New York Jets 2015 Predictions Game-By-Game

[win4ever]

Here is what you are missing. Jack Delrio knows what he 's looking for his defense, and how they fit in his scheme. ( what he's going to ask them to do in his defense that fits what they do best. What you think he's pulling free agents out of his hat. Again Curtis Lofton has protection in front of him ( two Massive tackles) that are going to free him up. he's very reliable tackler and is a big upgrade from Miles Burris( really olb) . Nate Allen is playing deep center field - better use of his skills than what Eagles asked of him What does it say That Delrio targeted Allen instead of R Moore..Bigtime upgrade at Fs and lets C, Woodson play ss( look great there last season). Larry Asante will share Ss with Woodson. Dan Williams is a run stuffer who Raiders will give him more chance to rush the Qb also.

heck Right now if they want to they could put Malcolm smith at Wlb- very good in coverage.

The Raiders could put this defense out there today LDE Khalil Mack Ldt Justin Ellis Rdt Dan Williamd Rde Justin Tuck/ Benson Mayowa

Wlb Malcolm Smith MLB Curtis Lofton Sslb Sio Moore SS c Woodson Fs Nate Allen Cb Dj Hayden , Travis Carrie

Have to see how Raiders play in the secondary (cb's position) like Seattle or Denver Cb's . if Raiders play cover three you could see Keith McGill 6'3 215 and Fs Jonathan Dowling 6'3195 ( both have 33 1/2 arm length) could play cb in that scheme. ( sub package)

The Raiders are going to upgrade the defense in the draft( will get a top pass rusher)

At wr before they add a couple from this draft. Rod Streater 6'3 195 is back after missing most of last year(IR). Michael Crabtree 6'1 215 ( only 9 route was below average last year , as the rest of his routes were above average to excellent- better fit with Carr than crapernick ). Brice Butler 6'3 215 4.36 39 vertical 6.71 three cone ( this is the Wr to watch. has very good hands, runs nice routes). James Jones - very similar to M Crabtree. Another Wr to watch Seth Roberts 6'2 195 4.43 - best hands at Wr last year , and runs good routes. (Just had to get stronger)The rest of the Raiders wr are garbage( Kenbrell Thompkins, and Andre Holmes - Browns want him and hope he's traded draft day. They will draft at least two Wr.( what round is anyone guess)

If they had to put out an offense line today , it would look like this -Lt Donald Penn lg Gabe Jackson C Rodney Hudson Rg Kevin Boothe( Expect third round draft choice to compete for starting job) Rt Austin Howard / Menelik Watson

The Raiders had a deal with Te Jermaine Gresham- just in the physical they found the back injury. They will get a deal done when he's healthy. Mychal Rivera is just a receiver , while Gresham can block and also is nice receiver. Can do a lot more with Lee Smith and Gresham .

 

Every coach and GM has a plan, and it's still the same GM that led to all those abysmal years still at the helm.   Lol, Lofton profiles as a below average run defender, and terrible pass coverage guy, that a team with absolutely no defense whatsoever couldn't wait to get rid of.  He's an addition, but it's far from a sure thing that he's actually a positive addition.  Allen was part of the problem in Philly as well, as they got torched deep passes, as they had one of the worst yards/attempt per game last year, and were bad the year before as well.  I really doubt he's the guy that's going to burst onto the scene to help with secondary coverage, when Woodson is slowing down more and more.  So you take a guy that has been getting torched by WRs/TEs, and put him with a guy that is getting slower, and this comes out to a better secondary?  Mack is a good player, and I expect them to add a good defensive guy in the first this year, but that is nowhere near an elite defense.  

 

The measurables are great, but we've been hearing that for how many years now?  If we go that route, any team can throw out stats that make their roster look like hidden gems.  Enunwa, big size, running 4.4, ditto for Evans.  Have Owusu as a burner.  Have Walter Powell with speed, TJ Graham brimming with potential, etc.  Every team has guys that have potential, that could break out if you tweak something here, and something there.  But until they do so, it's just potential, and it's usually rare for people to break out like that.  So for every player in the WR crop that you expect to break out, you have to give the same amount of expectation to every other team, which negates the point.  

