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JetCane

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The Dolphins are no power house, per se, however I think they'll give the Pats the best, actually make that only, competition for the division title.

The Jets and Bills will play them both tough as always, but I just can't see either team winning on the plus side of eight.

That said, the AFCE is still the weak link (or at least 2nd weakest) division at this point.

all divisions go through a weak time...and id argue that youre wrong, the afc-east is average...but either way, it wasnt long ago that the afc east was the toughest division, and the nfc east was philly and nothing else

oh how times have changed

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Spermy, do teams get 1 and a half wins if they win by 30 points versus only winning by 3 points?:eek:

Of course not. But my point was that they barely won a bunch of their games. Five of their wins were by 4 points or less meaning any of those games could've gone the other way. AND that was with many teams playing down to them (Denver in week 1) after coming off a 4-win season.

You watch. Miami will win 8 games maximum this year.

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That doesn't matter at all.

A win is a win.;)

The point is that squeaking by a bunch of teams one year doesn't automatically mean you will have equal-or-greater success the following year. Particularly with a new QB who will miss all of camp, 1 less stud HB, the replacement of a veteran CB with a rookie, and 3 main cogs in their front-seven reaching (or surpassing) the age when there is typically a decline in on-field performance.

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When Miami sucked ass early-on with their 3-7 record:

Ronnie Brown:

| 1 den | 22 57 | 4 | 0 |

| 2 nyj | 12 35 | 5 | 0 |

| 3 car | 23 132 | 15 | 1 |

| 5 buf | 17 97 | 19 | 0 |

| 6 tam | 9 22 | 44 | 1 |

| 7 kan | 8 95 | 15 | 1 |

| 8 nor | 23 106 | 12 | 0 |

| 9 atl | 12 67 | 11 | 0 |

| 10 nwe | 14 64 | 28 | 0 |

| 11 cle | 12 56 | 2 | 0 |

Ricky Williams:

| 6 tam | 5 8 | 22 | 0 |

| 7 kan | 6 -1 | 0 | 0 |

| 8 nor | 17 82 | 0 | 0 |

| 9 atl | 10 52 | 0 | 1 |

| 10 nwe | 11 13 | 19 | 0 |

| 11 cle | 13 83 | 0 | 0 |

So Williams didn't see any notable action until week 8. At that point Miami was 2-4. After Ricky came aboard, they were 7-3. They weren't any good until Williams started to get the majority of the carries.

During Miami's 6-game winning streak to end the season:

Ricky Williams

| 12 oak | 16 82 | 13 | 1 |

| 13 buf | 11 46 | 32 | 1 |

| 14 sdg | 11 28 | 0 | 0 |

| 15 nyj | 14 70 | 4 | 1 |

| 16 ten | 26 172 | 3 | 1 |

| 17 nwe | 28 108 | 0 | 1 |

-------------------------------------

TOTAL 106 - 506 - 52 - 5

Ronnie Brown

| 12 oak | 15 58 | 23 | 1 |

| 13 buf | 9 22 | 30 | 1 |

| 14 sdg | 11 30 | 0 | 0 |

| 15 nyj | 12 45 | 11 | 0 |

| 17 nwe | 8 21 | 13 | 0 |

-------------------------------------

TOTAL 55 - 176 - 77 - 1

During Miami's winning streak Williams had roughly 2x the # of carries, 3x the rushing yards, and 2.5x the TD's; in addition to averaging a whopping 1.6 ypc more than Brown (4.8 ypc vs 3.2 ypc).

I don't think Miami would've won more than 6 games without Ricky last year.

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