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W-L records since 2002: Jets 94-98 (17th)


Jetsfan80

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Would it be better to be Lions fans?  Serious question.  Lions fans are some of the funniest people you'll ever meet.  We're all just blue-balled and angry. 

We are what we are-better than some franchises but not good enough to be considered a top franchise-average

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Just proves that if you consistently finish 9-7, 8-8, 7-9, you consistently get the mediocre middle of the 1st round draft picks, you get the middle of the road FA's because the top guys want to get a ring, so they go to the top franchises.

 

Only way to get out of this vicious cycle, is to either TANK (see indy), so you can draft that Franchise QB, CHANGE COACHES (see SF, and SEATTLE), or trade the house so you can get that FRANCHISE QB (See Redskins).

 

Conclusion:

 

In 2014, Jets should TANK, fire REX,hire Darrel Bevell, draft Jameis Winston in 2015. However, if things go according to "plan" in 2014, we will be 9-7, 8-8,or 7-9 finish ouside the playoffs and have the 17th pick in the draft. WHOOPEE.

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Just proves that if you consistently finish 9-7, 8-8, 7-9, you consistently get the mediocre middle of the 1st round draft picks, you get the middle of the road FA's because the top guys want to get a ring, so they go to the top franchises.

 

Only way to get out of this vicious cycle, is to either TANK (see indy), so you can draft that Franchise QB, CHANGE COACHES (see SF, and SEATTLE), or trade the house so you can get that FRANCHISE QB (See Redskins).

 

Conclusion:

 

In 2014, Jets should TANK, fire REX,hire Darrel Bevell, draft Jameis Winston in 2015. However, if things go according to "plan" in 2014, we will be 9-7, 8-8,or 7-9 finish ouside the playoffs and have the 17th pick in the draft. WHOOPEE.

 

Redskins are not a very good example now, are they?

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Just proves that if you consistently finish 9-7, 8-8, 7-9, you consistently get the mediocre middle of the 1st round draft picks, you get the middle of the road FA's because the top guys want to get a ring, so they go to the top franchises.

 

Only way to get out of this vicious cycle, is to either TANK (see indy), so you can draft that Franchise QB, CHANGE COACHES (see SF, and SEATTLE), or trade the house so you can get that FRANCHISE QB (See Redskins).

 

Conclusion:

 

In 2014, Jets should TANK, fire REX,hire Darrel Bevell, draft Jameis Winston in 2015. However, if things go according to "plan" in 2014, we will be 9-7, 8-8,or 7-9 finish ouside the playoffs and have the 17th pick in the draft. WHOOPEE.

 

While I get the general concept of what you're saying, these examples actually tell you why there's a whole lot more to it than one simply switch.  Hell, Jets history should tell you it takes a WHOLE lot more than a sh*tty season or a coaching change to make everything better.

 

You can credit Indy with the "tank" all you want, but there was nothing deliberate about that; truth is that Indy are the luckiest SOBs going, finding themselves with the #1 pick for what are arguably the two best QB prospects of the past two decades.  It wasn't some brilliant ploy to intentionally tank the season after a rough start, Manning's health (which had never before been a problem in his entire career) was the entire reason behind that.  Even Seattle's coaching change didn't do much for them until they managed to find a franchise QB in the third round of the draft.  If Matt Flynn is their starter, does anyone honestly believe they do much better than the 7-9 seasons in Carroll's first two years?  And the Redskins giving up a huge bounty for their franchise QB has become more of a question than an answer over the past year.  None of this to say that the Jets don't have plenty of changes needed, I just don't buy that it's as simple as you make it out to be.

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Just proves that if you consistently finish 9-7, 8-8, 7-9, you consistently get the mediocre middle of the 1st round draft picks, you get the middle of the road FA's because the top guys want to get a ring, so they go to the top franchises.

 

Only way to get out of this vicious cycle, is to either TANK (see indy), so you can draft that Franchise QB, CHANGE COACHES (see SF, and SEATTLE), or trade the house so you can get that FRANCHISE QB (See Redskins).

 

Conclusion:

 

In 2014, Jets should TANK, fire REX,hire Darrel Bevell, draft Jameis Winston in 2015. However, if things go according to "plan" in 2014, we will be 9-7, 8-8,or 7-9 finish ouside the playoffs and have the 17th pick in the draft. WHOOPEE.

 

We drafted Robertson at #4, Ferguson at #4, Gholston at #6, and Sanchez at #5.  This past year took Milliner at #9.  These are not middle of the first round draft picks and it's nearly half the drafts over that span.

 

In addition to those, we also drafted at #29 (Wilson), and #30 (Wilkerson) because we reached the championship game.  

In 2007, when we took Revis at #14, we traded up to get there.  Our original pick was #25 after winning 10 games in '06.  

Our original pick in 2005 was #26 after winning 11 games (including the playoffs) in 2004.