 

For example, Crabtree was horrible last year, with a loss of explosion.  He didn't have top end speed to begin with, but with the loss of speed, he's a possession WR that thinks he's a super star.  I'm surprised you like him after the way he dissed the Raiders during the draft.  There were plenty of teams that needed WRs this past season, and he went on plenty of visits, but got lowballed everywhere because teams knew he was a major risk, and a possible locker room problem.  He's going to help the team for sure, because he's better than whatever No. 5 or 6 WR that was on the roster last year, but he's not going to change the offense dynamically because he's not the same player he was before.  Now, you can argue that another year away from his injury, the humility of the offseason, and motivation brings him back, but that's merely being hopeful.  I can say the same thing about Jeremy Kerley, how he's going to rededicate himself, be a new man, blah blah blah.  

 

Yeah, but they backed off the deal for a reason, because that's a major red flag.  And every other team has stayed away as well because back injuries in almost any sport is very hard to come back from and be productive.  And he wasn't this unbelievable TE beforehand either.  If you adjust his targets, Jeff Cumberland had similar stats to this guy, and pretty much no one here even cares about the guy, and wouldn't blink twice if he's cut.  And this is before the back injury creeping up, and possibly slowing him down.  He has the physical tools, but underachieved in his career, and now there is a threat to his physical ability as well.  

 

Every team is going to be optimistic, that's actually one of the best things about football.  If you throw in some optimism and hope, you can make a case of atleast 8 or 9 wins for most teams in the league.  So could it happen?  Sure.  But the chances are likely it won't.  

[Doggin94it]

Week 1 vs. Browns:

 

Win- The QB situation is murky there, and even if they trade up for Mariotta, he's going to be a rookie starting his first game, against a tough defense.   If they don't draft Mariotta, then their QB situation is in even worse state.  However, I do expect their WR crops to be much better, they have the picks to land two stud WRs from this draft, so while it's rail thin now, I don't expect it to be as barren after the draft.  However, I think the talent level of our defense and the new weapons should be more than enough to beat them.   

 

Week 2 vs. Colts:

 

Loss-  It's a QB league, and Luck is one of the best.  Yeah, we have a great defense, and they have a somewhat lousy one, but when push comes to shove, I'll take the QB.  I do think we have a good shot in this game, but that's an excellent WR crops IMO.  Hilton is excellent, Johnson is still very good, and I love Moncrief as a prospect.  I expect them to add a RB atleast in this draft, so their big weakness on offense could really be addressed as well.  Having two TEs that can catch is also a tough option to defend.  If we had a good QB, I would pick the Jets, but with our current situation, I can't justify picking them other than hope.  

 

Week 3 vs. Eagles:

 

Win-  This is mainly because I'm not quite sure how they are going to run the system against our defense when they don't have that many playmakers left.  They need WRs/RBs/possible QB in the draft, and their defense was absolutely horrible last year.  I also don't expect Bradford to take off in the system completely, and there is a good chance he's hurt by this game.  The offense doesn't scare me nearly enough right now to compensate for their defense.   

 

Week 4 vs.  Dolphins:

 

Win-  This is pretty much a toss up matchup, because I can't really get a read on what the Dolphins are going to do until after the draft.  I'm not quite sure what the gain of adding Suh (how much does he improve over Odrick?) does to that defense that still has issues in the secondary.  I think this matchup could go either way, and I don't have a good read on what they'll be able to do right now.  I thought the Stills move was a great one, but losing Wallace hurts them.  As much as he dogs it, his speed down the field created matchup problems down the field.  

 

Week 5 vs.  Bye:

 

Loss-  With Rex no longer on the team to blow smoke up our players ass, and collect the tickets for D & B prizes, I feel the morale of the team will be low, and depressed.  

 

Week 6 vs. Redskins: 

 

Win- This is another team that I would love to see what they do in the draft first.  It hinges mainly on RGIII.  If he returns to the transcendent QB he was as a rookie, then mark this as a loss, because they have decent talent alongside him on offense.   The defense is horrible, but I expect them to focus on defense in the draft.  If RGIII is just a decent QB or worse, then this team takes a nose dive.  It'll also be interesting to see how the drama plays out in the locker room with a coach that seems to hate the star QB.  I think if we've proven anything over the past few years, dysfunction rarely leads to wins.  

