Popular Post Bronx Posted May 13, 2022 Popular Post Share Posted May 13, 2022 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronx Posted May 13, 2022 Author Share Posted May 13, 2022 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
defensedoesntgetyoulaid Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 Not surprised. I think they easily beat that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronx Posted May 13, 2022 Author Share Posted May 13, 2022 Just now, defensedoesntgetyoulaid said: easily I don't know about that. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anthony Jet Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 If this is true how come the line hasn’t been adjusted? 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post The Crusher Posted May 13, 2022 Popular Post Share Posted May 13, 2022 Thank you Joe Douglas, thank you. 1 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TuscanyTile2 Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 1 hour ago, Bronx said: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augustiniak Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 17 games not 16. From a pure roster perspective the talent is substantially upgraded the past 2 years. And most importantly, on paper the jets actually have weapons on offense. It also suggests that bettors understand that wilson is poised to take a step forward in development. But even just within the division, you compare rb/te/wr on paper and the jets are better than NE and if the draft picks are legit, they could challenge the bills as best offensive weapons in the division. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TuscanyTile2 Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 17 minutes ago, Augustiniak said: 17 games not 16. From a pure roster perspective the talent is substantially upgraded the past 2 years. And most importantly, on paper the jets actually have weapons on offense. It also suggests that bettors understand that wilson is poised to take a step forward in development. But even just within the division, you compare rb/te/wr on paper and the jets are better than NE and if the draft picks are legit, they could challenge the bills as best offensive weapons in the division. It's a little frightening though that our line is still 5.5. I realize that that number is only half of the bet. The other half is the odds (like "bet $150 to win $100") which changes things quite a bit. But the fact that they're stuck on that number makes me think Vegas believes the Jets actual win total will be around 5-6. We do have lot of changes on this team (between free agents and draft picks being instant starters) plus a questionable 2nd year QB and an unproven HC. That plus what looks to be a very tough schedule. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augustiniak Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, TuscanyTile2 said: It's a little frightening though that our line is still 5.5. I realize that that number is only half of the bet. The other half is the odds (like "bet $150 to win $100") which changes things quite a bit. But the fact that they're stuck on that number makes me think Vegas believes the Jets actual win total will be around 5-6. We do have lot of changes on this team (between free agents and draft picks being instant starters) plus a questionable 2nd year QB and an unproven HC. That plus what looks to be a very tough schedule. IMO line hasn’t moved b/c wilson is still a big unknown. But if the offensive weapons are legit the jets should be scoring, something they haven’t done in many years. Wilson barely played with a lead. And if becton actually plays they may be able to have a real powerful running attack too and flip time of possession. It’s all an unknown. But 6 wins out of 17 games with a young team and a big influx of talent seems like a reasonable bet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bla bla bla Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 I put the $25 I had in my DK account on the over the other day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
varjet Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 Every year the teams that are predicted to be “good” underperform, and vice versa. 6 wins is worth a modest bet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bronx Posted May 13, 2022 Author Share Posted May 13, 2022 I wish we could establish a JN pool to bet at $50 per person. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barry McCockinner Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 can some of y'all start betting the under before Vegas has to start calling in some favors to the refs? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ECURB Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 1 hour ago, Anthony Jet said: If this is true how come the line hasn’t been adjusted? Vegas thinks they will win 4 games? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Facts Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 2 hours ago, The Crusher said: Thank you Joe Douglas, thank you. That’s not a good thing. Money pouring into the over means Vegas cashes in if the Jets go under. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Crusher Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 1 minute ago, Facts said: That’s not a good thing. Money pouring into the over means Vegas cashes in if the Jets go under. *when 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DonCorleone Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 1 hour ago, Bronx said: I wish we could establish a JN pool to bet at $50 per person. count me in if you do. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigRy56 Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 The over is easy money. I’m not surprised at all there - if I bet on sports I would make that bet 100% of the time right now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Waka Flocka Flacco Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 19 minutes ago, Facts said: Money pouring into the over means Vegas cashes in if the Jets go under. 6 minutes ago, BigRy56 said: The over is easy money. I’m not surprised at all there - if I bet on sports I would make that bet 100% of the time right now I love this country. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycdan Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 2 hours ago, The Crusher said: Thank you Joe Douglas, thank you. 2 hours ago, TuscanyTile2 said: It's a little frightening though that our line is still 5.5. I realize that that number is only half of the bet. The other half is the odds (like "bet $150 to win $100") which changes things quite a bit. The odds (ouctome:bet ratio) is how Vegas adjusts things while leaving the line unchanged. In fact, it probably helps them draw more money in than is warranted because some less experienced bettors don't understand that as well, thinking they bet $100 to win $100. Once the number reaches the level it's at now for the Jets (around -145 on most sites) that indicates the O/U line may be close to moving up to 6. I'm not sure if the odds reset back to 100 at that point or not. I'm no expert on this, but the interesting question is, would you rather bet 5.5 at -145 or 6 at 100? I'm not sure myself but would love some thoughts from anyone on this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bitonti Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 9 minutes ago, BigRy56 said: The over is easy money. I’m not surprised at all there - if I bet on sports I would make that bet 100% of the time right now There's no such thing as easy money 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TuscanyTile2 Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 1 minute ago, bitonti said: There's no such thing as easy money Objectively false 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjasi Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 Not great news. Too many expectations for a team that hasn’t done anything yet and is playing a lot of really good teams Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet9 Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 Fade The Public. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Nut Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 4 hours ago, Bronx said: We’re first at something that doesn’t suck. ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Nut Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 12 minutes ago, TuscanyTile2 said: Objectively false Thank you for the Crimson video Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Biggs Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 I bet the over on the entire league. Everyone wins 9 games I'm cashing in. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TuscanyTile2 Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 Meanwhile, Vegas has the Giants up to 7.5 wins. I would imagine some of that has to do with playing in the NFC but that still a full 2 games (admittedly just a gambling projection) better than us. But both teams were awful last year (picked 4th and 5th overall) and both teams had great drafts. The Jets probably had a better offseason overall than the Giants but both teams did make major improvements. But they Giants are projected 2 games better than us. Crazy! Btw, all of these lines have the half point in them so I guess it's a "whole win step" (e.g. our next option from 5.5 wouldn't be 6, but rather 6.5). https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/win-totals/ New York Giants 7.5 (Last Season - 4) New York Jets 5.5 (Last Season - 4) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
freestater Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 3 hours ago, The Crusher said: Thank you Joe Douglas, thank you. If only everyone was able to see how great of a genius JD is right off the bat, like you and me crush. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Augustiniak Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 9 minutes ago, TuscanyTile2 said: Meanwhile, Vegas has the Giants up to 7.5 wins. I would imagine some of that has to do with playing in the NFC but that still a full 2 games (admittedly just a gambling projection) better than us. But both teams were awful last year (picked 4th and 5th overall) and both teams had great drafts. The Jets probably had a better offseason overall than the Giants but both teams did make major improvements. But they Giants are projected 2 games better than us. Crazy! Btw, all of these lines have the half point in them so I guess it's a "whole win step" (e.g. our next option from 5.5 wouldn't be 6, but rather 6.5). https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/win-totals/ New York Giants 7.5 (Last Season - 4) New York Jets 5.5 (Last Season - 4) definitely that division. jets clearly have a better roster. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slimjasi Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 20 minutes ago, TuscanyTile2 said: Meanwhile, Vegas has the Giants up to 7.5 wins. I would imagine some of that has to do with playing in the NFC but that still a full 2 games (admittedly just a gambling projection) better than us. But both teams were awful last year (picked 4th and 5th overall) and both teams had great drafts. The Jets probably had a better offseason overall than the Giants but both teams did make major improvements. But they Giants are projected 2 games better than us. Crazy! Btw, all of these lines have the half point in them so I guess it's a "whole win step" (e.g. our next option from 5.5 wouldn't be 6, but rather 6.5). https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/win-totals/ New York Giants 7.5 (Last Season - 4) New York Jets 5.5 (Last Season - 4) It’s not crazy at all, the jets are in a much better division and conference and playing a harder schedule Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slats Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 As a fan, I’m very excited about the potential this team currently has. As a bettor, I’d need to realize that it’s all still potential at this point. A lot of good vibes around the team, but those good feelings are all about a handful of first and second year players tapping that potential. In reality, that’s probably a pretty tall order. By all means, I love the enthusiasm, but I wouldn’t put the mortgage down on this “easy money” bet just yet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BornJetsFan1983 Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 43 minutes ago, Jet Nut said: We’re first at something that doesn’t suck. ? The sojf days are over my friend. No more sucking 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dcat Posted May 13, 2022 Share Posted May 13, 2022 at -150 odds, the Jets over 5.5 is a dumb bet. I'd be inclined to do it at -110 to even money. But -150? That means the books think it is fairly likely the Jets hit the over. If you want to discuss the bet, fine, but the 'value' of the bet all depends on the odds. For -150, I don't even think I'd bet over 4.5, let alone 5.5. There should be more interesting futures bets with better odds than that somewhere. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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