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Something that should concern every Jets Fan


viguy007

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Exactly. Analytics may help, but Brady is the only reason this team is good every year. Outside of one fluke year with Matt Cassell, Bellicheat has had no success in the NFL as a head coach without Brady.

Pats fans always bring up 2008 & Matt Cassel,lol.

There defense was still very good, they played one of the weakest schedules in the NFL that year.

Go back & take a look.

Jets beat them in New England that year before Favre broke down.

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IF YOU WATCH CLOSELY YOU CAN SEE ITS A FLAT FOOTBALL HE'S THROWING! LOOK AT THAT CRAPPY SPIRAL! IT LOOKS LIKE HE'S THROWING A DEAD ANIMAL.

 

THEY ONLY WIN CUZ THEY CHEAT.

 

JET FANS NEVER WORRY ABOUT BRADY ON GAMEDAY. THEY JUST WORRY ABOUT FLAT FOOTBALLS CUZ THATS HOW THEY WIN

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IF YOU WATCH CLOSELY YOU CAN SEE ITS A FLAT FOOTBALL HE'S THROWING! LOOK AT THAT CRAPPY SPIRAL! IT LOOKS LIKE HE'S THROWING A DEAD ANIMAL.

THEY ONLY WIN CUZ THEY CHEAT.

JET FANS NEVER WORRY ABOUT BRADY ON GAMEDAY. THEY JUST WORRY ABOUT FLAT FOOTBALLS CUZ THATS HOW THEY WIN

Somewhere deep in the woods of New Hampshire, a gangly, toothless man rolls off of his sister, pounds at his keyboard, lights a cigarette, and sighs "Nailed it."

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The biggest reason the Pats have owned the AFC East over the last 9 years.

 

Turnover differential:

 

Pats: +122

Bills: -9

Phins: -19

Jets: -37

 

Brady is a factor in this stat for sure but Brady has little to do with generating turnovers.  Over the last 9 years the Pats have been plus in TO ratio every year.

Phins plus 3 out of 9 years

Bills plus 5 out of 9 years

Jets plus 2 out of 9 years.

It's fair to say the differential matters. it's also fair to observe a superior QB has A LOT to do with that not committing turnover part of the equation.And facing usually 3 crappy other divisional QBs spare 5 minutes each of Vinny, Noodlearm and Favre helped a bunch.  

 

Fair to say under seat of the pants idiots like "master motivators" Edwards and Ryan, analytics were not much considered. Suspect Bowles and McCagnan didn't get this job based on stirring pregame speeches but knowing analytics and the role of statstics.  Problem solved. 

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So many non-believers here, yet more and more NFL team are adopting analytics. In the future this will be the NFL: What if a coach had access to real-time data that showed how the defense was responding (or not) to a ferocious ofensive drive that got them deep into enemy territory? What if he could seize upon that data to identify a weakness in the secondary within the 40-second play clock and and hurry-up offense (which makes it almost impossible for the defense to substitute) to call a play designed to exploit that weakness, one that he could feel much more confident about employing than the standard generic run up the middle on a goal-line situation?

 

The NFL has partnered with Microsoft to make this a reality

 

This is where the NFL and the entire world are going.  As the amount and quality of data grows exponentially analytic tools will be able to turn the data into more useful information quicker to drive better decisions and outcomes.  If you want to know more on this subject look at some youtube video on big data, or internet of things.  These is the biggest trends in business today and they are slowly creeping all aspects of life.

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I do think that we should look into statistics and advanced analysis more, and am a bit concerned about this article.   The argument of baseball doesn't work, because while Billy Beane and others introduced sabermetrics to baseball, plenty of teams soon copied the idea (most notably the Yankees/RedSox) and therefore had an advantage on the A's because they had financial stability and wherewithal to sign who they wanted.   And we see the changes all over baseball.  OBP has taken precedent over BA.  You see all kinda of defensive shifts based on hitting trajectory analysis, pitch f/x analysis, pitch framing analysis.  Infact, if you are a Yankees fan, the whole trade for Nathan Eovaldi is based on advanced analysis, based on the improvement in pitch framing from team to team, the lack of pitches he throws in the high part of the plate causing hitters to have a leg up on a blazing fastball, and how he didn't mix his pitches effectively.   