 

Week 7 vs. Pats

 

Loss-   We play the Pats tough all these years, but I think part of that was Rex's creative genius on defense.  He always seemed to go out of his way to mix up defenses for the big time QBs (and get his ass kicked by the Dalton's of the world) and I don't know what Bowles is capable  off.  I'm going to assume he's good, but not on Rex's level.  I see Belicheck throwing some stuff that confuses Bowles and take this as a learning experience.  Also, a tough QB to face.  It'll be interesting to see where Revis lines up, because if we put Revis on Gronk, then things get interesting with their WRs.  Cro on Lafell, Skrine on Edleman all seem to be good matchups or atleast break even for us.  I think this might be a game, where they go back to two TEs in Wright/Gronk and just try and get Wright to be the featured guy on offense.  

 

Week 8 vs. Raiders

 

Win-  The Raiders should be better, but I still think the talent is lacking.  They have a good QB, and depending on if they pick a WR in the draft, the offense should be ok.  But no particular unit stands out here, as I don't think it's a top 15 offense, nor is it a top 20 defense.  While Carr had a good rookie year, his stats seem a bit misleading, a ton of checkdowns and screens, which was weird since coming out of college, one of his best attributes was throwing the deep ball.  It'll be interesting to see if they get him a WR that can take the top off the defense, and how it affects the offense.  However, as of now, I believe we are more talented than them.  

 

Week 9 vs.  Jaguars:

 

Win-  While Bortles looked great in the preseason last year, he was abysmal during the season, especially with turnovers (I think by QBR standards, one of the worst seasons ever) so it'll be interesting to see how our defense plays against him in creating turnovers.  I expect them to focus on the defense in this draft, since they went heavy on the offense in the last draft.  They do have some promising WRs, and a possible Blackmon return could be a boost, but that team is still 1-2 years away.  

 

Week 10 vs.  Bills:

 

Loss-  I think Rex throws out everything and the kitchen sink at us in this game.  I wouldn't be surprised if they lost the prior two weeks because Rex was too busy preparing for this game.  I think he's going to get the entire team pumped up for this game (similar to how we were pumped up for the Pats in the playoff game) and the teams are close enough that we lose on emotion.   This is also a bad matchup for our offense, because they have a very good CB situation, and a nasty frontline that doesn't allow much time to let plays develop.  This is the game, where we need to speed guy in the game to have the defense back off somewhat.   That defense is legit, and so is ours, so this is going to be a low scoring brawl, that we lose.   

 

Week 11 vs.  Texans:

 

Win-  They lost a very good WR, still have no QB, so I think we can have the edge in this one.  Watt is probably going to murder the QB at some point, but I think our WRs matchup well against their defense, and our defense should be able to shut them down.  Revis can eliminate Hopkins, at which point, they don't have enough talent to move the ball through the air (via bad QB, and mediocre WRs) and we're pretty good against the run.   

 

Week 12 vs.  Dolphins:

 

Loss:  I have the entire AFC East splitting games this year for us, and I gave the Jets a win in the first, so I give them a loss in this one.  The teams are extremely close IMO, and I can't find a good enough reason to say that we can sweep them.  It also doesn't help that they seem to play well against us in NY.  

 

Week 13 vs.  Giants: 

 

Win- This should be a hell of a matchup between Revis/OBJ.  I think Revis limits OBJ enough, that they have to rely on their other options, and I don't like their other options unless Cruz reverts back to his form from 2 years ago.  And I don't like their defense enough to make this a low scoring game, so I do think we win this one, and I expect Eli to wilt under pressure from our defense.  The secondary should hold them long enough to get a few sacks on Eli, and after that, he starts to throw passes early leading to TOs.  

 

Week 14 vs.  Titans

 

Win- This depends a bit on if they trade for Rivers.  If they do trade for him, then this is a toss up because he improves the team substantially.  However, as of right now, this is an easy win because our offense should be much better than last year with the addition of Marshall (and hopefully a drafted WR) and so should our pass defense.  The Titans made a couple of decent moves on defense, but I think this is a major rebuilding team, so I expect us to win somewhat easily.  

 

Week 15 vs.  Cowboys

 

Loss-  They have talent on offense, and they block extremely well as a line.   This is one of those games, where we can win if things break right for us, but as of now, I just can't put them in there.  The mobile QB (even as limited as he is right now) gives us trouble, and the Bryant/Revis matchup should be interesting to say the least.  However, a decent TE, and whatever good back they will be drafting this year should help the offense.  The defense was a question, so I expect this to be a somewhat high scoring game.  FWIW, the Cards limited them to 17 pts in last year's matchup, although I believe it was the game Romo got injured, and grandpa Weeden had to play.  

