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**JN Predict The Score - Week 2 vs. Patsies


The Gun Of Bavaria

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This current method would have the winner be the guy who predicted a 25-0 Patriots shutout of the Jets, purely by the over-under total.

Assmop's 24-17 prediction nailed the point spread, but predicted the over-under to be 41 (16 points higher than actual, kind of a big difference). On the other hand, Arsis was off by only 10 on the over-under, but was also off by 4 on the point spread.

I think the most important is the point spread (which also takes the game's actual winner into account). Then weighted slightly less should be the total points. So it should be the lowest combined number of:

1-Point Spread Differential weighed 60%

2-Over/Under Total Differential weighed 40%

Assmop would be 0 differential on the point spread x 60% = 0

plus

16 differential on the over/under x 40% = 6.4

Total = 0 + 6.4 = 6.4

Arsis would be 4 differential on the point spread x 60% = 2.4

plus

10 differential on the over/under x 40% = 4.0

Total = 2.4 + 4.0 = 6.4

This week should be a tie.

CONGRATULATIONS - You are now officially in charge of the JN Predict The Score Contest.

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