 

I think football can be the same way, you have to adopt to changes and turn over every rock.  We make fun of Rex for harboring the old school, hey lets run it up the gut and get guys that can take heads off philosophy, yet we don't mind us ignoring advanced stats.   I think we should be turning over every rock and crawl space we can find to get an advantage.  

 

Saying all this, I don't think it's important that the higher ups in the organization be represented at the conference.  For all we know, we could have interns and other lesser known people there that may understand the evidence better there to relay and translate the information.  Famously, the Yankees stumbled upon pitch framing because an intern happened to have some free time and decided to check some stats to a discussion he had with another colleague.  So just because the higher ups weren't represented, it doesn't mean we weren't there or aren't privy to the information that is released there.  As far as I know, the conference is like a car show, just shows the new models, doesn't actually prevent us from acquiring the knowledge or stats from the vendor later like you can buy cars at a dealership.  However, the argument that these analytics can't help us is false, IMO.  

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I do think that we should look into statistics and advanced analysis more, and am a bit concerned about this article.   The argument of baseball doesn't work, because while Billy Beane and others introduced sabermetrics to baseball, plenty of teams soon copied the idea (most notably the Yankees/RedSox) and therefore had an advantage on the A's because they had financial stability and wherewithal to sign who they wanted.   And we see the changes all over baseball.  OBP has taken precedent over BA.  You see all kinda of defensive shifts based on hitting trajectory analysis, pitch f/x analysis, pitch framing analysis.  Infact, if you are a Yankees fan, the whole trade for Nathan Eovaldi is based on advanced analysis, based on the improvement in pitch framing from team to team, the lack of pitches he throws in the high part of the plate causing hitters to have a leg up on a blazing fastball, and how he didn't mix his pitches effectively.   

 

I think football can be the same way, you have to adopt to changes and turn over every rock.  We make fun of Rex for harboring the old school, hey lets run it up the gut and get guys that can take heads off philosophy, yet we don't mind us ignoring advanced stats.   I think we should be turning over every rock and crawl space we can find to get an advantage.  

 

Saying all this, I don't think it's important that the higher ups in the organization be represented at the conference.  For all we know, we could have interns and other lesser known people there that may understand the evidence better there to relay and translate the information.  Famously, the Yankees stumbled upon pitch framing because an intern happened to have some free time and decided to check some stats to a discussion he had with another colleague.  So just because the higher ups weren't represented, it doesn't mean we weren't there or aren't privy to the information that is released there.  As far as I know, the conference is like a car show, just shows the new models, doesn't actually prevent us from acquiring the knowledge or stats from the vendor later like you can buy cars at a dealership.  However, the argument that these analytics can't help us is false, IMO.  

Agreed.  Even if we just consider scouting.  The draft is such a crap shoot and if we can collect the data and have the mathematical models to support what a scout sees to help make better decisions about player selection, why not?

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Let's see. Stats analysis is the main difference for success, Billy Beane's Oakland As have been to how many World Series? Apples and Oranges, guys and girls.

I love that stupid, boring overrated movie makes no mention of Hudson. Mulder and Zito.

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Two words to explain the success of Bob Kraft's analytics: Tom Brady

exactly.  If they had some run of the mill QB all of this talk not exist.  Bellicheck was going to be fired the next season if Mo Lewis didn't crush Bledsoe.

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It's fair to say the differential matters. it's also fair to observe a superior QB has A LOT to do with that not committing turnover part of the equation.And facing usually 3 crappy other divisional QBs spare 5 minutes each of Vinny, Noodlearm and Favre helped a bunch.  

 

Fair to say under seat of the pants idiots like "master motivators" Edwards and Ryan, analytics were not much considered. Suspect Bowles and McCagnan didn't get this job based on stirring pregame speeches but knowing analytics and the role of statstics.  Problem solved.

Turnovers generated the last 9 years:

 

N.E. 174 ints, 109 fumble rec = 283

Bills 154 ints, 88 fumble rec = 242

Jets 123 ints, 96 fumble rec = 219

Mia 124 ints, 79 fumble rec = 203

 

Brady aside the Pats still have generated turnovers on a very consistent basis, this is why in the years where they had head shakingly bad secondaries they still were a good team.

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