Larz Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 Last year the strength of schedule said that the first 9 games were murder and they went 6-3 so take it with the appropriate grain of salt Jets are 25th (that’s tough) https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/2023-nfl-strength-of-schedule/# NFL teams with the easiest schedules in 2023: Atlanta Falcons New Orleans Saints Indianapolis Colts San Francisco 49ers Carolina Panthers NFL teams with the hardest schedules in 2023: New England Patriots Las Vegas Raiders Miami Dolphins Los Angeles Chargers Kansas City Chiefs its interesting, according to this analysis the jets schedule is barely tougher than last year Strength of schedule got harder: Buccaneers -8 spots to #23 Jaguars -7 to #15 Lions -4 to #18 Texans -4 to #9 Titans -4 to #13 Bengals -2 to #21 Browns -2 to #19 Saints -1 to #2 Panthers -1 to #5 Ravens -1 to #17 Jets -1 to #25 Vikings -1 to #27 Chargers -1 to #29 I’d also like to take the opportunity to remind myself that the jets have the best rest advantage in the league (tied with bears) So on balance, the jets schedule is easier this year than it was last year 👍 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronx Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 Good to know, now let the final scores speak for itself. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reasonable Jets Fan Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 1 minute ago, Larz said: Last year the strength of schedule said that the first 9 games were murder and they went 6-3 so take it with the appropriate grain of salt Jets are 25th (that’s tough) https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/2023-nfl-strength-of-schedule/# NFL teams with the easiest schedules in 2023: Atlanta Falcons New Orleans Saints Indianapolis Colts San Francisco 49ers Carolina Panthers NFL teams with the hardest schedules in 2023: New England Patriots Las Vegas Raiders Miami Dolphins Los Angeles Chargers Kansas City Chiefs its interesting, according to this analysis the jets schedule is barely tougher than last year Strength of schedule got harder: Buccaneers -8 spots to #23 Jaguars -7 to #15 Lions -4 to #18 Texans -4 to #9 Titans -4 to #13 Bengals -2 to #21 Browns -2 to #19 Saints -1 to #2 Panthers -1 to #5 Ravens -1 to #17 Jets -1 to #25 Vikings -1 to #27 Chargers -1 to #29 I’d also like to take the opportunity to remind myself that the jets have the best rest advantage in the league (tied with bears) So on balance, the jets schedule is easier this year than it was last year 👍 But also the jets have the easiest rest schedule, the least flight miles, and the most home games (10 if you include the giant away game) of all the teams... Studies also done by Warren sharp... He has a study that proves that teams that have the best rest days are the best teams to bet on to make a huge jump in win totals. Look it up it's his study Stats can be deceiving, can also be manipulated to prove or disprove your arguments based on what you want 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FootballLove Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 I wonder how many fans of other teams have penciled in a big fat L when they see us on their sch? I know 2 Bills fans who have, and a few Giants fans as well. Our reputation proceeds us! We were almost an automatic 'W' for other teams for so long, this is gonna be sweeeeet. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larz Posted September 1, 2023 Author Share Posted September 1, 2023 12 minutes ago, Reasonable Jets Fan said: But also the jets have the easiest rest schedule, the least flight miles, and the most home games (10 if you include the giant away game) of all the teams... Studies also done by Warren sharp... He has a study that proves that teams that have the best rest days are the best teams to bet on to make a huge jump in win totals. Look it up it's his study Stats can be deceiving, can also be manipulated to prove or disprove your arguments based on what you want I posted the rest analysis. This is Sharpe’s analysis I shall not be looking anything up 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Darnold's Forehead Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 We have the easiest schedule because we are so good. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reasonable Jets Fan Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 11 minutes ago, Reasonable Jets Fan said: But also the jets have the easiest rest schedule, the least flight miles, and the most home games (10 if you include the giant away game) of all the teams... Studies also done by Warren sharp... He has a study that proves that teams that have the best rest days are the best teams to bet on to make a huge jump in win totals. Look it up it's his study Stats can be deceiving, can also be manipulated to prove or disprove your arguments based on what you want 17 minutes ago, Larz said: Last year the strength of schedule said that the first 9 games were murder and they went 6-3 so take it with the appropriate grain of salt Jets are 25th (that’s tough) https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/2023-nfl-strength-of-schedule/# NFL