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2014 NFL Strength of Schedule released


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2014 NFL strength of schedule
February, 10, 2014
FEB 10
12:01
PM ET
By ESPN.com staff | ESPN.com
Below are 2014 strength of schedule figures, based on opponents' winning percentage in 2013. Click through links atop the chart to rank home and road schedule difficulty or to sort figures by division. 

2014 Strength of Schedule: Overall

Overall | Division | Home | Road

Rank Team Opponent Win Pct. 1 Oakland Raiders .578 2 Denver Broncos .570 3 St. Louis Rams .564 4 San Diego Chargers .563 5 San Francisco 49ers .563 6 Seattle Seahawks .561 7 Kansas City Chiefs .559 8 Arizona Cardinals .547 9 New York Jets .520 10 New England Patriots .516 11 Atlanta Falcons .512 12 Miami Dolphins .508 13 Green Bay Packers .504 14 Buffalo Bills .500 15 Chicago Bears .496 16 Detroit Lions .492 17 Washington Redskins .490 18 Dallas Cowboys .488 19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers .484 20 Philadelphia Eagles .479 21 Minnesota Vikings .477 22 Carolina Panthers .473 23 Cincinnati Bengals .469 24 New Orleans Saints .469 25 Pittsburgh Steelers .469 26 Cleveland Browns .465 27 New York Giants .465 28 Baltimore Ravens .461 29 Jacksonville Jaguars .453 30 Houston Texans .441 31 Tennessee Titans .438 32 Indianapolis Colts .430
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2014 NFL strength of schedule
February, 10, 2014
FEB 10
12:01
PM ET
By ESPN.com staff | ESPN.com
Below are 2014 strength of schedule figures, based on opponents' winning percentage in 2013. Click through links atop the chart to rank home and road schedule difficulty or to sort figures by division. 

2014 Strength of Schedule: Overall

Overall | Division | Home | Road

Rank Team Opponent Win Pct. 1 Oakland Raiders .578 2 Denver Broncos .570 3 St. Louis Rams .564 4 San Diego Chargers .563 5 San Francisco 49ers .563 6 Seattle Seahawks .561 7 Kansas City Chiefs .559 8 Arizona Cardinals .547 9 New York Jets .520 10 New England Patriots .516 11 Atlanta Falcons .512 12 Miami Dolphins .508 13 Green Bay Packers .504 14 Buffalo Bills .500 15 Chicago Bears .496 16 Detroit Lions .492 17 Washington Redskins .490 18 Dallas Cowboys .488 19 Tampa Bay Buccaneers .484 20 Philadelphia Eagles .479 21 Minnesota Vikings .477 22 Carolina Panthers .473 23 Cincinnati Bengals .469 24 New Orleans Saints .469 25 Pittsburgh Steelers .469 26 Cleveland Browns .465 27 New York Giants .465 28 Baltimore Ravens .461 29 Jacksonville Jaguars .453 30 Houston Texans .441 31 Tennessee Titans .438 32 Indianapolis Colts .430

 

Man, it just keeps getting better for the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS ( I am now betting them early for the SB). The other day, we found out that besides having the Best young QB in the game, and will get their #1 receiver back from injuries, after making the playoffs for 2 consecutive years, and having the 2nd largest comeback in NFL Playoffs history, that they have an estimated 37 million in cap space, and now have the EASIEST schedule in the NFL for 2014.

 

If you are a COLTS fan, I recommend buying as many lotto tickets as possible, as no fan should have this much good fortune happen all at once to their team.

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Outside of the obvious factor of how much teams change on a year-to-year basis, the inherent flaw that always exists in this analysis is that, outside of those rare instances where a division has all of their teams finish right around the same record, for over 1/3 of each team's schedule (6 games), it will be appear to get progressively harder the worse ranked the team was within the division.

 

Look at the Jets and the Pats, before you even get to the rest of their respective schedules, you're seeing an immediate swap of the Pats games against the Jets counting as a combined 16-16 for their SOS, while the Jets 2 against the Pats are 24-8 towards SOS.  That's an 8 game swing accounted for in just 1/8 of the schedule, and that's only between the first and second place teams.  Now think about the kind of impact that has in the AFC South where you have the Colts who finished with 9 more wins than the Texans.  Their schedules are nearly identical for all but 3 games (with the Colts actually getting the more difficult end of those 3 games), but the real difference-maker there is the 18 game swing that exists in playing each other.

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Outside of the obvious factor of how much teams change on a year-to-year basis, the inherent flaw that always exists in this analysis is that, outside of those rare instances where a division has all of their teams finish right around the same record, for over 1/3 of each team's schedule (6 games), it will be appear to get progressively harder the worse ranked the team was within the division.

