NFL Draft 2022: Breaking down Joe Douglas’ previous Jets trends

[92ShaunEllis92]

NFL Draft 2022: Breaking down Joe Douglas’ previous Jets trends

Brian Costello

Jets general manager Joe Douglas is preparing for his third, and arguably most important, NFL draft on the job.

Douglas is armed with four top-40 picks after he executed two big trades, shipping Jamal Adams and Sam Darnold out in exchange for draft picks. Now, he needs to turn those picks into players.

There is plenty of time to dissect what Douglas might do in next month’s draft, but we thought it might be instructive to take a look back at Douglas’ first two draft classes to see if there are any detectable trends in what Douglas looks for from college prospects. Douglas has made 19 draft picks in all. Here’s a breakdown:

Big-school love

Douglas has drafted only three players from non-Power Five conferences. The most notable is quarterback Zach Wilson, the No. 2 overall pick in 2021. While BYU is not in an independent and does not play in a major conference, it hardly qualifies as a small program. The other two players from non-Power Fives are quarterback James Morgan from Florida International and offensive lineman Cameron Clark from Charlotte, both drafted in the fourth round in 2020. These are Conference USA schools, so they certainly are not football powers, but they are not FCS or Division II teams. Douglas has not drafted any players from outside the FBS.

 

The most notable of Joe Douglas’ non-Power Five conference picks is quarterback Zach Wilson, the No. 2 overall pick in 2021. AP/ Photo Jeffrey T. Barnes

So, don’t look for any small-school sleepers when you are figuring out the Jets’ draft plans.

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Captain, my captain

Douglas and coach Robert Saleh (and before him Adam Gase) speak about a player’s character quite often. Saleh and Douglas talk about wanting players who love football. Douglas has followed through on that in his draft execution. Eleven of the 19 players the Jets have drafted in the past two years were team captains in college.

There were some headlines about Wilson before last year’s draft because he initially was not a captain at BYU, but he later was made a captain after he won the starting job for the Cougars. Wilson was elected a Jets team captain as a rookie.

Offense first

The split between offense and defense is remarkably even. Douglas has taken nine offensive players and nine defensive players with punter Braden Mann as the lone special teams representative.

Joe Douglas has only picked up one special teams member through the draft — punter Braden Mann. AP Photo/Doug Murray

What stands out, though, is how Douglas has prioritized offense early and defense later in the draft. Douglas has used all five of his first- — and second-round picks on offensive players — Mekhi Becton, Denzel Mims, Wilson, Alijah Vera-Tucker and Elijah Moore. In 2021, he used his first four draft picks on offense. He then went heavy on defense in the later rounds. The earliest he has taken a defensive player is the third round when he drafted defensive end Jabari Zuniga and safety Ashtyn Davis in 2020.

It will be interesting to see if Douglas turns to defense earlier in 2022 after the Jets’ defense finished 32nd in the NFL last year.

Prime position

While Douglas has concentrated on offense early in the draft, the position group he has drafted the most is on defense. He has taken five defensive backs, but none earlier than the third round (Davis). He drafted three cornerbacks in the fifth and sixth rounds last year. The next position group he has drafted the most is offensive line with three selections, using first-round picks on Becton and Vera-Tucker. He has drafted two wide receivers, two defensive linemen, two running backs, two quarterbacks, two linebackers and a punter.

 

Joe Douglas picked up offensive tackle Mekhi Beckton through the draft. AP Photo/Charles Krupa

It is notable that Douglas has not drafted a tight end. It seems unlikely he will again this year after signing C.J. Uzomah and Tyler Conklin in free agency.

Trader Joe

Douglas has made three draft-day trades in each of his two drafts. The most notable trade came in 2021 when he traded up from No. 23 to 14 to get Vera-Tucker. He parted ways with two third-round picks in addition to the No. 23 pick to move up and get the guard.

Douglas is armed with nine picks. It would not be surprising to see him try to maneuver around the board with those picks and possibly pick up extra picks in 2023.

Speed on the outside

Looking at the 40-yard dash times for the Jets draft picks, it is clear Douglas wants burners at wide receiver and cornerback. Looking at the two receivers, Mims ran a 4.38 40 and Moore ran a 4.35. At cornerback, Michael Carter II (4.36), Jason Pinnock (4.45) and Brandin Echols (4.36) all ran fast times. Bryce Hall did not run because he was injured. Becton turned heads with a 5.10 40 at the 2020 combine, a remarkable time for a 370-pound man.

Injury risk

Douglas has taken some gambles on players who were injured in college, but not earlier than the third round. The best gamble he made was on Hall, who missed most of his last year at Virginia with a bad ankle injury. Hall became a starter in the second half of his rookie season and has shown promise for the Jets. 

[slats]

42 minutes ago, 92ShaunEllis92 said:

Douglas is armed with nine picks. It would not be surprising to see him try to maneuver around the board with those picks and possibly pick up extra picks in 2023.