teams with the easiest schedules in 2023: Atlanta Falcons New Orleans Saints Indianapolis Colts San Francisco 49ers Carolina Panthers NFL teams with the hardest schedules in 2023: New England Patriots Las Vegas Raiders Miami Dolphins Los Angeles Chargers Kansas City Chiefs its interesting, according to this analysis the jets schedule is barely tougher than last year Strength of schedule got harder: Buccaneers -8 spots to #23 Jaguars -7 to #15 Lions -4 to #18 Texans -4 to #9 Titans -4 to #13 Bengals -2 to #21 Browns -2 to #19 Saints -1 to #2 Panthers -1 to #5 Ravens -1 to #17 Jets -1 to #25 Vikings -1 to #27 Chargers -1 to #29 I’d also like to take the opportunity to remind myself that the jets have the best rest advantage in the league (tied with bears) So on balance, the jets schedule is easier this year than it was last year 👍 https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/which-nfl-teams-benefit-or-are-challenged-most-from-the-2023-nfl-schedule Found the study for you Jets have the best +12 net rest and 49ers are - 20. So 49ers are bet against win total 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reasonable Jets Fan Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Larz said: I posted the rest analysis. This is Sharpe’s analysis I shall not be looking anything up I found the study and linked it for you above 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larz Posted September 1, 2023 Author Share Posted September 1, 2023 The Steelers could be a sneaky threat in December but woof the Cheaters, dolphins and raiders could all have miserable seasons 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barry McCockinner Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 Preseason strength of schedule seems to end up being really off most of the time 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larz Posted September 1, 2023 Author Share Posted September 1, 2023 11 minutes ago, Barry McCockinner said: Preseason strength of schedule seems to end up being really off most of the time There are always exceptions and outliers but according to sharp; Are Strength of Schedule projections accurate? Short answer: YES of the 7 teams that actually had the easiest 2022 schedules, 6 went to the playoffs (Eagles, 49ers, Jaguars, Cowboys, Chargers, Chiefs) of the 7 teams that actually had the hardest 2022 schedules, 2 went to the playoffs (Dolphins, Bengals) of the 11 teams that actually had thehardest 2022 schedules, only 3 went over their win total (Bengals, Steelers, Jets) Trying to exceed and overachieve against a brutal schedule rarely happens (2 out of top 7 in 2022) and likewise, winning against an easy schedule and overachieving compared to expectation was quite regular (only 1 out of top 7 did not). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barry McCockinner Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 5 minutes ago, Larz said: There are always exceptions and outliers but according to sharp; Are Strength of Schedule projections accurate? Short answer: YES of the 7 teams that actually had the easiest 2022 schedules, 6 went to the playoffs (Eagles, 49ers, Jaguars, Cowboys, Chargers, Chiefs) of the 7 teams that actually had the hardest 2022 schedules, 2 went to the playoffs (Dolphins, Bengals) of the 11 teams that actually had thehardest 2022 schedules, only 3 went over their win total (Bengals, Steelers, Jets) Trying to exceed and overachieve against a brutal schedule rarely happens (2 out of top 7 in 2022) and likewise, winning against an easy schedule and overachieving compared to expectation was quite regular (only 1 out of top 7 did not). of the 7 teams that actually had the easiest 2022 schedules, 6 went to the playoffs (Eagles, 49ers, Jaguars, Cowboys, Chargers, Chiefs Did these teams make the playoffs because they had an easy strength of schedule or because the were really good? Who were the 5 teams that had difficulty sos and didn't make playoffs? We're they just bad teams? Are these really good metrics to measure the accuracy of preseason sos? Can't we just compare sos before the season to after and see how much it changed? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rangerous Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 Past performance is no guarantee of future results. What happened last season has little to no bearing on what happens this season. Only a few nfl organizations are capable of putting consistently good teams on the field year in and year out. And even Buffalo, for all of their recent success isn’t the juggernaut that many claim. They have a qb who is difficult to defend against. Other than that they are pretty ordinary. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larz Posted September 1, 2023 Author Share Posted September 1, 2023 9 minutes ago, Barry McCockinner said: of the 7 teams that actually had the easiest 2022 schedules, 6 went to the playoffs (Eagles, 49ers, Jaguars, Cowboys, Chargers, Chiefs Did these teams make the playoffs because they had an easy strength of schedule or because the were really good? Who were the 5 teams that had difficulty sos and didn't make playoffs? We're they just bad teams? Are these really good metrics to measure the accuracy of preseason sos? Can't we just compare sos before the season to after and see how much it changed? Preseason had nothing to do with it. They used expected win totals for 2023. So not last year’s results either. It is not an exact science, but 6/7 vs 2/7 last year using the same method is pretty compelling Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larz Posted September 1, 2023 Author Share Posted September 1, 2023 3 minutes ago, rangerous said: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. What happened last season has little to no bearing on what happens this season. Only a few nfl organizations are capable of putting consistently good teams on the field year in and year out. And even Buffalo, for all of their recent success isn’t the juggernaut that many claim. They have a qb who is difficult to defend against. Other than that they are pretty ordinary. It wasn’t based on last year’s results Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barry McCockinner Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 Just now, Larz said: Preseason had nothing to do with it. They used expected win totals for 2023. So not last year’s results either. It is not an exact science, but 6/7 vs 2/7 last year using the same method is pretty compelling I'm referring to when the sos was made. Before the season. 🤦♂️ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TuscanyTile2 Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 Thanks for sending out an SOS. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Crusher Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 11 hours ago, Larz said: Last year the strength of schedule said that the first 9 games were murder and they went 6-3 so take it with the appropriate grain of salt Jets are 25th (that’s tough) https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/analysis/2023-nfl-strength-of-schedule/# NFL teams with the easiest schedules in 2023: Atlanta Falcons New Orleans Saints Indianapolis Colts San Francisco 49ers Carolina Panthers NFL teams with the hardest schedules in 2023: New England Patriots Las Vegas Raiders Miami Dolphins Los Angeles Chargers Kansas City Chiefs its interesting, according to this analysis the jets schedule is barely tougher than last year Strength of schedule got harder: Buccaneers -8 spots to #23 Jaguars -7 to #15 Lions -4 to #18 Texans -4 to #9 Titans -4 to #13 Bengals -2 to #21 Browns -2 to #19 Saints -1 to #2 Panthers -1 to #5 Ravens -1 to #17 Jets -1 to #25 Vikings -1 to #27 Chargers -1 to #29 I’d also like to take the opportunity to remind myself that the jets have the best rest advantage in the league (tied with bears) So on balance, the jets schedule is easier this year than it was last year 👍 17– 0. Book it, dont make me fight you. 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smashmouth Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 1 hour ago, The Crusher said: 17– 0. Book it, dont make me fight you. Since I hate the Dolphins more than any other sports franchise (yes even more than the Red Sox) it would be glorious to watch those old Dolphin cheater bastards sh*t their pants in the SB luxury box if we go 20-0. My only regret would be that Don (the original Cheater) Shula would not be here to see it 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Larz Posted September 1, 2023 Author Share Posted September 1, 2023 13 hours ago, Barry McCockinner said: I'm referring to when the sos was made. Before the season. 🤦♂️ They don’t release too many in November 🤷♂️ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barry McCockinner Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 5 minutes ago, Larz said: They don’t release too many in November 🤷♂️ The point is the sos they release before the season is a projection. You can calculate the actual sos after the season and compare to the projection from before the season. This is the only comparison we need. It's math. Black and white. Instead you're giving metrics that don't seem to measure sos very well. They just show us that good teams made the playoffs and bad teams didn't. Wow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoubleDown Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 One game at a time. Jets can compete with any team in the league. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rangerous Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 18 hours ago, Larz said: It wasn’t based on last year’s results Honestly,I can’t see how last years results impact this year’s supposed strength of schedule. Every season has a number of teams that start with tons of hope but then fall flat. The bills have been notorious for starting out hot and then fading when the games really count. ( not so much with the teams under McDermott ). Only a small number of teams have that attitude to keep winning year after year. And look at how the jets started out last season. No telling how things would’ve gone had avt and/ hall hadn’t missed the second half. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Claymation Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 Great job! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.