 

Look at the Jets and the Pats, before you even get to the rest of their respective schedules, you're seeing an immediate swap of the Pats games against the Jets counting as a combined 16-16 for their SOS, while the Jets 2 against the Pats are 24-8 towards SOS.  That's an 8 game swing accounted for in just 1/8 of the schedule, and that's only between the first and second place teams.  Now think about the kind of impact that has in the AFC South where you have the Colts who finished with 9 more wins than the Texans.  Their schedules are nearly identical for all but 3 games (with the Colts actually getting the more difficult end of those 3 games), but the real difference-maker there is the 18 game swing that exists in playing each other.

 

My brain hurts trying to figure out what you just said ...

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Man, it just keeps getting better for the INDIANAPOLIS COLTS ( I am now betting them early for the SB). The other day, we found out that besides having the Best young QB in the game, and will get their #1 receiver back from injuries, after making the playoffs for 2 consecutive years, and having the 2nd largest comeback in NFL Playoffs history, that they have an estimated 37 million in cap space, and now have the EASIEST schedule in the NFL for 2014.

 

If you are a COLTS fan, I recommend buying as many lotto tickets as possible, as no fan should have this much good fortune happen all at once to their team.

 

$37m is a lot?

 

But people keep telling me that $50m isn't enough to make a splash in free agency!

 

LOL.

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Outside of the obvious factor of how much teams change on a year-to-year basis, the inherent flaw that always exists in this analysis is that, outside of those rare instances where a division has all of their teams finish right around the same record, for over 1/3 of each team's schedule (6 games), it will be appear to get progressively harder the worse ranked the team was within the division.

 

Look at the Jets and the Pats, before you even get to the rest of their respective schedules, you're seeing an immediate swap of the Pats games against the Jets counting as a combined 16-16 for their SOS, while the Jets 2 against the Pats are 24-8 towards SOS.  That's an 8 game swing accounted for in just 1/8 of the schedule, and that's only between the first and second place teams.  Now think about the kind of impact that has in the AFC South where you have the Colts who finished with 9 more wins than the Texans.  Their schedules are nearly identical for all but 3 games (with the Colts actually getting the more difficult end of those 3 games), but the real difference-maker there is the 18 game swing that exists in playing each other.

Texans are going to be no where as bad as last year. They will give Colts a run for their money. They draft a top 3 QB and a quality BU QB, Foster healthy. Last year a fluke

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$37m is a lot?

 

But people keep telling me that $50m isn't enough to make a splash in free agency!

 

LOL.

When you have a FRANCHISE QB, 37 million is killing it. They have 2 great WRS: Hilton and Wayne, a franchise QB, 2 great RB's, Brown and Richardson. 37 million and the draft to plug in the few holes they have, and then on top of that , the easiest schedule. WOW, none of this happens to our tortured franchise.

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When you have a FRANCHISE QB, 37 million is killing it. They have 2 great WRS: Hilton and Wayne, a franchise QB, 2 great RB's, Brown and Richardson. 37 million and the draft to plug in the few holes they have, and then on top of that , the easiest schedule. WOW, none of this happens to our tortured franchise.

 

I get what you're saying and agree that the Colts are certainly in much better shape with their team plus that kind of money than the Jets, but in what freakin' universe are Brown and Richardson "2 great RBs"?  Have you been watching the same NFL as the rest of us?  Brown is pretty good, but Richardson is an absolute disaster.

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When you have a FRANCHISE QB, 37 million is killing it. They have 2 great WRS: Hilton and Wayne, a franchise QB, 2 great RB's, Brown and Richardson. 37 million and the draft to plug in the few holes they have, and then on top of that , the easiest schedule. WOW, none of this happens to our tortured franchise.

You are out of your mind if you say brown and richardson are 2 great rb's.  Brown a former first round pick has done next to nothing in his miserable career.  You lost a first round pick for Richardson this year!  On top of that an aging Reggie Wayne tore his ACL.  You think that this used toilet paper of a post is going to save your record because the strength is the least ranked in the NFL?  Relax bro, because the Draft hasn't even happened yet (by the way you have no first round picks), and free agency hasn't happened.  the Colts defense is trash on top of all of that.  Seriously need to rethink your lotto ticket and superbowl theories there chief.  Your "tortured franchise" gave up the best QB arguably of all time and he just had two of the most successful seasons of all time by a QB.  Glad to see people enthusiastic about their team but you really gotta think about what you type fact-wise before you post it on a JETS forum on top of that.  

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I get what you're saying and agree that the Colts are certainly in much better shape with their team plus that kind of money than the Jets, but in what freakin' universe are Brown and Richardson "2 great RBs"?  Have you been watching the same NFL as the rest of us?  Brown is pretty good, but Richardson is an absolute disaster.