 

Week 16 vs.  Pats

 

Win-  Bowles gets accustomed to the games of Bellichek, makes adjustments and we get a much needed win.  I think we matchup well against NE in terms of our defense vs. their offense.  And I like our WRs vs. their DBs so I have us splitting the season series.  Brady is still Brady, but I also think the chances of Gronk making it two seasons without a significant injury is slim.   Our revenge win.  

 

Week 17 vs.  Bills: 

 

Win-  Again. splitting with the AFC East team.  Rex tries to pump up the team again, but it doesn't matter as we make the adjustments to the scheme and win a close game.  I hate the Bills matchup for us but I think Rex's exuberance after the first win ticks off the team, so they come out with a chip on their shoulder, with Amaro catching the game winning TD, breaking out an calculator and tax sheet in the end zone.  

 

All in all, I have hopes for this season, lol.  11-5 season (although it could be a 8-8 season easily) and making it into the playoffs.  I expect the AFC East to be hyper competitive, and possibly have three teams with double digit wins.  It also depends heavily on injuries as usual, so have to see which stars get injured for us and for other teams.  As much as everyone says we still have the draft, so do other teams, so they can improve their areas of weakness as well as well can.  In terms of the draft, besides a pass rusher, we need to add a burner on the WR core, someone that can kill one on one matchups with speed and take the safety with him.  If we can accomplish that, then this offense because so much harder to defend. 

Bumping the thread for review, and W4E needs to take a bow.

[BowlesMovement]

1 SEP 13 1:00PMEDT BROWNS - win

2 SEP 21 8:30PMEDT + AT COLTS - lose

3 SEP 27 1:00PMEDT ) EAGLES - lose

4 OCT 4 09:30AMEDT * AT DOLPHINS - win

6 OCT 18 1:00PMEDT ) REDSKINS - lose

7 OCT 25 1:00PMEDT * AT PATRIOTS - lose

8 NOV 1 4:05PMEST * AT RAIDERS - lose

9 NOV 8 1:00PMEST * JAGUARS - win

10 NOV 12 8:25PMEST , BILLS - lose

11 NOV 22 1:00PMEST * AT TEXANS - lose

12 NOV 29 1:00PMEST * DOLPHINS - lose

13 DEC 6 1:00PMEST * AT GIANTS - win

14 DEC 13 1:00PMEST * TITANS - win

15 DEC 19 8:25PMEST , AT COWBOYS - lose

16 DEC 27 1:00PMEST * PATRIOTS - win

17 JAN 3 1:00PMEST * AT BILLS - lose

 

6 wins top 10 top pick but out of the top 5.

LOL, you forgot Wrecks is not coaching the team when you made this prediction?

[BowlesMovement]

Exactly, I have the Jets showing improvement this year.

 

I have them between 5-7 wins.

How did that work out troll?

[Warfish]

Always fun to predict W's and L's before the Draft/Camp, lol.

So why not:

.....

Titans, WIN (8-5)

 Had the record, if not the actual game results, correct through this point.

Happily the Jets did not pull out their usual SOJ 0-3 finish.

Not too shabby for predictions done before the Draft or Camp had even begun.

[New York Mick]

LOL, you forgot Wrecks is not coaching the team when you made this prediction?

No, I didn't expect Fitz to have the best year of his career and one of the best years as a Jets QB. 

[32EBoozer]

Week 1 vs. Browns:

 

Win- The QB situation is murky there, and even if they trade up for Mariotta, he's going to be a rookie starting his first game, against a tough defense.   If they don't draft Mariotta, then their QB situation is in even worse state.  However, I do expect their WR crops to be much better, they have the picks to land two stud WRs from this draft, so while it's rail thin now, I don't expect it to be as barren after the draft.  However, I think the talent level of our defense and the new weapons should be more than enough to beat them.   

