 5'11" 195 North Dakota State  (Restricted Free Agent- RE-SIGNED) (CB)
36. 54 - Bruce Carter 6'2" 240 North Carolina  (LB)
37. 53 - Dylan Donahue 6'3" 248 West Georgia (2017 Draft Pick) (LB)
38. 45 - Rontez Miles 6'1" 210 California (PA) (S)
39. 9 - Bryce Petty 6'3" 230 Baylor (QB)
40. 93 - Deon Simon 6'4" 330 Northwest St LA  (DT)
41. 70 - Dakota Dozier 6'4" 313 Furman (C/G/T)
42. 36 - Doug Middleton 6'0" 210 Appalachian State (S)
43. 50 - Freddie Bishop 6'4" 260 Western Michigan (LB)
44. 17 - Charone Peake 6'3" 205 Clemson (WR)
45. 78 - Jonotthan Harrison 6"4" 300 Florida (C/G)(2017 Free Agent Signing)
46. 83 - Eric Tomlinson 6'6" 263 UTEP (TE)
47. 34 - Jeremy Clark 6'3" 220 Michigan (2017 Draft Pick) (CB) (Injury Issues)
48. 51 - Julian Stanford 6'1" 230 Wagner     (LB)
49. 43 - Julian Howsare 6'3" 255 Clarion (FB)
50. 8 - Lucky Whitehead 5'9" 180 FAU (Waiver claim from Cowboys) (KR) (WR)
51. 89 - Jalin Marshall 5'10" 200 Ohio State  (4 Game Suspension) (WR)
52. 7 - Chandler Catanzaro 6"3" 200 Clemson (2017 Free Agent Signing) (PK)
53. 1 - Ross Martin 5'9" 183 Duke (PK)
54. 31 - Derrick Jones 6'2" 188 Mississippi (2017 Draft Pick) (CB)
55. 75 - Anthony Johnson 6'2" 295 LSU  (DT)
56. 98 - Mike Pennel 6'4" 332 Duke (DT) CSU-Pueblo  (Restricted Free Agent - RE-SIGNED)
57. 97 - Lawrence Thomas 6'4" 305 Michigan State  (DE/DT) (2016 Injured Reserve)
58. 95 - Josh Martin 6'3" 245 Columbia (Unrestricted Free Agent - RE-SIGNED) (LB)
59. 23 - Dexter McDougle 5'10" 196 Maryland   (Restricted Free Agent) (CB)
60. 59 - Connor Harris 5'11" 242 Lindenwood (FB?) (UDFA) (LB)
61. 57 - Frank Beltre 6'2" 246 Towson (CFL) (LB)
62. 16 - Myles White 6'0" 185 Louisiana Tech  (WR)
63. 87 - Chris Gragg 6'3" 244 Arkansas (TE)
64. 64 - Craig Watts 6'3" 344 West Texas A+M (G)
65. 34 - Marcus Murphy 5'9" 195 Missouri (KR) (Waiver Claim from Saints) (RB)
66. 42 - Ronald Martin 6'2" 220 LSU (S)
67. 25 - Shamarko Thomas 5'9" 205 Syracuse (NFL Veteran "Street" Free Agent) (S)
68. 30 - Romar Morris 5'9" 190 North Carolina (2016 Injured Reserve) (RB)
69. 44 - Corey Lemonier 6'3" 255 Auburn (Unrestricted Free Agent - RE-SIGNED) (LB)
70. 40 - Anthony Firsker 6'2" 245 Harvard (TE/FB?) (UDFA)
71. 62 - Alex Balducci 6'4" 310 Oregon (C) (Waiver Claim 49ers)
72. 69 - Benjamin Braden 6'6" 335 Michigan (G/T) (UDFA - Signed after Minicamp Tryout)
73. 31 - Jordan Todman 5'9" 203 UCON (KR)  (NFL Veteran "Street" Free Agent) (RB)
74. 63 - Jeff Adams 6'7" 305 Columbia (T/G)
75. 3 - Chris Harper 5'11" 185 Cal  (NFL Veteran "Street" Free Agent) (WR) <<<<<< Needs to be moved Up
76. 65 - Javarius Leamon 6'7" 315 South Carolina St (T) (UDFA)
77. 82 - Brian Parker 6'4" 265 Albany   (TE)
78. 86 - Deshon Foxx 5'10" 177 UCONN  (WR)
79. 49 - Spencer Paysinger 6'2" 249 Oregon (NFL Veteran "Street" Free Agent) (LB)
80. 66 - Claude Pelon 6'4" 300 USC (DL)
81. 2 - Gabe Marks 6'0" 176 Washington State (UDFA) (WR)
82. 85 - Jason Vander Laan 6'4" 244 Ferris State (2016 Practice Squad) (TE)
83. 39 - Corey White 6'1" 210 Samford (NFL Veteran "Street" Free Agent) (S)
84. 14 - Frankie Hammond 6'1" 184 Florida  (WR) <<<<<< Needs to be moved up 
85. 38 - Xavier Coleman 5'11" 189 Portland State (UDFA) (CB)
86. 10 - Marquess Wilson 6'3" 206 Washington State  (NFL Veteran "Street" Free Agent) (Injury Issues - Foot) (WR)
87. 60 - Chris Bordelon 6'6" 315 Nichols State (T) (UDFA - Signed after Minicamp Tryout)
88. xx - David Rivers 6'0" 185  (CB)
89. 94 - Brandin Bryant 6'2" 289 FAU (DT)  (Exclusive Rights Free Agent)
90. 61 - Patrick Gamble 6'5" 277 Georgia Tech (DE/DT) (UDFA)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[bitonti]

