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manuvsteal

Down on Trevor Lawrence Up on Kyle Trask

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This is not a definitive "mind made up" blog.  For all of the Trevor Lawrence losers that are going to say Trevor Lawrence or bust, or I'm crazy because I don't agree with you, I say you are a bunch of lemmings following each other as you all walk off a cliff, without giving any thought to why you even have the opinion that you have.  I'm not saying Kyle Trask is the best QB in this draft class. I am only stating that I am starting to do my homework, watch condensed film of his throws from each game.  I'm also looking at his stats game by game, and I'm intrigued.

Again, for all the Trevor Lawrence fanboys, this blog is not for you.  I could compare Trask to a guy like Joe Burrow in that if you look at Burrow's trajectory, he wasn't on the map as the #`1 pick at the beginning of the 2019 season, but by the end of the season he'd thrown the most TD's in a season in history, and was a # 1 pick in the NFL draft.  If you take out the Trevor Lawrence lemmings love, and just look at the stats, particularly against the good competition, he's got a really good track record the past 2 seasons that he's been starting.  Again, this is not a definitive "pick this guy", just my thoughts that Trev Lawrence is not the only game in town.  As of right now, Trask is on track to match or break what Joe Burrow did last year. If Burrow was the barometer for success, Trask is in the vicinity.

Including passing stats game by game the past 2 seasons for those of you that are destined to argue without knowing what you are talking about.  Pay particular attention to his completion rate and success rate against top 25 competition. I see a guy who threw 25 TD's to 7 INT's last year, and has thrown 28 TD's against 3 INT's this year in the SEC.  Really looking forward to him playing against Clemson and/or Alabama to see how he holds up.  Right now he's trending as a 2nd round pick, but I'd bet he's a mid 1st rounder by the end of the college football season.  If the Jets were to trade down and stockpile more picks, he's a player I'd be interested in, even over guys like Justin Fields.  Reports are that he is a born leader, and has a super work ethic, which at this point everyone says about their QB, so I take that with a grain of salt.  Still needs to see how he spins the ball against certain coverages, his decision making, and how he deals with certain scenarios1.  As of right now I like the dude as I'm not sold that Trev Lawrence is the answer. 

 

Date Opponent Surface Result Att Comp Pct. Yards Yards/Att TD Int Rating
09/26/20 @ Mississippi Grass W 51-35 42 30 71.4 416 9.9 6 0 201.77
10/03/20 South Carolina Grass W 38-24 29 21 72.4 268 9.2 4 1 188.65
10/10/20 @ 5 Texas A&M Grass L 38-41 32 23 71.9 312 9.8 4 0 195.03
10/31/20 Missouri Grass W 41-17 36 21 58.3 345 9.6 4 1 169.94
11/07/20 + 13 Georgia Grass W 44-28 43 30 69.8 474 11.0 4 1 188.41
11/14/20 Arkansas Grass W 63-35 29 23 79.3 356 12.3 6 0 250.71
  Totals 211 148 70.1 2171 10.3 28 3 197.52
Date Opponent Surface Result Att Comp Pct. Yards Yards/Att TD Int Rating
08/24/19 + Miami (Fla.) Grass W 24-20 Did not play
09/07/19 Tenn.-Martin Grass W 45-0 5 4 80.0 40 8.0 1 0 213.20
09/14/19 @ Kentucky Turf W 29-21 13 9 69.2 126 9.7 0 0 150.64
09/21/19 Tennessee Grass W 34-3 28 20 71.4 293 10.5 2 2 168.61
09/28/19 Towson Grass W 38-0 20 18 90.0 188 9.4 2 0 201.96
10/05/19 14 Auburn Grass W 24-13 31 19 61.3 234 7.5 2 0 145.98
10/12/19 @ 1 LSU Grass L 28-42 39 23 59.0 310 7.9 3 1 145.99
10/19/19 @ South Carolina Grass W 38-27 33 21 63.6 200 6.1 4 1 148.49
11/02/19 + 4 Georgia Grass L 17-24 33 21 63.6 257 7.8 2 0 149.06
11/09/19 Vanderbilt Grass W 56-0 37 25 67.6 363 9.8 3 2 165.93
11/16/19 @ Missouri Turf W 23-6 35 23 65.7 282 8.1 2 0 152.25
11/30/19 Florida St. Grass W 40-17 41 30 73.2 343 8.4 3 0 167.59
12/30/19 + Virginia Grass W 36-28 39 24 61.5 305 7.8 1 1 130.57
  Totals 354 237 66.9 2941 8.3 25 7

156.09

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Trask won’t have enough games to break Burrows record but he is doing it vs exclusively SEC competition which is impressive.  
 

I don’t see a next level player when I watch him but he’s such a great underdog story how could you count him out?!?!?

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His arm will get a little picked apart in the predraft process.. He's having an incredible year, but there will be alot dissected about him in the months leading up to the draft that will keep him out of that top QB teir in this draft. 

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On 11/21/2020 at 8:14 PM, JiF said:

Trask won’t have enough games to break Burrows record but he is doing it vs exclusively SEC competition which is impressive.  
 

I don’t see a next level player when I watch him but he’s such a great underdog story how could you count him out?!?!?

Track’s success is a huge feather in Mullen’s cap.  That guy can coach an offense.  

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Interesting.  I tend to be one of the lemmings when it comes to QB.  From some of what I read, I expected him to be one of those smaller chicken armed guys that puts up crazy numbers.  He's not.  He's a big dude, and his arm seems fine.  People describing Darnold's arm as "strong" should be okay with this kid from the limited amount I have seen.  I don't think this is the season to be going "by the numbers" though because the whole season is a cluster****. 

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1 hour ago, #27TheDominator said:

Interesting.  I tend to be one of the lemmings when it comes to QB.  From some of what I read, I expected him to be one of those smaller chicken armed guys that puts up crazy numbers.  He's not.  He's a big dude, and his arm seems fine.  People describing Darnold's arm as "strong" should be okay with this kid from the limited amount I have seen.  I don't think this is the season to be going "by the numbers" though because the whole season is a cluster****. 

Trask doesnt have a fast ball.  I think Darnold has a better fast ball. But he's got great touch, accuracy, anticipation and throws a decent long ball.  He can throw some balloons from time to time.  I think it's adequate but he's more of a timing passer than a zip into tight windows type guy.  When he tries to do that, it's typicaly bad.

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Fair enough.  I want a big guy with a cannon.  If they can run it is a bonus.  This guy would not excite me, but I appreciate the thoughts. 

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