 

Week 2 vs. Colts:

 

Loss-  It's a QB league, and Luck is one of the best.  Yeah, we have a great defense, and they have a somewhat lousy one, but when push comes to shove, I'll take the QB.  I do think we have a good shot in this game, but that's an excellent WR crops IMO.  Hilton is excellent, Johnson is still very good, and I love Moncrief as a prospect.  I expect them to add a RB atleast in this draft, so their big weakness on offense could really be addressed as well.  Having two TEs that can catch is also a tough option to defend.  If we had a good QB, I would pick the Jets, but with our current situation, I can't justify picking them other than hope.  

 

Week 3 vs. Eagles:

 

Win-  This is mainly because I'm not quite sure how they are going to run the system against our defense when they don't have that many playmakers left.  They need WRs/RBs/possible QB in the draft, and their defense was absolutely horrible last year.  I also don't expect Bradford to take off in the system completely, and there is a good chance he's hurt by this game.  The offense doesn't scare me nearly enough right now to compensate for their defense.   

 

Week 4 vs.  Dolphins:

 

Win-  This is pretty much a toss up matchup, because I can't really get a read on what the Dolphins are going to do until after the draft.  I'm not quite sure what the gain of adding Suh (how much does he improve over Odrick?) does to that defense that still has issues in the secondary.  I think this matchup could go either way, and I don't have a good read on what they'll be able to do right now.  I thought the Stills move was a great one, but losing Wallace hurts them.  As much as he dogs it, his speed down the field created matchup problems down the field.  

 

Week 5 vs.  Bye:

 

Loss-  With Rex no longer on the team to blow smoke up our players ass, and collect the tickets for D & B prizes, I feel the morale of the team will be low, and depressed.  

 

Week 6 vs. Redskins: 

 

Win- This is another team that I would love to see what they do in the draft first.  It hinges mainly on RGIII.  If he returns to the transcendent QB he was as a rookie, then mark this as a loss, because they have decent talent alongside him on offense.   The defense is horrible, but I expect them to focus on defense in the draft.  If RGIII is just a decent QB or worse, then this team takes a nose dive.  It'll also be interesting to see how the drama plays out in the locker room with a coach that seems to hate the star QB.  I think if we've proven anything over the past few years, dysfunction rarely leads to wins.  

 

Week 7 vs. Pats

 

Loss-   We play the Pats tough all these years, but I think part of that was Rex's creative genius on defense.  He always seemed to go out of his way to mix up defenses for the big time QBs (and get his ass kicked by the Dalton's of the world) and I don't know what Bowles is capable  off.  I'm going to assume he's good, but not on Rex's level.  I see Belicheck throwing some stuff that confuses Bowles and take this as a learning experience.  Also, a tough QB to face.  It'll be interesting to see where Revis lines up, because if we put Revis on Gronk, then things get interesting with their WRs.  Cro on Lafell, Skrine on Edleman all seem to be good matchups or atleast break even for us.  I think this might be a game, where they go back to two TEs in Wright/Gronk and just try and get Wright to be the featured guy on offense.  

 

Week 8 vs. Raiders

 

Win-  The Raiders should be better, but I still think the talent is lacking.  They have a good QB, and depending on if they pick a WR in the draft, the offense should be ok.  But no particular unit stands out here, as I don't think it's a top 15 offense, nor is it a top 20 defense.  While Carr had a good rookie year, his stats seem a bit misleading, a ton of checkdowns and screens, which was weird since coming out of college, one of his best attributes was throwing the deep ball.  It'll be interesting to see if they get him a WR that can take the top off the defense, and how it affects the offense.  However, as of now, I believe we are more talented than them.  

 

Week 9 vs.  Jaguars:

 

Win-  While Bortles looked great in the preseason last year, he was abysmal during the season, especially with turnovers (I think by QBR standards, one of the worst seasons ever) so it'll be interesting to see how our defense plays against him in creating turnovers.  I expect them to focus on the defense in this draft, since they went heavy on the offense in the last draft.  They do have some promising WRs, and a possible Blackmon return could be a boost, but that team is still 1-2 years away.  

 

Week 10 vs.  Bills:

 

Loss-  I think Rex throws out everything and the kitchen sink at us in this game.  I wouldn't be surprised if they lost the prior two weeks because Rex was too busy preparing for this game.  I think he's going to get the entire team pumped up for this game (similar to how we were pumped up for the Pats in the playoff game) and the teams are close enough that we lose on emotion.   This is also a bad matchup for our offense, because they have a very good CB situation, and a nasty frontline that doesn't allow much time to let plays develop.  This is the game, where we need to speed guy in the game to have the defense back off somewhat.   That defense is legit, and so is ours, so this is going to be a low scoring brawl, that we lose.   