don't agree with each and every ranking but gotta respect the effort 

that being said, the number of rookies that are guaranteed a spot pretty much says it all about the roster quality.

If Bowles can get this crap wagon to 6-10, that's a Coach of the year effort. 

[dbatesman]

I think the odds of all 90 players making the team are pretty low

[AFJF]

Agree with some, not with all, but hell of an effort, man.

[JohnnyLV]

Nice effort, but disagree with many many of your placements. 

[Sarge4Tide]

18 minutes ago, johnnysd said:

Nice effort, but disagree with many many of your placements. 

Who's your #1 most egregious placement?

[Bleedin Green]

Great work, and there's not much to really argue about, with only 2 that really stood out to me at all.  I'd definitely move Simon up with his odds.  He's young, talented, and one of the few pure NTs on the roster.  If anything I think he's in position to continue to get more PT in rotation with McLendon this year and competing for a starting job next year.

Richardson I would move down just because, while he has absolutely no chance of getting cut, the Jets are going to continue to shop him around as much as possible.  With Wilkerson's contract and Williams being the best of the bunch, Sheldon's already certain to be the odd man out come next offseason, so they will keep listening to any and all offers they get.  While his more recent rep didn't help with shopping efforts during this past offseason, if there continues to be good press about him that has been popping up so far in camp and he looks good in the preseason, it wouldn't be outrageous if a mid-round offer came their way, which is the best they'd be able to hope to get for him in a comp pick.

Both are definitely just me being a bit nitpicky though, definitely good stuff.

[varjet]

The wild cards for the Jets roster this year will be injuries, trades, suspensions and other teams cuts.

I would expect that at least 3 players of this 90, if not more, will be injured, knocking them out for the year or at least beginning of the season through the IR period.  I don't wish anyone ill will, but that is the reality.  The WRs seem particularly brittle-I am glad Macc likes signing them.

Forte and/or Richardson could/should be traded.  Maybe even McClendon.  I don't see the point of them being on the team.

As an aside, I would reduce Skrine's, McClendon's and Carter's chances of making the team.  I don't think that means someone needs a greater chance.

The suspensions will allow players who would have not made the team to make the team.  Parker and a WR,

The Jets supposedly have one of the league's worst rosters.  One would presume that means that they would want a player cut from a better roster.  That player will not have learned the system though.

As another aside, the OL will be a crapshoot.