Larz Posted March 24, 2023 Share Posted March 24, 2023 I rarely post in here, cut me a little slack lol as far as I can tell, Brendan Donohue has been the most accurate over the last 5 years. I’m bad at formatting, so please be kind. 13 Jets Broderick Jones OT Georgia https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/2023-nfl-mock-draft-brendan-donahue/ 1 Panthers C.J. Stroud EDGE Ohio St. 2 Texans Bryce Young QB Alabama 3 Cardinals Will Anderson EDGE Alabama 4 Colts Anthony Richardson QB Florida 5 Seahawks Tyree Wilson EDGE Texas Tech 6 Lions Jalen Carter DL Georgia 7 Raiders Christian Gonzalez CB Oregon 8 Falcons Nolan Smith EDGE Georgia 9 Bears Peter Skoronski OL Northwestern 10 Commanders Will Levis QB Kentucky 11 Titans Paris Johnston Jr. OT Ohio St. 12 Texans Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR Ohio St. 13 Jets Broderick Jones OT Georgia 14 Patriots Darnell Wright OT Tennessee 15 Packers Lukas Van Ness EDGE Iowa 16 Eagles Calijah Kancey DL Pittsburgh 17 Steelers Joey Porter Jr. CB Penn State 18 Lions Myles Murphy EDGE Clemson 19 Buccaneers Darnell Wright OT Tennessee 20 Seahawks Jordan Addison WR USC 21 Chargers Bryan Bresee DL Clemson 22 Ravens Quentin Johnston WR TCU 23 Vikings Deonte Banks CB Maryland 24 Jaguars Adetomiwa Adebawore DL Northwestern 25 Giants Zay Flowers WR Boston College 26 Cowboys Bijan Robinson RB Texas 27 Bills Dawand Jones OT Ohio St. 28 Bengals Michael Mayer TE Notre Dame 29 Saints Will McDonald EDGE Iowa St. 30 Eagles Bryan Branch DB Alabama 31 Chiefs Anton Harrison OT Oklahoma 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JohnnyLV Posted March 25, 2023 Share Posted March 25, 2023 If the draft went that way and you like Levis you need to trade up with Chicago Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
section314 Posted March 25, 2023 Share Posted March 25, 2023 Witherspoon not in 1st? Interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derp Posted March 25, 2023 Share Posted March 25, 2023 1 hour ago, johnnysd said: If the draft went that way and you like Levis you need to trade up with Chicago Would apparently be the first time four quarterbacks went in the top ten. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BCJet Posted March 25, 2023 Share Posted March 25, 2023 2 hours ago, derp said: Would apparently be the first time four quarterbacks went in the top ten. Seeing guys like Levis and Richardson in the top 10 is why the smarter move is to build your roster and keep taking swings at QB in other rounds. I understand how important QB is but the statistics show how slim the chances of hitting on a QB outside of the first overall pick is. You have a much better chance of finding a long term starter at another position and having a roster in place when you do find a QB 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derp Posted March 25, 2023 Share Posted March 25, 2023 19 minutes ago, BCJet said: Seeing guys like Levis and Richardson in the top 10 is why the smarter move is to build your roster and keep taking swings at QB in other rounds. I understand how important QB is but the statistics show how slim the chances of hitting on a QB outside of the first overall pick is. You have a much better chance of finding a long term starter at another position and having a roster in place when you do find a QB I think the risk reward is fine outside the top ten, especially on a physically talented guy who the team won’t play right away, but it’s terrible in the 2-5 range. Even 6-10 is okay, but really hard to hit on someone 2-5. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycdan Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 19 hours ago, derp said: I think the risk reward is fine outside the top ten, especially on a physically talented guy who the team won’t play right away, but it’s terrible in the 2-5 range. Even 6-10 is okay, but really hard to hit on someone 2-5. Here's an interesting recap on every time QBs went 1-2. https://www.nfl.com/photos/quarterbacks-selected-1-2-in-nfl-draft-0ap3000000654240 The one time 1 was bad and 2 was good was in 1999 (Couch/McNabb). Twice 1 was good and 2 sucked (Manning/Leaf, Bledsoe/Mirer. Not sure what to do with Luck/RG3. And then Plunkett/Manning (Archie) was the one time both had good careers. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
derp Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 16 minutes ago, nycdan said: Here's an interesting recap on every time QBs went 1-2. https://www.nfl.com/photos/quarterbacks-selected-1-2-in-nfl-draft-0ap3000000654240 The one time 1 was bad and 2 was good was in 1999 (Couch/McNabb). Twice 1 was good and 2 sucked (Manning/Leaf, Bledsoe/Mirer. Not sure what to do with Luck/RG3. And then Plunkett/Manning (Archie) was the one time both had good careers. I think in the last roughly 20-25 years we hit the point that quarterbacks get pushed up in the drafts, and before that it wasn’t really the case. Still believe that there’s a special guy who’ll succeed pretty much wherever every few years - he usually goes first overall - and shy of that guys need support and development. Now we get guys who historically definitely would have not gone top five going to terrible teams with the expectation that they’ll elevate them when it’s just not likely. Continues to be a spot teams should draft and develop. That goes for the guys who go top five and shouldn’t and also the guys who get forced first overall. The rookie wage scale changes the calculus a little because if you can get average QB play on a rookie deal that’s huge, and I think drafting for that and the off chance the rookie hits as a franchise guy is fine as long as it’s viewed from that lens and the team is very careful about evaluating him before extending and considers picking up draft capital to go get somebody else when his rookie deal expires in case they need to cut bait. Unfortunately the Jets are 1/3 on having top five picks produce average play - though only the one came into a good situation. Wouldn’t mind seeing them pick up extra capital to try to get into the low teens for a rookie when Rodgers is done (assuming that gets finalized). Think they’d have a good situation and that’d be reasonable in terms of what they’d need to give up. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IndianaJet Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 1 hour ago, nycdan said: Here's an interesting recap on every time QBs went 1-2. https://www.nfl.com/photos/quarterbacks-selected-1-2-in-nfl-draft-0ap3000000654240 The one time 1 was bad and 2 was good was in 1999 (Couch/McNabb). Twice 1 was good and 2 sucked (Manning/Leaf, Bledsoe/Mirer. Not sure what to do with Luck/RG3. And then Plunkett/Manning (Archie) was the one time both had good careers. Me thinks you're missing a few years there..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycdan Posted March 26, 2023 Share Posted March 26, 2023 23 minutes ago, IndianaJet said: Me thinks you're missing a few years there..... The article was from 2016. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Integrity28 Posted March 31, 2023 Share Posted March 31, 2023 Anyone else anazed that Darnell Wright got picked twice in R1? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bitonti Posted April 1, 2023 Share Posted April 1, 2023 I gotta be honest everyone is saying OT but I don't see it You or I might do it but jd seems pleased as punch with Duane brown, Becton and max Mitchell. As for this mock If Yancey goes 16 he's worth 13. Aaron Donald was also undersized also a beast at Pitt and also went 13 Somehow qw is their best player yet dt is their non qb biggest need They also could always go with the wr from Ohio St again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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