 

Week 11 vs.  Texans:

 

Win-  They lost a very good WR, still have no QB, so I think we can have the edge in this one.  Watt is probably going to murder the QB at some point, but I think our WRs matchup well against their defense, and our defense should be able to shut them down.  Revis can eliminate Hopkins, at which point, they don't have enough talent to move the ball through the air (via bad QB, and mediocre WRs) and we're pretty good against the run.   

 

Week 12 vs.  Dolphins:

 

Loss:  I have the entire AFC East splitting games this year for us, and I gave the Jets a win in the first, so I give them a loss in this one.  The teams are extremely close IMO, and I can't find a good enough reason to say that we can sweep them.  It also doesn't help that they seem to play well against us in NY.  

 

Week 13 vs.  Giants: 

 

Win- This should be a hell of a matchup between Revis/OBJ.  I think Revis limits OBJ enough, that they have to rely on their other options, and I don't like their other options unless Cruz reverts back to his form from 2 years ago.  And I don't like their defense enough to make this a low scoring game, so I do think we win this one, and I expect Eli to wilt under pressure from our defense.  The secondary should hold them long enough to get a few sacks on Eli, and after that, he starts to throw passes early leading to TOs.  

 

Week 14 vs.  Titans

 

Win- This depends a bit on if they trade for Rivers.  If they do trade for him, then this is a toss up because he improves the team substantially.  However, as of right now, this is an easy win because our offense should be much better than last year with the addition of Marshall (and hopefully a drafted WR) and so should our pass defense.  The Titans made a couple of decent moves on defense, but I think this is a major rebuilding team, so I expect us to win somewhat easily.  

 

Week 15 vs.  Cowboys

 

Loss-  They have talent on offense, and they block extremely well as a line.   This is one of those games, where we can win if things break right for us, but as of now, I just can't put them in there.  The mobile QB (even as limited as he is right now) gives us trouble, and the Bryant/Revis matchup should be interesting to say the least.  However, a decent TE, and whatever good back they will be drafting this year should help the offense.  The defense was a question, so I expect this to be a somewhat high scoring game.  FWIW, the Cards limited them to 17 pts in last year's matchup, although I believe it was the game Romo got injured, and grandpa Weeden had to play.  

 

Week 16 vs.  Pats

 

Win-  Bowles gets accustomed to the games of Bellichek, makes adjustments and we get a much needed win.  I think we matchup well against NE in terms of our defense vs. their offense.  And I like our WRs vs. their DBs so I have us splitting the season series.  Brady is still Brady, but I also think the chances of Gronk making it two seasons without a significant injury is slim.   Our revenge win.  

 

Week 17 vs.  Bills: 

 

Win-  Again. splitting with the AFC East team.  Rex tries to pump up the team again, but it doesn't matter as we make the adjustments to the scheme and win a close game.  I hate the Bills matchup for us but I think Rex's exuberance after the first win ticks off the team, so they come out with a chip on their shoulder, with Amaro catching the game winning TD, breaking out an calculator and tax sheet in the end zone.  

 

All in all, I have hopes for this season, lol.  11-5 season (although it could be a 8-8 season easily) and making it into the playoffs.  I expect the AFC East to be hyper competitive, and possibly have three teams with double digit wins.  It also depends heavily on injuries as usual, so have to see which stars get injured for us and for other teams.  As much as everyone says we still have the draft, so do other teams, so they can improve their areas of weakness as well as well can.  In terms of the draft, besides a pass rusher, we need to add a burner on the WR core, someone that can kill one on one matchups with speed and take the safety with him.  If we can accomplish that, then this offense because so much harder to defend. 

Looks as if you might be the big prognosticator this season. Might not have nailed all of them but I'm loving the last 2 picks. Let's hope you finish with a correct answer in wk. 17

[predator_05]

I predicted 5-11, we'll finish 11-5. I was right, I just got the numbers the wrong way around. Partial credit. 

[BallinPB]

I predicted 5-11, we'll finish 11-5. I was right, I just got the numbers the wrong way around. Partial credit. 

Todd Bowles will give you a cookie from his personal stash