Give Richardson time. The dude is a beast and will show it all in due time. Brown can carry the load until Richardson comes on. The dude is a beast and just has too much talent, and is too tough to not turn into the back that made him a top 5 pick.

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You are out of your mind if you say brown and richardson are 2 great rb's.  Brown a former first round pick has done next to nothing in his miserable career.  You lost a first round pick for Richardson this year!  On top of that an aging Reggie Wayne tore his ACL.  You think that this used toilet paper of a post is going to save your record because the strength is the least ranked in the NFL?  Relax bro, because the Draft hasn't even happened yet (by the way you have no first round picks), and free agency hasn't happened.  the Colts defense is trash on top of all of that.  Seriously need to rethink your lotto ticket and superbowl theories there chief.  Your "tortured franchise" gave up the best QB arguably of all time and he just had two of the most successful seasons of all time by a QB.  Glad to see people enthusiastic about their team but you really gotta think about what you type fact-wise before you post it on a JETS forum on top of that.  

Uh, I am a JET fan, so the tortured franchise I was speaking about were the JETS, and why none of the good or great fortune that seems to follow Indy around ever happens to us. That being said, of course, they gave up the best QB of all-time, when they were able to simply draft a younger version who may turn out to be even better than Peyton. Reggie Wayne is aging but the dude has at least 3-4 more great years, and combine him with the phenomenol TY Hilton, and you have quite a 1-2 punch for Luck to drool over. Brown is a very good back, and Richardson is just too much of a beast to not turn into a guaranteed 1000 yard back in this league. Combine that with all that cap space , which they can use, even without a 1st round pick, to plug any holes they may have. They have had double digit wins the past 2 years, and now have the easiest schedule in the NFL.

 

No, they are clearly the class of the AFC this coming year, and probably for years to come, while the team I live and die with, the Jets will once again wallow in mediocrity this year, get to about 8-8, miss the playoffs and secure that coveted #19 draft pick. Hallelujah.

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Give Richardson time. The dude is a beast and will show it all in due time. Brown can carry the load until Richardson comes on. The dude is a beast and just has too much talent, and is too tough to not turn into the back that made him a top 5 pick.

 

 

So Richardson needs time to learn how to be an NFL RB after two seasons, yet Geno (who plays a much more difficult position) is already a bust after one year.  Got it.

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When you have a FRANCHISE QB, 37 million is killing it. They have 2 great WRS: Hilton and Wayne, a franchise QB, 2 great RB's, Brown and Richardson. 37 million and the draft to plug in the few holes they have, and then on top of that , the easiest schedule. WOW, none of this happens to our tortured franchise.

I bet somewhere on the internet, the Colts have a forum all their own.

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$37m is a lot?

 

But people keep telling me that $50m isn't enough to make a splash in free agency!

 

LOL.

 

   The Colts defense sucks and their RBs are avg at best, but they have a damn good offense and a great QB with tons of potential going forward.  They have a guy in Hilton who is a 1000 yard receiving kind of guy while the Jets have guy in Hill who will be out of the NFL in a year or two. And Hill was a 2nd round pick whereas Hilton was a 3rd rounder. 

 

   The Jets have a good DL with some great young players.  They have issues in the secondary, they have issues on the OL, they have a QB the GM & coaching staff have no confidence in and many fans think he's a bust already,  their RBs are avg at best,  and they have no talent as far as receiving goes.        

 

 So the Colts could spend all their money on two good defensive players, draft well,  and be a lot better.   The Jets could spend their money on the Erick Decker's of the world, draft well, and still wind up around 8-8 or worse because their QB isn't very good.      Plus you need free agents wanting to play for you and your team.   It might be about money, but most WRs would rather play with Andrew Luck over Geno Smith.   

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   The Colts defense sucks and their RBs are avg at best, but they have a damn good offense and a great QB with tons of potential going forward.  They have a guy in Hilton who is a 1000 yard receiving kind of guy while the Jets have guy in Hill who will be out of the NFL in a year or two. And Hill was a 2nd round pick whereas Hilton was a 3rd rounder. 

 

   The Jets have a good DL with some great young players.  They have issues in the secondary, they have issues on the OL, they have a QB the GM & coaching staff have no confidence in and many fans think he's a bust already,  their RBs are avg at best,  and they have no talent as far as receiving goes.        

 

 So the Colts could spend all their money on two good defensive players, draft well,  and be a lot better.   The Jets could spend their money on the Erick Decker's of the world, draft well, and still wind up around 8-8 or worse because their QB isn't very good.      Plus you need free agents wanting to play for you and your team.   It might be about money, but most WRs would rather play with Andrew Luck over Geno Smith.   

 

In his rookie year in the dome, 2012, Luck's 3 top receivers were Reggie Wayne, Ty Hilton and Donnie Avery. Each of them played at least 15 games. Luck posted a 76.5 QBR that year.

