Jets individual Over/Unders: Offense

[Jetsfan80]

Pick the O/U's for offensive players here!  I based the O/U's for the veteran players on past performance.  For instance, using his per game yardage totals, Darnold's yardage per 16 games is a little over 3,600.  4,000 would represent a significant uptick but not an outlandish number to go with.

For Mims, keep in mind that only 14 rookie receivers have achieved 1,000+ yards since the AFL-NFL merger.  850, thus, is a pretty good number to set as the O/U for a rookie like him that is expected to get solid playing time.

If you disagree strongly with these O/U's, make your case as well!

[Seibelt]

I am not sure why but I feel Mims is going to be the focal point of the Jets offense this year, and we have Le’Veon Freakin Bell on our team.

Must be the Red Wine talking........

[jeremy2020]

32 minutes ago, Seibelt said:

I am not sure why but I feel Mims is going to be the focal point of the Jets offense this year, and we have Le’Veon Freakin Bell on our team.

Must be the Red Wine talking........

Over / under on 5.5 bottles?

[Seibelt]

Over.........

[GreenReaper]

1. Sam Darnold: 4,000 passing yards...Over = 4400+ passing yards year.

2. Denzel Mims: 850 receiving yards...Over = 72 x 15.6 = 1123.

3. Breshad Perriman: 7.5 TDs...Under = 7 TDs...a good year for him though.

4. Chris Herndon: 5.5 TDs...Over = 8TDs...he's back!

5. Le'Veon Bell: 1,500 Yards from Scrimmage...Under = 1175 - 1225 Yards...just not the Bell cow anymore...gets less touches...Perine gets significant touches to compensate.  Gore gets some too.

6. Jamison Crowder: 89.5 Catches...Under = 87 Catches...catches spread around...especially to Mims and Herndon.
 

[rangerous]

i can't see darnold throwing for 4000+.  imo he's not going to have more than 30 attempts per game and that translates to about 240 ypg.  herndon may get quite a few tds.  griffen had 5 or so and he didn't come on until late.  i think we're going to see the te's get involved in the passing game.  bell probably isn't going to get more than 20-25 touches per game.  he might get over 1500 yards.

[Jetsfan80]

6 hours ago, GreenReaper said:

2. Denzel Mims: 850 receiving yards...Over = 72 x 15.6 = 1123.

He would join elite company in that case.  Only 5 receivers since 1970 have achieved 1,100+ yards in their rookie seasons:

• Anquan Boldin (1,377 - 2003)
• Randy Moss (1,313 - 1998)
• Odell Beckham (1,305 - 2014)
• Michael Thomas (1,137 - 2016)
• Terry Glenn (1,132 - 1996)

 

6 hours ago, GreenReaper said:

3. Breshad Perriman: 7.5 TDs...Under = 7 TDs...a good year for him though.
 

Sounds about right.  I probably set his O/U too high at 7.5.  My thinking there was he caught 6 TDs last season despite only starting 4 games.  There's nothing stopping him from starting all 16 this year, or at bare minimum being a high volume WR3. 

[GreenReaper]

1 hour ago, Jetsfan80 said:

He would join elite company in that case.  Only 5 receivers since 1970 have achieved 1,100+ yards in their rookie seasons:

• Anquan Boldin (1,377 - 2003)
• Randy Moss (1,313 - 1998)
• Odell Beckham (1,305 - 2014)
• Michael Thomas (1,137 - 2016)
• Terry Glenn (1,132 - 1996)

 

Sounds about right.  I probably set his O/U too high at 7.5.  My thinking there was he caught 6 TDs last season despite only starting 4 games.  There's nothing stopping him from starting all 16 this year, or at bare minimum being a high volume WR3. 

My Mims stats.  I look at his tape...and I just feel it...envision it!  The route running concerns are overblown.  IMO...he's a complete player.  A freaking steal.  Can my stats be wrong...sure!  But...Mims...really gonna surprise.    

So...when it comes to Mims...I'm with thems...

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No...I won't back down...

R I P...Tom Petty.

[predator_05]

Hitting the under on all of them. Asking too much from a new-look offense in its first year.