 

So let's recap how the Jets always pick in the middle of round 1 because of going 7-9 through 9-7:

 

4x did bad enough to get a top 10 pick (3 of those times top 6).  Yay for sucking that bad!!

4x we picked towards the bottom of round 1 because we did well.

1x when we did end up with a pick in the middle of round 1, we traded up to #5.

 

9 out of 12 years.

 

You sure you follow the Jets? ;)

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While I get the general concept of what you're saying, these examples actually tell you why there's a whole lot more to it than one simply switch.  Hell, Jets history should tell you it takes a WHOLE lot more than a sh*tty season or a coaching change to make everything better.

 

You can credit Indy with the "tank" all you want, but there was nothing deliberate about that; truth is that Indy are the luckiest SOBs going, finding themselves with the #1 pick for what are arguably the two best QB prospects of the past two decades.  It wasn't some brilliant ploy to intentionally tank the season after a rough start, Manning's health (which had never before been a problem in his entire career) was the entire reason behind that.  Even Seattle's coaching change didn't do much for them until they managed to find a franchise QB in the third round of the draft.  If Matt Flynn is their starter, does anyone honestly believe they do much better than the 7-9 seasons in Carroll's first two years?  And the Redskins giving up a huge bounty for their franchise QB has become more of a question than an answer over the past year.  None of this to say that the Jets don't have plenty of changes needed, I just don't buy that it's as simple as you make it out to be.

 

  It's more than just luck.   Yes, the Colts lucked into Manning & Luck, but they also found ways to add talented players around those guys.    Look at the Jets and Colts the last few seasons.  Jets take Stephen Hill in the 2nd round while the Colts take Hilton in the 3rd.    Does a guy like Andrew Luck help?  Yes. Does having Wayne next to you help?  Yes.  But as proved this season,  Hilton is a good player in his own right.   Whereas Hill probably won't be in the NFL after this season.   Huge difference.    

 

 And look at the Seahawks.  They have a lot of guys on that team who are late round picks.    They were also a team who still had good QB play after tow of their biggest Receiving transactions over the past few years were more like busts.   Rice is essentially useless.   And Harvin is great, but he played like 4 games this season.         

 

 Sometimes teams do luck into a Manning or Brady or Wilson or Rodgers and so on.  But most of the teams that continue to win seem to know how to do these things.  It wasn't like Rodgers just took over the position.  Favre was still the QB for years after that. And they went to a NFC Championship game with Favre.     Some teams just seem to know how to consistently build winning organizations.  They also know how to pick well.   Again Aaron Rodgers is a late first round pick who sat for a few years.   Mark Sanchez was a top 5 pick who started from day one.  And he pretty much showed he was never going to be close to any of those other guys.

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We drafted Robertson at #4, Ferguson at #4, Gholston at #6, and Sanchez at #5.  This past year took Milliner at #9.  These are not middle of the first round draft picks and it's nearly half the drafts over that span.

 

In addition to those, we also drafted at #29 (Wilson), and #30 (Wilkerson) because we reached the championship game.  

In 2007, when we took Revis at #14, we traded up to get there.  Our original pick was #25 after winning 10 games in '06.  

Our original pick in 2005 was #26 after winning 11 games (including the playoffs) in 2004.

 

So let's recap how the Jets always pick in the middle of round 1 because of going 7-9 through 9-7:

 

4x did bad enough to get a top 10 pick (3 of those times top 6).  Yay for sucking that bad!!

4x we picked towards the bottom of round 1 because we did well.

1x when we did end up with a pick in the middle of round 1, we traded up to #5.

 

9 out of 12 years.

 

You sure you follow the Jets? ;)

So when the Jets get or trade up to a minimum of a TOP 6 pick, the results are as follows:

 

Robertson: Epic Bust

Gholston: All world Bust

Sanchez: Historical Bust

Ferguson: Above average

 

WOW, why do we trade up? And given this draft history, your right, we should never TANK, because 75% of the time, we will draft an historically bad bust.

 

Has any other team EVER had 4 TOP 6 picks this bad? I doubt it.

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  It's more than just luck.   Yes, the Colts lucked into Manning & Luck, but they also found ways to add talented players around those guys.    Look at the Jets and Colts the last few seasons.  Jets take Stephen Hill in the 2nd round while the Colts take Hilton in the 3rd.    Does a guy like Andrew Luck help?  Yes. Does having Wayne next to you help?  Yes.  But as proved this season,  Hilton is a good player in his own right.   Whereas Hill probably won't be in the NFL after this season.   Huge difference.    

 

 And look at the Seahawks.  They have a lot of guys on that team who are late round picks.    They were also a team who still had good QB play after tow of their biggest Receiving transactions over the past few years were more like busts.   Rice is essentially useless.   And Harvin is great, but he played like 4 games this season.         