 

In his rookie year outside in the northeast, 2013, Smith's 3 top receivers were Kerley (only 12 games), Santonio Holmes (only 11 games) and David Nelson (only 12 games). Smith had a 66.5 QBR that year.

 

Using facts here, not emotion.

 

Consider:

-Which receiving group would you want?

-Would you prefer to play with your top targets for at least 15 games each, or 11-12?

-Would you rather play in a dome or outside in the northeast?

 

Andrew Luck may be worlds better than Geno Smith. He probably is. But the gap between the two is far from determined.

 

 

As for the rest of your post; the Colts need a defense, the Jets need an offense. Both are flush with money, but the Jets will have more. The Jets have 10 picks. The Colts have, what, 5?

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When you have a FRANCHISE QB, 37 million is killing it. They have 2 great WRS: Hilton and Wayne, a franchise QB, 2 great RB's, Brown and Richardson. 37 million and the draft to plug in the few holes they have, and then on top of that , the easiest schedule. WOW, none of this happens to our tortured franchise.

If you think Richardson is great you must watch football with your eyes closed. He averaged less than 3 yds per carry for the Colts and keeps running into his own blockers.

Step away from the cheap beer.

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I really think this is meaningless these days.  Teams are so up and down these days.

 

Agreed.

 

The Raiders have the toughest schedule on paper because 6 of their games are against KC,SD and Denver.

 

If teams have injuries, what looks like a tough schedule becomes a bit easier.

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I bet somewhere on the internet, the Colts have a forum all their own.

Yeah, but what the heck do they ARGUE about like here on the Jets forum. Its probably boring as all hell over there, since they cant be talking about firing their coach, he has made the playoffs in his first 2 years and has the 2nd largest comeback in a playoff game, they have the BEST young QB in the NFL, they have 37 million in cap space, they have their #1 receiver coming back, and they have the EASIEST schedule in the NFL.

 

Man, it must be boring on that site, not like on this JETS forum, where half the people want the coach fired, or the QB benched, or the owner beheaded, and we spend almost all our time PRAYING we can maybe eke out 9-7, and have 4 other teams fold so we can at least make the playoffs.

 

It would suck to be an INDY fan, as you have nothing to discuss, OH except who they will face in the SUPER BOWL. Too bad for Indy fans, come be a Jet fan and enjoy the misery.

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If you think Richardson is great you must watch football with your eyes closed. He averaged less than 3 yds per carry for the Colts and keeps running into his own blockers.

Step away from the cheap beer.

Watch in 2014, dude will be a beast.When teams are being shredded by LUCK and doing anything they can to slow him down, holes will be the size of F-150's, and Richardson will be getting 7 before contact even occurs.

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Yeah, but what the heck do they ARGUE about like here on the Jets forum. Its probably boring as all hell over there, since they cant be talking about firing their coach, he has made the playoffs in his first 2 years and has the 2nd largest comeback in a playoff game, they have the BEST young QB in the NFL, they have 37 million in cap space, they have their #1 receiver coming back, and they have the EASIEST schedule in the NFL.

 

Man, it must be boring on that site, not like on this JETS forum, where half the people want the coach fired, or the QB benched, or the owner beheaded, and we spend almost all our time PRAYING we can maybe eke out 9-7, and have 4 other teams fold so we can at least make the playoffs.

 

It would suck to be an INDY fan, as you have nothing to discuss, OH except who they will face in the SUPER BOWL. Too bad for Indy fans, come be a Jet fan and enjoy the misery.

 

While you would think so, you really have no idea how untrue this all is.  Trust those of us who have been doing this for a while, some degree of success will never come close to stopping the endless stream of bitching that comes from sports fans.  Just consider that when the Jets were in nearly the identical situation, in the second years of both their HC and QB, they won the same number of regular season games and had even more success in the playoffs.  Yet I assure you, what you claim was nowhere even close to reality around here.  I'd imagine the 87 points allowed and 7 INTs thrown in just 2 playoffs games has a few of their fans not overly thrilled.  Your team needs to stop getting bitch-slapped in the playoffs before they can be worrying about the Super Bowl.  Not to mention, I'm sure there's still Colts fans out there who wished the team would have kept Arians over Pagano.  There's always something to bitch about for those who want to.

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Watch in 2014, dude will be a beast.When teams are being shredded by LUCK and doing anything they can to slow him down, holes will be the size of F-150's, and Richardson will be getting 7 before contact even occurs.

 

And I'm curious, what reason is there to believe that even if this scenario you describe were to come true, that Donald Brown wouldn't do even better under those circumstances considering he averaged 2.4 YPC more than Richardson this year without all of that?  That's over 80% better, hardly an insignificant number.

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