Mayock: Bad year to own a top-10 pick
February, 19, 2013
By Rich Cimini | ESPNNewYork.com
NFL Network draft guru Mike Mayock held an epic conference call Monday, answering questions about this week's scouting combine and the upcoming draft. For the record, the Q & A session was 22,753 words, based on the transcript provided by the network.
From a Jets perspective, here are some of my takeaways:
1. It's a bad year to have the ninth overall pick; typical Jets luck. Said Mayock: "I wouldn't want a top-10 pick this year. I think the fifth pick in the draft and the 25th pick in this draft are very similar."
2. The Jets need a guard, maybe two, and there's a stud that could be available at No. 9 -- Alabama's Chance Warmack. Mayock called him "the best player I saw on tape this year," and he wouldn't hesitate to pick him in the top 10.
3. Mayock doesn't believe any quarterbacks are worth the No. 9 pick. He expects West Virginia's Geno Smith and USC's Matt Barkley will be the first two off the board, but he sees them in the 20 to 32 range. Mayock on Smith: "I see flashes of everything you want in a top-10 quarterback. I see a lot more inconsistency, though, than I see those flashes."
4. The Jets met with North Carolina State QB Mike Glennon at the Senior Bowl. He "might have the best arm talent in the draft," according to Mayock. But he has a slow release and makes poor decisions, Mayock said. He sees him in the second round.
5. To me, Oregon DE/OLB Dion Jordan is one of the most intriguing players. He's 6-foot-7, but only 240 pounds. He has "frightening athletic skills," according to Mayock, who believes Jordan can be a perennial All-Pro if he adds 20 pounds. He said Jordan is "two years away from being an Aldon Smith-type player." Jordan doesn't have ideal weight to be an every-down linebacker in Rex Ryan's 3-4 scheme, but I know the Jets were high on Smith when he came out in 2011.
6. Georgia OLB Jarvis Jones, who has been linked to the Jets, is an "impact, explosive football player and he's ready to play now," Mayock said. But there's a medical concern, possible spinal stenonsis. He's a top-10 talent if he checks out medically, per Mayock.
7. Mayock has only one running back with a first-round grade -- Alabama's Eddie Lacy. He rates Wisconsin's Montee Ball as a late 2.
8. Mayock goes against the grain with regard to his grades for three top defensive ends -- Bjoern Werner (Florida State), Damonte Moore (Texas A&M) and Barkevious Mingo (LSU). He doesn't think Werner and Moore are worth top-10 picks, and he sees Mingo (only 230 pounds) slipping to the end of the first round. Mingo has been linked to the Jets at No. 9, but I don't think he's a scheme fit because of his size.
9. I don't see the Jets picking controversial Notre Dame LB Manti Te'o at No. 9, but we'll mention him here because Mayock had some interesting comments. He said Te'o had a "plus-plus-plus intangibles grade" before the girlfriend hoax became a national story. Now? "I think he's lost all of that," said Mayock, who sees Te'o going in the bottom third of the first round.