I think this is probably the only “trend,” that we can expect to see more of this year, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it early. Carolina being “forced” to draft a QB at 6, and the Giants a legitimate threat to take one at 5, could easily put pick #4 in play. I would not be surprised to learn that JD has a couple trade parameters/partners in place before the draft begins. Zach has a ways to go to prove himself, and Douglas will need some cash/draft capital next year should they decide to cut bait. 
 
That said, defense in the first two rounds is almost a certainty this year, and I could still see a TE to develop, but maybe not the one everyone’s salivating over. 

[Jet Nut]

He’s had one draft for this CS and system, but Costello is tracking trendS? 
Might be a little premature.

[Beerfish]

2 minutes ago, Jet Nut said:

He’s had one draft for this CS and system, but Costello is tracking trendS? 

Douglas's first draft was not lousy due to system picks, it was lousy because he picked lousy players.

[Augustiniak]

5 minutes ago, slats said:

I think this is probably the only “trend,” that we can expect to see more of this year, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see it early. Carolina being “forced” to draft a QB at 6, and the Giants a legitimate threat to take one at 5, could easily put pick #4 in play. I would not be surprised to learn that JD has a couple trade parameters/partners in place before the draft begins. Zach has a ways to go to prove himself, and Douglas will need some cash/draft capital next year should they decide to cut bait. 
 
That said, defense in the first two rounds is almost a certainty this year, and I could still see a TE to develop, but maybe not the one everyone’s salivating over. 

I think for the first time in the draft process that douglas may be able to trade out of 4.  Someone may get antsy for a qb, my guess is that it’s atlanta.  The jets could slide back to 8 and still get an edge or OL.  I think where the possible surprise in the first round comes in is that i do not think the jets are going secondary with either pick.  I think we’re getting an edge and either an OT or DT.  No wr.  I could see them going Davis at 10 and addressing the crappy run d.  

[kevinc855]

8 minutes ago, Jet Nut said:

He’s had one draft for this CS and system, but Costello is tracking trendS? 
Might be a little premature.

This is the laziest excuse ever. JD picked for a system and CS? Are you kidding me. 

He picked bad players. He consistently says hes a BPA drafter. You really think Adam Gase was banging on the door for Becton? 

Stop

[slats]

4 minutes ago, Augustiniak said:

I think for the first time in the draft process that douglas may be able to trade out of 4.  Someone may get antsy for a qb, my guess is that it’s atlanta.  The jets could slide back to 8 and still get an edge or OL.  I think where the possible surprise in the first round comes in is that i do not think the jets are going secondary with either pick.  I think we’re getting an edge and either an OT or DT.  No wr.  I could see them going Davis at 10 and addressing the crappy run d.  

I think he could have a trade in place before the draft and it could be as simple as if Hutchinson is gone, they’re trading out. I wouldn’t count out WR, seeing how he’s been in on just about every big name move so far. I really hope to safely count out another ****ing OL. 

[Jet Nut]

On 3/31/2022 at 10:01 AM, Beerfish said:

Douglas's first draft was not lousy due to system picks, it was lousy because he picked lousy players.

No shlt but that’s a different topic, we’re talking trends, not how good the picks were.  If it was a great draft the point would be the same as pertains to trends

[Jet Nut]

8 minutes ago, kevinc855 said:

This is the laziest excuse ever. JD picked for a system and CS? Are you kidding me. 

He picked bad players. He consistently says hes a BPA drafter. You really think Adam Gase was banging on the door for Becton? 

Stop

Not to anyone who can get over their constant complaining and doesn’t understand the difference between good picks and “trends”. 
So you stop.  The article is about trends after 2 drafts for 2 CSs, not how good the draft was.  
 

 

[BettyBoop]

Ozzie was big on picking guys from football factories.  It seems he took an Alabama and/or Oklahoma guy every year.

[derp]

Lowest RAS Douglas has taken on the first two days is Elijah Moore at 8.68. 

[Jet Nut]

13 minutes ago, slats said:

I think he could have a trade in place before the draft and it could be as simple as if Hutchinson is gone, they’re trading out. I wouldn’t count out WR, seeing how he’s been in on just about every big name move so far. I really hope to safely count out another ****ing OL. 

I agree, especially with WR.  Seems every rumor circles around that position while JD still talks about improvements for Zach.  He’s addressed OL and TE while the WR room is down 2 from a year ago. 

[dbatesman]

The only notable trend I see is that he loves athletes. I think Travon Walker is legitimately in play at 4.

[David Harris]

JD has milked every tradeable asset over the past 2 years .  We don't have any more to acquire future picks, so this is the last draft where we will have this many resources.  4 picks in the top 38 is nuts!  This is a turn-the-corner draft or a wallow-in-mediocrity for 5 more years draft.