 

 Sometimes teams do luck into a Manning or Brady or Wilson or Rodgers and so on.  But most of the teams that continue to win seem to know how to do these things.  It wasn't like Rodgers just took over the position.  Favre was still the QB for years after that. And they went to a NFC Championship game with Favre.     Some teams just seem to know how to consistently build winning organizations.  They also know how to pick well.   Again Aaron Rodgers is a late first round pick who sat for a few years.   Mark Sanchez was a top 5 pick who started from day one.  And he pretty much showed he was never going to be close to any of those other guys.

 

I don't disagree with you, that was actually my point.  It takes a little more than one simple move to get a team over the hump, having one awful season that gets you the #1 overall pick or hiring a new HC isn't going to do the trick all on it's own.  A lot of things need to be done right for it to all work out and the point being that, the Colts sucking when they did or the Seahawks hiring Carroll wouldn't have meant much on their own if it wasn't for the plenty of other things right those teams did / were doing.

 

As far as the whole "luck" concept goes, I never once even hinted that all of those team's successes were reliant on that, quite the contrary.  I only even mentioned it in regards to the Colts, and while they seem to have done better recently (although that Richardson deal was awful), I think their 2011 season proves how absolutely awful of a job they really had previously done in building that team; they were nothing without Manning.  In the end they were still lucky bastards to be in line to get what were considered to be the two most "sure thing" QBs of this generation.  There was no good scouting or great development that can be credited for it, they just had all-time type prospects given to them on a silver platter.  Of course no matter what the reason, that doesn't change the fact that the Colts have still continually been one of the AFC's best for many, many years now (with that one exception).  But it doesn't mean any team awful enough to end up at  #1 overall is destined for future greatness because of it.

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So when the Jets get or trade up to a minimum of a TOP 6 pick, the results are as follows:

 

Robertson: Epic Bust

Gholston: All world Bust

Sanchez: Historical Bust

Ferguson: Above average

 

WOW, why do we trade up? And given this draft history, your right, we should never TANK, because 75% of the time, we will draft an historically bad bust.

 

Has any other team EVER had 4 TOP 6 picks this bad? I doubt it.

 

Your complaint was that the Jets kept drafting in the middle of round 1.  The reality is that drafting around #16 or so, like this year, has been unusual.  The last time they traded up into the 16-ish range they took the best player we've drafted like ever.  It's only a shame we weren't able to hold onto him his whole career with his threats and actual holdouts.

 

They've drafted some good players and some bad (and some just horrible).  But it wasn't because of where in the draft that they picked.

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Your complaint was that the Jets kept drafting in the middle of round 1.  The reality is that drafting around #16 or so, like this year, has been unusual.  The last time they traded up into the 16-ish range they took the best player we've drafted like ever.  It's only a shame we weren't able to hold onto him his whole career with his threats and actual holdouts.

 

They've drafted some good players and some bad (and some just horrible).  But it wasn't because of where in the draft that they picked.

 

Which is only further supported by the fact that their recent #30 pick (Wilkerson) is worlds better than their #5 pick (Sanchez).  And last year's #13 pick (Richardson) was the DROY, even in spite of the Jets roundly getting trashed for the pick.  The Jets have lots of problems, but their draft slot certainly is not at the top of that list.

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Yeah, but not until he convinced guys to underperform so they could get risk getting cut all the while lowering their market value. Irsay, man.

 

It's all for the greater good man.  Dozens of people all were willing to sacrifice their jobs, and in Peyton's case his health, all so a team they would no longer be a part of would have the opportunity to be led by Andrew Luck.  The brilliance of the NFL at work.

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Your complaint was that the Jets kept drafting in the middle of round 1.  The reality is that drafting around #16 or so, like this year, has been unusual.  The last time they traded up into the 16-ish range they took the best player we've drafted like ever.  It's only a shame we weren't able to hold onto him his whole career with his threats and actual holdouts.

 

They've drafted some good players and some bad (and some just horrible).  But it wasn't because of where in the draft that they picked.

Fair enough.

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Which is only further supported by the fact that their recent #30 pick (Wilkerson) is worlds better than their #5 pick (Sanchez).  And last year's #13 pick (Richardson) was the DROY, even in spite of the Jets roundly getting trashed for the pick.  The Jets have lots of problems, but their draft slot certainly is not at the top of that list.

Exactly. The problem with the Jets roster isn't who they did or didn't select in the first round, it's all the picks afterwards that they traded away.

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So when the Jets get or trade up to a minimum of a TOP 6 pick, the results are as follows:

 

Robertson: Epic Bust

Gholston: All world Bust

Sanchez: Historical Bust

Ferguson: Above average

 

WOW, why do we trade up? And given this draft history, your right, we should never TANK, because 75% of the time, we will draft an historically bad bust.

 

Has any other team EVER had 4 TOP 6 picks this bad? I doubt it.

 

Just about every team has had busts just as bad or worse. 

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